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CalvinChong
2022-05-16

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Does the U.S. stock bull market end or continue? Wall Street divides

美国银行技术策略师Stephen Suttmeier认为，始于2013年的美股牛市正进入第10个年头，这种上升趋势可能持续到2027年。这一乐观看法与悲观的华尔街同行形成鲜明对比。Suttmeier表

Does the U.S. stock bull market end or continue? Wall Street divides

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Wall Street divides","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2235542298","media":"智通财经","summary":"美国银行技术策略师Stephen Suttmeier认为，始于2013年的美股牛市正进入第10个年头，这种上升趋势可能持续到2027年。这一乐观看法与悲观的华尔街同行形成鲜明对比。Suttmeier表","content":"<p><html><head></head><body><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a>Technical strategist Stephen Suttmeier believes that the U.S. stock bull market that started in 2013 is entering its 10th year, and this upward trend may continue until 2027. This optimistic view is in stark contrast to its pessimistic Wall Street peers.</p><p>Suttmeier said that the bull market that began in 1980 lasted until 2000 (20 years), and the bull market that began in 1950 lasted until 1966 (16 years). On the basis of past bull markets, this bull market that began in 2013 is expected to last.</p><p>Suttmeier said the long-term bull market of 1950-1966 began with low interest rates and, as it is now, didn't end until the 10-year rate hit 5%.</p><p>Suttmeier said the long-term cycle of the U.S. 10-year Treasury Bond yield is much longer than that of the S&P 500. During the bond bull market (falling yields) of 1920-1945, the stock market experienced bull markets and bear markets afterwards. During the bond bear market (rising yields) of 1945-1981, the stock market also experienced bull and bear markets. During the bond bull market of 1981-2020, the stock market experienced the first seven years of a bull market, a bear market, and another bull market.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef24453904d28279e365803f568fb633\" tg-width=\"1022\" tg-height=\"707\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Suttmeier said the 2020 pullback marks \"halfway through\" the current bull market and suggests that this uptrend can continue until 2027 (late 2020s).</p><p>This year, the S&P 500 has resistance at 5,000 and support at 4,800.</p><p>But cyclical bear markets weigh on long-term bulls. Last Friday, the S&P 500 successfully held the downside test level of 3,800 points. The 200-week moving average of 3,475 points is also a major test point.</p><p>Unlike the optimistic Suttmeier,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a>Strategist Mike Wilson believes that the bear market rebound has begun and the decline in U.S. stocks is not over yet. Wilson expects the S&P 500 to end the year at 3,400.</p><p>Furthermore,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a>Said a recession would push the S&P 500 to 3,600.</p><p></body></html></p>","source":"stock_zhitongcaijing","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Does the U.S. stock bull market end or continue? 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Wall Street divides\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">智通财经</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-05-16 13:23</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a>Technical strategist Stephen Suttmeier believes that the U.S. stock bull market that started in 2013 is entering its 10th year, and this upward trend may continue until 2027. This optimistic view is in stark contrast to its pessimistic Wall Street peers.</p><p>Suttmeier said that the bull market that began in 1980 lasted until 2000 (20 years), and the bull market that began in 1950 lasted until 1966 (16 years). On the basis of past bull markets, this bull market that began in 2013 is expected to last.</p><p>Suttmeier said the long-term bull market of 1950-1966 began with low interest rates and, as it is now, didn't end until the 10-year rate hit 5%.</p><p>Suttmeier said the long-term cycle of the U.S. 10-year Treasury Bond yield is much longer than that of the S&P 500. During the bond bull market (falling yields) of 1920-1945, the stock market experienced bull markets and bear markets afterwards. During the bond bear market (rising yields) of 1945-1981, the stock market also experienced bull and bear markets. During the bond bull market of 1981-2020, the stock market experienced the first seven years of a bull market, a bear market, and another bull market.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef24453904d28279e365803f568fb633\" tg-width=\"1022\" tg-height=\"707\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Suttmeier said the 2020 pullback marks \"halfway through\" the current bull market and suggests that this uptrend can continue until 2027 (late 2020s).</p><p>This year, the S&P 500 has resistance at 5,000 and support at 4,800.</p><p>But cyclical bear markets weigh on long-term bulls. Last Friday, the S&P 500 successfully held the downside test level of 3,800 points. The 200-week moving average of 3,475 points is also a major test point.</p><p>Unlike the optimistic Suttmeier,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a>Strategist Mike Wilson believes that the bear market rebound has begun and the decline in U.S. stocks is not over yet. Wilson expects the S&P 500 to end the year at 3,400.</p><p>Furthermore,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a>Said a recession would push the S&P 500 to 3,600.</p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/723849.html\">智通财经</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/627bc890436e46f74a0fe8143398a725","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BAC":"美国银行","OEX":"标普100","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","BK4552":"Archegos爆仓风波概念","GS":"高盛","SPY":"标普500ETF","BK4207":"综合性银行","BK4581":"高盛持仓","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BK4553":"喜马拉雅资本持仓","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4127":"投资银行业与经纪业","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares"},"source_url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/723849.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2235542298","content_text":"美国银行技术策略师Stephen Suttmeier认为，始于2013年的美股牛市正进入第10个年头，这种上升趋势可能持续到2027年。这一乐观看法与悲观的华尔街同行形成鲜明对比。Suttmeier表示，始于1980年的牛市持续到2000年(20年)，始于1950年的牛市持续到1966年(16年)，在过去牛市的基础上，本轮始于2013年的牛市有望持续。Suttmeier表示，1950-1966年的长期牛市始于低利率，就像现在一样，直到10年期利率触及5%才结束。Suttmeier表示，美国10年期国债收益率的长期周期比标普500指数的长期周期长得多。在1920-1945年的债券牛市(收益率下降)期间，股市经历了牛市及之后的熊市。在1945-1981年的债券熊市(收益率上升)期间，股市也经历了牛市和熊市。在1981-2020年的债券牛市期间，股市经历了牛市、熊市和另一个牛市的头七年。Suttmeier表示，2020年的回调标志着当前牛市到达“一半时间”，并表明这种上升趋势可以持续到2027年(本世纪20年代末)。今年，标普500的阻力位在5000点，支撑位在4800点。但周期性熊市对长期牛市构成压力。上周五，标普500成功守住3800点的下行测试水平。200周移动均线3475点也是一个重大测试点位。与乐观的Suttmeier不同，摩根士丹利策略师Mike Wilson认为，熊市反弹已开启，美股下跌还未结束。Wilson预计标普500指数年底将收于3400点。此外，高盛表示，经济衰退将推动标普500指数达到3600点。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.6,"513500":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"BAC":0.87,"OEX":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,"ESmain":0.6,"OEF":0.6,".SPX":0.6,"SH":0.6,"SPY":0.9,"SPXU":0.6,"SDS":0.6,"IVV":0.6,"GS":0.85}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2464,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":4,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"hasMoreComment":false,"orderType":2}