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2025-01-13
IWM & - Technical bounce is likely
1. $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ - The weekly bearish signal from Thanksgiving played out as expected. The daily and weekly shooting stars signaled the reversal, the gap has been closed, and the security is now testing the edge of the volume shelf with a potential reversal candle. $212 on the horizon if the shelf is lost.Image2. $.DJI(.DJI)$ - The Outlook for the Godfather of the Indexes was bearish last week🎯, and the latest candle suggests continuation. Will the 40-week MA be reached?Image3. $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ - All eyes on the 50DMA, the candle shows indecision but the oscillator suggests bearish continuation. If the purple line is breached $243 i
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2025-01-13
AAPL & TSLA - Weak setup but a short term bounce
1. $Apple(AAPL)$ - Weak setup but a short term bounce is likely considering the 100DMA and the volume shelf.The complete analysis in the weekly timeframe was included in the latest Weekly Compass, with specific targets.Image2. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ - Consolidation Process on the EdgeWhile dips were quickly bought this week and moving averages are providing support, a break below the current purple line could trigger a rapid move to $365, the 50DMA. The latest candle shows indecision, leaning slightly bullish, but confirmation is needed.Image
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2025-01-13
2025 Presents a "Macro Risk Sandwich"
1.2025 Presents a "Macro Risk Sandwich"Rather than guessing which one it will be, we can just keep tabs on industrial metals as they will be the first to know...Breakout = resurgence. Breakdown = recession.The battle lines are drawn:ImageThis chart also puts the “macro-risk-sandwich” of recession vs resurgence on display; i.e. the strength and tight capacity in labor markets [blue line] vs excess capacity and weakness in industry [black line]ImageNew higher plateau for rates?For a market hooked on rate cuts, 2025 could present a wake-up call; we may need to be prepared for pauses and “unpivots” instead of just consensus cuts...Image
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2025-01-13
Stocks for the Long-Run?
Stocks for the Long-Run? This chart provides some useful perspective and a reminder that although those were extremely different times to now in just about every way, markets don’t always just go up all the time every time. There are plenty of examples across countries and history of relatively trend-less markets and lost decades. It’s not a reason to be pessimistic, but a reason to be pragmatic and ready in case the market doesn’t do what every finfluencer talking-head tells you 🤷♂️ $.SPX(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $.DJI(.DJI)$ <
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2025-01-13
Ex-dividend this week - ABBV & ABT
Ex-dividend this weekAbbvie $AbbVie(ABBV)$ Abbott Laboratories $Abbott Laboratories(ABT)$ ImageAbbvie $AbbVie(ABBV)$ Abbott Laboratories $Abbott Laboratories(ABT)$ will both pay dividend on JAN15, their current yield are 3.7% and 2.1%, respectively.
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2025-01-13
Why I don’t invest in the S&P 500？
Why I don’t invest in the S&P 500 $.SPX(.SPX)$ :- only 25% of the index has a FCF/share growth greater than 15%- only 26% of the index has a return on capital greater than 12%- only 12% of the index has both of the above- I don’t want to own banks, airlines, energy companies, mining companies, utilities, heavy industrials and biotechs- I don’t want to own anything discretionary- I don’t want to own alcohol, tobacco or gambling stocks- I don’t want to own anything highly leveraged or highly cyclicalI see companies with high growth rates ahead of them as cheap, and low growth rates ahead of them as expensive.What would you add?
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2025-01-12
Impact of Los Angeles Blazes on Insurance and Electric Utility Stocks
The devastating Los Angeles blazes may have had a significant impact on both insurance and electric utility stocks on Friday, reflecting investor concerns about the long-term ramifications of these wildfires. For example, PG&E Corp (PCG) closed at $17.17 on Friday, marking a 10.81% decline from the previous trading day. This dramatic drop raised eyebrows, especially given its 52-week range of $15.94 to $21.72. PG&E Corp (PCG) Similarly, Allstate (ALL), one of the leading U.S. insurance companies, saw its stock price fall by 5.64%, closing at $180.99 on Friday. Allstate (ALL) Several factors could explain these declines, particularly concerning the fallout from the fires: Concerns Over Insurance Payouts and Profitability: For insurance companies like Allstate, there is considerable
TOPTiger_CashBoostAccount: Great job on your latest stock market success! Your commitment to research and analysis is evident in your results.Trade with Tiger Cash Boost Account and use contra trading toenhance your strategies."Welcome to open a CBAtoday and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000with upcoming 0-commission, unlimited trading on SG, HKand US stocks. as well as ETFs. How to open a CBA. How to link your CDP account. Other FAQs on CBA. Cash Boost Account Website.
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4.59K
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2025-01-12
Strong Jobs Report! Will Treasury Yield Drag Market Lower?
The U.S. labor market continues to demonstrate impressive resilience, as December's seasonally adjusted non-farm payroll employment rose by 256,000, exceeding expectations. This strong labor market performance reflects the underlying strength of the economy but also introduces complexities for financial markets. The intersection of robust employment data and rising Treasury yields has created a challenging yet navigable environment for investors, where opportunities and risks coexist. On Friday, the U.S. stock market opened lower, as the 10-year Treasury yield climbed to approximately 4.8%. This development, though concerning for some, presents potential opportunities for those willing to look beyond the short-term volatility. Below, we explore the dynamics of this scenario, its implicatio
TOPGreat job on your latest stock market success! Your commitment to research and analysis is evident in your results.Trade with Tiger Cash Boost Account and use contra trading toenhance your strategies."Welcome to open a CBAtoday and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000with upcoming 0-commission, unlimited trading on SG, HKand US stocks. as well as ETFs. How to open a CBA. How to link your CDP account. Other FAQs on CBA. Cash Boost Account Website.
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2025-01-10
React With Long-Term Strategy For S&P 500 Possible Largest Correction.
We have seen sentiment shifted to bullish and analysts are predicting higher S&P 500 targets. The S&P 500 Index recently hit a new high and many investors are wondering how long the stock market can stay close to its highs or make new highs. The market have been seeing extreme long positions, the first few days of 2025 trading have exhibit buyer exhaustion. So these signals suggest caution. Historically, the S&P 500 has broken new highs on only 8% of all trading days since 1990. However, market drawdowns (declines from prior peaks) are a normal part of investing and often present buying opportunities for long-term investors. Economic growth is modest at 2.1%, with earnings growth driven by lower taxes and margins, but high valuations limit upside potential. Buyer Exhaustion Sen
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2025-01-11
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ 🕵️ $SPY: The Mother of All Gaps in Focus 👀🕵️ Kia ora traders, $SPY is now trading at $581.18, down 1.41%, testing critical levels as it dances around the gap zone. The $578.40 support line is holding for now, while a move to $576.40 would complete the long-awaited gap fill, a key inflection point for bulls and bears alike. 🔑 Key Levels to Watch 1. The Gap Zone: • $578.40: Acting as the first line of defence for bulls, this level defines the boundary of the gap zone. • $576.40: The gap fill target, where a decisive breach could spark a bearish cascade. 2. Fibonacci Retracements: • $590.66 (50%): A critical resistance level for any meaningful bounce. • $587.73 (61.8%): The golden retracement level, marking
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2025-01-11
$Lemonade, Inc.(LMND)$ $Mercury General(MCY)$ $Kemper(KMPR)$ Understand LMND's Exposure to LA's wildfires This article is written by Shernice, if you like my article please hit the like button or do a repost. The time required to put out major wildfires in California has historically varied from 17 days up to over 6 months. Given that the current wildfire only began 4 days ago on January 7, 2025, it's premature to consider this as a "buying the dip" opportunity. Please see the incident data at the end of page. Buying insurance company shares just because of a wildfire-driven price dip? Careful—you’re playing wit
TOPNot against people buying insurance stocks, but they should know the risks right now—wildfires are still spreading, and the damage is piling up. Some say, “Be greedy when others are fearful,” but jumping into a wildfires too soon might make them the foolish ones. After the wildfires settle, though, insurance companies could come out stronger.
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2025-01-12
Are EV🔋 Stocks Overheated? Rivian and Lucid Lead the Surge
Key Highlights Rivian and Lucid Rally: Rivian ( $Rivian Automotive, Inc.(RIVN)$ ) surged by 20% this week after announcing a partnership with Amazon for EV deliveries.Lucid Group (LCID) jumped 15% following news of new government subsidies for EV adoption. Tesla’s Market Impact: Tesla ( $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ ) remains the sector leader but saw a 5% decline this week amid heightened competition and pricing pressure. Market Valuation Worries: EV stocks are trading at P/S ratios far above historical averages, leading some analysts to warn of overheating. EV Market Outlook: Opportunities and Risks Bullish Case for EV Stocks Global EV Adoption Growth: The global EV market is expected to reach $1.3 trillion
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2025-01-10
Position Ourselves With Defensive ETFs During Market Correction
When the stock market is in a correction, some investors consider ETFs that track the S&P 500 or the total stock market. Others may look for biotech or tech stocks. Market corrections, characterized by a significant decline in stock prices, can be unsettling for even the most seasoned investors. However, Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) offer a versatile toolkit to help navigate these turbulent periods. There are a few things we need to consider when we find which ETFs might work better for us. Here are some steps we might want to assess. Reassess Our RIsk Tolerance Understand Our Time Horizon, this mean that the longer our investment horizon, the less impact short-term market fluctuations should have Evaluate Our RIsk Profile, a market correction may amplify losses for investors wit
TOPThank you for sharing. How is the current fixed investment index
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2025-01-10
Morgan Stanley Cuts✂️ Palantir to $60: 🤖AI Leader Stalling?
Palantir Stock Down After Downgrade. How to Cash In on AI Isn't Clear Overview: The Downgrade and Market Reaction In a surprising move, Morgan Stanley has downgraded Palantir Technologies ( $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ ), setting a new target price of $60 per share. This marks a significant departure from the firm's previous optimistic stance on the company. The downgrade sent shockwaves through the market, with Palantir's stock dropping nearly 8% overnight. Let's break down what this means for the stock and whether Palantir can bounce back. 1. Why the Downgrade? Morgan Stanley’s analysis suggests that Palantir's growth prospects are fully priced in, pointing out that the company's valuation is over 100% higher than its industry peers. Here
TOP$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ Regarding Morgan Stanley's downgrade of Palantir (PLTR), I think a deeper analysis of the company's fundamentals and market expectations is needed. Palantir's stock price has indeed experienced a sharp rise since last year, mainly benefiting from the market's high expectations for artificial intelligence (AI) and big data analytics. However, whether this rise has overdrawn future growth is a question worth thinking about. First of all, from a performance perspective, although Palantir's revenue growth is steady, the growth rate has slowed down. The company mainly relies on government contracts and corporate customers. Although the AI business has brought new growth points, its revenue-boosting effect may be limited in the short term. Secondly, the current valuation is relatively high, and the market has included the growth expectation in the next few years in the stock price, which also leads to the risk of a correction once the performance falls short of expectations. Morgan Stanley's downgrade partly reflects concerns about Palantir's short-term growth potential, but I don't think it means the company has lost momentum in the long-term development. If the stock price pulls back to around $60, I will consider bargain hunting. This price can relatively better reflect the company's true growth value, and at the same time, it also reserves room for future expansion in the fields of AI and big data. Of course, investing in Palantir requires focusing on whether the sustainability and profitability of its business model can continue to improve. Generally speaking, I think Palantir still has medium and long-term investment value when the valuation is reasonable, but the fluctuation caused by market sentiment needs to be treated with caution in the short term.
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2025-01-10
📈Tesla Announced 🆕New Model Y: A Bullish🦬 Signal or Not?
1. Overview: The New Model Y in China On Friday, Tesla introduced a revamped version of its Model Y in China, with a competitive starting price of 263,500 yuan ($35,938). This marks an important move for Tesla in one of its largest markets. In overnight trading, Tesla’s stock rose 1%, signaling optimism from investors. The question remains: Is this launch a bullish signal for Tesla, or does it highlight challenges in maintaining its EV market dominance? 2. Why China Matters for Tesla China, the world’s largest EV market, is critical to Tesla’s growth: Top-Selling Market: The Model Y has been a major success in China, accounting for a significant portion of Tesla’s global sales. Rising Competition: Domestic competitors like BYD and NIO are launching affordable and innovative EVs, pushing Te
TOPOf course, I will. The updated car looks incredibly sleek, and I believe many people will be eager to buy it.
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2025-01-12
#TBI2025[2]: IonQ, Inc. [NYSE: IONQ]
The quantum computing industry was given a huge boost when Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOG) announced Willow, its new state-of-the-art quantum chip that could solve computational problems at unprecedented speeds. However, the industry subsequently entered into a correction when Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) CEO Jensen Huang said during CES 2025 that the industry was still 15 to 30 years away from being useful and practical. Retail interest in quantum computing stocks and the next NVDA warrants a closer look at one of the supposed leaders in the quantum computing industry. Disclaimer: The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and cir
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2025-01-12
4 Stocks Warren Buffett Is Betting Big on for 2025
Buffett sticks with Coca-Cola while adding new names to his portfolio.His latest investments show confidence in both technology and U.S. resilience.Coca-Cola, VeriSign, Pool Corporation, and Domino's reflect Buffett's timeless and strategic approach.Enjoy up to S$1000 worth of perks upon signing up. Download the Tiger Trade APP >> Open An Account NowWarren Buffett is making some bold moves, even when the market remains volatile and fears about overvaluation linger. As always, he's eyeing opportunities where he sees long-term value, and he’s recently added three companies to his portfolio—each offering s