Daily Charts - Recession risk is real, but what if we get the opposite?
1.Thinking the "unthinkable"...Recession risk is real, but what if we get the opposite?Weighing up "reacceleration risk" -- Boomtown over the horizon: Image2.Bit of chatter around Treasuries and sovereign Credit Risk with the Moody's downgrade, but the reality is inflation risk + interest rate risk have already devastated returns for bond investors in recent years.This is why you should:-diversify diversifiers-be valuation aware-be cycle awareAnd overall be more thoughtful on asset allocation strategy as recency bias, inertia(/ignorance?), and peer-obsession have held many investors back from being more proactive in navigating the ever-changing risk vs return landscape.Image3.The dangerous thing about the Peak in the Gold Price $Gold - main 2506(G
1. $Alphabet(GOOG)$$Alphabet(GOOGL)$ Let's say there's a 30% chance GOOG ends up WINNING that AI war with OpenAI. What happens to the stock if they win? Does it go up 10x in the next 10 years? I'll take those odds at this valuation!Sundar throwing shade at Satya.GOOG processing over 480 trillion tokens per month after $Microsoft(MSFT)$ said they were doing 50 trillion tokens per month.Image2. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ I am constantly amazed at how many investors "yada yada" the safety and regulatory hurdles Tesla will need to pass in autonomy.They have demonstrated ZERO ability to drive fully autonomously with an acceptable
Investor Sentiment Broader Market Reaction Shrugged Off AAA Episode
If we have noticed how the stock market have traded yesterday (Monday, 19 May) after the weekend AAA credit rating downgrades by Moody, there have been news report that investors have “saved” the stock market from this AAA turmoil. So the next question in investors mind would be can this current rally last, but I tell you it will be complex, especially in light of recent credit rating actions. Have Investors Saved the Stock Market from AAA Turmoil? It is more accurate to say that investor sentiment and the broader market's reaction have largely shrugged off recent AAA credit rating downgrades rather than "saved" the market from turmoil. Let us delve in the reasons why the above statement stand Market Pricing: When rating agencies like S&P, Fitch, and most recently, Moody's, downgrade U
$Beyond Meat, Inc.(BYND)$ 💸📈🅱️ U͎ L͎ L͎ I͎ S͎ H͎ 💰📈🔥🥦 Don’t Call It a Comeback? $BYND Might Just Be the Next Big Growth Rebound 🥦🔥📈 Volume surge, brand reinvention, and a stealth pivot to health-forward retail domination. Traders are still underpricing what could be one of the most explosive turnaround setups of 2025. 💥🚀🧠 $BYND Recharged, The Mother of All Turnarounds Is Brewing 🧠🚀💥 Beyond Meat ($BYND) isn’t just clawing its way back, it’s engineering one of the most compelling, misunderstood reversal stories on the board. After plunging nearly 70 percent from its 52-week high of $9.24, the stock just closed at $2.96, up 12.1 percent on 16May25 with volume 73 percent above average. A 22 percent surge from the 09May pivot low at $2.22? That’s not n
$S&P 500(.SPX)$$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ 🔥📉🧠 Mayday on Market Mountain: $SPX Compression Builds, and the Escape Hatch Is Below 📉🧠🔥 The market, from my vantage point, is now perched on a dangerous precipice. While the S&P 500 ($SPX) still hovers near record highs, the surface calm masks deep structural fragility. This isn’t a garden-variety pullback. It’s a textbook case of volatility compression, where pressure silently builds beneath the chart until it erupts in violent fashion. With today’s rejection at $5928.11 and a lacklustre attempt to reclaim $5930, the setup is now teetering on the edge. 📌 Microstructure Breakdown: Compression Has a Cost The 1-minute Heikin Ashi chart tells a blunt
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$$Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X Shares(TSLL)$ 🚀🤖💥 TSLA Robotaxi Rumbling: A $2.5M Bull Bet Signals the Next Supercycle 💥🤖🚀 What’s unfolding in $TSLA isn’t just a breakout, it’s a structural shift in how markets are valuing the future of autonomy. As price rockets above $350, a $2.56M institutional bet on July 18 $480 calls, 37 percent out-of-the-money, caught my attention. This isn’t noise. This is capital conviction!! Let’s unpack what this means across price structure, macro headwinds, and Tesla’s most explosive frontier, autonomous mobility. 📈 Technical Structure: Momentum, Confirmation, Continuation Price has decisively flipped the $350 resistance into fresh support. I’m tracking the
$QUANTUM CORP(QMCO)$$Quantum Computing Inc.(QUBT)$$MicroCloud Hologram Inc.(HOLO)$ 🔥🧠⚛️ Quantum Computing Unfiltered: My Deep Dive into $QBTS, $QUBT, $HOLO, and $QMCO 🧠⚛️🔥 Quantum computing isn’t science fiction anymore. As of 21 May 2025 NZST, it’s one of the most aggressively repriced sectors in the market, driven by a surge of institutional interest, Nvidia’s PsiQuantum headlines, and the growing realisation that quantum optimisation is no longer theoretical. I’ve zeroed in on four stocks, D-Wave Quantum Inc. ($QBTS), Quantum Computing Inc. ($QUBT), MicroCloud Hologram Inc. ($HOLO), and Quantum Corp. ($QMCO). Each is being repriced, but only one is earning i
$UnitedHealth(UNH)$ The Department of Justice (DOJ) is investigating UnitedHealth Group (UNH) for potential Medicare fraud. While specifics remain undisclosed, reports indicate the investigation centers on the company's Medicare Advantage business practices. This is a criminal investigation, separate from a previously reported antitrust investigation concerning the relationship between UNH's insurance division and its Optum health services segment. The antitrust investigation also includes scrutiny of UNH's doctor-group acquisitions and Medicare billing. The ongoing investigations contribute to the uncertainty surrounding UNH's stock performance . The precise timeline of the DOJ's criminal investigation into UnitedHe
While many retailers across the country are seeing their sales take a dip as consumers tighten their spending, $Wal-Mart(WMT)$, the largest US retailer managed to keep its sales afloat. (see below) Walmart Q1 2026 - Earnings per share In its first-quarter earnings report for fiscal year 2026, Walmart revealed that its US comparable sales increased by +4.5% YoY, and (i) average number of transactions and (ii) amount of money shoppers spent per purchase - spiked. Walmart Q1 2026 - Revenue This increases contributed to Walmart’s $5.7 billion sales in its US operating income, that is +7% YoY gain. On 15 May 2025 during its earnings call, CEO, Doug McMillon said: Increased sales were not driven by inflation but higher transactions. Despite increased sal
NVIDIA Earnings: Institutional Large Orders Bet on Upside with Target Price of 144
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ On May 19, during the opening of the Taipei International Computer Expo, NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang delivered a keynote speech. The speech did not reveal any major surprises: it mainly reiterated the company’s focus on AI communication infrastructure (e.g., NVLink Fusion) and long-term projects (e.g., robotics and Omniverse). Although the U.S. Department of Commerce's restrictions may have short-term impacts, the bearish factors are clear, and the company is expected to accelerate growth again in the second half of the year.As for next week’s earnings report, the bearish factors are also clear. Morgan Stanley analysts noted that they expect investors to anticipate a slight beat in Q2 earnings, with guidance remaining flat or slightly i
BYD Co. (1211.HK) Emerges from Correction, Resumes Strong Uptrend
About BYD: China’s Electric Vehicle Market Leader BYD Company Limited (ticker: 1211.HK on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange) is a Chinese multinational powerhouse based in Shenzhen. Originally a battery manufacturer, BYD has emerged as the world’s leading producer of plug-in electric vehicles, surpassing Tesla by 2022. By 2023, it had sold over 3 million new energy vehicles, driven by popular models like the affordable Dolphin and its innovative Blade Battery. Recently, the stock has surged to a new all-time high within Wave (III). Below, we explore its long-term Elliott Wave trajectory. Monthly Elliott Wave Perspective The monthly chart for BYD displays a completed Wave (I)-(II) structure, with the current price action indicating a breakout in Wave (III) The monthly Elliott Wave chart for BYD
$iShares Bitcoin Trust(IBIT)$ I made an additional investment in IBIT as Bitcoin volatility has rebounded for four consecutive days, reaching 1.90%. This uptick suggests renewed speculative activity and potential upside momentum driven by retail FOMO. While high volatility can signal short-term swings, it often precedes major moves, especially when tied to macroeconomic factors like inflation or rate expectations. As the market reacts to these variables, IBIT offers exposure to Bitcoin’s price action. I see this as a timely opportunity to accumulate ahead of potential bullish developments or a volatility-driven breakout.
$PLTR 20250523 124.0 PUT$ Bullish in the short term for today as I believe markets were slightly oversold due to downgrading sentiment. The recent downgrade has been a long time coming.
UNH: Market Leader with Insider Support and Rebound Potential
$UnitedHealth(UNH)$ is the largest health insurance provider in the United States, holding a dominant position in the industry with a 15% market share. The U.S. healthcare market is vast and characterized by high demand rigidity. The company's business spans multiple areas, including insurance, outpatient services, health data, and health care.Recent Insider Buying ActivityInstitutions, insiders, and significant investors have loaded over 200M+worthofUNH shares within the past few days.Specifically:New CEO purchases $25M on 5/16CFO purchases $5M on 5/16Director purchases $1.5M on 5/15Stock Performance and Market Sentiment $UnitedHealth(UNH)$ has seen a cumulative increase of nearly 30% over the past three t
NVIDIA Computex 2025: Which companies will benefit?
In its keynote speech at Computex 2025, $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ focused on releasing several heavyweight technologies and products, clearly demonstrating its full-chain layout in the AI ecosystem , from chip design, system platforms, enterprise applications to national-level infrastructure.Summarized in one sentence: Towards the era of AI ubiquity1. New product/platform announcements (seven in total)NVLink Fusion: For the first time, the proprietary interconnect protocol is open to non-NVIDIA CPU/ASIC design companies, supporting third-party companies (e.g., $Media Tek Inc.(MDTTF)$$ALCHIP TECHNOLOGIES LIMITED(ALCPF)$$Marvell Tech
Ctrip’s Q1 Report Card: International Shines, Domestic Fades
Q1 earnings report of $Trip.com Group Limited(TCOM)$ is characterized as "solid but mediocre": revenue is in line with expectation, profit slightly exceeded but growth rate is sluggish, and overseas business is slowing down at the margin.Current valuation has partially reflected overseas growth expectations, and we need to be wary of domestic consumption weakness and policy risks.Neutral rating, wait for clearer signals of profitability inflection point of sea business. $Trip.com Group Limited(TCOM)$$TRIP.COM-S(09961)$ Performance and Market FeedbackQuick overview of core data:Revenue: net income of $13.83 billion, +16% yoy, in line with market expectations.Pro
GMV +6%, China e-commerce industry recovery or other special reasons?
Key InformationIndustry Overview:China's online retail merchandise sales (GMV) grew 6% YoY in April 2025, in line with the first quarter and significantly higher than the overall social retail growth rate (+5.1%).The growth was mainly driven by a rebound in consumption of durable goods such as home appliances, telecommunication equipment and stationery, driven by the "trade-in" policy.GMV growth is expected to be higher in May, benefiting from the early start of the 618 promotion period, but may fall back in June, and the whole year needs to be observed by combining May and June.E-commerce platform performance:Alibaba: Core ad revenue CMR, Tmall gross profit beat expectations, AI-driven marketing tools boost penetration. $Alibaba(BABA)$