1.Bonds vs Stocks-bonds are an important diversifier-bonds beat stocks 98% of the time when stocks go down(n.b. that sloping line delineates bonds beating stocks vs vice versa)Image2.This is only the 4th time in history where bond investors suffered long-term losses (in real, total return terms).Equity market returns on the other hand have been spectacularly good.But what comes next?Stocks at a cyclical HighBonds at a cyclical LowImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here:Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free trading.💰Join the
Daily Charts - DJIA closes below its 200 day moving average
1.Dow Jones Industrials $GLOBAL X DOW 30® COVERED CALL ETF(DJIA)$ closes below its 200 day moving average 📉📉Image2.Investors are now "all-in" on stocks with the highest equity allocation in history 🚨 The only time it was higher was just before the Dot Com Bubble Burst 👀Image3.Lululemon $Lululemon Athletica(LULU)$ has now traded red for 7 consecutive days, its longest losing streak since June 2023 📉Image4.Perhaps the best contra-indicator in existence! On April 7, 62% of investors were bearish on the market, the most since the Global Financial Crisis. The S&P 500 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ is up 18% since then 📈📈📈ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from belo
$Apple(AAPL)$ 2025 has presented a continuous downward trajectory, and over the last three months, a symmetric series of lower highs has been notably evident. Last week's candle initially suggested some continuation, but $203, which served as the central level for the week that just ended, acted with precision as resistance. The sequence of lower lows now strongly suggests that the $192 long-term level will be tested. As long as the price remains below $199.4 (the central level for next week), $192 is the immediate next destination.Recalling yesterday’s educational content regarding support and resistance levels, when I wrote about starting from the long term picture and zooming in progressively, the broader picture reveals $192 as an annual level
$Alphabet(GOOG)$$Alphabet(GOOGL)$ Another example of a shooting star, in this case it found rejection at $176, a long term level that as of today is proving its strength, and considering how overbought is becoming the Stochastic oscillator, there are good chances to see a pullback.A disciplined interpretation of technical indicators markedly enhances prediction probabilities. Nevertheless, even with the high degree of anticipatory accuracy demonstrated in my publications for premium subscribers—such as my February analyses forecasting an S&P 500 correction to $4800, my bullish analyses since April 9th, and the accurate peak calls for Tesla and Bitcoin in December, as well as for IWM during Thanksgiv
SMH - A perfect illustration of a shooting star candlestick on its weekly timeframe
The Semiconductor ETF $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ provides a perfect illustration of a shooting star candlestick on its weekly timeframe. The black arrows in the chart highlight this formation, which historically preceded declines towards the 20 or 40-week moving averages, and even deeper corrections, as witnessed in April. The overbought oscillator further reinforces the potential for a pullback.The volume shelf, originating from $231.2, is expected to provide substantial support. Any support level situated within this green volume-at-price shelf is inherently stronger than those outside it, whether above or below.On Friday, June 6th, I published the support and resistance levels for the week ahead including SMH in over 40 securities. In that
Stocks are stumbling on geopolitics, S&P back below 6000
Weekly S&P500 ChartStorm - 15 June 2025This week: technically ready, geopolitics, sentiment and positioning, asset allocations, stocks vs bonds, market cycles, energy stocks...Learnings and conclusions from this week’s charts:Stocks are stumbling on geopolitics (S&P back below 6000).Most of the time geopolitics can be ignored, with some exceptions.Sentiment remains mixed, skittish, still skewed bearish/defensive.Yet investor allocations to stocks are historically elevated.Energy stocks are unloved, undervalued, and unprepared for oil price upside.Overall, a key theme to think about this week is timing. As I point out, when you study market technicals, you find events/excuses have a habit of showing up at times when the market was ready to move but just waiting for an excuse. Likewi
One of the most important charts to understand historical trends + cycles in stock market
1.This is probably one of the most important charts ever for understanding historical (and future) trends + cycles in the Stockmarket.(valuations, allocations, cash rates -- cycles of greed and fear, opportunity cost, economic (mis)management...) $S&P 500(.SPX)$$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Image2.What is gold telling us about agri commodities? (aka food prices...)(i.e. future inflation risk) $Gold - main 2508(GCmain)$ Image3.Stocks are expensiveBonds are cheap(...which one will let you have a nice sleep?)ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commissi
$105k big line in the sand. Point of control and prior support. Bulls have to step in here or this could break down. Structure still bullish, but if this breaks down next stop is $95k 🎯ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here:Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free trading.💰Join the TB Contra Telegram Group to Get $10 Trading Vouchers Now🎉💰CBA Mini Course 1: What is Cash Boost Account(CBA)?
$Trump Media & Technology(DJT)$ 🚨🎯🗞️ Trump’s $40M Parade or $DJT Pump? The Birthday That Cost America Millions 🗞️🎯🚨 This weekend’s parade is not just an over-the-top birthday bash. It’s a convergence of market speculation, political theatre, and taxpayer outrage, and the shockwaves may ripple through Trump-linked equities like $DJT. 🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸 The United States is commemorating 250 years of the Army with a full military showcase in Washington, D.C. But conveniently, or strategically, it also happens to fall on Donald Trump’s 79th birthday. That coincidence has lit up headlines, balance sheets, and partisan commentary from every angle. 📍 Here’s What’s Really Happening on 14June25, 🇺🇸🇳🇿 NZ Time Context The parade will roll down Constitution Avenue, w
Oracle Shares Surge Post-Earnings: Key Drivers and Weekly Price Outlook
$Oracle(ORCL)$ reported robust fiscal Q4 2025 results, driving its stock price up 13.31% on June 12 and an additional 7.69% on June 13 to close at $215.22. Key metrics: Earnings Per Share (EPS) : $1.22 (vs. $1.14 in Q4 2024). Net Profit: $3.43B (up 9.2% YoY). Cloud Growth Guidance: 40%+ YoY projected for FY2026, with infrastructure growth exceeding 70%. Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) : $138B (up 100% YoY), signaling strong future revenue visibility. Analysts from Citigroup, Morgan Stanley, and Jefferies raised price targets post-earnings, citing Oracle’s AI-driven cloud expansion and partnerships with tech giants like Google and Microsoft. Market Reaction & Technical Analysis Post-Earnings Surge :
$40 Million Parade: Can Trump "Birthday Party" Go Smoothly?
To commemorate the 250th anniversary of the founding of the US Army, a massive military parade will take place this Saturday in Washington, D.C. — coinciding with President Trump’s 79th birthday.The parade is scheduled to begin at 6:30 p.m. local time, following a full day of festivities on the National Mall. Organizers estimate the parade will last approximately 90 minutes. Around 6,700 soldiers, dressed in both historical and modern uniforms, are expected to participate in the parade. The military has also released a detailed list of participating equipment, including tanks, artillery, tactical vehicles, and aircraft.Historically, major US military parades have been tied to significant national events, such as entry into WWII, victory in WWII, or the 1991 Gulf War, which saw the last maj
Weekly | Is WDS’s 9.9% Jump Driven by Rising Oil Prices?
As of the close on Friday, $S&P/ASX 200(XJO.AU)$ closed at 8,547.40 on Friday, up 0.10% in the past 5 days.1. $WOODSIDE ENERGY GROUP LTD(WDS.AU)$ +9.90%WDS has shown strength as a key beneficiary of the significant oil price rally. With the Israeli strike on Iran increasing tensions in the region, crude oil prices have soared. Woodside’s deepwater oil projects offer a degree of resilience amid fluctuating oil prices. These projects, characterized by long development cycles and significant investments, are less sensitive to short-term market changes, making them attractive to investors seeking long-term stability. Woodside has been given more time to assess the conditions the Albanese government ha
This week, the Hong Kong stock market saw an initial rise, but then a dip, with $HSI(HSI)$ ending up just 0.42%.CPI and PPI Data: A Mixed BagOn Monday, China’s National Bureau of Statistics released May’s CPI and PPI data. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) dropped by 0.1% year-on-year, while the core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose 0.6%—a slight uptick from the previous month. The Producer Price Index (PPI) fell by 0.4% month-on-month and saw a larger year-on-year drop of 3.3%. Despite weak data, the market remains hopeful.Positive News: US-China Trade TalksGood news came from the US-China trade talks earlier this week in London. Both sides reached a consensus on a framework to implement key agreements from the June 5th phone call between leaders
How to improve the probability of success for your swing trades?
The monthly central level provides a high-level "compass" for the overall security direction and sentiment throughout the entire month.A daily chart might show intraday pullbacks, but if the price remains above the monthly central level, the broader bullish sentiment for the month would still be considered intact, and vice versa.Mid-Term Bullish Bias: If the daily price action is consistently trading above the monthly central level, it generally indicates a strong underlying bullish sentiment for the entire month. This suggests that the bulls are in control on a larger scale.Traders and investors will look for price to reach higher monthly resistance levels when the price is above the central level, and vice versa for support levels when the price is below the central level.Trading below t
Bearish Reversal Triggered - Key Levels to Manage Turbulence
What it Means to be Above/Below the Weekly Central Level When Analyzing Price ActionAbove the Weekly Central Level (Bullish Bias):Short-Term Strength: When price action consistently trades above this level, it suggests a dominant bullish sentiment for the current week. This indicates that buyers are generally in control on a week-to-week basis.Weekly Support: The weekly central level acts as a key support level. If price pulls back on a daily or intraday chart and finds support at the weekly central level, it's often seen as a good opportunity for bulls to re-enter or add to positions, expecting the uptrend to continue for the rest of the week. However, if the level is breached, there would be bearish confirmation and vice versa. I always check candlesticks and oscillators to improve proba
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ - Bullish Engulfing Candle:Every Friday, I publish the support and resistance levels for more than 40 securities (subscribe using link in bio), highlighting the level that if breached, bearish (or bullish) reversals are confirmed. There is a set of support and resistance levels as well.That said, the latest bullish engulfing candle suggests bullish continuation, but the futures are suggesting otherwise.Bearish confirmations if these prices are breached: $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ : $140.4 $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ : $210.0 $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ : $681.6 $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ : $5
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ - The Dive in the Volume Shelf has Started:There is no exception, when the higher Bollinger band is reached with overbought conditions (Stochastic), a pullback is guaranteed, now the line to watch is the 20 daily moving average, since the price remains above it and as in previous cases highlighted with the black arrow, that line can act as support and resistance.The odds for a visit to the lower edge of the volume shelf are high. That edge is matching as of today the lower Bollinger band so the zone highlighted by the green arrow can provide support.The daily chart itself suggests a consolidation, but the weekly suggests the healthy pullback just started.ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Ope
I make $5000 a week trading SPY SPX because I am patient
I make $5000 a week trading $S&P 500(.SPX)$$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ because I am patient.The fastest way to blow up your account? Forcing trades.Most people think trading is about always being in the game—but the truth is, the best traders know when to sit still. The market rewards patience, not constant action. You have to be okay missing trades, sitting on your hands, and feeling bored. Because one bad or emotional trade can wreck your capital—and your confidence—before the real opportunity even shows up.Think about Warren Buffett. He once said, “The stock market is a device for transferring money from the impatient to the patient.” He spends most of his time reading and thinking, not tradi