Hello everyone! Today i want to share some option strategies with you!1.Watching how other optionselling traders play the game is very humbling. We still have a lot to learn.Key things we need to work on this year:▫️ trusting our instinct on when to write more aggressive strikes versus defaulting to being very conservative (although not a bad thing, but we leave a lot of $$$ on the table)▫️ balancing our tried-and-true 'set it and forget it' far OTM strategy (which is how we trade) with taking more ATM or slightly OTM directional bets▫️ being more diligent about analyzing the market and technical charts as well as other data points and indicators to take high-conviction directional bets ▫️ not writing too many LEAP puts and calls (at the moment, we are trying to unwind several positions at
$S&P 500(.SPX)$$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ 🧨📉📈 𝙎𝙋𝙓 𝙎𝙝𝙖𝙠𝙚 𝙤𝙧 𝙎𝙚𝙩𝙪𝙥? 𝙑𝙄𝙓 𝙃𝙞𝙩𝙨 25+ 𝙖𝙨 𝘾𝙝𝙖𝙧𝙢 𝘿𝙚𝙛𝙚𝙣𝙘𝙚 𝙆𝙞𝙘𝙠𝙨 𝙞𝙣 📈📉🧨 $SPX 5515 is today’s key inflection point. It acts as the charm equilibrium, defining the threshold between passive bid support and rising volatility pressure. A hold above 5515, particularly reclaiming 5518, keeps charm mechanics net supportive into the close. That opens potential for reversion toward 5526.75 and possibly 5532.50, assuming continued dealer hedging and call chasing. 💥 Options aren’t sitting still. SPX calls just ramped to $41.60, kaboom. That price action reflects active hedging behaviour and implies
Tesla’s Robotaxi Gambit: Can Musk Steer TSLA to New Highs?
Tesla ( $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ ) is at a crossroads as investors grapple with a brutal 35% year-to-date stock decline, now trading at $285.88 after a 0.81% dip on April 29, 2025, per Yahoo Finance. The electric vehicle giant’s Q1 earnings revealed a staggering 71% profit plunge, driven by slumping sales and brand backlash tied to Elon Musk’s political moves, per CNN. Yet, a glimmer of hope shines through: Tesla’s robotaxi ambitions and a new autonomous vehicle framework from the U.S. Department of Transportation have sparked a 10% stock surge earlier this week, per Morningstar. With Musk doubling down on autonomy, can Tesla turn the tide? Let’s dive into the chaos, explore trading plays, and see if TSLA can reclaim its glory. Tesla’s Tough Road: Pro
Rate Roulette: Will the Fed’s Next Move Sink or Swim Stocks?
The stock market is a high-stakes casino right now, and the Federal Reserve is spinning the wheel. With inflation stubbornly hovering at 3.1% in March 2025 and the 10-year Treasury yield spiking to 4.62%, investors are sweating bullets. The Nasdaq has shed 5.1% this month, closing at 17,342.19, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average clings to 42,108.63 after a 4.2% drop. Whispers of a rate hike—or a surprise pause—are swirling, and the stakes couldn’t be higher. Will the Fed’s next move tank growth stocks or ignite a relief rally? Let’s break it down with fresh data, market vibes, and trading plays to ride the wave. The Fed’s Tightrope: Inflation vs. Growth Inflation’s refusing to back down, clocking in at 3.1% last month—above the Fed’s 2% target. Meanwhile, jobless claims ticked up to 21
$Lucid Group Inc(LCID)$ Lucid Motors faces a challenging year in 2025 as it scales production expand vehicle lineup, and navigate financial challenges. While Lucid's long term goal has always been to challenge Tesla's dominance in the electric market, the company has to overcome short and mid term challenges first. One big reason for optimism is that deliveries shot up 71% in 2024 compared to the year before, hitting 10,241 cars delivered. This year, Lucid is also expanding its offerings with the introduction of the Gravity SUV, its first electric SUV model. Financially, Lucid continues to face challenges. The company reported a net loss of $3.06 billion for 2024, despite a 50% increase in revenue to $234.5 million
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1. $Gold - main 2506(GCmain)$ fell below $3,250 and retreated more than $40 from its daily high! Touching near 3244, a belated decline, gold is now falling below key support locations! Intraday, the downtrend is expected to continue! Trade with the trend and keep sell orders trading!Image2.Gold chose to continue entering sell orders at 3238-40, TP:3220 SL:32503.I have always believed that gold will retrace in the near future! And reach 3250!Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!For whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:Find out more here:
1. $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ surged to a high of $125 before retracing nearly 50% to $66, triggering a wave of bearish sentiment. Many called the move overdone and claimed the stock was destined to return to $10. But those takes have aged poorly. The stock has now reclaimed the key psychological level of $100 and is just $6 away from breaking its all-time highs.If $PLTR can reclaim $125 and consolidate above it, we believe the next leg higher could be explosive — first targeting $170, and then potentially overshooting to $200. But here’s the twist: that $200 target may actually underestimate what’s coming.We now expect PLTR to reach $300 by end of 2026. Here’s why:Gov Contracts Keep Expanding: Palantir is deeply embedded in U.S. defense a
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you!1.Option Two: $S&P 500(.SPX)$ (1) I laid out 2 options for MPW subs in Bamboo --based on what happened today & futures, I believe option 2 is the correct path forward. (2) on 4/26, I drew a blue square as potential target box for the rally, now, SPX future rose inside it. THAT IS IT!Image2.MPW Mid-Week Update Posted: (1) fast-paced moves on both directions--a typical character of a bear market at its early stage. (2) the whip-saw creates a false sense of security, as if you won't lose much if you can hold your position. Image3.LAST Kiss of 5500: (1) Those dip-buyers over the last few sessions were caught with their pants down at the open; however, their delusional habit will
Regarding Pony.ai and WeRide, I’ve conducted some research and analysis for your reference. First, the conclusion: In the Robotaxi sector, Pony.ai has greater growth potential, while WeRide may struggle to gain upward momentum. 1. Core Business Pony.ai’s core business is software programming, whereas WeRide’s is automotive manufacturing. The former has lower marginal costs, offering more room for imagination in the investment market. From their current operations, Pony.ai is more focused. It concentrates on the rapidly growing Robotaxi sector while also developing Robotruck, targeting China and the U.S. WeRide is more diversified, with five business lines: Robotaxi, Robobus (autonomous minibuses), Robovan (autonomous delivery vehicles), Robosweeper (autonomous sanitation vehicles), and ADA
I have only 3 stocks. Here are some few thoughts on each: 1. $PLTR remains my core conviction. I have no doubts about the strength of the operating side, which is improving every day. AI FDE could make the company 10x faster in acquiring new customers and expanding existing ones. Palantir is not only improving. Its improvement speed is exploding. The only concern is on the valuation because it already incorporates sustained growth. For the stock to keep growing, we will need to see some WOW things, like 40% growth. I believe there are good chances we will see it in the coming quarters. Notice: While the AI sphere is booming, there are still no "AI IPOs". This makes me think we are still early in the cycle... 2. $HOOD is my favourite relatively undiscovered gem. Financial professionals are
I think a lot of companies (maybe most) think like this. But saying you’re “AI-first” and being AI-native are two different things. I fear a lot of companies burning bridges to a brighter future where they still don’t have an advantage.The more I invest, the more I am convinced the perfect level of stock research is far shallower than most people think.If you know specifics about contracts, do channel checks, build models, you're too deep.See the forest. It will lead to simpler & better decisions.Keep in mind: Bear Stearns failed in March 2008 when unemployment was 5.1%Lehman Brothers Failed in September 2008 when unemployment was 6.1%The stock market bottomed in March 2009Unemployment peaked in October 2009There's a lag between the catalyst and the outcome.For whom haven't open CBA ca
Elliott Wave Forecast: Nike ($NKE ) Rally to Fail in 7-Swing Pattern
Nike (NKE) shows a bearish trend that began at its peak on November 8, 2021, indicating potential for further declines. On a shorter cycle, the stock’s drop from its October 1, 2024 high is developing as an impulsive Elliott Wave structure, characterized by sharp downward moves. From that high, wave (1) concluded at $68.62, followed by a wave (2) recovery that peaked at $82.44. The stock then continued its descent in wave (3), reaching $50.87, as illustrated in the 45-minute chart below. Currently, Nike is in a corrective phase, forming wave (4) as a double three Elliott Wave pattern. From the wave (3) low, wave ((a)) rose to $59.22, followed by a wave ((b)) dip to $51.90. The subsequent wave ((c)) advance ended at $59.76, completing wave W. A pullback in wave X bottomed at $52.28, and the
The Blue Box Area Blog: Meta Elliott Wave Reactions
In this technical blog, we will look at the past performance of the Elliott Wave Charts of the Facebook ticker symbol: META. We presented to members at the elliottwave-forecast. In which, the rally from the October 2022 low ended as an impulse structure. But higher time frame charts supported more upside extension to take place as the main trend remains bullish to the upside. Therefore, we advised members not to sell the stock & buy the dips in 3, 7, or 11 swings at the blue box areas. We will explain the structure & forecast below: META Daily Elliott Wave Chart From 4.06.2025 Here’s the Daily Elliott wave chart from the 4.06.2025 Weekend update. In which,
Royal Caribbean Cruises (RCL) Eyes Bullish Breakout Above $300
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd (NYSE: RCL), a top global cruise company, has overcome challenges and is poised for more growth. Since the 2020 crash, the stock has achieved remarkable growth, surging over +1000% and reaching new all-time highs. This impressive rally underscores its bullish momentum and resilience in overcoming past challenges. This article explores Elliott Wave analysis, revealing bullish patterns that could attract investors and traders alike. RCL Weekly Chart Elliott Wave Analysis The above weekly chart of RCL shows an impulsive 3 waves move into new highs from wave ((II)) low $19. Wave (I) at $99, wave (II) at $31, wave (III) at $277 and recently it ended wave (IV) pullback at $164. Consequently, the current sequence is incomplete and it’s expected to rally high
Dow Futures (YM_F) Elliott Wave Calling the Rally After 3 Waves Pull Back
Hello fellow traders. In this technical article we’re going to look at the Elliott Wave charts of Dow Futures (YM_F) published in members area of the website. As our members know, YM_F is trading within the cycle from the 36635 low. Recently, we forecasted the end of the short-term pull back and called for a further rally. In the following text, we’ll explain the Elliott Wave analysis and present target areas. YM_F Elliott Wave 1 Hour Chart 04.21.2025 Dow Jones Futures is forming a three-wave pullback which still looks incomplete at the moment. Our members know that we can easily identify the reversal area by measuring the Equal Legs zone, ((a)) related ((b)), which comes in at the 38531-37940 area. We expect buyers to appear within the
If we have negative GDP again next quarter, we’ll technically be in a recession. The Fed is in a very tough spot. Inflation is still sticky in certain areas but growth and labor are stalling out. The Fed can’t cut too aggressively without risking another inflation spike and they can’t hold rates this high without pushing the economy further into contraction. There are downsides to both cutting and holding rates here but in my opinion the Fed is behind the curve and needs to start easing. They shouldn’t wait for the economy to break before cutting I don’t think a recession is inevitable but the warning signs are flashing. It’s time for Powell to step in
U.S. GDP shrank -0.3% in 1Q (vs +0.4% exp) as Trump’s economic policies weighed on consumer and business sentiment. Consumer spending was +1.8% and net exports reduced 1Q GDP by -5pp due to accelerated purchases in front of tariff hikes. Separately, ADP March private payrolls were +62K vs +120K expected. We are very likely in recession as consumers continue to pull back.
In view of the superb sentiment, Pop Mart should be breaching the All Time High 52 weeks in due time. Associated net income for next Q should be increased due to high demand for their popular toys such as Labubu especially. Hence, Pop Mart might set a new record for its share price. Cheers.
Take note that the $TRUMP dinner invitation terms include a disclaimer that “President Trump may be unable to attend’. It may turns out to be a meeting among the top 220 buyers of the $TRuMP on 22 May 2025. This itself looks attractive to me because it is a good chance to meet 219 likeminded crypto investors. On the other hand, bringing 7 guests to lunch with Buffett at Smith & Wollensky steakhouse (costing <$100) in New York is a good charitable act, with millions of dollars donated to foundations supporting the homeless, the poor, and other vulnerable groups. Thanks @Tiger_comments @icycrystal