To The Moon

Large-cap stocks surged, S&P 500 $S&P 500(.SPX)$  breaks above 5,500 points 🇺🇸 S&P 500 Index: 0.74% 📈 🇺🇸 Nasdaq Index: 1.26% 📈 🇪🇺 Stoxx 600 Index: 0.41% 📈 🇯🇵 Nikkei 225 Index: 1.90% 📈 🇭🇰 Hang Seng Index: 0.32% 📈 🇨🇳 CSI 300 Index: 0.08% 📈 🇸🇬 Straits Times Index: 0.19% 📈 U.S. stocks closed higher, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq up 0.7% and 1.3% respectively, as investors continued to focus on the evolving global trade landscape, while major tech stocks were boosted. The Hang Seng Index and CSI 300 Index rose by 0.3% and 0.1% respectively, unaffected by mixed earnings reports and signs that the U.S., China, and the EU will not reach a trade agreement soon. The FTSE Composite Index rose 0.2%, despite re

$Pepsi(PEP)$ Over the past year, PepsiCo’s stock has dropped about 24%. Over the past five years, the stock has been largely flat. This is a company I’ve talked about multiple times before. Previously, I believed Pepsi presented a strong buying opportunity around $155 to $160 per share — even in the $170s, I thought the stock looked attractive. However, so far, I have been wrong about that call. And I want to be transparent: while I get some things right, I certainly don’t get everything right. Maybe in one, two, or three years, the stock will recover and prove my original thesis correct, but as of today, it hasn’t worked out — and it’s important to acknowledge that. In this article, I want to share my updated opinion on Pepsi: Do I still believe i

$Procter & Gamble(PG)$ Procter & Gamble (P&G) is one of the largest and most recognized consumer goods companies in the world, operating approximately 130 manufacturing facilities across more than 35 countries. Despite its vast international presence, which might seem like a disadvantage amidst rising trade tensions and tariff increases between the U.S. and its trading partners, P&G's global reach actually provides it with a unique competitive advantage. In this article, we’ll explore why P&G’s global operations, product portfolio, financial health, and valuation metrics suggest that it remains an attractive investment — even in the face of an uncertain economic climate. Global Operations: Flexibility in a Changing Trade Environm

$S&P 500(. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ )$ $NASDAQ 100( $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ )$ $Tesla( $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ )$ $NVIDIA( $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ )$ $SPDR Gold Shares( $SPDR Gold Shares(GLD)$ )$ As of April 26, 2025, the stock market is riding a wave of volatility, propelled by stellar tech earnings and battered by U.S.-China trade headwinds. The S&P 500 has clawed its way back from a low of 5,158 on April 21 to 5,446.46 by April 23, while the NASDAQ 100 continues to flex its muscle, buoyed by tech giants. Yet, futures are flashing caution today, down 0.3%, as trade tensions simmer. Here’s a de

This week, U.S. stocks staged a strong rebound, with the Nasdaq rising over 2% daily for several days. Key positive news includes Trump clarifying he has no plans to fire Fed Chair Jerome Powell, and hopes for easing U.S.-China tariff tensions. Trump claimed that tariffs on China, currently at 145%, will be significantly reduced, as both sides agree the current levels are unsustainable. If Trump 1.0 was a chaotic whirlwind where markets hinged on his words, Trump 2.0 feels even more fitting. Honestly, Trump’s daily statements now feel like market noise to me. This noise creates volatility—drops one day, gains the next—offering buying opportunities. However, this noise and uncertainty aren’t without impact on market fundamentals. $Apple(AAPL)$ 

Buy Bitcoin Before $100K? As Bitcoin claws its way back to $94,000, reclaiming its footing after a volatile first quarter, investors are once again confronting a critical question: Why allocate to digital assets in an increasingly uncertain macro environment? The answer lies in Bitcoin's unique properties as a non-correlated, scarce, and institutionally validated asset, a narrative reinforced by recent market dynamics, regulatory progress, and strategic corporate adoption. Bitcoin's Resilience: Retail and Institutional Demand Converge Bitcoin surged 11% last week, buoyed by a resurgence in retail buying and institutional inflows. Data from CryptoQuant reveals that Binance retail traders purchased over 15,000 BTC ($1.41 billion) between April 19–23, driving exchange whale ratios below 0.3—a

Strategy Earnings Preview: Bitcoin Assets Set to Feature More Prominently in Strategy's Financials $MicroStrategy(MSTR)$   will announce its 2025 Q1 financial results after the U.S. financial markets close on Thursday, May 1, 2025, and will host a live Video Webinar at 5:00 p.m. ET to discuss the results. As the world’s largest Bitcoin financial company, its earnings release is highly anticipated by investors. Institutional estimates suggest that Strategy is poised to report Q1 revenue of $117 million, a YoY increase of 1.23%. The company is projected to post a loss per share of $0.110, with the deficit narrowing by 64.42% YoY. Analysts have set an average target price of $510.38, while the current stock pr

Public Holidays Singapore and Hong Kong are closed on 1st May to celebrate Labour Day. China is closed on 1st & 2nd May as they celebrate Labour Day. America does not have any public holidays in the coming week. Economic Calendar (28Apr25) Notable Highlights Core PCE Price Index (Mar) forecast shows inflation cooling, with YoY at 2.9% (down from 3.4%) and MoM at 0.19% (down from 0.44%), suggesting easing inflationary pressures. This should be the most watched economic data that has implications for the interest rate. CB Consumer Confidence (Apr) forecast at 88.5 (below the last reading of 92.9) indicates weaker consumer sentiment, which could signal reduced spending and economic slowdown. GDP (QoQ, Q1) forecast at 0.4% (well below the previous 2.4%) signals a significant slowdown in U.

Earnings Calendar (28Apr25) Some interesting earnings include Apple, Amazon, Airbnb, Microsoft, ExxonMobil, Chevron, DuPont, PayPal, Coca-Cola, Visa, Meta, UPS, and Baxter. Let us look at UPS The UPS stock price has been falling for over 1 year. Technical Analysis recommends a “Neutral” rating. The analysts’ sentiment recommends a “Buy” rating. The target price of $123.69 implies an upside of over 26%. Revenue Growth Trend: UPS's revenue has grown from $58.363 billion in 2015 to $91.070 billion in 2024. The 10-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for revenue is 4.6%, indicating steady growth. Key Milestones: Revenue growth was strong in 2020 (14.2%) and 2021 (15.0%), driven by e-commerce demand during the pandemic. However, there was a decline of -9.3% in 2023, followed by a modest 0.1%

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 28Apr25 Observations: The MACD indicator has completed the bottom cross-over that suggests an uptrend. Moving Averages (MA). The MA50 line has started a downtrend, while the MA200 line is on an uptrend. The MA200 line may tilt into a downtrend soon. This implies a downtrend in the mid-term and a bullish trend in the long term. A death cross has surfaced when the MA50 line cuts the MA200 line from above. A death cross can be seen as a bearish indicator. Candle. The last candle is below the MA50 and MA200 lines, implying a bearish outlook for the medium and long term. The three Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines are showing a downtrend. However, the lines are starting to converge, and a reversal should be confirmed soon. Chaikin’s Monetary Flow (

News and my thoughts from last week (28Apr25) Image This is stunning: 44% of Americans now believe they will be WORSE OFF financially in a year (mainly due to tariffs). We've never seen anything like this before. Not even during the Great Recession or the stagflation era (31% thought they would be worse off in a year in April 1980). (Source: Data from the University of Michigan Survey of Consumers) - X user Heather Long Elon Musk: "The biggest mistake I made is to put too much of a weighting on somebody's talent and not much on their personality; it actually matters whether somebody has a good heart." Interesting study on whether vaccines cause autism. Looking forward to is findings. Image The cumulative inflation from 2020 is 23.6%. Has income growth caught up? Image Import volumes will s

My Investing Muse (28Apr25) Layoffs, Delinquency & Closure news High-end apparel chain Ted Baker Canada, which operated 31 Ted Baker stores in the U.S. and 25 in Canada, along with eight Brooks Brothers Canada shops, and seven Lucky Brand Canada stores, a year later in April 2024 filed to restructure under Canada's Companies' Creditors Arrangement Act and for Chapter 15 bankruptcy to liquidate and close all of the North American stores. Luxury fashion retailer McMullen on Aug. 21, 2024, filed for Chapter 11 protection in the Northern District of California, reportedly facing a lawsuit filed by online competitor Moda Operandi over alleged copyright infringement. - The Street And sometimes, unfortunately, times just get too tough for some businesses to survive. Such is the case in Oxford

Grab's Q1 Earnings: Is Grab Stock a Buy Right Now? $Grab Holdings(GRAB)$   is set to release its Q1 2025 earnings after the US market closes on April 29th, followed by a conference call on April 30th at 8 AM Singapore time. Market watchers will be scrutinizing their progress on profitability and the overall quality of growth. Key Takeaways Analysts are generally forecasting a revenue of around US$767 million for Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year (YoY) increase of about 17.4%. This reflects a continuing expansion of Grab's business. Earnings per share (EPS) are projected at US$0.006, a turnaround from losses, indicating improved profitability. Previously, Grab's Q4 2024 revenue reached US$764 million, a 1

Positive Tech Earnings Kick-Off Temporarily Sweeps Away Tariff Gloom Upcoming Earnings Preview Several tech giants will release their first-quarter earnings reports next week. Microsoft: Analysts expect $Microsoft(MSFT)$   to report revenue of $68.44 billion, reflecting a 10.63% increase from the previous year, and earnings per share of $3.22, representing a 9.39% growth. Meta: According to Wall Street consensus, $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$   is expected to report Q1 revenue of $41.36 billion, up 13.46% YoY but down from the 20.6% growth in the previous quarter. EPS is projected at $5.219. Tesla and Alphabet released their

$WTI Crude Oil - main 2506(CLmain)$  AI Sentiment Summary Over the past 10 sessions, the price has shown a generally upward trend, rising from 61.50 to 63.17, despite minor fluctuations. The sentiment trend remained positive for the first seven sessions, peaking on 17-Apr-2025 at 64.68, before turning negative in the last three sessions, even as prices rebounded slightly. This suggests recent price gains lack strong bullish conviction, with sentiment weakening as the price struggles to sustain higher levels. Looking ahead, the sentiment trend is likely to remain subdued unless the price surpasses 66.50, which could revive bullish momentum. However, with the current price at 63.17 and sentiment weakening below 63.47, further consolidation