Shyon

🎓 Mechanical Engineer 📦 SCM Certification 📊 Technical Analysis 🌏 Investor 🇺🇸🇸🇬🇲🇾🇭🇰 Tesla

    • ShyonShyon
      ·10-31 23:51
      $ServiceNow(NOW)$ This has been a painful week for my ServiceNow position. After steadily averaging up over the past few months, I watched a massive 34% pullback in a single week wipe out my paper gains and turn a profitable position into a loss. It is certainly disappointing, but I do not believe every sharp price decline automatically means the original investment thesis is broken. My decision to continue with DCA is based on my longer-term view of ServiceNow rather than the short-term movement of its share price. ServiceNow is more than just a traditional software company. Its enterprise workflow platform helps businesses automate processes across IT, customer service, employee operations and other departments. As companies increasingly ado
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    • ShyonShyon
      ·10-31 09:06
      $SS SPDR STI ETF(ES3.SI)$ I decided to sell part of my SPDR Straits Times Index ETF (ES3) holdings. This does not mean I have lost confidence in Singapore's long-term market outlook. Rather, I believe it is important to manage risk when market conditions become increasingly unpredictable. After a strong rally earlier this year, the STI has experienced a meaningful pullback, while global markets are facing pressure from technology sell-offs, inflation concerns, rising bond yields and geopolitical uncertainty. Another reason is that even though ES3 provides exposure to 30 established Singapore-listed companies, its portfolio is relatively concentrated in the banking sector. DBS, OCBC and UOB together account for close to 59% of its holdings.
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    • ShyonShyon
      ·10-31 09:04
      $SS SPDR STI ETF(ES3.SI)$ I believe a good investment portfolio should have a balance between growth opportunities and stability. While I remain interested in US technology and semiconductor stocks for their long-term growth potential, I also want exposure to Singapore's established businesses. This is why I invest in the SPDR Straits Times Index ETF (ES3). Rather than chasing high returns all the time, I see ES3 as a way to build a more balanced portfolio and participate in Singapore's economic growth. One thing I like about ES3 is its exposure to the Straits Times Index (STI), which tracks 30 of the largest and most established companies listed in Singapore. Its composition includes major banks such as DBS, OCBC and UOB, alongside compani
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    • ShyonShyon
      ·10-30 18:27
      I see the recent tech selloff as an opportunity to start screening quality companies, but I do not think we can call it a confirmed bottom yet. I remain positive on the long-term AI story, especially companies with strong competitive advantages and sustainable earnings. My focus is on individual stocks rather than buying the entire $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ basket blindly. I want to see whether revenue growth can translate into stronger free cash flow, while keeping an eye on valuation, capital expenditure and debt. A lower share price does not automatically mean a stock is cheap. I prefer to accumulate gradually on meaningful pullbacks rather than rush in with a lump sum. I am watching $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ ,
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    • ShyonShyon
      ·10-29
      I am bullish on the memory-chip sector because AI infrastructure requires not only GPUs and HBM, but also high-capacity storage and enterprise SSDs. SK hynix’s $SK hynix(SKHY)$ strong results reinforce my confidence that demand remains robust. For $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ , I think rising NAND prices and stronger enterprise storage demand could support revenue growth and margin expansion. However, with expectations already high, I believe forward guidance will matter more than simply beating earnings estimates. My prediction is B: a gain of 5%–10% after earnings. I remain optimistic about the long-term memory cycle, but I will avoid chasing the rally and prefer to accumulate gradually during pullbacks. Fo
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    • ShyonShyon
      ·10-29
      For me, free cash flow and forward guidance matter more than simply beating earnings expectations. Strong revenue growth is encouraging, but I want to see companies turn that growth into real cash while keeping spending under control. Microsoft’s $Microsoft(MSFT)$ results give me more confidence in the AI investment cycle, especially with strong Azure growth and cash generation. However, $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ Alphabet’s cash burn reminds me that AI demand alone is not enough to justify any valuation. I will remain selective and focus on companies with sustainable growth and solid financial strength. With interest rates still at 3.75%–4.00%, I expect market volatility to continue. I prefer to accumulate q
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    • ShyonShyon
      ·10-28
      I find APAC financials attractive because they offer potential capital growth and dividend income. Beyond Singapore banks, Japan’s rising interest rates and Korea’s shareholder-return reforms create interesting opportunities across the region. The Lion-OCBC Securities APAC Financials Dividend Plus ETF $Principal Active High Yield ETF(YLD)$ $Lion-OSPL APAC Fin US$(YLU.SI)$ caught my attention, offering exposure to 30 financial institutions and quarterly distributions. However, I would assess its fees, valuations and dividend susta
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    • ShyonShyon
      ·10-28
      I would lean toward QQQ if the Fed holds rates steady and signals a less hawkish outlook. I remain bullish on the long-term AI and technology growth story, but I know elevated Treasury yields and high valuations could still trigger volatility. Among these three ETFs, TLT is also worth watching because falling yields could support bond prices, although persistent inflation could push yields higher instead. I would not buy solely based on the Fed decision; I would also watch Treasury yields and the market reaction. Personally, I prefer growth opportunities but believe in staying disciplined. I would consider adding to QQQ gradually during pullbacks while keeping some cash available. For me, the goal is not to predict every Fed move, but to find good entry points and stay focused on long-ter
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    • ShyonShyon
      ·10-28
      I expect the Fed to hold rates at 3.75%–4.00% tonight. Inflation remains stubborn, but the cooling labor market gives the Fed reasons to wait. I will pay close attention to its guidance on December. If another rate hike is signaled, I would not rush to buy the dip. Higher Treasury yields could pressure high-valuation tech stocks like $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ and $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ . I prefer waiting for price stabilization rather than catching a falling knife. I remain bullish on long-term AI and semiconductor growth, but discipline comes firs
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    • ShyonShyon
      ·10-28
      I think @nerdbull1669 makes the strongest point. AI still has huge long-term potential, but investors are becoming more selective about capex, free cash flow and actual returns. Growth alone is no longer enough to justify any valuation. For me, the Buffett Trade is not about abandoning technology for defensive stocks. It is about balancing growth opportunities with quality businesses that have strong cash flow, solid balance sheets and sustainable competitive advantages. I still believe in AI, but capital discipline matters more than chasing hype. I would change my view if tech companies demonstrate that their massive AI investments can generate sustainable profits and cash flow. Until then, I prefer to stay diversified, remain pati
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