How To Navigate Latest Turmoil Brought By Israel-Iran Conflict
The ongoing conflict between Israel and Iran, with recent escalations including US involvement, has introduced significant turmoil and uncertainty into global markets. In this article I would like to share what I think we as investor can do as navigating this turmoil can be challenging, but a disciplined and strategic approach can help mitigate risks and even identify opportunities. Key Impacts of the Israel-Iran Conflict on Markets Oil Prices and Inflation Direct Impact: The most immediate and significant impact is on global oil prices. The Middle East is a critical region for oil production and supply. Any disruption to production, or threats to key shipping routes like the Strait of Hormuz (through which about 20% of global oil and 20% of global LNG passes), can cause prices to surge. O
Platform or Product? Why Tencent May Be the Tortoise to Alibaba’s Hare
Ecosystems Eat Commerce for Breakfast When sizing up Tencent versus Alibaba, I see a philosophical split disguised as a market one: platform power vs. commerce muscle. Alibaba dazzles with revenue fireworks across e-commerce, logistics and cloud, but Tencent quietly thrives on a sticky platform ecosystem where users, content, and transactions orbit WeChat like satellites. In an era where Chinese tech is still tiptoeing through regulatory minefields, Tencent’s less transactional, more embedded role in digital life may offer superior long-term resilience. Platform power scales quietly. Commerce churns loudly Consider this: $TENCENT(00700)$ doesn’t just own apps; it owns habits. From chatting to paying the electricity bill, WeChat is less a platform
Banana Republic Exploding Debt Crisis and TACO War with the Federal Reserve
$S&P 500(.SPX)$$iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT)$ The United States is hurtling toward a fiscal cliff, and tensions between monetary policy and political pressure are boiling over. With the national debt now exceeding $37 trillion, former President Donald Trump has launched a series of fiery attacks on the Federal Reserve, accusing Chair Jerome Powell of compounding America’s financial crisis by refusing to cut interest rates. In Trump’s view, Powell is not just being stubborn—he’s being destructive. The former president claims that the central bank’s current rate policy is costing the government hundreds of billions of dollars in unnecessary interest payments. With deficits mounting and debt s
On Fri, 20 Jun 2025, in its note to clients $Goldman Sachs(GS)$ said it updated its Sharpe Ratio basket - a list of 50 stocks with the highest expected risk-adjusted returns. So far, the basket has gained +3% YTD, surpassing S&P 500's +1.7% gain. For 2025, the S&P 500's overall risk-adjusted return has been "lower than usual" says GS. The strategists attributed this to increase volatility & lower-than-average returns from fears around tariffs. The bank rebalanced its portfolio by choosing stocks with a high prospective Sharpe Ratio, a gauge for risk-adjusted returns. This is derived by dividing “a percentage return to a stock's consensus 12-month price target” by its “6-month option-implied volatility”. According to Goldman Sachs: The me
The Fed's New Projections Are a Warning for Stock Investors | What Jerome Powell Isn't Saying Directly
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ We just got some major news from the Federal Reserve, and while the headlines might seem tame—no interest rate hike and still two cuts projected this year—the deeper message is far less reassuring. In fact, if you take the time to actually dig into the fine print of the Fed’s latest economic projections, as I have, it becomes clear: this is a warning shot for stock market investors. So in this articles, I want to break it all down for you—not just what Powell said, but what it means, and most importantly, what the data behind the message reveals. There are subtle but powerful changes in their outlook that suggest the economy is cooling more than expected, inflation is sticking around longer than hoped, and interest rates aren’t
Weekly: Geopolitics may overshadow economics, and Fed's inflation gauge in focus
Last Week's RecapThe US Market - Markets mixed amid Fed hold and rising geopolitical risksU.S. stocks traded in a narrow range over the shortened week. The Dow edged up 0.02%, supported by gains in Industrials, Transportation, and Utilities, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq slipped slightly due to sector rotation and heightened geopolitical tensions.The Fed held rates steady and maintained its projection for two rate cuts this year. Chair Jerome Powell emphasized patience, balancing cooling labor data with potential tariff-driven inflation and rising energy prices.Over the weekend, the U.S. launched airstrikes on Iranian nuclear sites, surprising investors expecting diplomatic efforts. The action escalated Middle East tensions, sending oil futures up 3.8% to nearly $77 per barrel.Bitcoin f
U.S. Strikes Iran’s Nuclear Sites: Will Oil Hit $100 or Spark a Market Meltdown?
On June 21, 2025, President Donald Trump announced that the U.S. military executed precision strikes on three key Iranian nuclear facilities—Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan—marking a dramatic escalation in the Israel-Iran conflict. Trump hailed the operation as a “spectacular military success,” claiming Iran’s nuclear enrichment capabilities were “completely obliterated.” Iran’s Revolutionary Guard responded defiantly, vowing “serious consequences” and threatening U.S. interests across the Middle East. As Brent crude surged 2.6% to $79 per barrel by Sunday evening, investors are bracing for volatility. Could this conflict push oil prices to $80 or beyond, and might extreme scenarios trigger a broader market crisis? This article analyses the geopolitical fallout, oil market dynamics, and tradin
🎁What the Tigers Say | Nvidia Reclaims Top 1! A Bullish Dash to $150?
Nvidia has reclaimed the crown as the world’s most valuable company, with its market cap soaring to $3.45 trillion—overtaking Microsoft in the process. The rally has investors buzzing: Has the stock already priced in all the AI optimism? How much upside is left from here? Could we see Nvidia sprint toward the next milestone—$150?Bullish sentiment remains strong, but some are starting to ask: are we chasing momentum, or riding the next tech revolution?🎁Special Notes: Whoever showed up on the” What the Tigers Say” column will receive 100 Tiger Coins and an exclusive interview invitation to honor your contribution.Click titles to read the full analysis:1. @yourcelesttyy:Key Points:Priced In or Still Room to Grow?Has Nvidia’s stock already
🎁What the Tigers Say | GENIUS Act Passed! Sell the News for Circle?
On June 17, 2025, the U.S. Senate overwhelmingly passed the GENIUS Act with a 68-30 vote. The passage of this bill marks a major step forward in stablecoin regulation, and it is expected to be sent to the House of Representatives for further review in the coming weeks.Circle’s recent surge appears to have priced in the bill’s approval and is now showing signs of peaking. Is this a “sell the news” moment, or should investors wait for more positive developments?🎁Special Notes: Whoever showed up on the” What the Tigers Say” column will receive 100 Tiger Coins and an exclusive interview invitation to honor your contribution.Click titles to read the full analysis:1. @ToNi:Key Points:Circle’s Recent Performance and IPO PotentialCircle’s rece
🎁What the Tigers Say | S&P 500 Hits 6000—Will a New High Follow?
The S&P 500 just logged a three-day winning streak, inching closer to its record of 6,144.15 from February 19, 2025. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq Technology Index has already climbed to a new all-time closing high—the first in nearly four months. With the U.S. CPI data dropping this Wednesday, will inflation cool enough to send markets soaring… or stall the rally? North or south—what’s your call?🎁Special Notes: Whoever showed up on the” What the Tigers Say” column will receive 100 Tiger Coins and an exclusive interview invitation to honor your contribution.Click titles to read the full analysis:1. @yourcelesttyy:Key Points:Market Sentiment: Optimism with a Side of CautionSentiment is bullish but jittery. The VIX, at 20, is down from April
🔥Key events in the coming week, share your trading plans!
Hi, Tigers!Welcome to Daily Discussion! This is the place for you to share your trading ideas and win coins!Click here to join the Topic & Win coins >>[Rewards]We will reward you with 50 Tiger Coins when you share your knowledge about stocks and markets here, depending on quality and originality.[Winners Announcement:20 Jun]1.Here are the 5 Tigers whose post has the best quality & interaction last Friday:Congratulations on being offered 50 Tiger Coins!FedEx
Exactly 4 months ago, $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ went below 20SMA and crashed 22% due to Trump tariffs.4 hours ago, US bombed Iranian nuclear facilities escalating war with Israel. SPY will break 20SMA again.Here's what to focus on if WWIII breaks out next week 🧵 ImageFirstly, institutions said with right triggers like global nuclear war between US and the Middle East, SPY would easily RETEST the $480 lows again. We think this is highly unlikely and this war will be short but volatile for a few weeks more.4 key areas right now on SPY we must pay attention to:1. 20SMA at $5942. 200SMA at $5803. JPM collar (short call at 5905) so $5904. Gap between $567-$580 (could be filled if) these levels are broken.SPY will have a hard time breaking below
Oil Spikes, Markets on Edge - Is Energy the Smartest Hedge In A Geopolitical Storm?
🌟🌟🌟The financial world is bracing for impact after US airstrikes on Iranian nuclear sites, igniting a wave of geopolitical tension not seen since the early 2020s. Crude oil is surging, inflation fears are rising. Investors are scrambling to position ahead of what could become a full blown regional crisis. Could this be the tipping point that sets off the next global selloff, or a moment where energy stocks shine brightest? Crude Awakening - Oil Fast Climb Brent crude jumped nearly 18% in just 2 weeks, recently topping USD 79.04 per barrel. Traders are building in a USD 10 to USD 15 geopolitical risk premium and talk of USD 130 oil per barrel is no longer outrageous. A key flashpoint - the Straits of Hormuz, where 30% of global seabourne oil passes through. If Iran d
FedEx (FDX) Guidance To Go Lower Amidst Geopolitical and Uncertain Demand
$FedEx(FDX)$ is scheduled to release its fiscal Q4 2025 earnings after the market closes on Tuesday, 24 June 2025. Earnings Per Share (EPS): Analysts generally forecast an adjusted EPS in the range of $5.86 to $6.03 per share. This would represent a year-over-year increase from the $5.41 reported in Q4 FY2024. The Zacks Consensus Estimate is around $5.94. Revenue: Consensus estimates for revenue are approximately $21.7 billion to $21.84 billion. This indicates a slight year-over-year decline (around 1-1.9%) from the $22.1 billion in Q4 FY2024. FedEx (FDX) Last Neutral Earnings Call Saw Share Price Declined By 8.19% FedEx (FDX) had a neutral earnings call on 20 March 2025 which saw its share price declined by 8.19% since. FedEx demonstrated strong r
Bitcoin Below USD100K - Panic, Opportunity or Prelude To A Bigger Storm?
🌟🌟🌟The Crypto world woke up to a jolt today. Just hours after President Trump confirmed US airstrikes on Iranian nuclear sites, Bitcoin slipped below the psychologically critical USD 100,000 mark for the first time in over a month. The broader crypto market followed suit, shedding nearly 7% in a single day. With geopolitical tensions escalating and market sentiment turning sharply risk-off, investors are left wondering - Is this a golden dip buying opportunity or the start of another Black Monday? The Fallout Bitcoin's drop to around USD 99,300 came amid a wave of liquidations and panic selling. Altcoins like Ethereum and Solana took even steeper hits, with some cryptocurrencies plunging almost 10%. Analysts are split - some see this as a temporary correc
1.McDonald’s $McDonald's(MCD)$ pricing us out 🚨🚨 Prices have doubled over the last decadeImage2.Target $Target(TGT)$ on track for 3 consecutive quarterly declines for the first time in more than a decade 🚨🚨🚨Image3.Gold $Gold - main 2508(GCmain)$ on track for an inflow of $80 Billion this year, the largest in history 🚨📈ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here:Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free trading.
1. $Zeta Global Holdings Corp.(ZETA)$ Only 5 setups like this in ZETA's short history — all of them winners.Price has pulled back into the smart money zone, and the Weekly BX is flashing strength.Average move after this setup is +30%, with the BX bot projecting a potential run to $27.50.I’m personally sitting this one out since I’m already managing too many trades.Image2. $Hims & Hers Health Inc.(HIMS)$ Still on the watchlist this week.We started playing the breakout back in May and I re-entered long last week.The Weekly BX bot is projecting a move toward $90 by November — but expecting some consolidation in the meantime.I’ll continue riding the upside as long as my criteria remain intact.ImageFor who
1. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ No major changes over the past few weeks.Weekly BX remains strong, and while the setup is still valid, I haven't touched this since our breakout entry back in April around $140.Both the monthly and weekly still meet my criteria but I'm allocating more capital toward $AMD at the moment, where the risk/reward looks better.For those still holding, it looks like all-time highs are on deck in the coming months.Image2. $Strategy(MSTR)$ Officially pulling this off my watchlist.Weekly BX closed 🔴 with a lower low — my long criteria are no longer valid.No setup for now. Moving on.ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in