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2025-04-03
Weekly | Did HK Market Rally Halt by Shock Setback?
This week, Hong Kong stocks underperformed, with the $HSI(HSI)$ falling 2.46%.Several negative news events contributed to this slump:1.Robot Investment PullbackFamous investor Zhu Xiaohu announced he is exiting investments in humanoid robots due to unclear commercialization, shaking up the industry and cooling tech stock hype.2.Xiaomi’s Tragic IncidentOn Tuesday, a deadly crash involving the $XIAOMI-W(01810)$ SU7 raised doubts about the company’s autonomous driving features. Three people died, and Xiaomi faced public backlash, resulting in two consecutive days of sharp stock price declines.3.Trump’s Tariff OrdersOn Thursday, President Trump signed two executive orders imposing "reciprocal tariffs" on 40+
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2025-04-04
S&P 500 Teeters on the Edge: Tariff Fallout, NFP Data, and the Looming Risk of a Deeper Correction
April 4, 2025 – The S&P 500 ( $S&P 500(.SPX)$ ) is at a critical juncture, reeling from a tariff-driven selloff that has already shaved 2.84% off the index, closing at 5394.52 on Thursday, April 3. This sharp decline—part of a broader 4.8% drop, marking the index’s worst single-day performance since June 2020—comes on the heels of President Donald Trump’s sweeping tariff announcement, which introduced a 10% baseline tariff on all imports, with higher rates for specific countries, effective April 5. As markets brace for the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report due today at 8:30 AM EDT, the stakes couldn’t be higher. A disappointing NFP print, combined with the tariff shock, could push the S&P 500 into a deeper correction, heightening the risk
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2025-04-04
Markets in Shock: Trump Tariffs Unleash 2025’s First True Meltdown
Here's a concise Market Intelligence Brief synthesizing the core themes from today’s events and Thursday, April 3, 2025 - Market Recap & Macro Pulse 🔻 Equities: Deepest Selloff Since 2020 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ : -4.8% $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ : -6.0% Dow: -4.0% (-1,679 pts) Market cap wiped: ~$3.1 trillion VIX: Elevated, stuck in “no-man’s-land” (uncertainty, but not peak fear) The tariff barrage has upended market assumptions, pricing in a materially higher recession probability. Analysts and traders, caught flat-footed by the scale of the action, scrambled to reprice risk across all sectors. Fair value on the S&P 500 is estimated near 4,900—but that’s assuming no further shocks. With market structure frag
TOPVenus Reade: I never seen stocks drop so fast before this dropped hard then covid time, with no plan of stopping
5.49K
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2025-04-04
Panic Selloff Begins? Will the Recession Trade Really Happen?
The Fear and Greed Index dropped to 8 yesterday, with its lowest point in May 2022 reaching 3. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ companies lost a combined $2.4 trillion in market value during Thursday’s selloff on Wall Street, marking their biggest one-day loss since March 16, 2020, when the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic sent global markets into a tailspin.Following the tariff storm yesterday, the market now faces the challenge of March’s non-farm payrolls (NFP) report and unemployment rate today.The market expects no major surprises in the March jobs report, forecasting 140,000 new jobs, an unemployment rate of 4.1%, and average hourly earnings rising 4% YoY, all within long-term trends. However, mass layoffs at DOGE could introduce uncertaint
TOPThe Fear and Greed Index dropping to 8 is a strong indicator of extreme panic. While the market is bracing for the March jobs report, history shows that extreme fear often marks the start of opportunity. I’m watching the data, but I also believe great entries rarely feel comfortable. Nvidia hitting $100 caught my attention. It’s down 33% from recent highs, and some are questioning if the semiconductor rally is over. But we've seen this before—back in 2021, Nvidia dropped over 60% before rebounding. I still believe in its long-term role in AI and chips, so I see this as a chance to start accumulating, even if more volatility comes. There’s no doubt recession risks are rising, and the short-term outlook is shaky. But whether it’s a trading recession or a real one, I’d rather position myself early than wait for perfect clarity. Fear creates opportunity—especially for those thinking long term. @Tiger_comments @TigerStars @Daily_Discussion @TigerGPT @Tiger_SG
3.57K
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2025-04-04
$2.8 trillion was wiped from the U.S. stock market
1.$2.8 trillion was wiped from the U.S. stock market today. $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ $Apple(AAPL)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Alphabet(GOOG)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ Watching these keys：• The Magnificent Seven breakdown• Where I see generational buy zones• The exact levels I’m watching• How I’m navigating this correctionThis could be the opportunity of the decade.Watch before the dust settles.PS：One of my favorite moments is when there’s blood in the market.Not because of the chaos—because of the clarity.This is when the noise fa
2.91K
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2025-04-04
10 examples why US tariffs shield domestic industries from foreign competition
Everyone hates tariffs but President Trump likes them: 10 examples why tariffs shield domestic industries from foreign competition and encouraging consumers to buy domestically produced items:Light Trucks: Since 1964, a 25% tariff, known as the "Chicken Tax," has been imposed on imported light trucks to protect domestic automakers. Washing Machines: In 2018, tariffs starting at 20% were placed on imported washing machines to support U.S. manufacturers like $Whirlpool(WHR)$ . Solar Panels: Also in 2018, a 30% tariff was imposed on imported solar panels to promote domestic production. Steel Products: A 25% tariff on imported steel has been applied to support the U.S. steel industry, affecting various consumer goods made from steel. Aluminum Product
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2025-04-04
Here's Why NVDA and SMCI Looks Cheap Now But Not A Good Time To Buy Now.
We are seeing semiconductors name like $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ and $SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ trading near their previous lows when we experienced sharp selloff. The last event was during the August and September 2024 period, which we saw a recovery small rally after these sharp selloff. So this current low price target of these two semiconductor stocks might tempt investors to buy the dip, but I think we need to be aware of more pain as AI revolution would be paused due to tariff concerns as corporations might reduce their budget spending. VIX At Dangerous Level (> 30) We are seeing the VIX above the 30 level, when the VIX (Volatility Index) rises above 30, it generally indicates a period of heightened m
TOPAll stocks will continue to decline until Donald gets the interest rates lowered. SMCI will be a steal of a stock a week before earnings call. I am holding out for a couple more weeks for a few more shake downs before I jump in.
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2025-04-04
JPOW's Speech May Impact Market, $540 Key for 20% Correction
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ JPOW speech on economy is April 4th, 2025. His speech can help fill a massive gap on this daily chart.But, fundamentally once it breaks this level $540 then next levels on this chart is now $520 and then $500.I'll alert where I believe the exact bottom will be and it will be in April.20% correction from all time highs takes it under $500. This is where President Trump threshold for pain is. Q1 GDP is negative 🩸ImageOpen a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with upcoming 0-commission, unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs. Find out more here.Other helpful links:💰Join the TB Contra Telegram Group to
1.58K
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2025-04-04
Sector & Indices ETFs Strength Trend Meter Bar Chart
1.Sector ETFs Strength Trend Meter Bar Chart $Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLE)$ $Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLF)$ $Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLY)$ $Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLU)$ $Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLP)$ $Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLI)$ $Communication Services Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLC)$ $Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLK)$ $Health Care Select S
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2025-04-04
Mega & Large Cap Companies Strength Trend Meter Bar Chart
1.Mega Cap Companies Strength Trend Meter Bar Chart $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $UnitedHealth(UNH)$ $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ $SHELL PLC SPON ADS EACH REPR 2 ORD SHS(SHEL)$ $Exxon Mobil(XOM)$ $Chevron(CVX)$ $GE Aerospace(GE)$ $JPMorgan Chase(JPM)$ $Netflix(NFLX)$ $Bank of America(BAC)$ $Novo-Nordisk A/S(NVO)$
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2025-04-04
SPY Breached the lower Bollinger Band significantly.
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ : Breached the lower Bollinger Band significantly. Given the bearish candle and volume validation, a substantial bounce is unlikely. However, a return to the band's range is expected. This is a bear market, but same as bull markets price action experiences technical resets.One of the bear market rallies of 2025 will come in May, when the FED will cut rates. Something short lived as in 2022. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ ImageOpen a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with upcoming 0-commission, unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stoc
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2025-04-04
To those of you buying the dip
To those of you buying the dip:Remember, it takes a long time for the economy to stabilize and the market to bottom during a “normal” recession.Dot com: S&P 500 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ peaked in early 2020 and didn’t bottom until late 2022.Great Recession: Peak in early 2007. Bottom in March 2009.It's OK to fail.We don't talk about this enough.Risks entail upside.It also involves downside risk.Most businesses fail.That doesn't mean the founders are failures.Embrace failure when it arrives.Learn from it.And try again. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2506(ESmain)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$
984
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2025-04-04
Daily Charts - Stock/Bond ratio rolling over after a very strong run
1.Stock/Bond ratio rolling over after a very strong runIt also comes following the stocks vs bonds relative value indicator reaching 25-year highs, and a long way to go before it gets cheap... $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Image2.Seeing a lot of whitepapers and thought leadoorship on why small caps are structurally bad (wonder if they wrote the same kind of things back in the 80's and late-90's)Whether or not the trend on this chart persists, there sure seems to be a cycle. $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ Image3.Gold is breaking out vs the 60/40 portfolioThanks in part to that, investor allocations to gold are starting to drift higherSign of
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2025-04-04
🍽️ Snap & Share: The Ultimate Foodie Hunt! 🇸🇬🇦🇺
It's Tiger Friday time! Coins and gifts are prepared for you. I would like to invite you to join in the "The Ultimate Foodie Hunt! ".Love discovering amazing local eats? Whether it’s a plate of steaming Hainanese chicken rice in Singapore or a perfectly grilled steak in Australia, we want to see what’s on your plate! 🍛☕🍖📸 How to Join: 1️⃣ Snap a photo of your favorite local dish or a must-visit restaurant. 2️⃣ Share a short caption on why it’s worth trying. 🏆 Rewards: Everyone who comments will receive 5 Tiger Coins. Share this post and tag a friend for an extra 5 Tiger Coins.The most mouthwatering entries will win USD 5 stock vouchers or Tiger giftGot a hidden gem or a classic go-to spot? Show us what makes your city a foodie paradise! 🍔🍜🥂📅 Event Duration:April 4th - April 30th
TOP🌟🌟🌟Food is the Elixir of Life and is one that brightens up my day. My favourite dish is the absolutely delicious Singapore Chilli Crab cooked just right with a yummy egg and tomato based sauce over egg noodles that will soak up the divine flavour. This dish is served with a generous dollop of love by my dearest mum who loves to experiment new dishes in the kitchen. Sometimes the best food is found right at home without having to hunt around Singapore. I always have second helpings as it is so goooood. 🥰🥰🥰🦀🦀🦀🇸🇬🇸🇬🇸🇬 @TigerEvents @TigerStars @Tiger_comments @TigerClub @CaptainTiger
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2025-04-04
NVDA, SMH, AAPL, DJI, IWM, MSFT & SPX all made new lows
7/7 (!) calls nailed to perfection – all made new lows exactly as I said they would! 🔥 $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Apple(AAPL)$ $Microsoft(MSFT)$ $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ The best calls in the game, and I gave them away for FREE. Don't sleep on the next moves – I’m always one step ahead !I predicted on March 29：The next major wave down fro SPX is starting to unfold – but just how deep will the decline go? Are we just going to hit 54
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2025-04-04
SPX 5400 target reached
5400 target reached ✅ Now, $S&P 500(.SPX)$ is primed to keep cratering in the ultra-bearish 3rd wave, with a target of 5300 on the horizon.Watch for a brief fractal bounce soon, but it’ll barely retrace 23.6-30-38.2% of the drop from Thursday's high before we dive into another leg lower.The odds favor breaking the 5120 swing low – or at least getting dangerously close. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2506(ESmain)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2506(NQmain)$ ImageOpen
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2025-04-04
Retail Investors: bought stocks at a record pace
The Money Flow data from March is WILD. Hedge Funds: sold stocks at a record pace. Retail Investors: bought stocks at a record pace. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ ImageThe odds of a recession are now up to 46%, according to Polymarket. Recessionary $S&P 500(.SPX)$ corrections typically reach Bear Market territory (-20%), with a median decline of -23%.ImageOpen a CBA today and enjoy ac
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2025-04-04
Lows Near 2020, Sharp Selloff Continued After Sweeping Tariffs
On Thursday (03 Apr) we saw the stock market experienced sharp selloff after the announcement of sweeping tariffs on almost all U.S. trading partners. The DJIA plunged more than 1,500 points to down by 3.98%, NASDAQ slumped by 5.97% and S&P 500 also fell by massive 4.84%. A 10% tariff was imposed on global imports, effective 05 April. Higher rates were imposed on specific countries, which will come into effect on 09 April, China got an additional 34% on top of its existing 20%, Japan got 24%, SEA region, Vietnam got 46%, India also got 26% and the EU was hit by 20%. President Trump's recent announcement of sweeping tariffs has sent shockwaves through global financial markets, significantly impacting U.S. stocks. The tariffs, which include a minimum baseline rate of 10%, have raised fea
TOPTrump's Tariffs will cost Amazon Many $Billions. Who is Trump trying to get even with?