To The Moon

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 06Jan2025 Observations: The MACD indicator is showing a downtrend. Moving Averages (MA). Both the MA50 line and the MA200 line are on an uptrend. The last candle is below the MA50 line and above the MA200 line. This implies a bearish mid-term and bullish long-term. The 3 Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines are on a downtrend. Chaikin’s Monetary flow (CMF) shows a downtrend. From technical analysis (daily interval), the 20 indicators (technical & moving averages) point to a “Neutral” rating. The breakdown reveals 8 indicators with a “Buy” rating and 12 indicators with a “Sell” rating. Now, let us look at candlestick patterns. There seem to be more bullish candlestick patterns from above. Based on the above technical analysis (1D chart), the S&P500

if our investments are causing us sleepless nights, let us consider reducing our portfolio. To gain wealth in exchange for health is never a good deal. Money - we can always make it if we are in good health. I am not sure about vice versa. I prefer to take long-term positions so that I can go on and enjoy this “limited” life that I have. Let us find the investing strategy that works well for us. keep well all. Avoid leverage.

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 02Dec24 Observations: The MACD indicator is showing an uptrend. Moving Averages (MA). Both the MA50 line and the MA200 line are on an uptrend. Both MA50 and MA200 lines are below the last candle. Thus, it could be read as bullish for both the mid and the long term. The 3 Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines are on an uptrend. Chaikin’s Monetary flow (CMF) shows an uptrend. This implies more selling momentum than buying. The CMF seems to be moving sideways - applying similar momentum by both buyers and sellers. However, do note that there is a drop in volume that suggests a drop in the current buying momentum. From the 21 indicators, all are pointing to a “Strong Buy” rating for the S&P500 (for Daily interval). There are 21 indicators that recommen

$S&P 500(.SPX)$   Expecting Santa claus rally in Dec. Look at the Dec index movement since 2016.  Expected High 6240 Expected Low 6132 Don't fight the trend 😇

Hello, tigers!This week, due to the Thanksgiving holiday, the U.S. stock market had only 3.5 trading days, resulting in relatively quiet activity. Notably, Nvidia’s stock has continued to pull back to around $136 since its earnings release, as its guidance fell short of the market's highest expectations.However, software stocks tied to AI applications have shown signs of improvement, with short-term gains outpacing the broader market. The Tiger Wealth Research Team believes that mid-to-downstream AI applications may be the next major catalyst!1. Recent Market DataA. Macroeconomic DataNovember U.S. PMI Composite Index: 55.3 (exceeding the expected 54.7), the highest since April 2022.Manufacturing PMI: 48.8, marking the fifth consecutive month of contraction.Services PMI: 57.0, the highest s

By Jake BehanHead of Capital Markets of Direxion InvestmentEditor’s Note: Happy reading and reach out if questions on anything. Happy Thanksgiving to all! $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ put up a volatile session following its earnings announcement which underwhelmed on its revenue forecast for the current quarter, exceeding analysts’ estimates by a mere $400 million rather than a preferred $1B. Reality seems to be setting in for the company as projections have failed to show ‘blowout’ expectations for two consecutive quarters now. NVDU/NVDD were expectedly busy, $Direxion Daily NVDA Bull 2X Shares(NVDU)$ currently stands as our 4th biggest getter of inflows YTD. Per Barclays, “post earnings there seems to be no

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ Current trend line indicators are getting squeezed at the moment so it looks to be teetering on a cliff edge drop, but the way it’s been going it’ll probably drop a bit and then bounce to new highs. Patiently waiting for the drop, but the market has been defying trend line logistics and keeps going up 🧐 With company valuations already stretched beyond their real value one must ask how long might this inflated bubble last given the global economic environment which is anything but an economic boom time Time to throw the rule book out the window and wait for the peps who run Wall Street to start laying down mass quantum of putts on the major indexes and follow suit  If you look at the lay of the land in terms of volume

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 25Nov24 Observations: The MACD indicator is showing a downtrend but there seems to be a chance for a top crossover too. Moving Averages (MA). Both the MA50 line and the MA200 line are on an uptrend. Both MA50 and MA200 lines are below the last candle. Thus, it could be read as bullish for both the mid and the long term. The 3 Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines are on an uptrend. Chaikin’s Monetary flow (CMF) shows an uptrend. This implies more selling momentum than buying. The CMF seems to be moving sideways - applying similar momentum by both buyers and sellers. From the technical analysis (daily interval), 21 indicators point to a “Strong buy” rating. 21 indicators above point to a “Buy” rating and none to a “Sell” rating. From the candlestick pat

Public Holidays There will be no public holidays in Singapore, Hong Kong, or China in the coming week. America celebrates Thanksgiving from 28 Nov 2024 and here is wishing all a blessed Thanksgiving. Economic Calendar (25Nov24) Notable Highlights The most watched news in the coming week is the Core PCE Price Index - the main reference used by the Federal Reserve to reference inflation in the US economy. A lower figure can rally a bullish market that is hoping for more rate cuts. There will be an update on America’s GDP (Q3) estimated at 2.8%. China’s Manufacturing PMI will be announced in the coming week. The last reading was 50.1, which represents growth in the sector. China is one of the global factories and if the manufacture continues to expand, this implies th

Hi everyone. Today’s free newsletter will be about one of the Magnificent 7 stocks: Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ: MSFT) MSFT is at an interesting spot in the short term. It’s been consolidating for several months and hasn’t made a new high since June. That being said, it’s still made a series of higher lows. The Stochastic oscillator also closed the week with a bullish crossover. On the daily, there are 2 unfilled gaps higher up (416.16-432.10 & 441.48-443.10), while there are numerous unfilled gaps below MSFT’s current price, with the nearest gap at 357. MSFT has consistently defended the major support level at 405-406, while it has consistently failed to break above resistance at 432-433. However, the compression that we’ve been seeing over the past few weeks, as well as the recent leap f

Big-Tech’s PerformanceThere was no more macro guidance for the market this week, with two major events influencing market action: 1. BTC made new highs and hit the $100,000 high, and 2. NVIDIA earnings.Risk sentiment was relatively high, but at the same time, U.S. stocks continued to trade in a divergent manner as the U.S. dollar continued to strengthen and concerns about Trump's policies persisted.Through the close of trading on November 21, Big Tech was mixed over the past week with $Apple(AAPL)$ +0.13%, $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ -0.06%, $Microsoft(MSFT)$ -3.28%, $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ -6.19%,

NVIDIA Reported after the bell this morning All eyes were on $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ that reported quarterly results after the close of the US market today. The company reported quarterly earnings of $0.81 per share which beat analyst’s consensus estimates of $0.75 by 8 percent. Quarterly sales were $35.1 billion which also beat analyst’s consensus estimates of $33.125 billion. This represents a 94 percent increase in sales above $18.120 billion for the same period last year. For the next quarter, Nvidia projects $37.5 billion in revenue at the midpoint. That compares with the $37.1 billion FactSet consensus but obviously was not high enough for some lofty expectations by some. Nvidia shares slipped 1.5% in afterhours trading having closed down 0.8% a

The S&P 500 has recently broken the 6,000-point barrier, sparking debate among investors about whether the index can continue its ascent to levels projected by major institutions. Morgan Stanley’s base-case target of 6,350 points by the end of 2025, and their bullish scenario target of 7,400, paints a picture of sustained optimism for U.S. equities. However, with valuations soaring and the risk premium narrowing, many are asking: Is it still safe to invest in U.S. stocks at these elevated levels? Let’s dive into the dynamics shaping the market outlook and discuss how I would approach positioning in this environment. The Case for Optimism Easing Monetary Policy: Recent rate cuts by the Federal Reserve have breathed new life into equity markets. Lower interest rates reduce the discount r

$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ was down nearly 5% after hours, then pulled back to basically pull back and stabilize around -2% afterward.This performance is also very much in line with expectations, and there are a couple of ways to look at the narrative so far:Q3 earnings beat sellers by 2B, well within buyers' expectations, but Q4 guidance didn't come in at 38-39B; sellers expected 37B for Q4 and actually guided for 37B, while buyers were a bit higher.So a 5% drop first is sort of profit taking feedback;Subsequently pulled back may also be some Rush-in funds are still not the overall trend is very good, and Jensen in the conference call also did not while on the Blackwell next year whether the exact completion of the capacity to climb the problem, the mai

$Semiconductors(BK4141)$ nmmmmm

$Snowflake(SNOW)$ surged 20% after hours after it beat market expectations and lifted guidance in Q3 FY2025.Ever since Warren Buffett's $Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.B)$ liquidated its position in SNOW in Q2, it has been on a path back up.Financials vs. market expectationsQ3 revenue was $942 million, up 28.3% year-over-year and significantly ahead of market expectations of $898 million.Non-GAAP EPS was $0.20, again beating market expectations of $0.15.Business Performance by SegmentProduct Revenue: Third quarter product revenue reached $900.0 million, an increase of 29% year-over-year, exceeding market estimates of $856.6 million and reflecting Snowflake's success in product expansion and customer attraction.R

$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ reported its fiscal 2025 third quarter results on November 20, 2024 after the bell.Results for the period continued to grow strongly, and continued the momentum of previous quarters, reaching $2 billion (2B) over what the market had been expecting (Consensus), with data centers accounting for nearly 90% of the $30 billion in revenue, and proving that the demand for AI arithmetic remains strong.But the market is more concerned about the next quarter's guidance.Revenue guidance of $37.5 billion (up or down 2%) was slightly ahead of market expectations of $37.1 billion, falling short of the "huge expectations" of "over $2 billion", while gross margin guidance was flat at 73%, driven byBlackwell volume production drive, and some in

Yes we are in a bull market & if earnings are meet easily achieved 

The S&P 500 has climbed more than 24% year-to-date, with Wall Street maintaining a bullish stance on U.S. stocks. Analysts predict the benchmark could hit approximately 6,500 points by 2025, suggesting a 10% upside from Tuesday's close at 5,917. We should remain cautious of potential risks and uncertainties. While a Trump victory is perceived as a boost for U.S. equities due to his proposed corporate tax cuts, some analysts warn that his policies, such as tariffs and immigration restrictions, could spur inflation and interest rates, posing risks to the stock market.

Not for the newbies. FOMO kills. Only invest the fundamental and leaders stocks!

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 06Jan2025 Observations: The MACD indicator is showing a downtrend. Moving Averages (MA). Both the MA50 line and the MA200 line are on an uptrend. The last candle is below the MA50 line and above the MA200 line. This implies a bearish mid-term and bullish long-term. The 3 Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines are on a downtrend. Chaikin’s Monetary flow (CMF) shows a downtrend. From technical analysis (daily interval), the 20 indicators (technical & moving averages) point to a “Neutral” rating. The breakdown reveals 8 indicators with a “Buy” rating and 12 indicators with a “Sell” rating. Now, let us look at candlestick patterns. There seem to be more bullish candlestick patterns from above. Based on the above technical analysis (1D chart), the S&P500

Summary and Key Catalysts After Wall Street's record-breaking highs on November 11, the excitement quickly faded. European markets were the first to react negatively, adjusting downward due to the looming threat of stricter US tariffs as Donald Trump prepared to take office. US indices soon followed, concerned that the Federal Reserve might slow down future rate cuts, leading to increased market volatility. Fed Chair Powell's Remarks Stall Optimism Markets were already trending downward when Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell addressed the Dallas Regional Chamber, signaling a more measured approach to monetary easing. Powell stated, "The economy is not sending any signals that we need to be in a hurry to lower rates." His comments dampened expectations for aggressive rate cuts, driving

By Jake BehanHead of Capital Markets of Direxion InvestmentEditor’s Note: Happy reading and reach out if questions on anything. Happy Thanksgiving to all! $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ put up a volatile session following its earnings announcement which underwhelmed on its revenue forecast for the current quarter, exceeding analysts’ estimates by a mere $400 million rather than a preferred $1B. Reality seems to be setting in for the company as projections have failed to show ‘blowout’ expectations for two consecutive quarters now. NVDU/NVDD were expectedly busy, $Direxion Daily NVDA Bull 2X Shares(NVDU)$ currently stands as our 4th biggest getter of inflows YTD. Per Barclays, “post earnings there seems to be no

Big-Tech’s PerformanceThere was no more macro guidance for the market this week, with two major events influencing market action: 1. BTC made new highs and hit the $100,000 high, and 2. NVIDIA earnings.Risk sentiment was relatively high, but at the same time, U.S. stocks continued to trade in a divergent manner as the U.S. dollar continued to strengthen and concerns about Trump's policies persisted.Through the close of trading on November 21, Big Tech was mixed over the past week with $Apple(AAPL)$ +0.13%, $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ -0.06%, $Microsoft(MSFT)$ -3.28%, $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ -6.19%,

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) rate cut can often lead to higher stock prices. When the Fed lowers interest rates, borrowing costs decrease, making it cheaper for businesses and consumers to take out loans. This can stimulate economic activity and boost corporate profits, which in turn can drive stock prices higher. Additionally, lower interest rates can make bonds and other fixed-income investments less attractive compared to stocks, leading investors to shift their money into the stock market. This increased demand can push stock prices up. The possibility of the prime minister's position The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decisions can indeed influence the U.S. presidential election, though indirectl

Investors seem to be all in US stocks.According to EPFR data, US stock ETFs and mutual funds attracted nearly $56 billion in the week ending last Wednesday, marking the second-largest weekly inflow since 2008.These funds have experienced continuous inflows for seven consecutive months, the longest streak since 2021.1. Big Banks Raise S&P 500 Target to 6,500 PointsWith $.SPX(.SPX)$ recently surpassing the 6,000 point, major institutions have expressed optimism about the U.S. stock market's outlook for next year:Morgan Stanley: Set a base-case year-end 2025 target for the S&P 500 at 6,350 points, with a bullish scenario target of 7,400 points.Goldman Sachs: Raised its year-end 2025 S&P 500 target from 6,300 to 6,500 point

$.SPX(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ Several prominent analysts foresee a strong finish for the S&P 500 Index (SP: .INX) over the next two years, offering potential gains for those interested in U.S. equities. The S&P 500 Index, the primary gauge of U.S. stock market performance, reflects the top 500 companies by market capitalization, as well as criteria like earnings growth and trading liquidity. Goldman Sachs' chief U.S. equity strategist, David Kostin, recently raised his S&P 500 target following an impressive earnings season, setting a new goal of 6,500 by the end of 2025. This represents a potential 10% increase from th

$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ reported its fiscal 2025 third quarter results on November 20, 2024 after the bell.Results for the period continued to grow strongly, and continued the momentum of previous quarters, reaching $2 billion (2B) over what the market had been expecting (Consensus), with data centers accounting for nearly 90% of the $30 billion in revenue, and proving that the demand for AI arithmetic remains strong.But the market is more concerned about the next quarter's guidance.Revenue guidance of $37.5 billion (up or down 2%) was slightly ahead of market expectations of $37.1 billion, falling short of the "huge expectations" of "over $2 billion", while gross margin guidance was flat at 73%, driven byBlackwell volume production drive, and some in

Following Nvidia's strong rebound yesterday, the Nasdaq surged higher. Check out the stocks that hit new highs this week!1. $MicroStrategy(MSTR)$ soared more than 11% to touch a new all-time high of $449 The company announced buying more bitcoin as bitcoin hit an all time high of near $94000 yesterday.MicroStrategy began accumulating Bitcoin since 2020. Last week, the company invested $4.6 billion to acquire nearly 80,000 more BTC, bringing its total holdings to 331,200 BTC. The performance of MSTR has been closely linked to Bitcoin.Since August 2020, MSTR stock has surged 3,000%, while BTC prices have gained “just” 660%.Despite a 580% increase in MSTR's stock price this year, many investors avoid it due to its poor fundamentals and higher volatil

I. Performance and Valuation of Global Equity Indices Data Source: Bloomberg, compiled by Tiger Brokers II. Key Market Themes i. U.S. inflation remains elevated, the economy is strong, but the stock market is plummeting—what exactly is the market worried about? Last week, the U.S. October inflation data was released. The nominal CPI and core CPI rose by 0.2% and 0.3% month-over-month, respectively, staying consistent with previous increases and meeting market expectations. A closer look reveals that only used car prices saw a notable increase, but given their small weight in the index, the overall impact was minimal. The following day, PPI data also came out as expected, with no surprises. In response, Federal Reserve spokesperson Nick indicated that while inflation remains stubborn,

My Investing Muse (18Nov24) Layoffs & Closure news Marriott starts to Lay Off Corporate Employees which may result in hundreds of employees exiting. The cuts are worldwide and affect “above-property” positions, which refer to people at the corporate level rather than those working in hotels. - Skift FuelCell Energy to lay off 13% of workforce to reduce operating costs - Reuters US supermajor to lay off nearly 400 workers following $64 billion merger - Upstream online Image What is going on in San Francisco? Layoff news seems relentless. Some of the layoffs are international. Can any advise on new job openings in SF or California? - SF Gate Advance Auto Parts, a major supplier of aftermarket replacement parts and accessories, announced plans to close 700 stores by mid-2025, closing 523

$Snowflake(SNOW)$ surged 20% after hours after it beat market expectations and lifted guidance in Q3 FY2025.Ever since Warren Buffett's $Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.B)$ liquidated its position in SNOW in Q2, it has been on a path back up.Financials vs. market expectationsQ3 revenue was $942 million, up 28.3% year-over-year and significantly ahead of market expectations of $898 million.Non-GAAP EPS was $0.20, again beating market expectations of $0.15.Business Performance by SegmentProduct Revenue: Third quarter product revenue reached $900.0 million, an increase of 29% year-over-year, exceeding market estimates of $856.6 million and reflecting Snowflake's success in product expansion and customer attraction.R

Wall Street Banks Boost 2025 U.S. Stock Forecasts to 6,500: Will U.S. Equities Maintain Global Leadership? The S&P 500 has climbed more than 24% year-to-date, with Wall Street maintaining a bullish stance on U.S. stocks. Analysts predict the benchmark could hit approximately 6,500 points by 2025, suggesting a 10% upside from Tuesday's close at 5,917. Morgan Stanley: Earnings to Drive S&P 500 to 6,500 by 2025 Morgan Stanley's Chief Investment Officer Mike Wilson, known for his bearish stance, has revised his target for the $S&P 500(.SPX)$   to 6,500 points by 2025. In a bull scenario, the target could reach as high as 7,400 points. This marks a notable increase from his June forecast of 5,400 poi

By US Tiger Research$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ U.S. stocks, $Gold - main 2412(GCmain)$ , and $Bitcoin(BTC.USD.CC)$ all surged before pulling back, while the U.S. Treasury yield curve continues to normalize.On Wednesday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics released the October CPI data, and as shown below, both headline and core CPI met expectations. The impact of a high base effect has mostly faded, meaning the toughest part of fighting inflation may be here. However, we remain optimistic that the downward trend in inflation will continue in the short term. More sensitive indicators like the New Tenant Rent Index (NTRI, which leads CPI by about two quarters) and A

Learnings and conclusions from this week’s charts: $.SPX(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2412(ESmain)$ $.IXIC(.IXIC)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2412(NQmain)$ $.DJI(.DJI)$ $GLOBAL X DOW 30® COVERED CALL ETF(DJIA)$ $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ Stocks went from de-risking to re-risking this wee

The stock market action was driven by several factors, including anticipation around major retail earnings, political shifts, and upcoming Federal Reserve decisions. Despite some mixed signals, market sentiment remained cautiously optimistic. Key Earnings Reports Investors are closely watching $Wal-Mart(WMT)$ and $Target(TGT)$ as both companies are scheduled to release their earnings today. Data suggests strong expectations, especially for Walmart, which has had a solid year bolstered by grocery sales and international expansion. The performance of these retail giants will serve as a bellwether for consumer demand during the early holiday season. However, the exact results are yet to be announced, and the m

On November 14, $Walt Disney(DIS)$ reported its fiscal 2024 fourth quarter financial results, which exceeded market expectations overall and is gradually regaining growth momentum after a challenging period.Financial performance vs. expectationsSpecific financials are as follows:Total revenue: $22.57 billion, up 6% year-over-year, beating estimates of $22.35 billion;Adjusted EPS: $1.14, beating estimates of $1.10;Streaming business: revenue up 15 percent to $5.78 billion, operating profit of $321 millionMotion Picture: Earnings of $316 million, a turnaround from a year ago.Guidance: Adjusted EPS is expected to grow in the "high single digits" in 2025, beating market expectations of 4%, and earnings growth should reach double digits in 2026 and cont

Here comes WassUp, aka TINA - Tiger Introducing New Alpha, our tips for investing.Bet on memes? Mind your steps. This security strategy gets your back.Stay tuned and supercharge purchasing power with CashBoost!Market recapStocks rose at the end of their best week in 2024 amid solid consumer sentiment data and bets that Donald Trump’s promises of tax cuts will further benefit corporations. However, After the rate cut last Friday, market is reckoning that the likelihood of further reductions has diminished, and the extent of any future cuts may fall short of expectations. Following the election, Trump trade has made a comeback, prompting a risk-on sentiment in the market. However, if the market starts to factor in policy uncertainties and the Fed's potential adjustments to its rate-cutting s

News and my thoughts from last week (18Nov24) If we keep views binary and polarized, society runs the risk of being split by opinions and perspectives. We need to return to days when we can live together despite our differences. Differences do not make one enemy. The Pentagon just failed its seventh audit in a row. The nation’s largest government agency is unable to fully account for its budget of over $824 billion. They don’t even know where billions of taxpayers’ money is going. Efficiency is coming - X user America What DOGE brings is transparency and accountability. The taxpayers should know how the money is spent, what it is spent on, the benefits of such spending, and who the money goes to. Every government and business needs a DOGE. Energy is the next area of concern for the develop

$Trip.com Group Limited(TCOM)$ announced Q3 earnings before the market on Nov 18th and rose more than 3% in subsequent U.S. trading, and $TRIP.COM-S(09961)$ rose more than 5% on Nov 19th Hong Kong stock open.The market is relatively receptive to its results.The overall performance was good, but the actual outperformance was not significant compared to the company's previously given guidance.Since Ctrip was the Chinese stock with relatively strong overall performance over the past year, investors' expectations were also relatively high.Since domestic demand for alcohol travel is not particularly buoyant at the moment, it is also relatively difficult to expect significant growth on the revenue side, relyin