Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with yo!1.Akre Capital's criteria for superior businesses:•High ROC•Capital light•Pricing power•We understand it•Predictable earnings•Shareholder-oriented mgmt•Cash profits, no shenanigans•Not dependent on a genius CEO•Not natural targets of regulations2.Fundamentals of capital allocation: $Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.A)$ ImageFollow me to learn more about analysis!! Hope it will greatly help you!
APP, NQ_F, HOOD, BTC& QQQ Enjoy Great Potential Here!
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you!1. $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2503(NQmain)$ Which Way, Western Man?Image2. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ The daily Bollinger Band %Width just hit its lowest level since early November... Calling this price action "compressed" would be an understatement.Image3. $AppLovin Corporation(APP)$ Exactly one year ago, Applovin was trading at $47.Today, after earnings, it’s nearing $500/share with a ~$175B market cap.Absolutely wild. QQImage4. $Bitcoin(BTC.USD.CC)$ Bitcoin wedging into multi-month support...Looks ready to pop above the Volume PoC.Image5.LIFTOFF.
12 Feb Market Fell On Accelerated Inflation Interest Rates Outlook Worries
We saw the stock market experienced some sell-off after we saw the inflation data came in hotter than expected, it accelerated for a fourth consecutive month in January. This raised questions about the outlook for interest rates this year, which have the investors worried that stubborn inflation, as measured by the Consumer Price Index, might mean the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer. The DJIA fell 0.5%, while the S&P 500 shed 0.27%. The NASDAQ finished the session modestly with only 0.03% higher. The indexes were different from a mixed session on Tuesday in which the Dow advanced and the Nasdaq ticked lower. Inflation accelerated for a fourth consecutive month in January. The Consumer Price Index rose 3% in January, its biggest increase since June. Core inflat
SPX: The disappointing CPI report triggered pullback
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ : The disappointing #CPI report triggered a pre-market pullback, consistent with the recent daily analyses. While the rapid buying was encouraging, the diagonal resistance remains a key challenge. Will the price decisively break through the red resistance line, or will it follow the projected bearish path indicated by the blue line?Worth noting: Price bounced at $6017, a level mentioned in the emailed publication on Monday. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ Image
1.Credit Risk Pricing Cycles Credit Spreads go through cycles as investors adjust the risk premium they demand over and above "risk-free" treasury yields to take on credit risk. These cycles echo and mirror the equity market cycle, but feature the same drivers, behavioral patterns, and periods of opportunity vs risk.As things stand now we are going through the trough, but the time to be tactically concerned is when it starts un-troughing 🧐 🤓 ✍️ 🗒️Image2.That is a shocking divergenceMakes you wonder how sustainable it is (the blue line is to a great degree propped up by big tech)Also makes you wonder what it would take for the black line to turnaround...Image3.Why bother with Risk Management?Math.The steeper the loss, the bigger the gain required to just get back to square.Image4.Even if th
In CPI adjusted terms the EURO STOXX 50 looks less impressive, albeit arguably also looks better in terms of potential upside as there remains a large distance to the historical all-time inflation-adjusted highs. The breakout in real terms also looks very compelling.Similarly, relative to the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ it's been in a 24-year relative-bear-market. There have been numerous false dawns along that path, but the recent bounce after a failed breakdown to new lows looks promising, especially after the period of relative stalemate over the past couple of years.I remain convinced that we are set to see an imminent turnaround in global vs US stocks, and this here is a key part of that story.
If you’ve been fixated on the news flow around tariffs and stuck on the old narrative that Europe is doomed and can only regulate vs innovate then you might have missed the fact that European equities are up over +10% YTD.Change is in the air, a key set of breakouts and improving technicals serve as a timely prompt to consider whether there’s more to this —and more left in the move…What’s driving the strength in European Equities:Valuations: unlike expensive US stocks, European stocks are still cheap/reasonably priced, and trade at a record low valuation discount vs US. The thing I always emphasize is that when valuations reach such extremes they have a habit of speaking for themselves; the rubber band eventually snaps back.Monetary Policy: the European Central Bank began rate cuts earlier
1.ENSUSD - Minimal Bull TargetENSUSD: ENSUSD - Minimal Bull TargetThis is the bull target regarding the prior bear market initiation I think this is a very bullish coin with this only being the minimen Another long of mine BULLISH2.ETHUSD - 3M ChartETHUSD: ETHUSD - 3M ChartInteresting bull chart on the 3M timeframe Looks kinda like a bullflag Im extremely bullish on Ethereum Lets go on this long position Pog3.DNTUSD - Large Monthly TriangleDNTUSD: DNTUSD - Large Monthly TriangleBig symmetrical triangle on this Monthly timeframe Im just waiting for the break out Lets go Again this is a symmetrical triangle (monthly)
Just caught $Upstart Holdings, Inc.(UPST)$ , and this was a perfect example of what our strategy looks for.📍 Key Setup:✅ Weekly pullback into market bias – optimal entry right at the SMA✅ Now pushing into equal highs – time to lock in some gains🛑 Trade Plan:🔹 Stop loss: Lower lows🔹 Taking profits as we push higher🔹 Letting the rest ride until the weekly BX Trender makes a lower highIf I had taken this trade, I’d be trimming risk now and letting the momentum play out. 🔥ImagePS:Sadly I did not take this trade. Was scanning through top posts today and decided to check on UPST.... hurts my soul
HOOD’s Big Reveal: Will Earnings Fuel a Massive Rally or a Brutal Sell-Off?
$Robinhood(HOOD)$ is set to announce its fourth-quarter and full-year 2024 earnings on February 12, 2025, after market close. As of February 12, 2025, the stock is trading at $53.34. Analysts project earnings per share (EPS) of $0.41 and revenue of $934 million for Q4 2024, a significant increase from the $0.03 EPS and $471 million revenue reported in the same quarter of 2023. Key Drivers Positive Factors: Cryptocurrency Trading Surge: The re-election of President Donald Trump has led to expectations of a more crypto-friendly regulatory environment, boosting investor interest in digital assets. Robinhood's cryptocurrency trading revenue is anticipated to have benefited from this trend. Product Expansion: Robinhood has diversified its offerings by
Roku (ROKU) ARPU and Margins Pressure Improvement To Watch
$Roku Inc(ROKU)$ will be reporting their Q4 2024 results on 13 Feb 2024 after the market close. Market is bullish toward Roku (ROKU) ahead of the streaming platform's turn on the earnings calendar. As for ROKU the important upside valuation drivers in 2025 would be their connected TV (CTV) ad growth, and industry consolidation. ROKU is in a position to benefit from both. ROKU fourth-quarter results is expecting to post revenue around $994.1 million, up 1% year over year which is below the consensus estimate of $1.1 billion. Earnings per share is also expected at a loss of 41 cents which is an improvement from the same period one year ago at loss of 55 cents per share. Roku (ROKU) Last Neutral Earnings Call Give 9.38% Change Since The last earnings
Moderna (MRNA) COVID Vaccine Market Challenges And Next Generation Vaccine Reception By Market
$Moderna, Inc.(MRNA)$ is scheduled to report fourth-quarter and full-year 2024 earnings on 14 Feb before the opening bell. While a major portion of Moderna revenues is expected to be generated from the sales of its COVID-19 vaccine, but we need to understand that we are already into matured phase of the post-pandemic, and the vaccine sales would likely declined from one year ago level due to the lower demand. Based on what Moderna has provided in the preliminary updates last month, MRNA has likely recorded minimal product sales of its RSV vaccine mResvia, which received FDA approval in May. The revenue consensus is set to expect at $955.23 million, this represent a significant decline from one year ago period metric, that is also reflected in its
1.Wild Day for $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ – What’s Next?We locked in profits on our cash-secured puts and were ready to go long into the close… then the 1hr bull trap hit after rejecting market bias.this is how they trap the impatient.We need that daily BX to CLOSE higher low1hr now rejecting right at market bias and looks like BX might not close HL todayImage2. $Barrick Gold Corp(GOLD)$ monthly chart is looking ready for a generational breakout 👀 Last time we saw a squeeze breakout like this on GOLD was 2019 - 2020Image3.The $Strategy(MSTR)$ wait continues 🥱Image4. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ need to break structure and
Next $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ resistance level is $349If we break this market bias this could be the short term bottom Need the daily bx to also make HL Now that I am no longer in cash puts I will either wait for another sell off or once we get confirmation on the daily chart I will go with callsImagePS:It just usually depends on the current set upIf my cash secured puts would have filled this Friday I would’ve ended up buying the stock Now that I covered them since I’m up almost all of the premium. I’m going to look to go with call options, but only about 30% of the total position that I want to build out. This way, if the bounce happens very quickly, and I don’t get to build out the bigger position I will at least have some strong leverage to the up
This may come as a surprise to some of you, especially those who haven't gained traction or had trades that could stick in recent period (even I myself got stopped out of $iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF(IGV)$ on two separate attempts since the below post but at the end of the day, it's all about numbers and probabilities)No. of SPDR Sectors Above 50-MAOne Month Earlier: 1 out of 11Today: 10 out of 11Recent weeks may have been a chop fest but quite a number of charts at sectoral and group level are displaying tightening action similar to $iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF(ITA)$ here. Take a bird's-eye view of $Communication Services Select Sector SPDR F
GitLab's recent share price surge has left investors either celebrating their foresight or nursing a serious case of FOMO. But before we get carried away with visions of endless gains, let’s take a step back. Is this rally built on solid ground, or are we just chasing a hare that might not have the stamina for the long run? Racing ahead in the AI-powered DevOps revolution Market Mayhem: What’s Fuelled the Fire? GitLab’s latest rally isn't just hot air. The company has capitalised on the broader tech sector’s bullish sentiment while making tangible strides of its own. Enterprise adoption of its DevOps platform is gaining traction, fuelling impressive revenue growth. The DevSecOps space, where $GitLab, Inc.(GTLB)$ has been sharpening its claws, rema
$Hims & Hers Health Inc.(HIMS)$ has been showing signs of potential rerating by the market, particularly as it transitions from being primarily known as a provider of affordable generic medications to being recognized as a profitable telehealth platform. Here's a breakdown based on recent developments and market sentiment: Market Performance and Financials: Stock Performance: The stock is up 176% in the last 6 months. Presently trading at $44.17. Recent data indicates that HIMS stock has been on an upward trajectory, with significant gains in recent weeks. Earnings and Revenue: Hims & Hers reported impressive year-over-year revenue growth of 52% and a 377% increase in free cash flow for