To The Moon

Stagflation, a challenging economic environment characterized by stagnant economic growth, high inflation, and typically high unemployment, generally poses significant headwinds for the stock market. Why Recent Economic Data Suggest Potential Stagflation? The combination of the unexpected economic contraction (negative GDP growth) in Q1 alongside inflation metrics that accelerated on a quarterly basis and remain well above the Fed's target is the core reason for rising stagflation concerns. Weakening manufacturing activity with simultaneously rising price pressures, coupled with early signs of a cooling labor market, adds to the picture. Analysts are specifically using the term "stagflation warning shot" in response to this recent mix of data. Below is a summary of the most recent U.S. eco

$MARA Holdings(MARA)$ is scheduled to report its Q1 2025 financial results and host a conference call on Thursday, 08 May 2025, after the market closes (5:00 p.m. Eastern Time / 2:00 p.m. Pacific Time). Revenue: Expected to be around $221.2 million to $221.7 million. This would represent a significant year-over-year increase of roughly 34%. Earnings Per Share (EPS): Estimates vary somewhat. Different sources report consensus forecasts ranging from approximately $-0.01 per share to $-0.68 per share. For comparison, MARA reported an EPS of $-0.06 in Q1 2024. Most estimates suggest a larger loss per share compared to the same quarter last year, despite the expected rise in revenue. Estimate Revisions: Some sources note that consensus EPS estimates ha

Lately, there are many news article speculating that US will slip into Stagflation anytime from Q2 2025 onwards. (see below) After reading one post too many about it, it seems to take on a life of its own. What is Stagflation ? It is an economic term used to describe a combination of (a) rising inflation, (b) slower economic growth and (c) high unemployment. Objectively speaking, item #a does not seemed to be happening, at least not based on CPI’s March 2025 data. There will be another take on US inflation when US’s personal consumption expenditure (PCE) is released on Wed, 30 Apr 2025. On US economic growth, when the GDP report is out on Wednesday, we will know. Rounding off, Fri’s US Non-farm payroll will shed light on Jobs/ Labour & Unemployment. Market Consensus. Like it or not, ma

Imagine this: You have one golden ticket to dine with either Donald Trump or Warren Buffett. No media, no handlers – just you, your burning investment questions, and a legendary figure who's shaped modern finance. Who would you choose? This isn't just about food preferences – it's about fundamentally different approaches to wealth creation that could reshape your portfolio strategy. The Trump Experience: Deal-Making Over Dessert A dinner with the 45th President would be anything but ordinary. Here's what you'd likely take away: 1. The Art of the Deal (and the Rebrand) Trump's business empire thrived on licensing and branding (Trump Tower, hotels, golf courses) Key lesson: Creating perceived value can be as important as intrinsic value Modern parallel: Meme stocks and celebrity crypto endor

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ The S&P 500 limped through April with a -0.76% close, a softer blow than March’s gut-punching -5.75% drop. After four months of turbulence, investors are eyeing the “Sell in May and go away” playbook—but is it a golden ticket this year, or a relic to ignore? With the market showing flickers of a rebound, the big question is: Do you cash out now or hold on for a potential May surge? Let’s dive into the numbers, trends, and what’s at stake. The S&P 500’s Rough Patch: Context Matters April’s -0.76% slip caps a volatile stretch for the S&P 500, which has weathered declines over the past four months. March’s -5.75% rout was a wake-up call, driven by sticky inflation and geopolitical jitters. Yet, April’s milder retreat h

The S&P 500's 0.76% decline in April has investors whispering the old adage: "Sell in May and go away." But before you liquidate your portfolio and head for the sidelines, let’s examine whether this seasonal strategy still holds water—or if staying put (or even buying the dip) might be the smarter play. The "Sell in May" Myth: Does It Still Work? The "Sell in May" strategy stems from historical data showing that stocks tend to underperform between May and October. Since 1950, the S&P 500 has averaged a +1.7% return from November-April versus just +0.8% from May-October. But here’s the catch: markets don’t always follow the script. 2023 Example: The S&P 500 gained 8% from May-October, defying the seasonal slump. 2022 Exception: The index plunged 15% in the same period amid Fed r

$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ is scheduled to publish its Q1 2025 shareholder letter and financial results on Thursday, 08 May 2025, after the market closes. A question and answer session will be held the same day at 2:30 p.m. PT (which is 5:30 a.m. Singapore Time on Friday, 09 May 2025). Revenue: Analysts expect total revenue to be around $2.14 billion. This would represent significant growth (approximately 30%) compared to the $1.64 billion reported in Q1 2024. This anticipated increase is largely attributed to higher cryptocurrency prices and increased trading volumes during the first quarter. Transaction Revenue: Expected to increase to around $1.36 billion, up significantly from Q4 2024 ($1.077 billion). Subscription and Services Revenue: Thi

$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ just crushed earnings — and the market noticed.✅ Revenue: $36.46B (+16% YoY) — beat✅ EPS: $4.71 — beat by 24%✅ Daily Active People: 3.43B (+6%)✅ Ad pricing: +10% YoY✅ Operating margin: 41% (was 33%)Despite a bump in CapEx (now $68B for 2024), Meta still bought back $13.4B in stock last quarter. Even with heavy AI investment, it’s delivering strong margins, user growth, and cash flow.📈 Valuation? Still ~23x forward earnings — not bad for a company scaling this fast with real profits.📊 Guidance for Q2 also came in above expectations. Meta’s AI push is real, but it’s the core ad business that’s funding it — and that engine is humming.🔥 Still bullish on META? Or is CapEx too much too soon?Drop your thoughts 👇

$Microsoft(MSFT)$ just dropped earnings — and wow, it’s clear they’re riding the AI + cloud rocket.🔹 Cloud revenue hit $42B, up 22% YoY🔹 AI tools? Already boosting productivity across industries🔹 CEO Nadella: “We're building data centers across 4 continents — AI demand is global.”✨ Product HighlightsMicrosoft Fabric: 21K+ paying customers, up 80%Foundry AI: Over 70K enterprise users, processed 1 quadrillion+ tokens 🤯 (up 5x YoY!)Azure AI: Driving 16 pts of Azure’s 33% growth📊 Q3 FinancialsRevenue: $70.1B (+13%)EPS: $3.46 (+18%)Free cash flow: $20.3BBig enterprise orders (including OpenAI!) are rolling in 💼🔮 Looking Ahead (Q4 Guidance)Productivity & Biz (Office, LinkedIn): $32.0–32.35B, up 11–12%Azure cloud: expected growth of 34–35% (power &am

$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ just dropped another strong quarter — and it’s more than just a rebound story.✅ Revenue up 27%✅ Net income up 35%✅ Daily active users? A mind-blowing 3.43 billion people across the Meta family (yes, Facebook is very much alive).🧠 AI is the real storyMeta isn’t just throwing billions at the metaverse — it’s quietly building some of the world’s most powerful AI-driven ad systems. The result?Ad revenue up 16% to $41.4B (would be +19% FX-neutral)Family of Apps operating margin rose from 39.9% → 52.6% over 2 yearsAdvertisers are paying more because targeting is just that good 🎯💸 CapEx: All-in on AI2024: $39.2B2025 forecast: raised to $64–72B (!)That’s not for VR goggles — it’s going into AI infrastructure: better models, fa