Earnings Share of Super Sectors: staying with the topic of earnings and percentage shares, this chart shows the earnings share/weight of the 3 core “super sectors” of the S&P 500 $.SPX(.SPX)$ . And there are some very interesting cyclical and structural themes here.First, I’ve grouped the main GICS sectors into “super sectors” to reflect previous changes in sector classifications and economic/market realities. They are: Defensives = Utilities, Consumer Staples, Healthcare; Tech (+tech related) = Information Technology, Communication Services (~45% Facebook $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ & Google $Alphabet(GOOG)$
Xiaohongshu Concept Stock Jumps 10%! Can DUOL Profit From Surging Demand?
Last week’s impressive buzz around Xiaohongshu couldn’t be ignored by the stock market. Xiaohongshu surged to the top spot on app rankings in multiple regions. Surprisingly, the Xiaohongshu concept stock turned out to be... $Duolingo, Inc.(DUOL)$?!Duolingo climb 10% as users flock to the app to learn MandarinDuolingo has doubled its stock price in the past two years, riding the waves of post-pandemic growth and AI advancements: up 43% in 2024 and an astonishing 218% in 2023.The post-pandemic tourism rebound has also contributed to the growing interest in learning new languages. Duolingo has further benefited from AI innovations, partnering with OpenAI long before generative AI became a hot topic, and now it’s fully armed with cutting-edge AI tools
Is XLF Financial Sector ETF A Great Way To Gain Access to US Bank Stocks?
🌟🌟🌟This has been a great week for the US markets buoyed by cooler than expected inflation report and Big Banks' excellent Q4 24 earnings. These results bolstered market confidence, signalling resilience in the financial sector despite macroeconomic uncertainties. $Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLF)$ XLF represents the best and strongest US Financial Giants especially the Big Banks in just 1 ETF. In fact XLF ETF is the largest ETF for the US Financial Sector with Assets Under Management of USD 50.16 billion. The Top 10 holdings include Berkshire Hathaway, JPMorgan Chase, Visa Inc, Mastercard Inc, Bank of America, Wells Fargo, Goldman Sachs, American Express, Morgan Stanley, S&P Global and Citigroup. The Top 10 holdings wei
Navigating the New Economic Era: Investment Strategies for Trump's Second Term
On January 20, Donald Trump will again be sworn into office, heralding the start of his second term as President of the United States. With CEOs from major tech companies invited to the inauguration, the financial markets are abuzz with speculation about what "Trump 2.0" might mean for investors. The so-called "Trump Trade" is not just a buzzword; it's becoming a significant strategy for those looking to navigate the upcoming economic landscape. Here's how you might approach the market as we approach this pivotal moment. The expected volatility in the markets following Donald Trump's inauguration is likely to increase, with a mix of both positive and negative reactions depending on various factors. Here's a breakdown based on current analyses and market sentiment: Positive Volatility: Poli
One Asymmetric Crypto Opportunity: Why This Game Stands Out
You probably don't follow me for crypto takes and I don't post about crypto often anymore, so I'll keep this short. This is the one asymmetric opportunity I'm in.1. The team has been building the game for years through the bear.2. Economics and gameplay are innovative and only possible on the blockchain.3. Multi-chain and crypto isn't required to play, opening up the market.4. The assets seem extremely undervalued with YAKU at a ~$4 million market cap.Enough said.
1.Annual chart of the $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ ?Only Loyal fans of the ChartStorm know this one -- it shows the average level of the CBOE Volatility Index and the closing High/Low for each calendar year.But what it REALLY shows is how *cyclical* stockmarket volatility is.2024 in Charts: Image2.Old coin vs New coin (part 2)When it comes to total market cap, while Bitcoin is steadily becoming more relevant and investable for institutional investors -- it is still a relatively minor asset class compared to gold... $Gold - main 2502(GCmain)$ Image3.Where-to for Emerging Markets?It's not just about China, EM ex-China underwent a Brobdingnagian Breakout last year...Image
$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ - Hanging Man Validated by Daily VolumeWhile the tech downtrend remains intact and price action suggests a bearish reversal, Williams %R is not yet overbought, presenting an imperfection for the bearish thesis.Price did bounce off the 50DMA, and a Hanging Man doesn't guarantee a pullback (see previous occurrences), using levels is key: Bullish (only) above $515 with $530 as the next destination.$NASDAQ 100(NDX)$$NVIDIA(NVDA)$$Alphabet(GOOG)$$Alphabet(GOOGL)$$Microsoft(MSFT)$
Investing in High, Predictable Growth: S&P 500 Insights
Here's how the constituents of the S&P 500 $.SPX(.SPX)$ differ based on their growth rate and the linearity of that growth.I invest in the top right, where growth is high and predictable.ImageWhen analysing a company, consider where its product/service fits in its customer’s income statement. I personally target essential spending, ideally related to OPEX and maintenance CAPEX.ImageTwo things you can do to become a better investor: 1. Limit the number of companies you own 2. Limit how frequently you trade This forces you to: 1. Only own your best ideas 2. Accept there will always opportunities you miss out on
Two additional large orders for Chinese concept stocks:$KWEB 20250919 32.0 CALL$ September-expiring 32 call, exchange-traded, opened 46,000 lots, total transaction value approximately 11 million. $ASHR 20250321 26.0 CALL$ 26 call expiring in March, opened 32,000 lots, with a total transaction value of approximately 3.48 million. The trading direction is relatively neutral. Although the direction label is bearish, the transaction price is 1.09, which is not far from the difference between the bid and ask prices, 0.02 and 0.03 respectively. It can be interpreted in either way.