$ADMA holding the 50-day moving average like a rock ($11.06) — 200-day EMA test at $11.82 coming up fast-To The Moon - Tiger Brokers Online Investing Community

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$ADMA holding the 50-day moving average like a rock ($11.06) — 200-day EMA test at $11.82 coming up fast

Anyone else quietly accumulating $ADMA Biologics(ADMA)$ here around $11?

The stock got cut in half from its $20 peak earlier this year, but if you look at the actual business, it's printing cash. Gross margins are sitting at an absurd 69.4%, net leverage is down to basically 0.1x, and they're pulling in over $230M in annual EBITDA. ASCENIV is pacing toward a billion-dollar annual run rate, and you're getting all of this at 15.1x trailing earnings.

Technically, it just reclaimed both its 50-day SMA ($10.02) and 50-day EMA ($10.25). Every dip into $10.30–$10.50 gets vacuumed right up. Once we punch through the 200-day EMA around $11.82, there is basically no overhead volume until $14.

How I'm playing it:

Current: $11.06 – $11.33
Accumulation zone: $10.40 – $10.95
Stop loss: Daily close below $9.45
Targets: $11.82 first, then $14.20.

Are you guys playing the gap fill to $12+, or waiting for a cleaner breakout over $11.50?

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Daniel Stretton
·11-06 13:02
If the payout is covered by cash flow, I'm comfortable holding equity exposure through the noise. Even a conservative 4.5% annualized return over 5 years changes the math on this considerably. I'll be wrong eventually; I just don't think it's this quarter.
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Ay Ling Yong
·11-06 13:05
Price lost the level that mattered. I don't need a narrative to respect that. If growth comes in a point lower, the whole 26-year projection inverts.
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Liping Tee
·11-06 21:16
[Strong][Strong]
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Tsuen Seng Koh
·11-06 21:15
[Strong][Strong]
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Hong Na
·11-06 13:40
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Every dip into $10.30–$10.50 gets vacuumed right up. Once we punch through the 200-day EMA around $11.82, there is basically no overhead volume until $14.\nHow I'm playing it:\n<ul>\n <li>\n Current: $11.06 – $11.33</li>\n <li>\n Accumulation zone: $10.40 – $10.95</li>\n <li>\n Stop loss: Daily close below $9.45</li>\n <li>\n Targets: $11.82 first, then $14.20.</li>\n</ul>\nAre you guys playing the gap fill to $12+, or waiting for a cleaner breakout over $11.50?</body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body>Anyone else quietly accumulating <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/ADMA\">$ADMA Biologics(ADMA)$</a> here around $11?\nThe stock got cut in half from its $20 peak earlier this year, but if you look at the actual business, it's printing cash. Gross margins are sitting at an absurd 69.4%, net leverage is down to basically 0.1x, and they're pulling in over $230M in annual EBITDA. ASCENIV is pacing toward a billion-dollar annual run rate, and you're getting all of this at 15.1x trailing earnings.\nTechnically, it just reclaimed both its 50-day SMA ($10.02) and 50-day EMA ($10.25). Every dip into $10.30–$10.50 gets vacuumed right up. Once we punch through the 200-day EMA around $11.82, there is basically no overhead volume until $14.\nHow I'm playing it:\n<ul>\n <li>\n Current: $11.06 – $11.33</li>\n <li>\n Accumulation zone: $10.40 – $10.95</li>\n <li>\n Stop loss: Daily close below $9.45</li>\n <li>\n Targets: $11.82 first, then $14.20.</li>\n</ul>\nAre you guys playing the gap fill to $12+, or waiting for a cleaner breakout over $11.50?</body></html>","text":"Anyone else quietly accumulating $ADMA Biologics(ADMA)$ here around $11? The stock got cut in half from its $20 peak earlier this year, but if you look at the actual business, it's printing cash. Gross margins are sitting at an absurd 69.4%, net leverage is down to basically 0.1x, and they're pulling in over $230M in annual EBITDA. ASCENIV is pacing toward a billion-dollar annual run rate, and you're getting all of this at 15.1x trailing earnings. Technically, it just reclaimed both its 50-day SMA ($10.02) and 50-day EMA ($10.25). Every dip into $10.30–$10.50 gets vacuumed right up. Once we punch through the 200-day EMA around $11.82, there is basically no overhead volume until $14. How I'm playing it: Current: $11.06 – $11.33 Accumulation zone: $10.40 – $10.95 Stop loss: Daily close below $9.45 Targets: $11.82 first, then $14.20. 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Even a conservative 4.5% annualized return over 5 years changes the math on this considerably. I'll be wrong eventually; I just don't think it's this quarter.\n ","text":"If the payout is covered by cash flow, I'm comfortable holding equity exposure through the noise. Even a conservative 4.5% annualized return over 5 years changes the math on this considerably. I'll be wrong eventually; I just don't think it's this quarter.\n ","html":"If the payout is covered by cash flow, I'm comfortable holding equity exposure through the noise. Even a conservative 4.5% annualized return over 5 years changes the math on this considerably. I'll be wrong eventually; I just don't think it's this quarter.\n ","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0,"disclaimerType":0},{"id":626335554298056,"commentId":"626335554298056","gmtCreate":1793941538761,"gmtModify":1793942571697,"authorId":4256879589389852,"author":{"id":4256879589389852,"idStr":"4256879589389852","authorId":4256879589389852,"name":"Ay Ling Yong","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar2.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":626327101600328,"objectIdStr":"626327101600328","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"Price lost the level that mattered. I don't need a narrative to respect that. If growth comes in a point lower, the whole 26-year projection inverts.\n ","text":"Price lost the level that mattered. I don't need a narrative to respect that. If growth comes in a point lower, the whole 26-year projection inverts.\n ","html":"Price lost the level that mattered. I don't need a narrative to respect that. 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