The foundation of my strategy is a "top-down" analysis. Instead of getting lost in short-term price movements, you start with the big picture and progressively zoom in. This ensures your intraday actions are aligned with the larger, more powerful market trend.Step 1: The Weekly Chart Sets the Stage Before even looking at a central weekly level, you determine the market's overall sentiment from the weekly candlestick chart. This is your strategic bias for the entire week.SPX Example: For the week ending April 25th I posted the chart presented below, the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ didn't just have a random up-week. It formed a bullish reversal setup. This was suggested by:Price Action: A strong bounce off a low point recovering the central weekly level.Can
Sell and Observe - The NASDAQ entered a Bearish zone
Looking ahead, we expect the market to exhibit a supportive, upward-biased trading pattern toward the end of this week and into early next week. However, this will likely be followed by renewed selling pressure later in the week, leading to a potential correction that could extend into early to mid-July. $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$$NASDAQ 100(NDX)$$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ Since our previous analysis, several high-impact developments have significantly influenced the market landscape.The most notable was the second round of trade negotiations initiated by a phone call between former U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping. These discussions led to in-person ne
Daily Charts - Bulls praying to Lord Powell for rate cuts
1.Bulls praying to Lord Powell for rate cutsImage2.Global Inflation Projections 🚨 Ouch for TurkeyImage3.U.S. National Debt surpasses $37 Trillion for the first time in history 📈 Congrats everyone, we did it 🥳🫡🫂Image4.Natural Gas on track for its 5th consecutive green day, its longest winning streak since February 📈📈Image5.Consumers now expect inflation to jump to 7.3% over the next 12 months, the highest reading in 44 years 🚨🚨Image6.The odds of an interest rate cut by the September FOMC have soared to over 71% 🚨🚨🚨ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here:Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of
VEEV has never exceeded beyond 7 x ATR% from 50-MA since 2018
$Veeva(VEEV)$ has never exceeded beyond 7 x ATR% from 50-MA since 2018 (7 year ago). It's 5 x ATR% from 50-MA now after barely 2 weeks of consolidation since it's post earnings gap up. This is a text book flag based setup that many can be lured into, but it's extended based on historical mean. I have failed in a lot of such trades in my past and I can find lots of reason to forgo this idea, always seek reason not to trade. You also need to coupled with high relative volume and able to execute this trade below 60% LoD to increase your odds, if not it's not worth locking up your capital on such low ADR% name (u need almost 80% more capital than a 4.5% ADR idea to play this, u reduce your flexibility to take on new idea)ImageFor whom haven't open CBA
Trading is not a get rich scheme. Here’s what you need to do to succeed for $S&P 500(.SPX)$$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ in 5 steps:1. Pick a set-up you like and test it so you are confident it works for the next 100 trades.2. Figure out what position size you need to take and where the stop losses should be to control risk. It should maximize your confidence level when you enter at the right time.3. Review your trades often to fix small mistakes and to gain confidence once you enter a trade.4. Surround yourself with strong traders and have mentors to help you fix your trading system and bad habits.5. Work on emotional control by writing down what you feel so you can fix your bad behaviour.For who
$Apple(AAPL)$ : As posted yesterday, this one was on the edge to make or break, and given the oversold conditions the resolution was bullish. Today, the bullish crossover is in for the oscillator, and the volume validates the bullish candle. Will Apple save the market?Image Make or Break:Price action is finding support at the lower Bollinger band, the latest candle shows indecision, and the Stochastic is trying to curl up.It has to bounce now, or $192 is the next line of an already weak defense.ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here:Trade on a Cash Boost Account and
Bullish on EM Equities: Improving Sentiment & Valuations
This week I covered the following topics:1. EM Equities: Remain bullish EM equities given improving technicals, decent reset+upturn in sentiment, cheap valuations, and still historically low allocations by investors (+rate cuts and weaker USD).2. EM Fixed Income: Remain bullish EM fixed income given promising technicals, cheap valuations + elevated real yields, ongoing rate cuts (and contained inflation), improved outlook for EMFX.3. Commodities: Remain bullish commodities given improved technicals, cheap valuations, upturn in sentiment and positioning, along side previously outlined macro/thematic +supply underinvestment case.4. GSV vs ULG: Remain bullish Global/Small/Value (vs US/Large/Growth) given extreme cheap relative value (and cheap absolute value), tentatively turning technicals (
Tariffs, Tantrums and The Trump Trade Trap - Do We Still Buy The Dip?
🌟🌟🌟Trump's latest tariff barrage has the markets rattled again. But this time it is not just geopolitics stirring the pot. It is Triple Witching Day - An quarterly event where stock options, index options and futures all expire on the same day. Translation? Volatility on steroids! This time, it is not just China in the crosshairs. Europe, Canada and many countries are facing steep important duties with some soaring as high as 46%. Trump's goal is to reignite domestic manufacturing, shrink the trade deficit and flex economic muscle on the global trade. But here is the Trillion Dollar question - Does the market still buy into the Trump tariff narrative? Short answer - not like it used to. Markets initially rallied on the idea "Americ
🌟🌟🌟 $iShares Global Clean Energy ETF(ICLN)$ is under siege and honestly I almost hit the Sell Button. Thanks to the recent Trump policy reversals such as withdrawal from the Paris Climate Agreement and a swift rollback of clean energy policies, ICLN is now caught in the crossfire of an administration that is doubling down on fossil fuels! But here is the Truth - temporary policy setbacks don't erase long term global demand. The world is moving towards decarbonisation. Europe, Asia and even US states are pushing forward with clean energy mandates. This revolution is bigger than any four year term. Yes ICLN is down but the clean energy revolution is far from over. It is a speed bump. When the market
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Bears seem to have plans to act next week. The July 3 $130 put $NVDA 20250703 130.0 PUT$ saw an unusual open interest of 18,800 contracts, with most trades being on the buy side, according to transaction records.Due to the quiet period and unfavorable macroeconomic conditions, bulls also agree that NVIDIA’s upside next week will be limited, similar to this week’s range. Institutions have set sell call strike prices between $148–$149.Overall, while the AI theme remains strong, the week of June 27 is likely to see sideways to slightly downward movement. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Bears are also positioning for a minor
$IBM(IBM)$ Witnessed IBM's powerful rally today,absolutely thrilled! Hoping it keeps breaking new highs and lives up to its role as a Nasdaq heavyweight, lifting the entire index to the moon! This profit isn’t just about gains; it’s a vote of confidence in the future of tech!
$Intel(INTC)$ just made a bold move—recruiting three top chip architects from $Apple(AAPL)$ and $Alphabet(GOOG)$$Alphabet(GOOGL)$ ! This isn’t just a talent upgrade; it’s a direct challenge to $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ CUDA’s dominance. With the rise of a “secret anti-CUDA alliance,” the AI computing battlefield is ripe for disruption. I seized the opportunity and increased my Intel holdings ahead of the wave,now sitting on solid gains. The tech giants’ war is just beginning, and I’ve already chosen the winning side!
$BIU.HK 20250730 95.00 PUT$ Adjust inverted Baidu strangle to more bullish, by diagonally rolling call strike. This is the opening of new puts with same strike
Weekly | HK Stocks Down Amid Geopolitical Tensions and Fed's Caution!
This week, the Hong Kong stock market underperformed, with the $HSI(HSI)$ falling by 1.52%.Economic Data: Mixed SignalsThe National Bureau of Statistics released May's economic data. Retail sales for May totaled 4.1326 trillion yuan, growing 6.4% year-on-year, which was 1.3% higher than last month’s growth rate and exceeded market expectations.However, the growth was mainly driven by government subsidies. Retail sales of household appliances and audiovisual equipment jumped by 53% year-on-year, reaching 116.6 billion yuan. But this boost may be short-lived, as there are reports that the government is suspending or adjusting its "trade-in" subsidies, raising concerns about the sustainability of the retail rebound.Meanwhile, real estate data showed t