Shyon

🎓 Mechanical Engineer 📦 SCM Certification 📊 Technical Analysis 🌏 Investor 🇺🇸🇸🇬🇲🇾🇭🇰 Tesla

    • ShyonShyon
      ·08-21 18:05
      I didn’t attend the event myself, but I can already tell from this recap that it was a really fruitful and practical session. I especially liked the Property OTP analogy because it makes options much easier to understand and removes some of the fear around derivatives. The biggest takeaway for me is that options are not simply about predicting whether a stock goes up or down. Understanding Theta, IV, intrinsic and extrinsic value, and the different strategies is just as important. The IV Crush example around earnings was particularly useful because it shows how even getting the direction right doesn’t guarantee a profit. Overall, this recap gave me a much clearer picture of how options can be used for different market conditions, from generating income to protecting a portfolio. I didn’t
      116Comment
      Report
    • ShyonShyon
      ·08-21 18:03
      What stood out to me most is that the late-July tech selloff wasn’t simply about weak earnings. Big Tech delivered strong results, but the market was looking ahead at AI CapEx, rates and positioning. Strong earnings don’t always mean higher stock prices. I also found the AI CapEx comparison across Big Tech very useful. I’m increasingly focused on whether massive AI spending can actually translate into revenue, margins and sustainable returns, rather than simply chasing companies with the biggest spending plans. My biggest takeaway is the importance of “situational awareness.” Earnings, macro data, AI CapEx and market positioning can all interact at once. Understanding what the market has already priced in is just as important as understanding the fundamentals.
      36Comment
      Report
    • ShyonShyon
      ·08-21 15:17
      When I first started investing, the hottest stock everyone seemed to be talking about was $GameStop(GME)$ . It was impossible to ignore the incredible volatility, the retail-investor frenzy, and the short squeeze that turned the stock market into a global conversation. GME really opened my eyes to how powerful market sentiment, momentum, and retail participation can be. It was also a reminder that the stock market isn't always about fundamentals in the short term—emotion and crowd psychology can move prices dramatically. Looking back, GameStop was definitely one of the stocks that made my early investing journey memorable. 🚀📈 $GameStop(GME) was my answer! 🐯
      280Comment
      Report
    • ShyonShyon
      ·08-20 18:47
      I think the 25% residual-value guarantee is both the foundation and the biggest risk of the deal. It gives lenders confidence to finance massive GPU deployments, but the real question is whether these chips will still have meaningful value when the loans mature in 3–5 years. I’m encouraged by the fact that older $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ GPUs like the A100 are still being used, while CUDA keeps extending the useful life of existing hardware. But unlike cars or aircraft, there isn’t a mature secondary market for obsolete GPUs, so depreciation risk remains difficult to price. For me, the structure is bullish for AI infrastructure in the near term, but I wouldn’t treat the
      4002
      Report
    • ShyonShyon
      ·08-20 18:43
      Berkshire ending 14 straight quarters of net selling is definitely worth watching. It could be an early sign that the most cautious money in the market is starting to regain confidence. I don’t see it as an all-out bullish signal, but capital is clearly rotating back into AI, semiconductors and infrastructure. CoreWeave, SMCI and Lumentum also show that investors are increasingly looking beyond quarterly revenue and focusing on backlogs, long-term contracts and future cash flows. The big question now isn’t whether money is coming back — it’s which companies can actually turn that capital spending into sustainable profits. Valuations still matter, especially after the strong AI rally we’ve already seen. For me, this is a reason to stay invested but remain selective, rather than chase every
      5591
      Report
    • ShyonShyon
      ·08-20 14:10
      I think the market is moving early rather than simply getting it wrong. The $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ story has shifted from “how strong is AI demand?” to “where is the money funding that demand?” That uncertainty naturally hits leveraged optical names like $COHERENT(COHR)$ and $Lumentum(LITE)$ first. I don't think AI demand is broken yet. I’m watching actual orders, cash flow and funding much more closely, especially for companies like $
      1.41K4
      Report
    • ShyonShyon
      ·08-20 13:09
      I would choose $Alphabet(GOOG)$ . Google Cloud’s strong growth, expanding margins and huge backlog show that its massive AI spending is starting to translate into real revenue. I also like the TPU story because it gives Alphabet another potential AI infrastructure advantage beyond relying entirely on Nvidia. For the downgrades, I can understand the argument on PLTR and CRWD. I still think both are excellent businesses, but when valuations become extremely demanding, even strong execution may not be enough to drive further upside. I’d rather wait for a meaningful pullback than chase them after such strong runs. Overall, my strategy is buy quality growth at a reasonable valuation, not quality at any price. GOOG looks more attractive to me today, wh
      2532
      Report
    • ShyonShyon
      ·08-20 13:03
      If I had to choose between Target and Estée Lauder after earnings, I’d lean toward $Estee Lauder(EL)$ . The 16% jump is significant, but the results suggest its turnaround may finally be gaining traction. Improving China demand and strong fragrance growth from Tom Ford and Le Labo give me more confidence in its recovery. I also like $Target(TGT)$ setup, with stronger traffic, digital sales growth and a raised full-year outlook. However, part of the EPS strength came from tariff refunds, so I’d like to see more evidence that earnings can continue improving without one-off benefits. For me, EL has more upside potential, while
      5262
      Report
    • ShyonShyon
      ·08-20 09:39
      I’m staying cautious on long-duration bonds for now. A 30-year yield above 5.3% is attractive, but oil prices, inflation concerns, weaker foreign demand and heavy Treasury supply could keep long-term yields elevated. I’d rather wait for more clarity from the Fed minutes and the Iran situation before locking in rates. For my portfolio, higher yields also mean pressure on high-duration growth and AI stocks because future earnings are discounted at a higher rate. However, I don’t see this as a reason to abandon AI or semiconductors. I’d continue DCA selectively and keep some cash ready for further pullbacks. For now, I prefer short-duration bonds or cash, while watching for signs that yields have peaked. If the 30-year moves significantly higher but inflation starts cooling, I’d be more comf
      1892
      Report
    • ShyonShyon
      ·08-20 01:10
      $Direxion Daily Semiconductors Bull 3x Shares(SOXL)$ I'm still averaging up my position in $SOXL$ despite the recent pullback and correction because I see it as a reset within the broader semiconductor uptrend, rather than a reason to abandon my thesis. The recent weakness has brought down some of the overheated sentiment around AI and semiconductors, but the underlying demand story remains strong. AI infrastructure, data centers, high-performance computing and memory continue to require enormous amounts of semiconductor capacity, and I believe the long-term cycle still has plenty of room to run. The correction is actually one of the reasons I'm more comfortable adding gradually. After the strong rally earlier, valuations and expectations had
      3.80K4
      Report
       
       
       
       

      Most Discussed