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SmartReversals
·
2025-02-03

Patience in trading shows itself in several forms

Patience in trading shows itself in several forms:- Letting the process progress naturally- Waiting for the best moment to enter- Permitting the trade to evolve completely- Maintaining strength during downturns- Gaining insights from your mistakesDelving into stock market history, meticulously dissecting the charted narratives of past price action, is crucial endeavor for any aspiring trader, allowing them to discern recurring patterns of boom and bust, to recognize the telltale signs of speculative bubbles inflating and subsequently imploding, and to understand the enduring role of human psychology in driving market dynamics.How will you nurture patience throughout your trading journey? $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$
Patience in trading shows itself in several forms
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1.24K
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Selling For Premium
·
2025-02-03

Option Strategies to .SPX

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some option strategies with you!1.If SPX gaps down on Monday due to this tariff news, then $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ will spike up, which means there will be optionselling opportunities to take advantage of the vol spike.Gamma structure for Feb 3 expiration shows put gamma stacks at 6050, 6000, 5990, 5950, 5900, and 5880. Below Friday's closing price the stronger put stacks are at 5990 and 5900, but that 5990 stack might get blown thru on a big gap down on Monday.Depending on how far SPX dumps and if there is elevated premium to capture, we will be looking to sell 5 or 10 wide spreads at the following put strikes, 0DTE expiry: 5880, 5820, 5770, 57002.Adding to this 0DTE trade ... if
Option Strategies to .SPX
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2.36K
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SmartReversals
·
2025-02-03

NVDA - The Chart is Bearish, but be careful with a short squeeze

1. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ - The Chart is Bearish, but be careful with a short squeeze, since a technical bounce may come considering the usual bounces from the Bollinger band.Stochastic is oversold, not as much as in previous selloffs, but oversold. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ Image2. $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ - Rejection at the 20DMA: Some of the previous events have lead the Semiconductors ETF to a retest of the previous low. I expect the same situation before a sustainable bounce. There is a lot of technical damage, a gap fill may take a lot
NVDA - The Chart is Bearish, but be careful with a short squeeze
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1.75K
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SmartReversals
·
2025-02-03

IWM - The 50DMA has rejected price action during 8 days already

$iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ - The 50DMA has rejected price action during 8 days already, while the 20DMA has acted as support. Which one is telling the truth? The weekly chart open for everyone last week anticipated the recent decline. Bullish signals closing the day above $229, Bearish confirmation (most likely) when $224 is breached.ImageIf we could predict that routinely ...we'd be millionaires ! its a complicated formula, as it relates to fear index as well as price change in major indices. The chart below attempts to show past moves in $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ using $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ as the index, Green shows SPY drop, Blue shows VIX ris
IWM - The 50DMA has rejected price action during 8 days already
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948
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Callum_Thomas
·
2025-02-03

Daily Charts - Returns and Rankings

1.Returns and Rankings: There are clear winners and losers across the years. Most notably, winners rarely stay winners for long, losers rarely lose for long, and they often switch places! Sectors matter. $.SPX(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Image2.This chart shows some major generational shifts in investor behavior over time, who's to say we won't see some big changes in the decades ahead?Image3.Hours of Work to buy 1 oz of Gold approaching a record high!Are wages too low? or is gold too high?(or should we be asking to be paid in gold!) $Gold - main 2504(GCmain)$ Image4. let's be real here: this chart is probably going to be Wrong.But there may still
Daily Charts - Returns and Rankings
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1.27K
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Callum_Thomas
·
2025-02-03

Daily Charts - Investors are increasingly all-in on stocks

1.Investors are increasingly all-in on stocks(just as valuations reach new highs 🥴 )Image2.Tech innovation or Financial innovation?US Profit Margin expansion over the past couple of decades has been driven much more by financial innovation (lower taxes and interest expense) than any kind of technological innovation.Problem is, while AI might help, it will be hard to repeat this... and if anything some of this might reverse. $.SPX(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Image3.Like most, I did not see DeepSeek coming, but what I did see coming (as outlined in the link below) is the huge potential for a big Shock to consensus that expects nothing from China and everything from America.Image
Daily Charts - Investors are increasingly all-in on stocks
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1.52K
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Long_Equity
·
2025-02-03

Here's the latest list of Global Compounders

Here's the latest list of Global Compounders.New names include: Maruwa, Fabrinet, Neurones and WW Grainger. What would you add?Want this in a spreadsheet with FCF, returns on capital and valuations? Check out the link below.ImageSome of the best companies don’t need to reinvest; so they just return excess capital through buybacks.The requirements are less stringent than to be in my investable universe and portfolio. This is just a list of companies that have compounded value over the last 10 years and have a somewhat decent business. They're certainly not a recommendation.
Here's the latest list of Global Compounders
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3.92K
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Invest In Assets
·
2025-02-03

Trading Skills| Investing Wisdom

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you!1.Buffett's Geico investment write up: $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Image2.How to get rich without getting lucky:Image3.Study great business models:Image4.Baron Capital's multi-bagger list:Image5.A simple screener for reasonably priced quality companies: • ROIC +15%• Growth +10%• Cash conversion +75%• Interest coverage +10x• Operating margin +10%• FCF yield > Risk-Free RateFollow me to learn more about analysis!!
Trading Skills| Investing Wisdom
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1.69K
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Long_Equity
·
2025-02-03

The top detractors from performance were NVDA and FICO in January 2025

Portfolio at the end of January 2025 January performance: 2.6% FCF ROC = 37% FCF per share CAGR (5yr) = 24% FCF Linearity (5yr) = 0.94 FCF Margin = 35% FCF Margin Expansion (5yr) = 6% FCF Yield = 2.76%There were no outright sales or purchases. The top contributors to performance were KLA Corp $KLA-Tencor(KLAC)$ and Applied Materials $Applied Materials(AMAT)$ . The top detractors from performance were NVIDIA $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ and Fair Isaac $Fair Isaac(FICO)$ .ImageOver the last 15 years, quality investing has crushed value investing.• The MSCI's quality index has an average outperformance of 2.71%, compared to -2.32% for th
The top detractors from performance were NVDA and FICO in January 2025
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1.21K
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MasterWU
·
2025-02-03

.SPX: What's Going on Next?

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you!1.WHO LET THE PANDA OUT: (1) For last 2 years, I was in a quasi-hiberation mode, as my model/personality doesn't fit well in a slow-motion late-stage bull market. (2) this phase has ended. You may see more actions/tradings/posts from now on. (3) This👇rings the bell at 6120 [PST]Image2.As I noted clearly, the gap below would be filled, fast--one day later than I expected, though, as the new cohort of traders are dumber than I thought.Image
.SPX: What's Going on Next?
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1.66K
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KYHBKO
·
2025-02-03

PMI, Jobs & Unemployment updates - Economic Calendar (week of 03Feb2025)

Public Holidays China is closed on 3rd Feb 2025 to celebrate Chinese New Year. There is no public holidays in America, Hong Kong and Singapore in the coming week. Economic Calendar (03Feb2025) China is closed on 3rd Feb 2025 as they celebrate Chinese Lunar New Year. Notable Highlights The S&P Global manufacturing PMI is expected to be 50.1. This represents a slight growth compared to the previous. ISM manufacturing PMI will also be released. This represents the growth or contraction of the manufacturing industry. ISM manufacturing prices will be released. A figure of above 50 implies an increase in manufacturing cost. This can lead to inflationary costs that are passed onto the consumers. S&P Global Services PMI is expected to hit 52.8. This implies a
PMI, Jobs & Unemployment updates - Economic Calendar (week of 03Feb2025)
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2.11K
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KYHBKO
·
2025-02-03

Affirm's earnings - should we have this stock. earnings calendar (03Feb2025)

Earnings Calendar (03Feb2025) Some interesting earnings include Palantir, Tyson, Amazon, Disney, Alphabet and Affirm. Let us look at Affirm - one of the Buy Now Pay Later (BNPL) companies The Technical Analysis is recommending a “Strong Buy”. The Analysts’ Sentiment has a “Buy” rating with a price target of $66.06. This implies an upside of 8.17% from the current price of $61.07. Observations for Affirm: The revenue grew from $264M in 2019 to $2,323M in 2024. The gross profit grew from $156M in 2019 to $1,478M in 2024. The operating profit remained at a loss since 2019. The business has yet to break even since 2019. But the operating loss has been improving. The forecast of EPS and revenue for Affirm is -0.162 and $805.62M respectively. I would monitor the stock till it can break even.
Affirm's earnings - should we have this stock. earnings calendar (03Feb2025)
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4.47K
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KYHBKO
·
2025-02-03

Technical analsyis for S&P500 with over 20 indicators and candlestick patterns (03Feb2025)

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 03Feb2025 Observations: The MACD indicator is showing an uptrend. Moving Averages (MA). Both the MA50 line and the MA200 line are on an uptrend. The last candle is above both the MA50 line and the MA200 line. This implies a bullish outlook for both the mid-and long-term. The 3 Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines are showing an uptrend. Chaikin’s Monetary flow (CMF) shows an uptrend. Using 1D intervals, the technical analysis shows a “Strong Buy” rating for the S&P 500. 19 indicators show a “Buy” rating. 3 indicators show a “Sell” rating. The latest candlestick patterns are showing a mixture of bullish and bearish signals. From the above, the S&P500 should go up in the coming week. (The tariff war started by the USA with Mexico, Canada and China is
Technical analsyis for S&P500 with over 20 indicators and candlestick patterns (03Feb2025)
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1.59K
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KYHBKO
·
2025-02-03

Home sales, ICE raids & Boeing losses - News and my thoughts from last week (03Feb2025)

News and my thoughts from last week (03Feb2025) US private sector full-time jobs have DROPPED by nearly 2 MILLION over the past year. Such a drop has never happened outside of recessions. The only gain in jobs has been in the government sector. - X user Global Markets Investor 16.2% of total pending home sales in December fell out of contract, the highest December rate on record. This also marks the third-largest percentage since data began in 2017. Nominally, a whopping ~40,000 home-purchase agreements were canceled last month. Home purchase cancellations have surged since 2022 as mortgage rates remain historically high. The weekly average 30-year-fixed mortgage rate reached 7.04% last week, the highest since May. Homebuyers have lost confidence in the market. - X user The Kobeissi Letter
Home sales, ICE raids & Boeing losses - News and my thoughts from last week (03Feb2025)
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6.96K
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BIackTlger
·
2025-02-03
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$  $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$  $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$  feeling bearish for the market after Trump Presidency. Only meme stocks might pump for short term. Use option to be safe and wait for discount price for stocks.
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ feeling bearish for the market after Trump Presidency. Only meme stoc...
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1.99K
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Jackosen
·
2025-01-31
My mistake last year was to invest in  $ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ(SQQQ)$ and tried to DCA as it falls. In the end, I had to sell to prevent further loss. This year, plan to invest on good quality companies mainly those with big caps and also try luck to invest in some crypto related investments.
My mistake last year was to invest in $ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ(SQQQ)$ and tried to DCA as it falls. In the end, I had to sell to prevent furth...
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1.92K
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Jacob X
·
2025-02-01

ON Semiconductor: Powering the EV Revolution from the Sidelines

The Hidden Tech Giant Wall Street Is Overlooking? From a peak of $110 in July 2023 to the current price of $53 (as of 31 Jan 2025), $ON Semiconductor(ON)$   has experienced a dramatic correction that has shaken investor confidence. Yet, this price volatility masks a strategic opportunity that many investors are missing. The "Switzerland" of EV Technology Imagine a technology company that wins regardless of which electric vehicle manufacturer comes out on top. Like Switzerland in global trade, ON Semiconductor thrives by providing critical technological components to multiple EV manufacturers, ensuring success no matter which brand leads the market. Financial Fortress: More Than Just Numbers ON Semiconduc
ON Semiconductor: Powering the EV Revolution from the Sidelines
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2.03K
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JaminBall
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2025-02-03

Top 10 #SaaS #Cloud multiples JAN28-FEB1

Top 10 #SaaS #Cloud multiples JAN28-FEB1
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1.33K
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Travis Hoium
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2025-02-03

Tariff Tantrum 2025: Into the Unknown

There will be an impact from tariffs on the economy, but outside of some simple impacts to the cost of avocados and $Nike(NKE)$ shoes, the biggest changes will largely be second and third-order effects that are unknown, despite every voice in the media saying they know the exact impact. I’ll get to that in a moment. To start, I want to level set what I think the market will be reacting to this week.Most “smart money” thought the threat of tariffs was a negotiating ploy and wouldn’t happen, at least not yet. I expect there to be some surprise for those who thought tariffs would be more targeted and wouldn’t impact their businesses directly.Investors will need to rethink growth assumptions, inflation expectations, and the impact of tariffs on earning
Tariff Tantrum 2025: Into the Unknown
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1.90K
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TrendSpider
·
2025-02-03

GOOG, TSLA, HIMS& BTC Welcome Great Potential Here!

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you!1. $Alphabet(GOOG)$ Zero fear from GOOG buyers heading into earnings week with the stock making fresh ATHs on Friday:~EPS estimate: $2.13~REV estimate: $96.67BImage2.If your bullish $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ here, you want them to follow the $Hims & Hers Health Inc.(HIMS)$ blueprint.2021 highs retest and continue higher. ✅Image3. $Bitcoin(BTC.USD.HKCC)$ Bitcoin back below $100K—but is this a BTD opportunity?Over the last decade, BTC has been red just once in February, boasting an average return of +15.60% 💚ImageFollow me to learn more about ana
GOOG, TSLA, HIMS& BTC Welcome Great Potential Here!
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