Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1.In early Asian trading on Wednesday (15 January), gold oscillated slightly lower and is currently trading at $2,673.5. $Gold - main 2502(GCmain)$ Gold prices rebounded slightly on Tuesday, closing at $2,677.22, after the dollar fell in response to slightly weaker-than-expected U.S. inflation data, which gave investors faint hope that the Federal Reserve will continue to lower interest rates in 2025. Additionally, concerns about Trump's policy uncertainty also provided support for gold prices, although U.S. bond yields continued to climb higher, giving gold bulls pause! Follow me to learn more about analysis!!
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you!1. $Oklo Inc.(OKLO)$ IF the market catches a bid and can actually trend, this could be very "launchy".Image2. $Celsius Holdings, Inc.(CELH)$ Simply based on how the last descending triangle played out, a similar move would suggest around $42-$43 by early March. That aligns with what I am thinking.Image3. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Interesting similarities here into CPI.Image4. $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT)$ Well, I don't think you can get any closer to the apex of this falling wedge.ImageFollow me to learn more about analysis!!
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some option strategies with you!1. $.SPX(.SPX)$ January Analysis Contrary to what most people are thinking, SPX will break ATH again in the near future and we can see SPX run to 7000-7250+ by 2026.2020 Analysis: COVID news spread and the market dropped -35% within 2 months. It Took 5 months after the March lows to move back above ATH’s. SPX then rallied to 4818 by Jan’22, a 1,425 point move or 42% gain above the previous ATH’s. 2022 Analysis: Fed started hiking rates due to inflation worries which made borrowing very expensive. They also began Quantitative Tightening which drained liquidity from financial markets. SPX dropped 28% since the Jan’22 highs until finally bottoming in Oct’22. SPX then rallied to 610
Can TSMC’s Earnings Meet Expectations? Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) has long been regarded as the crown jewel of the semiconductor industry, producing advanced chips that power everything from smartphones to high-performance computing and artificial intelligence (AI) systems. As one of the most significant players in global technology, TSMC’s quarterly earnings are closely monitored by investors, tech companies, and analysts alike. The question looming ahead of its next earnings release is: Can TSMC meet or exceed expectations in the current market environment? Key Factors Driving Expectations 1. Softening Demand in Consumer Electronics TSMC has faced challenges in recent quarters due to a slowdown in demand for consumer electronics. Global economic uncertainty and inf
Super Invester: Howard Marks Predician The 2025 Bubble?
$.SPX(.SPX)$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Today, I want to share my thoughts on Howard Marks' latest memo, which asserts that we are currently in a stock market bubble. I’ll also touch on a Bloomberg article questioning whether Marks can predict another bubble burst, as he did in 2000 before the dot-com crash. Let’s examine whether he can repeat that feat. highlighting how Marks’ memo aligns with recurring themes in my videos about the S&P 500, its risk-reward profile, and broader market dynamics. Howard Marks' Memo Highlights: Marks notes that the U.S. stock market dominates global market capitalization, with the top 10 U.S. companies representing 48%
Every tech revolution follows a familiar pattern. Attention initially gravitates toward the infrastructure -- the foundational work necessary to enable progress, but not the ultimate prize.The real breakthroughs come from the applications built on top of that infrastructure -- These are the accelerators that define an era.During the dot-com boom, the focus was on establishing the backbone of connectivity through companies like $AT&T Inc(T)$ , $Verizon(VZ)$ , $IBM(IBM)$ , and $Cisco(CSCO)$ . While critical, they weren’t the era’s true crown jewels. Instead, it was $Amazon.com(AMZN)$
Investors move markets based on what they expect to happen in the future. If an investor has read a lot about (a) the incoming Trump administration, (b) the state of artificial intelligence (AI) or (c) how tariffs have affected the economy in the past, he might feel like he could predict what will happen in the next 4 years. According to Carson Group, Chief market strategist, Ryan Detrick: If an investor plans on calibrating his / her portfolio according to assumptions, the investor could be falling into a classic investor trap. Reality is, it is both challenging & difficult to draw a straight line from an incoming government’s policy proposals to certain types of companies that will benefit. Recall when President Biden took office, everyone thought he was going be great for green ener
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you!1.As $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ CEO Jensen Huang stated last week: Physical AI has arrived -- here are 8 ways to capitalize on this trend 👇1. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ -- At the forefront of real-world AI, transforming autonomous driving with FSD AI while advancing robotics & energy optimization to solidify leadership in physical AI applications.2. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ -- Provides the AI backbone for robotics through GPUs, advanced platforms & tools like Isaac Sim, driving innovation in autonomous systems and collaborative robotics.3. $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ -- Combines robot
Stock Recommendation:$Cerence Inc.(CRNC)$ With the automotive industry increasingly pivoting towards software-defined vehicles (SDVs) and autonomous tech, Cerence is positioned to benefit from these secular trends. Revenue Growth Potential: The expansion into autonomous driving and enhanced LLM capabilities can drive significant revenue as automakers transition to smarter systems. Jensen Huang's Influence on Agentic AI in CRS 2025: With NVIDIA's CEO Jensen Huang leading the charge in agentic AI, his vision has sparked numerous partnerships across industries. This broader ecosystem development creates fertile ground for cross-selling opportunities. Investment Thesis: Sector: Technology - AI in Automotive Market Tran
Elon Musk's TikTok Takeover: A Tale of Algorithms and Investment Gossip
Disclaimer: This essay delves into investment gossip and speculative scenarios surrounding the potential acquisition of TikTok by Elon Musk. All information should be treated with caution as no official confirmations have been made. In a whirlwind of speculative finance and tech gossip, whispers have emerged suggesting that the Chinese government might lean towards selling TikTok's U.S. operations to none other than Elon Musk. This comes at a time when TikTok's parent company, ByteDance, faces a looming ban in the U.S. unless it divests its American business. Evidence for the Possibility: Bloomberg News has reported that Chinese officials are evaluating this option, with one scenario involving Musk's X taking control of TikTok's U.S. operations and running both businesses together. This in
$NIO Inc.(NIO)$ NIO 2025 Outlook: Navigating China's Policies and Global Dynamics As we step into 2025, NIO, a leading Chinese EV manufacturer, stands at a crucial juncture. With increasing competition in the global electric vehicle market, evolving domestic policies, and geopolitical tensions influencing investor sentiment, the road ahead for NIO is both challenging and full of opportunities. This article delves into NIO's 2025 outlook, the impact of China's policies, and the potential influence of the upcoming Trump inauguration on global market dynamics, particularly concerning China. NIO's 2025 Outlook: A Year of Strategic Transformation NIO has been a pioneer in the premium EV market, standing out with innovations such as batt
$ocbc bank(O39.SI)$ Congratulations To OCBC for Bank of the Year in Asia Pacific. 👍👏👏👏👍 I will continue to invest in them and earn dividends. Why OCBC? OCBC Bank, the second largest financial services group in Southeast Asia, has a rich history deeply intertwined with the development of Singapore. Here's a brief overview: Early Beginnings: Started in 1912: The Chinese Commercial Bank, one of the three founding banks of OCBC, was established. This marked the beginning of OCBC's presence in Singapore. Present: OCBC continues to be a leading financial institution in Southeast Asia, offering a wide range of financial products and services to individuals and businesses. OCBC's history is
Option Witch | Trump Media Stock Back in Sight as Inauguration Nears! 4 Strategies in Focus
$Trump Media & Technology Group(DJT)$ stock is back in sight as Trump's inauguration date approached, whose shares were up about 21% on Monday while slid 8% in the following session.The Truth Social operator's shares, which sometimes move on traders' viewpoints regarding Trump's political fortunes, have more or less treaded water since early December. Now, with Trump set to be inaugurated for a second time next Monday, those traders may once again be looking to buy ahead of a big event. The upward move in "DJT" shares is the latest in a wild recent run for the stock. In the pre-election fall, the shares dropped below $12, weighed down by fears that Trump and other insiders might dump their shares once they became eligible to do so. Since t
5 Dec 2024 Maintaining a long-term view and an optimistic outlook in the face of adversity By Global Equity Team Introduction Whether it is the level of inflation, the direction of economic growth, credit quality in the consumer and corporate sector, the housing market, supply of US Treasuries, a slew of elections, geopolitics or even an outright stock market bubble, the list of investor worries and concerns during 2024 was as long as one can remember. Will the picture look any better for investors in 2025? The answer, perhaps predictably, is yes and no. Growth across the globe is slowing. Higher interest rates are taking their toll and consumers across most markets are tightening their belts. Meanwhile, heavy debt issuance across western developed countries leaves real rates vulnera
5 Dec 2024 Identifying outperformers within the “New Singapore” narrative By Asian Equity Team Reflecting on 2024 As we approach 2025, it is an appropriate time to review the performance of Singapore’s equity market in 2024. The market performed strongly in 2024, with the Straits Times Index (STI) delivering double-digit gains of 21.7% as of end-November 2024 in Singapore dollar (SGD) total return terms [ 1 ] . The rally was mostly concentrated in the second half of the year, and the Singapore market was one of the few in Asia to maintain positive momentum after Donald Trump’s US election victory. This positioned Singapore as the second-best performer in the Asia ex-Japan region in 2024, meaning that it trailed only Taiwan and outpaced major emerging markets like India and China. &n
December CPI Comes: Options to Trade a Volatility Short Strategy?
The highly anticipated CPI data release is set for tonight, with an impact comparable to the first Federal Reserve decision of the year.Recent sharp swings in the U.S. stock market, driven by surging Treasury yields and unexpectedly strong employment data, have erased gains for the S&P 500 this year. Option traders are bracing for more volatility in the coming days.The focus is on the U.S. December CPI data, to be released at 9:30 PM Beijing Time, which investors hope will clarify the outlook for potential rate cuts later this year.Market Sentiment Ahead of CPI Data $.SPX(.SPX)$ Expected VolatilityAccording to Stuart Kaiser, Head of U.S. Equity Trading Strategy at Citigroup, the S&P 500 is expected to exhibit a 1% move following the CPI r
$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ recently announced in an internal memo that it plans to lay off approximately 5% of its workforce in 2025, primarily targeting underperforming employees.The implementation is expected to begin on Feb. 10, and about 3,600 employees could be affected.According to Zuckerberg, this is an effort to raise the company's overall performance management standards in anticipation of an "intense year".Typically, underperforming employees are gradually managed out of the company over the course of a year, and the process will be accelerated this time around.At the same time, Meta has also said that it will offer generous severance packages to laid-off employees.This is Meta's move to further optimize its operations after massive la
Pre-earnings trade idea on: $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ Earnings date: Thursday, Jan 16 before market openExpected move: Average of past earnings moves is 7%, with this earnings move being pegged at ~6% Trade Idea: ▫️ Sell-to-open a cash-secured put, Jan 17 expiration, 170, 172.5, or 175 put strike (must be okay with assignment)▫️ Could turn this trade into a strangle and sell the 240 (or higher) naked call strike, but naked calls are very risky, so might want to do a spread on it to hedge just in case Points to Consider: ▫️ Expected move places downside to around 190 and upside to 213 (subject to change based on tomorrow's price action) ▫️ 2X the expected move positions put strike around 176-177 and call strike around 225▫️ Gamma is
Hello everyone!Today i want to share some technical analysis with you!1. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Different prices, same value. 💵 Image2. $Robinhood(HOOD)$ "How do you identify relative strength in a down market?" $✅ Trading Sideways ✅ Near 52W Highs✅ Above Short-Term MAs✅ Declining Daily Volume✅ High Relative Performance ScoreThese are the ones that rip when the market rebounds.Image3. $Alphabet(GOOG)$ What if Alphabet is the real quantum computing play we should be paying attention to...? Image4.Those relative equal lows stacked up right beneath us are looking more and more vulnerable...Something to think about. Image5. $Invesco QQQ(
A Critical Analysis of Applied Digital Corporation’s Financial Health in Fiscal Q2 2025
Applied Digital Corporation ( $APPLIED DIGITAL CORP(APLD)$ ), a leading designer and operator of high-performance computing (HPC) infrastructure, is undergoing significant transformation. Its fiscal second-quarter 2025 report highlights key milestones in revenue growth, strategic financing, and operational progress. However, these developments are juxtaposed against substantial financial losses and elevated debt levels. This essay critically evaluates APLD’s financial health, leveraging its reported data to assess the company’s strengths, weaknesses, and potential future trajectory. Thesis While Applied Digital demonstrates robust revenue growth and strategic foresight in the HPC market, its financial health is undermined by recurring net losses,