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2025-01-04
Expect the Unexpected in 2025
Predictions about 2025 have a striking similarity, and life never plays out that clearly.Your personal experiences with money make up maybe 0.00000001% of what’s happened in the world but maybe 80% of how you think the world works.Morgan Housel, The Psychology of MoneyThis quote should be plastered in the office of every investor because it’s true. It’s also a reality that’s impossible to escape.But we all have biases and perceptions that shape the way we view the world and what we expect in the future.Keep that in mind as you see predictions for 2025 and the market’s early performance, which is continuing at an insane pace in just two days of trading. And I can’t help but think that those of us in the investing community are seeing 0.00000001% of the world and missing something. I just do
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2025-01-04
TSLA, LYFT, and HIMS Show Strong Bullish Trends
1. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Tesla delivered 1,789,226 vehicles in 2024, down from 1,808,581 in 2023.Meanwhile, $General Motors(GM)$ and $Ford(F)$ are increasing deliveries.Tesla's margins and FCF are likely to evaporate in 2025 as the pandemic profits fade into the rear view.Probably bullish because nothing matters.Auto Delivery Growth in 2024 $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ : Negative 1% $Rivian Automotive, Inc.(RIVN)$ : Up 3% $General Motors(GM)$ : Up 4%GM EVs: Up 50%The facts seem to tell a different story than stock prices.2.
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2025-01-04
Didn't win the $8.2m TOTO but this is still something! 😍😍😍 thank you Jensen Huang. Time for you to shine $NVIDIA(NVDA)$
TOPShernice軒嬣 2000: Congrats on your big win! You've got some awesome trading skills!
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2025-01-04
Stocks in Focus Today: Bullish Surge in Small-Cap Nuclear Power Stocks
In a significant push for clean energy, shares of small-cap nuclear power companies like Oklo Inc. (OKLO.US), NuScale Power (SMR.US), and NANO Nuclear Energy (NNE.US) experienced notable gains on Friday. This surge is largely attributed to recent policy changes by the U.S. Treasury Department and Internal Revenue Service regarding hydrogen production tax credits, signalling a potentially lucrative future for nuclear energy investments in 2025. Comparison chart of the three stocks Key Movers and Their Gains Among the top performers: Oklo Inc ( $Oklo Inc.(OKLO)$ ): Shares skyrocketed 25%, closing at $27.25. NuScale Power ( $NuScale Power(SMR)$ ): Gained 17%, ending at $20.85. Nano Nuclear Energy (
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2025-01-04
2024 top 100 ticker list ranked by their % gains
Here’s the official 2024 top 100 ticker list ranked by their % gains. Feel free to copy and paste the entire list into your watchlist dashboard for analysis $Sezzle Inc(SEZL)$ $AppLovin Corporation(APP)$ $Reddit(RDDT)$ $MicroStrategy(MSTR)$ $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ $Carvana Co.(CVNA)$ $LandBridge Co. LLC(LB)$ $Astera Labs, Inc.(ALAB)$ $Grupo Financiero Galicia SA(GGAL)$
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2025-01-04
Daily Charts - Stocks were looking stretched vs bonds in 2024
1.Stocks were looking stretched vs bonds in 2024, and ultimately went on to become even more stretched!Retrospective in risk and wrongs: $.SPX(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Image2.Last year this chart was telling us credit spreads might go up... instead credit spreads fell to 17-year lows!Sometimes it's just not as simple as you think: Image3.Small Small: small caps are much smaller than usual as a percentage of all US equities. This should also be seen as a contrarian signal, and a clue to pay attention to.Image
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2025-01-04
Top 10 #SaaS #Cloud multiples between DEC30 and JAN3
This week in enterprise software: Top 10 #SaaS #Cloud multiples as of today's market close $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ $Cloudflare, Inc.(NET)$ $CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.(CRWD)$ $Samsara, Inc.(IOT)$ $ServiceNow(NOW)$ $Datadog(DDOG)$ $Shopify(SHOP)$ $Snowflake(SNOW)$ $HubSpot(HUBS)$ $Atlassian Corporation PLC(TEAM)$ ImageThis week on Clouded Judgement: The Rise of
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2025-01-04
S&P 500 Constituents: Growth Rate and Linearity Differences
Here's how the constituents of the $.SPX(.SPX)$ differ based on their growth rate and the linearity of that growth.ImageImagine being sat around a boardroom table listening to the world's top CEOs talking about the opportunities and threats facing their companies.My latest report covers the recent insights and the economic outlook from a range of quality growth companies...ImageIn 1960, Theodore Levitt warned that the decline of America’s railroad industry was because railroads assumed they were in the "railroad business rather than in the transportation business.” Companies miss out on long-term growth when they fail to see the full spectrum of its customer needs.
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2025-01-04
$SPX has confirmed a bullish WXY model
$.SPX(.SPX)$ has confirmed a bullish WXY model to terminate Wave B thus beginning the grand finale - Wave C of [W5] of Wave 5.Now the 5829 low should not be crossed to now blast to new highs targeting 6200-6320 in 1-2 months.But make no mistake, once we hit those targets, the party will come to an end, paving the way for the much-anticipated, multi-year bear market. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2503(ESmain)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2503(NQmain)$ ImageSPX confirm
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2025-01-04
NVDA is up >800% since the release of ChatGPT
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ is up >800% since the release of ChatGPT.Yet, it’s STILL trading at a lower Fwd P/E today than it was when ChatGPT was released.The NVDA 8x rally has been driven entirely by earnings growth rather than multiple expansion.ImageThis is NOT what we saw during the Dot Com Bubble…Image
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2025-01-04
Would ATM happen on coming monday？Personally I like to trade $MicroStrategy(MSTR)$ daily instead of doing long as I assume that it is a high volatility stock. The company has been actively issuing shares through ATM offerings to fund Bitcoin purchases, which has led to share dilution but also capital accumulation for Bitcoin investments. This strategy has been a point of contention among investors, with some viewing it as a bold move and others as risky. Will do it again on monday depends on the market sentiment. Happy new year Tigers.[Claw]
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2025-01-04
⚛️Quantum Momentum Fades🌌: Short It or Sit Tight?
Quantum computing stocks, once the hottest picks of 2024, have hit a roadblock as the year ends. Following exponential surges earlier in the year, the sector is now witnessing a pullback. With stocks like Rigetti Computing ( $Rigetti Computing(RGTI)$ ) and IonQ ( $IONQ Inc.(IONQ)$ ) losing some steam on Dec. 31, the market is questioning whether the momentum is merely pausing or signaling deeper corrections. Should you short the quantum computing sector or stay the course for long-term gains? 1. Quantum Computing in 2024: A Wild Ride Unprecedented Growth RGTI: Up over 1,600% YTD at its peak, Rigetti benefited from speculative fervor around quantum tech's potential. IONQ: Gained 900% YTD, driven by investo
TOPGreat job on your latest stock market success! Your commitment to research and analysis is evident in your results.Trade with Tiger Cash Boost Account and use contra trading toenhance your strategies."Welcome to open a CBAtoday and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000with upcoming 0-commission, unlimited trading on SG, HKand US stocks. as well as ETFs. How to open a CBA. How to link your CDP account. Other FAQs on CBA. Cash Boost Account Website.
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2025-01-04
$RIOT 20250221 11.0 CALL$ Closes the speculative position. Don't be greedy.
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2025-01-04
$Rigetti Computing(RGTI)$ Always good to take profits. Not sure what the S&P is doing but its kinda uncertain so i took profits first. Lotto size of 900USD initial investment paid off.
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2025-01-04
Hedging cautiously for fear of repeating the market pattern during inauguration
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Discovered something interesting - Trump's second inauguration as president is on January 16th, but the market is still pricing in risks according to the pattern from his first inauguration in January 2016.Top put positions for SPY are concentrated in the 570-580 range for the three weeks after January. The trend suggests a downward test of 570-580 between January 10-17, with a rebound in the last week of January. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ NVIDIA's risk pricing aligns with the broader market, but due to large institutional sell call positions, it's prone to short squeezes, wavering between dropping below 130 or not.For options expiring next week on the 10th, looking at new positions
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2025-01-03
$META 20250110 550.0 PUT$ Typical of trading Friday, many option call or put contract expiring, especially those easily expiring worthless, if margin allows, will usually let them expire worthless to keep the full premiums collected while opening new contracts if the market favors one's direction. In this case selling a weekly cash secured put on Meta that's about 8.5% lower strike to its current share price. If META don't drop that much by end of next week, this contract will be like previous, expire worthless. G $META 20250110 550.0 PUT$
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2025-01-03
It's been a long time since I touched options. I've learned to stop being too affected by the opinion of others and just trust my gut feeling. Where there are gains, there are losses as well. Don't trade on impulse when you are on a losing streak as the chances are that you will lose more.
TOP92% a day? Kutos! Bought calls?
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2025-01-03
$AMD 20250110 130.0 CALL$ With a covered call option expiring later today, likely worthless, already open another short contract due by next Friday. With the same strike this contact collected a smaller premium as the share price is now further from the underlying as compared to the one expiring. in any case covered call is good way of generating side income when holding on to underlying shares. However, when the share rise suddenly it will limited your profit when the strike of the covered call is breached. $AMD 20250110 130.0 CALL$
TOPThis looks like a calendar spread??