$MSTX 20250425 34.0 CALL$ Wow... $Defiance Daily Target 2X Long MSTR ETF(MSTX)$ is getting near to my strike price, however it turns back down again. With 4 more days left.. is it up or down next, I really don't know. Initially seeing it jump today, wanted to enter sell CALL for start of May. Yet, due to its indecisiveness rolling up & just want to jiak some premiums, decided to sell PUT first.. $MSTX 20250425 20.0 PUT$
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Navigating Visa Inc. (V) in 2025: Short-Term, Medium-Term, and Long-Term Investment Strategies
Introduction Visa Inc. (V), a global leader in digital payments, faced a notable decline on April 21, 2025, closing at $320.10, down $9.51 (-2.89%) amid market volatility driven by U.S. tariff policies. Despite this short-term setback, Visa’s robust fundamentals and market position make it a compelling investment opportunity. This article outlines strategies for short-term, medium-term, and long-term investors looking to capitalize on Visa’s potential while managing risks associated with current economic uncertainties. Market Context: A Snapshot of April 2025 Visa’s recent decline reflects broader market concerns over escalating trade tensions, particularly after President Trump increased tariffs on China to at least 125% on April 9, 2025, while pausing new tariffs on other countries for 9
Earnings season begins in earnest this week with companies like $3M(MMM)$$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$$Alphabet(GOOG)$$Alphabet(GOOGL)$$Verizon(VZ)$ all reporting. This may be the most anticipated earnings season in years because it’s the first time we will hear about the impact tariffs will have on business. I’ll share what I’m watching below.As for the market overall, we’re in what you would call a “correction” or a drawdown of over 10%. But the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ ’s 14.1% drawdown and $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$
1. $Robinhood(HOOD)$ HOOD has pulled back significantly, and the weekly BX remains red, signaling we’re not in a buy zone yet. For a new expansion to begin, we’ll need to see the BX flip green and clear signs of buying pressure returning.The setup is forming, but it’s not confirmed — staying patient here is critical.Image2. $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ TSM has seen a sharp pullback over the past few weeks, but it’s currently bouncing off the monthly market bias — a key support level we’ve respected in the past.That said, there’s no confirmation yet. The BX Trender still shows no signs of strong buying, so calling this a bottom would be premature.For now, the best move is to stay patient and wa
Merck (MRK) Sales Target For Gardasil Withdrawal Might Impact Its Earnings
$Merck(MRK)$ is scheduled to report its Q1 2025 financial results before the market opens on Thursday, April 24, 2025. They will hold a conference call for investors at 9:00 a.m. ET that day. For the revenue consensus estimate, analysts anticipate revenue around $15.48 billion, which would be a slight decrease of about 1.9% year-over-year. Wall Street expects Merck to report EPS of approximately $2.16. This would represent a modest increase of about 4.4% compared to $2.07 in Q1 2024. Some recent estimate revisions have trended slightly lower. From tipranks, we are looking at $2.14 which represent a slight increase of about 2% compared to same period in 2024. Key Product Sales: Continued growth is expected from Keytruda (estimated +8.7% YoY to $7.55
1. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ TSLA is down -5.5% today 🔻And with earnings tomorrow… investors are nervous.But panic isn’t a plan.TSLA reports tomorrow.The stock won’t move on earnings.It’ll move on the story.What matters:– 🚗 Cheaper model update– 🧠 Austin autonomous testing– 🐶 Elon + DOGE– 📈 2025 delivery guidanceWall Streets Numbers:– 💵 EPS: $0.39– ⚙️ Auto margin: 12.6%– 🚚 FY25 deliveries: 1.70M– 📊 FY25 EPS: $2.60Guidance > print.Narrative moves price.2. $UnitedHealth(UNH)$ UNH is down 30% in the last 6 daysBut I still wouldn’t touch it with a 10-foot pole.I’m breaking down why the setup isn’t there and why I’m not looking to call the bottom yet.3. $Direxion Daily Semic
GDX Elliott Wave Setup: Buying the Dip in the Blue Box Zone
As our members know we have had many profitable trading setups recently. In this technical article, we are going to present another Elliott Wave trading setup we got in Gold Miners ETF GDX . The ETF completed its correction precisely at the Equal Legs zone, referred to as the Blue Box Area. In the following sections, we will delve into the specifics of the Elliott Wave pattern and explain trading setup. GDX Elliott Wave 1 Hour Chart 04.17.2025 The current analysis suggests that GDX is forming a wave ((iv)) black correction. The pull back is incomplete at the moment, we expect another leg down . We anticipate an extension toward the extreme zone at 50.61-49.61 area, where we are looking to re-enter as buyers. We recommend members to avoid selling GDX. As t
1. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ The weekly chart provides a clearer view of the volume shelf that offered support today. However, a break below $506 would likely lead to $492 imminently. While the overall setup remains bearish, the low volume observed on the zoomed-in daily chart despite the significant sell-off raises an interesting question: is the selling pressure becoming exhausted?Image2. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ In case of a temporary spike tomorrow morning, be mindful of $432.9 as a critical level; because if it is lost, or continues as resistance, $421 is the next destination. Why temporary spike? Because the Bollinger bands, and every oscillator is currently indicating a downward trajectory.ImageThe
1.Tired: "why are US stocks down?"Wired: "why aren't US stocks down more?"From a Governance standpoint the USA is acting and talking like an Emerging Market.Should US stocks really be trading at a Premium vs rest of world, or more in line with EM? (i.e. ~36x or ~16x) $S&P 500(.SPX)$$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$$NASDAQ 100(NDX)$$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$$Dow Jones(.DJI)$ Image2.Global Equities "Relative Value Trinity"...something for those focused on the next 3-5 years and beyond (vs the next 3-5 days or hours for that matter!)Image3.Gold Miners are breaking out!And yet... inves
Is this what the average Fintwit portfolio looks like?
Is this what the average Fintwit portfolio looks like? 🔽🔽🔽CONTEXT: I recently ask followers to share their portfolio, so we could inspire one another. Someone commented that the portfolios all looked the same. So I did some analysis. Turns out a couple of names came up a lot - $Amazon.com(AMZN)$$Alphabet(GOOG)$$Alphabet(GOOGL)$$ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ - but mostly each portfolio was unique.ImageI've just published my research report into Gaztransport & Technigaz (GTT)• 75% return on capital• Capital-light monopoly• 7% FCF yieldImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy pri
Only 8 of SPX companies have issued forward guidance so far
Only 8 of the 59 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ companies that have reported in Q1 so far have issued forward guidance (13%, vs. ~40% avg).0 have guided above consensus.Not good.ImageThis is true. So far, thru Q1 Earnings Season:✅ Fewest companies issuing guidance since COVID (13% vs 40% avg)✅ Worst guidance ratio since COVID ✅ Company mentions of worse” or “weaker” at 2008 GFC levels.ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here:Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free trading.💰Join the TB Contra Tele