Daily Charts - Nothing good happens below the 200DMA for SPX
1."Nothing good happens below the 200-day moving average"As a trend indicator, a crossover below the 200dma is intuitively a bad thing in terms of the price trendBut another aspect is historically volatility has been materially higher below $S&P 500(.SPX)$$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$Image2.Credit Spread CyclesLow spreads are not necessarily a bad thing, especially if they are falling from high levels under improving conditions.Rising spreads OTOH are almost always bad (unless and until they reach a climax and turn down)Image3.Gold Market Strategy Dashboard-looking overvalued-sentiment heating up-but strong price momentum-(and monetary tailwinds) $Gold -
We are currently 29 trading days into this $S&P 500(.SPX)$ correction.The median non-recessionary SPX correction lasts 60 days.The median recessionary SPX correction lasts 282 days, almost 5x as long.Image Open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with upcoming 0-commission, unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs. Find out more here.Other helpful links:💰Join the TB Contra Telegram Group to Get $10 Trading Vouchers Now🎉How to open a CBA.
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Not much movement overall, aside from filling the gap from March 21st.Buyers stepped in and held the daily market bias—a strong sign. That said, I’m not in love with the Daily BX just yet. It’s still 🟢, but I’d like to see it make a higher high to confirm strength.On the weekly, the picture looks much better:• BX still showing higher lows• Structure remains bullish• Testing the monthly market biasIt doesn’t mean this has to rip—but it does mean every box is checked on my setup.I’m bullish here.Image Open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with upcoming 0-commission, unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs. Find out more here.Other helpful links:
SPY Strong bounce, but bigger signals suggest caution
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Strong bounce, but bigger signals suggest caution. ⚠️Today’s recovery was impressive after a rough open.On the daily, we’re still holding the smart money zone between $550–$548—a key level where institutions often defend structure.But zooming out 👇The monthly BX closed 🔴, signaling that buying pressure is fading. Combine that with price still trading below the weekly market bias, and it’s hard to ignore the downside risk.I still believe $540–$500 is likely in the coming months.Best-case scenario? A short-term rally to $580–$590 before potential rejection.No positions open here—just patiently waiting for confirmation.Image Open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with upcoming 0-commi
TSLA - Buy and Hold as long as the stock remains in a Bullish Zone
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$$GraniteShares 2x Short TSLA Daily ETF(TSDD)$$Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X Shares(TSLL)$ Long-Term Investment StrategyTrend Analysis & IntensityCurrent Trend Zone: BullishTrend Strength: 56% Bullish (Expected to rise to 63% Bullish in the next 10 days)Investment Position: Buy and HoldTSLA remains in a Bullish Zone, where strong buying pressure continues to support an upward trend with only mild corrections. Within this zone:Uptrend: A dominant rising movement with brief pullbacks.Correction Trend: Temporary declines with frequent upward reversals.Investors focusing on a medium to long-term horizon should maintain a Buy and Hold strategy,
Hysterical Sell-Off Seamlessly Transitions to Earnings-Season Optimism
The market’s behavior on Monday was peculiar—it might have hit a key support level, forcing both bulls and bears to make decisions. Bulls cautiously went long, while some bears retreated, and others rolled their positions. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ There were numerous large single-leg bullish trades on $SPX$, most of which had expirations at the end of June. The bullish strike prices were concentrated at 588–590, which seems like a reasonable target.However, based on $SPY$ options activity, bearish open interest remains higher. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ The situation is very complex, as both bullish and bearish positions are extremely polarized. At this point, it’s likely that some individuals know the specifics of the ta
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ fell on Mon, 31 Mar 2025, just ahead of key sales data due later this week. Shares of the EV maker closed down -1.7% at $259.16, while the S&P 500 gained +0.55% and the Dow also gained +1.00%, respectively. The Downgrade. It did not help that Stifel, Analyst, Stephen Gengaro: Trimmed Tesla target price to $455 from $474, while retaining a “Buy” rating. Expects Q1 deliveries around 353,000 based on (a) rollout of the new Model Y as well as (b) headwinds from the "anti-Elon Musk crowd”. Confirmed that “Democrats’ favorability rating about Tesla has plunged, creating near-term sales headwinds. True that Musk, has fallen out of favour with Democrats partly because of : His close alignment with Trump. His position in the newly
📉 $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ is down 8.28% YTD, and leading chip stock $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ has taken an even bigger hit, plunging 19.29%.In a downtrend, how do you react? Are you the type to quietly add to your position, or do you seize opportunities in both directions?Did you catch the wave? Some traders did!🎉 Huge congrats to @TRADER456 who secured a $5,311 profit shorting NVDA, with unrealized gains reaching $7,111 at one point!He first shared:Markets are already crashing 2 days before in anticipation of liberation day. Predicting huge imminent crash on liberation day April 2nd that could possibly plunge the market into a recession phase. Fear is at an all
🌟🌟🌟Warren Buffett believes in Index ETFs. He even had a USD 1 million bet with hedge funds that Index ETFs will beat hedge funds. Ultimately Warren Buffett won the bet. Warren Buffett has 2 ETFs in his portfolio - $Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$ and $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$. When the markets are volatile, just simply invest in them and in the long term, they will continue to gain in capital growth. Investing can be so simple with $Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$ and $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ No need to worry which stock to invest. Just buy VOO and let it ride.
💰Top SPX & DJI Gainers in Q125 with Q2 Outlook Insights
Q1 Global Assets Recap1. Click to see the Chart 1: Q1 2025 Global Asset Highlights[Allin] The first quarter of 2025 has already passed, and the performance of global major asset classes has shown a diversified trend.The three major U.S. stock indexes fell sharply in the first quarter, with the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ down 4.59%, the $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ down 1.28%, and the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ down 10.42%.Meanwhile, Hong Kong stocks performed well, driven by China's artificial intelligence industry. The $HSI(HSI)$ and the $HSTE
🌟🌟🌟ST Engineering $ST Engineering(S63.SI)$ is a global leader in Defence, Aerospace and Smart City Solutions, driving innovation across critical infrastructure and digital systems and serving customers in over 100 countries. ST Engineering was formed in 1997 with the amalgamation of ST Aerospace, ST Electronics, ST Automotive and ST Marine, a SGD 2 billion listed company. ST Engineering's largest shareholder is Temasek Holdings with a 51% stake. ST Engineering's share price has been on a tear and is one of the best performing Singapore Bluechip companies. Its share price has risen 3.6% in the past 5 days and 15% in just 1 month. ST Engineering is now up 46% year todate and in 2024, ST E
Tariff disruptions resurface, US stock indices' rebound fades
On March 26, U.S. President Donald Trump signed an announcement at the White House declaring a 25% tariff on imported cars. The measure will take effect on April 2. Trump emphasized that the tariff would be permanent, adding that cars manufactured within the United States would be exempt from the tax.Trump's statement quickly triggered backlash from U.S. trade partners, including the European Union, Canada, and Japan. 1. Where is the Support Level for the Second Phase of the U.S. Stock Index Decline?Recent analyses suggest that the U.S. stock index rebound seen earlier was merely temporary and not indicative of a full recovery. In fact, the rebound was weaker than expected, reinforcing the likelihood that February's peak will remain the high point for the year. Given the renewed downward t
Two Options Strategies for Tesla Before Tariff Announcement, Delivery Numbers
President Donald Trump will announce his reciprocal tariff push on Wednesday during an event in the White House Rose Garden. Trump’s tariffs target imported vehicles/parts. While Tesla produces domestically, CEO Elon Musk warns of “significant impact” due to reliance on foreign components.Tesla’s implied volatility is at 96.3% for April 4 puts, favoring sellers. Post-announcement IV collapse (if tariffs are benign) could reduce premium attractiveness but lower assignment risk. Let’s dive into the potential sscenarios and related options strategies.US Automakers Make Mad Dash to Persuade Trump to Temper Tariffs$Ford Motor Co.(F)$, $General Motors Co.(GM)$ and Stellantis NV are lobbying the administration to exc
How Tariffs Are Reshaping Wall Street: What Analysts Are Saying
Since March 2025, global markets have been experiencing heightened volatility under the looming shadow of U.S. tariff policies. Recent data indicates that several senior economic advisers to President Trump have proposed a new reciprocal tariff plan. This move has not only disrupted import-export businesses and market sentiment but has also triggered a ripple effect across global supply chains, significantly altering the landscape of international trade.Leading financial institutions have conducted in-depth analyses of the potential impact of tariffs on markets. The general consensus is that tariffs are increasing uncertainty and could negatively affect global economic growth. Particularly, Goldman Sachs and BCA Research have issued bearish forecasts, predicting a decline in the S&P 50
Markets Brace for Q2 2025 as Tariff Uncertainty Looms
Q1 2025 Market Performance Recap: $S&P 500(.SPX)$ : -4.6% (worst quarter since 2022) Dow Jones: -1.3% (relative outperformance) $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ : -10.2% (tech rout) $NVIDIA(NVDA)$$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$$Apple(AAPL)$ Global Markets: +6.3% (benefiting from U.S. dollar weakness and policy shifts) Key Market Drivers: Tariffs, Trade Wars & Trump’s “Liberation Day” (April 2) Trump to announce new reciprocal tariffs against countries with high duties on U.S. goods. “Dirty 15” list of top U.S. trade partners in the crosshairs. Could trigger global retaliation and further market
Ok so here's the thing, that few people are talking about, well they are. But saying costs for American consumers will go up, isn't really helpful, so let me break it down. First the easy one... coffee. America can't grow coffee it's just not possible to grow coffee there. So if America imposes say 25% tariffs on brasil for eg, guess what? Your $Starbucks(SBUX)$ coffee goes from $5 to $6.25, if you usually drink 5 cups a week as an American consumer that's going to cost you $6.25 extra every week. Going forward, you will be paying around 300 bucks more a year... just to get a week day coffee fix. Yes I'm oversimplifying, but that's just a cup of coffee people! Start looking at everything else That the USA can't physically produce due to climate, t
April Fools' Special: Got a Funny Stock Meme? Drop It Here!
Happy April Fools’ Day! Markets may go up and down, but good memes and jokes are always in a bull or bear market. 🐂💹Let's make this thread a gold mine of laughter!Share the stock market memes that never fail to crack you up!Everytime we are in a downtrun, this meme will come to me:Does these two memes perfectly illustrate your stock trading mindset?Or drop your favorite market-related jokes.How about this one?Why do traders love the weekend? Because they finally get to stop-loss!Stock market rule #1: If you have to ask whether it’s a dip or a crash... it’s a crash.What’s the funniest finance meme or joke you’ve seen? Drop it below! ⬇🔥Participation Prize: Every funny meme will get 5 tiger coins~ (Same meme won't count)Lucky Prize: 5 lucky tigers will get 50 tiger coins for interesting memes
Bargain hunting Tesla? This strategy helps you lock in risks
Tesla shares closed down 1.67% on Monday at $259.16. Last week, Tesla shares rose 6%, ending a nine-week streak of record losses and recording their first weekly gain since Trump's inauguration.However, Tesla's stock price has fallen nearly 32% year-to-date. In contrast, the S&P 500 fell more than 4% over the same period.Gengaro wrote in a note to clients,The bank expects Tesla stock price to continue to fluctuate in the short term, but he remains optimistic about the medium and long-term prospects for Tesla's stock price with the sale of low-priced cars and the launch of a fully autonomous driving service in Austin, Texas later this year.Gengaro also lowered its forecast for Tesla's first-quarter deliveries by 23%, from 458,672 to 353,418 vehicles.He blamed the timing of increased pro
April Effect vs. Trump Pressure: Who Will Set the Tone for Trade?
Historically, since 1971, April has been the second-strongest month for the three major US stock indexes. Additionally, in post-election years since 1950, April has consistently ranked among the top-performing months, maintaining its position as the second-best month on record.As we enter April, does March’s sell-off present a buying opportunity?The market fell into extreme fear on February 25, hitting a new low of 11 on March 4. After a brief rebound starting last Friday, investor sentiment has once again returned to extreme fear, with the current index at 21.Does extreme fear signal a buying opportunity, or should we wait for new lows?How will the tariff policy unfold: will volatility intensify?Citigroup has outlined three different tariff scenarios and their corresponding market impacts