Xiaomi: Cashing In on the Future – Is Now the Time to Buy?
$XIAOMI-W(01810)$ has evolved far beyond its budget-smartphone origins. Today, it stands at the crossroads of three major industries: premium smartphones, smart home IoT, and electric vehicles (EVs). With a solid free cash flow, a fast-growing services segment, and an aggressive push into EVs, Xiaomi’s future looks bright—but not without challenges. So, is now the right time to invest? Let’s break it down. Cash Flow: Xiaomi’s Financial Superpower Free cash flow is the financial backbone of any ambitious company, and Xiaomi has plenty of it. Thanks to disciplined cost control and expanding profit margins, Xiaomi has positioned itself for sustainable growth. Recent financials tell the story. EPS for the last quarter came in at HK$0.35, beating the
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ 📉⚡🚨 SPY at the Precipice: Will the Falling Wedge Ignite a Reversal or Accelerate the Decline? 🚨⚡📉 SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust ($SPY): Navigating the Falling Wedge Amid Macroeconomic Turbulence ~ 07Apr25 NZ 🇳🇿time The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust ($SPY), a cornerstone exchange traded fund mirroring the S&P 500 index, serves as a critical barometer for U.S. equity markets. Recently, I’ve observed that $SPY has entered a pronounced downtrend, prompting rigorous debate among investors, does the current technical formation signal an imminent reversal, or is it a precursor to further declines? A falling wedge pattern on the 4 hour chart offers a glimmer of bullish potential, yet I believe this must be weighed again
How long did SPX take for the all-time high and recovered?
1.How long did it take for the ATH of $2,940.9 for the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ in September 2018 to be recovered? ➡️7 months. By April 2019 new ATH were seen. To recover the 3,393.5 ATH from February 2020,➡️it took 6 months; new ATH by August 2020.How can we know if these two are the benchmarks today?2.How long did it take for the all-time high of $1,552.9 for the SPX in March 2000 to be recovered?It took 7 years and 4 months.By July 2007, the price had fully recovered, right before the GFC.Will you wait or will you trade?3.How long did it take for the all-time high of $1,576.1 for the SPX in October 2007 to be recovered?It took 5 years and 6 months.By April 2013, the price had fully recovered.Are you ready to wait?4.How long did it take for the all-t
$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ : Island candle below the Bollinger band and RSI below 30; extremely oversold. Those three elements are the perfect formula for a sustained bounce. However, I don't like the shape of the bands, so a short lived bounce is more likely than a bottom.Perhaps a gap down is better than a weak bounce. In any case, when candles break above the Bollinger band with a gap, the odds for a gap fill are very likely within the next month, there is no reason to see something different on the bear side, even more after falling more than 20% in such a short period of time. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$$NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ ImageOpen a CBA today and enjoy access to
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ held weekly market structure even after Friday’s 10% sell-off—but it’s definitely looking weaker than last week.The weekly BX is closing with lower lows, and worst-case, we could see a flush down to $200 this week.I haven’t averaged into my 2026 calls—they’re basically dead money right now. Not worth closing, but also not worth adding to until something changes.Monthly market bias is still holding, and my trading bots remain active. If a trigger fires, I’ll follow the system.If $200 breaks, it’s a game changer. At that point, I won’t be looking to trade Tesla to the upside until that level is reclaimed.ImageOpen a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with upcoming 0-commission, unlimited trading on
SPY - A bounce is expected by many, and I wouldn’t be surprised if it happens
The S&P 500 $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ is down 17% in five weeks—with nearly 12% of that in just the last two.A bounce is expected by many, and I wouldn’t be surprised if it happens.I originally expected a move down to $500–$480, but over the course of months—similar to 2022. Once structure broke, I was watching for a retest of the weekly bias zone around $580–$590 before looking for short setups.But the market dropped so fast that it blew right through it.Now we’re sitting inside the monthly market bias, where there’s historically an 80% chance of a bounce. The last time we traded below this level for any extended time was during 2008. Even in COVID, 2018, and 2022—we bounced here.Could we still fall another 6% to $480?Sure. But I think
All these companies will now be in big trouble if the FEDS don't cut rates soon
In 3 months, US government has to refinance $4 trillion or pay $10 billion in interest payments. And President Trump knows we don't have money to pay this at all.This is why the FEDS must lower interest rates – and what it means for YOU:Over the next 2 years, the U.S. government has to refinance nearly $10 TRILLION in debt.That’s like refinancing a MASSIVE mortgage – and the new "interest rate" is way higher than the old one.In 2025 alone:$6.2 trillion in debt comes due. It gets rolled over (refinanced), not paid off.Higher interest = higher paymentsWhy it matters to YOU:If rates stay high (like now at ~5.25%). The government pays hundreds of billions more just in interest That extra cost doesn’t come from thin air. It leads to higher taxes, cut social benefits, or more inflation down the
1.Global Equities: New Lows Tracker $S&P 500(.SPX)$$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$$NASDAQ 100(NDX)$$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$$Dow Jones(.DJI)$ This indicator tracks new 52-week lows across 70 countries, and has been helpful in detecting turning points and major bottoms (when it spikes to high levels).Being that it is not yet extreme --but is moving higher, this is risky ground...On the other hand, you could argue that this selloff is mostly a US thing given high starting point valuations and policy uncertainty centered on the US... which is actually now triggering an unwind of th
Historical Context For Stock Investors Trump Recession Day
$S&P 500(.SPX)$$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ Hey everyone, Today I'm going to talk about Trump's Recession Day tariffs and some of the broader policies we're seeing from the administration—and more importantly, what all of this could mean for investors right now. Normally, I focuses on individual stock analysis—probably 80–90% of the time—but I’ve had a lot of requests to share my macro views, so this is my attempt at that. I'm aiming to do something like this maybe once a week, depending on how it goes. Since we’ve got this big “Recession Day” event coming up on, April 2, 2025, I thought now would be a good time to frame how I’m looking at all of this from an investor perspective—especially in historical context
Cramer’s Crash Call: Why Investors Should Look Beyond the Headlines
Opinion: Cramer’s 22% S&P 500 Crash Prediction Is Unlikely—Here’s Why Investors Should Think for Themselves Jim Cramer’s dire warning on Mad Money on April 5, 2025, predicting a 22% single-day plunge in the S&P 500 (SPX) on Monday, April 7, has sent shockwaves through the financial world. Citing the spectre of the 1987 Black Monday crash, Cramer points to the recent tariff announcement from President Trump and the market’s two-day slide of 10.4% as harbingers of doom. While his flair for drama grabs attention, a closer look at today’s market mechanisms, the improbability of his exact scenario, and the complexities of global trade retaliation suggests investors should approach such predictions with scepticism—not blind faith. The intent here is clear: understanding the market’s nuan
Trade War Begins? Will the Market Drop 30% Before Bouncing Back?
$S&P 500(.SPX)$$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ A new trade war is brewing, and it’s global. As of April 5, 2025, markets are buzzing with uncertainty as China prepares to slap a 34% tariff on all U.S. goods starting April 10 at 12:01 p.m. The U.S. has fired back, rolling out tariffs on a slew of countries—some as high as 46%. Investors are asking: Could this trigger a 30% market drop like we saw in 2018, followed by a rebound? Or worse, could tariffs spark a recession? Let’s break it down with data, history, and what’s at stake. The 2025 Tariff Showdown: Who’s Paying the Price? This isn’t just a U.S.-China rematch—it’s a multi-front trade war. Here’s the latest rundown of U.S. tariff rates on key trading partners,
Market may hold off your long based execution, but the process of compiling watchlist names must stay in place. There's only 2 standout growth stock setup ideas from my favorite end-of-week "Strongest Growth Stock" screener, organized by industry group. They have 10-MA above 20-MA and are +0% change from Friday's open. $Cal-Maine(CALM)$$Alignment Healthcare, Inc.(ALHC)$ ImagePS: Wouldn't rule out the possibility of a relief gap-up on Monday/Tuesday if the President announces a delay in tariff implementation to allow more time for negotiation. The market is capable of sharp swings in both directions in the near term until his Trump card is played.Open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up
Everyday things like iPhone become more expensive with tariff
Tariffs are a good thing if you don’t need an IPhone or buy new shoes. In fact, if you don’t eat ginger beef or Peking duck from China, tariffs won’t matter.Example 1: iPhoneLet’s say $Apple(AAPL)$ makes part of the iPhone in China. If it costs $500 to produce and bring it to the U.S.:•Without a tariff: Apple pays $500•With a 30% tariff: Apple pays $500 + $150 = $650Apple won’t want to lose profit, so they’ll raise the price for you. That same iPhone that used to cost $1,000 might now cost $1,150 or more.Example 2: ShoesImagine a pair of shoes made in China costs $50 to import.•Without a tariff: The company pays $50•With a 30% tariff: They pay $50 + $15 = $65To keep their profits, the store might raise the price from $100 to $115 or $120.Summary:W
1. $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ High chances for a corrective bounce:1) Doji island below the Bollinger band2) Volume validation3) RSI at 24‼️Why corrective? The Bollinger band is widening, previous events are highlighted.Image2. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ Long island candle completely below the Bollinger Band, and RSI is oversold. Those are meaningful oversold conditions. $S&P 500(.SPX)$$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$$NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ ImagePS: In challenging bear markets, every downturn carries the seed of recovery. Your resilience and patience can lead to new opportunities. Inv
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ : A relief bounce is likely, considering the lower Bollinger band breached, oversold RSI and the island candle validated by volume. However, see the difference with August 2024: A Bollinger acting as support back then (green arrow), and the current one is a slider (red).NVDA has erased 55% - 60% of its gains in previous bear markets, will this time be different?➡️Technicals say no. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$$VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ ImagePS: In challenging bear markets, every downturn carries the seed of recovery. Your resilience and patience can lead to new opportunities. Inv
Daily Charts - Large daily moves in SPX are rare, but tend to cluster
1.Large daily moves in $S&P 500(.SPX)$ are rare, but tend to cluster (n.b. this includes large up and down moves)One constraint to a rally: US assets now need to provide a higher risk premium to reflect a permanent up shift in uncertainty and political risk (and short-term risk of recession, unintended consequences, feedback loops)Image2.Fun Fact: we've just been through one of the best 15-year periods in the stockmarket of all time...(and yes: valuations, sentiment, allocations all reflect that, and yes, that is going to make it very difficult to repeat this feat)Image3.Curious or Confused about Global vs US equity rotation?Here's something that should clear it up -- it's simply the market finally finding a reason (and there are good reasons
Is $S&P 500(.SPX)$ going to keep FREE FALLING, or are we close to a temporary bottom? 😱I’m diving deep into the wave count to reveal my expectations for the upcoming weeks, including my BEARISH LONG-TERM TARGETS and the projected path ahead. 🚨You DO NOT want to miss this !5120 target reached✅Watch for a 4th wave bounce here to 5240-5280.Expecting that to be sold, but may wait until we get a green candle Monday to sell off for the 5th targeting 5000 or lower. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$$E-mini S&P 500 - main 2506(ESmain)$$NASDAQ 100(NDX)$$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$
Here’s the previous 10 times the $SPX was down -17.5% or more
Here’s the previous 10 times the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ was down -17.5% or more. 👇👇👇The highest SPX P/E Ratio for a bottom was 16x in 1998.Our current P/E Ratio is 18.6x. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$$NASDAQ 100(NDX)$$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ ImageRelevant now as we’ve come from a much higher P/E peak than usual: The SPX has only sustained a P/E multiple higher than the current mark (22.5x) twice in history: 1.) The Dot Com Bubble 2.) The Covid-QE BubbleImageOpen a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with upcoming 0-commission, unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs. Find out m