Weekly | Insignia Share Price Jumps on Bigger Takeover Offer
As of the close on Friday, $S&P/ASX 200(XJO.AU)$ closed at 8,294.10 on Friday, up 0.53% in the past 5 days.1. $Insignia Financial Ltd(IFL.AU)$ +16.38%Insignia Financial, the ASX-listed wealth giant put in play by Mike Murphy’s Bain Capital last month, is assessing a $2.9 billion cash offer from another private equity firm, instigating a bidding war for the owner of MLC.Insignia told shareholders on Monday that New York-headquartered CC Capital Partners had lobbed a competing bid, trumping Bain Capital’s December 13 offer and sending the stock rallying 12 per cent to $3.97 a share.2. $SIMS LTD(SGM.AU)$ +10.38%Foun
10 Jan Market Fell After Labor Market Show Strength
On Friday (10 Jan), after we saw the release of the nonfarm payrolls report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the stocks fell sharply, with S&P 500 closed 1.54% lower, while DJIA and NASDAQ each fell 1.63%. This is the second straight week that we saw the major indexes posted losses. The nonfarm payrolls report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that U.S. employers added 256,000 jobs last month, well above the 155,000 that economists had estimated. The unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, below the 4.2% rate that was expected. The jobs report provided the latest evidence of the continued strength of the U.S. labor market and the broader economy. While the economic resilience is good news, it also sparks worries that the Fed would not be in a position to cut rates again as inflati
🌟🌟🌟ST Engineering (STE) $ST Engineering(S63.SI)$ is Singapore's global technology, defence and engineering company that uses innovation and technology to create solutions for customers in over 100 countries. STE was formed in 1997 when 4 companies merged. They were ST Aerospace, ST Electronics, ST Kinetics and ST Marine. Temasek Holdings owns 51% of STE and is the largest shareholder. Shares of STE hit a 52 week high of SGD 4.81 in November 2024 but in 2025 there is a retracement to SGD 4.64. Is STE a Buy? Let's check out STE latest earnings report. For 9M 2024, revenue climbed 14% year on year to SGD 8.3 billion with all 3 business segments recording year on year revenue gr
Market In Tail Of Between Two Narratives Where Good News Is Now Bad News.
The market was in a downturn despite we get a beautiful job report on Friday (10 Jan), and we saw non-farm payrolls at 256,000 added to the public sector in relation to the 260,000 expected/ This has make investors concerned and wondered why. we need to understand that the report is showing seasonal jobs for seasonal hiring for the most important period of the year (e.g. Christmas) But do we want to prefer the data to the flip side to the negative or losing jobs in the busiest period of the year which would show us that no one is shopping and institutions or corporations are worried about dwindling profits and dwindling sales or the companies are not hiring. But the data goes to show Q4 was a very strong seasonal period and that hiring was required to keep up with the demand. So it is hard
1. $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ - The weekly bearish signal from Thanksgiving played out as expected. The daily and weekly shooting stars signaled the reversal, the gap has been closed, and the security is now testing the edge of the volume shelf with a potential reversal candle. $212 on the horizon if the shelf is lost.Image2. $.DJI(.DJI)$ - The Outlook for the Godfather of the Indexes was bearish last week🎯, and the latest candle suggests continuation. Will the 40-week MA be reached?Image3. $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ - All eyes on the 50DMA, the candle shows indecision but the oscillator suggests bearish continuation. If the purple line is breached $243 i
1. $Apple(AAPL)$ - Weak setup but a short term bounce is likely considering the 100DMA and the volume shelf.The complete analysis in the weekly timeframe was included in the latest Weekly Compass, with specific targets.Image2. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ - Consolidation Process on the EdgeWhile dips were quickly bought this week and moving averages are providing support, a break below the current purple line could trigger a rapid move to $365, the 50DMA. The latest candle shows indecision, leaning slightly bullish, but confirmation is needed.Image
1.2025 Presents a "Macro Risk Sandwich"Rather than guessing which one it will be, we can just keep tabs on industrial metals as they will be the first to know...Breakout = resurgence. Breakdown = recession.The battle lines are drawn:ImageThis chart also puts the “macro-risk-sandwich” of recession vs resurgence on display; i.e. the strength and tight capacity in labor markets [blue line] vs excess capacity and weakness in industry [black line]ImageNew higher plateau for rates?For a market hooked on rate cuts, 2025 could present a wake-up call; we may need to be prepared for pauses and “unpivots” instead of just consensus cuts...Image
Stocks for the Long-Run? This chart provides some useful perspective and a reminder that although those were extremely different times to now in just about every way, markets don’t always just go up all the time every time. There are plenty of examples across countries and history of relatively trend-less markets and lost decades. It’s not a reason to be pessimistic, but a reason to be pragmatic and ready in case the market doesn’t do what every finfluencer talking-head tells you 🤷♂️ $.SPX(.SPX)$$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$$NASDAQ 100(NDX)$$.DJI(.DJI)$ <
Why I don’t invest in the S&P 500 $.SPX(.SPX)$ :- only 25% of the index has a FCF/share growth greater than 15%- only 26% of the index has a return on capital greater than 12%- only 12% of the index has both of the above- I don’t want to own banks, airlines, energy companies, mining companies, utilities, heavy industrials and biotechs- I don’t want to own anything discretionary- I don’t want to own alcohol, tobacco or gambling stocks- I don’t want to own anything highly leveraged or highly cyclicalI see companies with high growth rates ahead of them as cheap, and low growth rates ahead of them as expensive.What would you add?
Impact of Los Angeles Blazes on Insurance and Electric Utility Stocks
The devastating Los Angeles blazes may have had a significant impact on both insurance and electric utility stocks on Friday, reflecting investor concerns about the long-term ramifications of these wildfires. For example, PG&E Corp (PCG) closed at $17.17 on Friday, marking a 10.81% decline from the previous trading day. This dramatic drop raised eyebrows, especially given its 52-week range of $15.94 to $21.72. PG&E Corp (PCG) Similarly, Allstate (ALL), one of the leading U.S. insurance companies, saw its stock price fall by 5.64%, closing at $180.99 on Friday. Allstate (ALL) Several factors could explain these declines, particularly concerning the fallout from the fires: Concerns Over Insurance Payouts and Profitability: For insurance companies like Allstate, there is considerable
Strong Jobs Report! Will Treasury Yield Drag Market Lower?
The U.S. labor market continues to demonstrate impressive resilience, as December's seasonally adjusted non-farm payroll employment rose by 256,000, exceeding expectations. This strong labor market performance reflects the underlying strength of the economy but also introduces complexities for financial markets. The intersection of robust employment data and rising Treasury yields has created a challenging yet navigable environment for investors, where opportunities and risks coexist. On Friday, the U.S. stock market opened lower, as the 10-year Treasury yield climbed to approximately 4.8%. This development, though concerning for some, presents potential opportunities for those willing to look beyond the short-term volatility. Below, we explore the dynamics of this scenario, its implicatio
React With Long-Term Strategy For S&P 500 Possible Largest Correction.
We have seen sentiment shifted to bullish and analysts are predicting higher S&P 500 targets. The S&P 500 Index recently hit a new high and many investors are wondering how long the stock market can stay close to its highs or make new highs. The market have been seeing extreme long positions, the first few days of 2025 trading have exhibit buyer exhaustion. So these signals suggest caution. Historically, the S&P 500 has broken new highs on only 8% of all trading days since 1990. However, market drawdowns (declines from prior peaks) are a normal part of investing and often present buying opportunities for long-term investors. Economic growth is modest at 2.1%, with earnings growth driven by lower taxes and margins, but high valuations limit upside potential. Buyer Exhaustion Sen
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ 🕵️ $SPY: The Mother of All Gaps in Focus 👀🕵️ Kia ora traders, $SPY is now trading at $581.18, down 1.41%, testing critical levels as it dances around the gap zone. The $578.40 support line is holding for now, while a move to $576.40 would complete the long-awaited gap fill, a key inflection point for bulls and bears alike. 🔑 Key Levels to Watch 1. The Gap Zone: • $578.40: Acting as the first line of defence for bulls, this level defines the boundary of the gap zone. • $576.40: The gap fill target, where a decisive breach could spark a bearish cascade. 2. Fibonacci Retracements: • $590.66 (50%): A critical resistance level for any meaningful bounce. • $587.73 (61.8%): The golden retracement level, marking
$Lemonade, Inc.(LMND)$ $Mercury General(MCY)$ $Kemper(KMPR)$ Understand LMND's Exposure to LA's wildfires This article is written by Shernice, if you like my article please hit the like button or do a repost. The time required to put out major wildfires in California has historically varied from 17 days up to over 6 months. Given that the current wildfire only began 4 days ago on January 7, 2025, it's premature to consider this as a "buying the dip" opportunity. Please see the incident data at the end of page. Buying insurance company shares just because of a wildfire-driven price dip? Careful—you’re playing wit
Are EV🔋 Stocks Overheated? Rivian and Lucid Lead the Surge
Key Highlights Rivian and Lucid Rally: Rivian ( $Rivian Automotive, Inc.(RIVN)$ ) surged by 20% this week after announcing a partnership with Amazon for EV deliveries.Lucid Group (LCID) jumped 15% following news of new government subsidies for EV adoption. Tesla’s Market Impact: Tesla ( $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ ) remains the sector leader but saw a 5% decline this week amid heightened competition and pricing pressure. Market Valuation Worries: EV stocks are trading at P/S ratios far above historical averages, leading some analysts to warn of overheating. EV Market Outlook: Opportunities and Risks Bullish Case for EV Stocks Global EV Adoption Growth: The global EV market is expected to reach $1.3 trillion
Position Ourselves With Defensive ETFs During Market Correction
When the stock market is in a correction, some investors consider ETFs that track the S&P 500 or the total stock market. Others may look for biotech or tech stocks. Market corrections, characterized by a significant decline in stock prices, can be unsettling for even the most seasoned investors. However, Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) offer a versatile toolkit to help navigate these turbulent periods. There are a few things we need to consider when we find which ETFs might work better for us. Here are some steps we might want to assess. Reassess Our RIsk Tolerance Understand Our Time Horizon, this mean that the longer our investment horizon, the less impact short-term market fluctuations should have Evaluate Our RIsk Profile, a market correction may amplify losses for investors wit