To The Moon

Over the past two weeks, investor sentiment declined in all markets we follow except Australia and China. Despite this souring sentiment, markets continued to rise everywhere, defying policy chaos and rising unpredictability. US investors turned bearish, dragging the Global Developed Market down with them. Investors in Asia ex-Japan, Australia, Global Developed ex-US markets, Global Emerging Markets, Europe, Japan, and the UK remained neutral, unwilling to commit to either a positive or negative view for the time being – much less a bullish or bearish view. Last week’s immigration battle was characterized by a series of punches and, surprisingly, counterpunches, as leaders responded on X to the Trump administration’s latest moves on immigration and tariff policies - both vital for the US i

Number of H100 chips bought in 2024: - $MSFT: 450,000 - $META: 350,000 - $AMZN: 196,000 - $GOOG: 169,000 If you believe they couldn’t find the way to make better AI without more chips but a few Chinese engineers did it as a side project, you are too naive. Deepseek was reportedly trained on over 200,000 H100s. Even if Deepseek achieved to match OpenAI with less chips, this isn’t any bearish for chip makers, to the contrary, it is amazingly bullish. If Deepseek really reached this level with just a few thousand chips, can you imagine what could be done with a million chips? Deepseek news, true or false, are amazingly bullish for chip makers, especially for $NVDA.

$META 20250124 565.0 PUT$ This weekly CSPut on META just expired worthless, going into earning next week, with a much higher IV, the next strike is park a fair bit further. with earning weeks ahead, IV will be super blown up. $META 20250124 565.0 PUT$ 

$MSFT 20250124 390.0 PUT$ This swing trade - CSPut was opened during the sudden dip about 2 weeks back, thus the low strike. The share price quickly rise back up soon after. If traded with underlying the profit would have been so much more 😅. Need $$$$.  😅$MSFT 20250124 390.0 PUT$ 

$MSTR 20250124 270.0 PUT$ MSTR continues to be range bounded. After its AHT, finding support at around the 285 support level. Most CSPut have been place below 280 and all has expired worthless, taking in all premiums collected    Possibly earning can help with a better direction where this counter may be heading Next. Meanwhile will continue To sell put below 280 💪$MSTR 20250124 270.0 PUT$ 

$IONQ 20250124 44.0 CALL$ $IONQ 20250124 44.0 CALL$ Been selling covered call hedging against any down side on IONQ since taking assignments of the underlying after the CSPut's strike fell above market's closing few weeks back. Anyhoo, this particular call was a close call with the share price above it briefly during mid week, however the momentum wasn't strong, share price closes just above $40 thus rendered this covered call worthless thus keeping the full premium collected. 

Open 2 lots of $AAPL 20250131 207.5 PUT$ , apple price decline because of fall in sales in China, and apple is announcing it's earining on 30th Jan after market. It's going to be a volatile week for Apple. Take the opportunity and I'm willing to receive apple share at 207.5 level, time to build up some position in Apple at a discount 

$Genting Sing(G13.SI)$  Over the past ten days, the closing prices have shown a gradual increase, starting from 0.730 on January 13 and reaching 0.745 by January 24. The sentiment during this period has predominantly been pessimistic, with several days categorised as such. However, there was a shift towards mixed sentiment and optimism during the latter part of the observed period, particularly on January 21 and 24, indicating a potential change in market perception. As of the latest closing price of 0.745, the sentiment is categorised as mixed, suggesting a cautious optimism for the upcoming session. According to the established sentiment level price ranges, the next session could see fluctuations within the mixed sentiment bracket, with p

$SIA(C6L.SI)$  Over the past ten days, the price movement has exhibited a downward trend initially, with the stock closing at 6.32 on 13 January 2025 and gradually declining to 6.27 on 14 and 15 January. The sentiment during this period was predominantly extreme pessimistic, indicating strong negative feelings among investors. A slight recovery began on 17 January, transitioning to mixed sentiment and eventually optimistic sentiments on 21 January, as the price reached 6.37 before closing at 6.31 on 24 January. The latest closing value of 6.31 places it within the mixed sentiment range of 6.33 to 6.38. Given this sentiment, there is potential for a price increase in the next session. Should the stock close above 6.33, it would signal a shif

$Microsoft(MSFT)$ **Why I Sold Microsoft Last Week: A Technical Analysis Perspective** Last week, I made the decision to sell my shares of Microsoft (MSFT), and while it’s never an easy choice to part with a strong-performing stock, my decision was guided by key technical indicators that suggested a potential pullback. Specifically, two critical factors influenced my move: the stock reaching the upper band of the Bollinger Bands and the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) signal line touching the MACD bar. Here’s a deeper dive into why these indicators led me to sell. ### 1. **Bollinger Bands: Reaching the Upper Band** Bollinger Bands are a popular technical analysis tool that consists of a moving average (typically the 20-day SMA) a

Check how wallstreet analysts expect for $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ and $Microsoft(MSFT)$ earnings:1. TD Cowen analyst John Blackledge expects $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ generative AI ad tools to “drive revenue growth.” He said: “Meta’s ad suite now features GenAI tools for text and image creation, ad optimization within Advantage+ Creative, and an expanded biz messaging offering. Last quarter: META reported slower-than-expected user growth and warned of a 2025 jump in AI spending.This quarter: The tech giant is expected to report earnings growth of more than 25% year on year, according to LSEG.What history shows: Meta tends to outperform earnings expectation

The S&P 500 Index hits a new all-time high, surpassing the 6,100-point mark. 🇺🇸 S&P 500 Index: 0.53% 📈 🇺🇸 Nasdaq: 0.22% 📈 🇪🇺 Stoxx 600 Index: 0.44% 📈 🇯🇵 Nikkei 225 Index: 0.79% 📈 🇭🇰 Hang Seng Index: -0.40% 📉 🇨🇳 Shanghai Shenzhen 300 Index: 0.18% 📈 🇸🇬 Straits Times Index: 0.67% 📈 Wall Street rises, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq gaining 0.5% and 0.2%, respectively, after President Trump called for lower interest rates and oil prices fell. The EU Consumer Confidence Index, as expected, increased from -14.5 to -14.2 in January, but remains in negative territory, indicating ongoing pessimism. For the week ending January 18, initial jobless claims in the U.S. rose slightly by 6K to 223K (forecast: 220K, prior: 242K), suggesting no deterioration in the labor market and strengthening exp

Earnings Calendar (27Jan2025) Upcoming earnings from 27Jan2025 - source: FactSet I am interested in the earnings of Microsoft, Meta, Apple, Tesla and ExxonMobil. Let us look at ExxonMobil (XOM) in detail. Observations about ExxonMobil: ExxonMobil's revenue has been fluctuating. In 2014 it generated $394 billion in 2023 close to $334 billion. Gross profit in 2014 was $80.6 billion but in 2023 closed with $84.1 billion The operating profit for 2014 was $34 billion and 2023 ended with $44.4 billion. The best year for ExxonMobil was the year of 2022 with $398 billion in revenue and an operating profit of $64 billion. The earnings per share (EPS) stood at $7.60 in 2014 and 2023 ended at $8.89. The best year was in 2022 when the EPS was $13.26. The price-earnings (P/E) ratio of ExxonMobil stands

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 27Jan2025 > what 25 indicators say Observations: The MACD indicator is showing an uptrend. Moving Averages (MA). Both the MA50 line and the MA200 line are on an uptrend. The last candle is above both the MA50 line and the MA200 line. This implies a bullish outlook for both the mid-and long-term. The 3 Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines are showing an uptrend. Chaikin’s Monetary flow (CMF) shows an uptrend. Using 1D intervals, the technical analysis shows a “Strong Buy” rating for the S&P 500. All 21 indicators from technical and moving averages are showing a “buy” rating, with zero indicators showing a “Sell” rating. The latest complete candlestick patterns are signalling a bullish run. From the above, the S&P 500 is likely to see the continua

My Investing Muse (27Jan2025) Layoffs & Closure news Image Amazon is shutting its operations in Quebec, with 1,800 losing their jobs The list of major companies laying off staff in the new year, including Meta, Microsoft, BlackRock, and BP - Business Insider Biogen research team hit by layoffs as company shifts resources to external opportunities - Fierce Biotech Stripe laid off 300 people on Monday, mostly product, engineering, and operations workers. - Business Insider This week on Nation's Restaurant News the top story was Starbucks CEO Brian Niccol foreshadows possible layoffs. (Not finalized) - NRN CNN plans to lay off hundreds of employees, cut costs; NBC plots firings - NY Post The above are some snippets of news about layoffs, and closures in the past week. China’s AI

Key Events This BUSY Week: 1. New Home Sales - Monday 2. Boeing $BA Earnings - Tuesday 3. Consumer Confidence - Tuesday 4. Fed Policy Decision - Wednesday 2:00 pm 5. Powell Press Conference - Wednesday 2:30 pm 6. Tesla $TSLA, $ASML, Microsoft $MSFT , Meta Platforms $META Earnings - Wednesday 7. Q4 GDP - Thursday 8. Initial Jobless Claims - Thursday 9. Apple $AAPL, Intel $INTC Earnings - Thursday 10. Core PCE Inflation Data - Friday 11. ExxonMobil $XOM Earnings - Friday

Disclaimer: Whatever I say or post doesn't act as financial advice, so please do your due diligence before making any decision. Will I jump on the AI craze wagon? Looking at the list of AI companies with their fundamentals, only three companies out of the list are profitable. With that said, C3AI, one of the most discussed AI stock, did secure a collaboration with Microsoft and has some patents on AI tech being approved.  However, I still remain the outlook that AI is a speculative play, much like commodities such as cryptocurrencies. You would need to prepare to lose everything that you invest in. So be wary of how much exposure you have in it vs your overall portfolio. Make a smart and calculated bet, not just following the noise.[Cool]   @madluvyz - Specialist in using TA