To The Moon

Last night, President Trump announced a 25% tariff on imported cars and car parts coming into the U.S. This isn’t surprising or out of left field, but the market seems to be surprised it’s now reality and not a negotiating tactic.If there’s a place to test the impact of tariffs, it’s in the auto industry. Higher costs won’t slowly be rolled out, like they may with tariffs on avocados, and vehicles are a discressionary purchase. They’ll likely hit stocker prices within the next month.What will customers do if the price of a vehicle rises $3,000 to $10,000, as some project?How will dealers and automakers adapt?It’s likely we see fewer sales because prices will go up. That said, the impact of imports will likely be lower than auto loans nearly doubling. And that didn’t cripple the industry.Ma

1.No Equity Risk Premium, no problem?(albeit to be fair the marginal buyer at the moment probably doesn't even know what an ERP is!)Image2.The best vs the worst of Global EquitiesKinda looks like a turning point... $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $Dow Jones(.DJI)$Image3."bull markets grow on doubt and wither once hype takes hold..."Image4.No Credit Risk PremiumUS assets are priced for perfection, but we are in an imperfect world.Sometimes very low credit spreads represents confidence, other times it represents complacency.I

There’s not one metric that makes a company investable. Here are some of the quantitative and qualitative factors I consider when analysing a companyQuantitativeConsistently high return on capital Consistently high FCF growth rate Expanding profit margins (operating efficiency)Prudent and sustainable approach to SBC, buybacks and dividendsCapital and asset lightAffordable debtQualitativeRecurring revenuesAffordable product that customers are highly dependent on (ideally mission critical) and unlikely to be cut during a downturnSales not highly cyclical Product not overly reliant on raw materials and therefore profitability not tied to commodity cycles Barriers to entry and barriers to scale

Performance of Global Equity Indices(in US Dollar) Last week, global equity assets showed lackluster performance overall. Greater China stocks experienced a notable pullback, with the Hang Seng Tech Index—previously the strongest performer—dropping over 4%. The CSI 300, Shanghai Composite Index, and Hang Seng Index also saw significant declines. In contrast, U.S. stocks temporarily stabilized and remained volatile, ultimately closing slightly higher for the week. Year-to-date, Greater China, Europe, and other non-U.S. markets have significantly outperformed U.S. equities. Key Market Themes FOMC Review: Slower Balance Sheet Reduction Can’t Mask Stagflation Risks, Feigned Calm Won’t Alleviate Macro Concerns Last Wednesday, the Federal Reserve’s FOMC meeting proceeded as expected, with most a

My US portfolio is definitely down but my HK portfolio and SREITs have generally gone up. I would say I’ve lost money because I’ve not bought much US stocks compared to my HK stocks and I do have time to wait out for the next rally. Moving forward, I won’t buy heavily into US stocks. I will be waiting for a good opportunity to take profit. I think the current US stocks is only safe for swing trading and to trade on news. I will also adopt the same strategy for my HK stocks given the rally so far even though valuation is still cheap. This is because stock can always drop especially with fears of trade wars, HK stocks have shown to be volatile and quick for a sharp drop with news that investors don’t like, and many might be taking profit already. Although I count myself as an investor, the v

The Internet of Things (IoT) is rapidly transforming the way devices, systems, and people interact, creating a seamlessly connected world. In 2025, IoT stocks are emerging as a compelling investment opportunity, driven by advancements in sensor technology, cloud computing, and data analytics. This post explores the fundamentals of IoT stocks, key market drivers, diverse applications, investment opportunities and risks, and market projections—supported by detailed data and a visual graph. 1. Overview of IoT Stocks Definition & Significance: IoT stocks represent companies that develop, manufacture, or provide services for connected devices and sensors that collect and transmit data over the internet. These devices are used across various sectors, including industrial automation, smart ho

Are financial stocks the breakout stars of 2025? As of March 25, 2025, with markets bouncing between hope and hesitation, the financial sector is charging ahead, powered by a potent mix of stable rates, loan growth, and investor rotation. The XLF Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF is up 10% year-to-date (YTD), leaving the S&P 500’s 3% gain in the dust. With banks, insurers, and asset managers riding high, is this the rally to bet on—or a trap to dodge? Let’s dive into the data, unpack the drivers, and map out how to play this financial surge in a volatile year. The Market in 2025: A Tale of Divergence The broader market’s stuck in neutral in Q1 2025. The S&P 500’s clinging to a 3% YTD gain as of March 25, per real-time trends, with tech fading (Nasdaq off 2% this week) and staples ho

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$  Enough of these AI Bubble fake news Quick facts check: Is Alibaba Chairman in an executive position? No, Eddie Wu Is the CEO. Is Alibaba Chairman from a technical or AI background to know better? No, he used to handle Alibaba’s financial and law structure, and doesn’t have experience in technology. Did Alibaba increase AI spending in 2025? Yes And did Alibaba buy Nvidia chips, or make their own chips? They make their own chips so obviously they want to claim US is in a bubble. - Chinese firms are also increasing their AI spending, then are they also in bubble too? Yes if we apply’s Joe Tsai’s warning then China is also in a bubble. Better to sell Alibaba stocks. - Is Alibaba Chairman a credible source