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2025-08-03
BTC, PCE, stock - News and my thoughts from the past week (04Aug25) Part 4 of 5
News and my thoughts from the past week (04Aug25) Days like today make it clear that Bitcoin is not digital gold. We got bad economic news that sent gold and the Japanese yen up 2.2% and the euro up 1.5%. The NASDAQ went the other way, falling 2.2%. Bitcoin tanked 3%, tracking high-risk assets lower, not safe havens higher. - X user Peter Schiff Wheat falls to its lowest price since May US stock ownership is hyper-concentrated: The top 1% own 51% of household equities. The top 10% control 87%. The poorest 50% own only 1%. The wealth gap keeps widening, a built-in feature of the financial system that favors asset holders. - X user Global Markets Investor President Trump gives an ULTIMATUM to big pharma companies, DEMANDING drug prices in America match the LOWEST cost anywhere else in the wo
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2025-08-03
Layoffs, Delinquency & Real Estate - My Investing Muse (04Aug25) Part 5 of 5
My Investing Muse (04Aug25) Layoffs & Closure news US small farmers are facing a CRISIS: US small farm bankruptcies hit 173 in the H1 2025, the highest since the 2020 CRISIS. Up ~150% in 2 years. High interest rates, trade tensions, and collapsing Chinese demand are crushing farm margins. X user Global Markets Investor SINGAPORE: A growing number of businesses are going belly up in Singapore, with more companies being liquidated in the first half of 2025 than in the same period in the last five years. From January to June this year, 187 firms were forced by the courts to wind up. This is up from 146 in the same period last year and 95 the year before, according to the latest statistics from the Ministry of Law. - CNA San Francisco tech company Wag, once worth $650 million, files for ba
TOPjazzyxx: It's crucial to stay vigilant.
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2025-08-03
Coinbase’s Q2 2025 Earnings: Navigating a Crypto Crossroads
Coinbase Global, Inc. ( $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ ) unveiled its Q2 2025 earnings on July 31, 2025, delivering a mixed performance that sent its stock tumbling 9% to $143 in after-hours trading. The crypto exchange reported revenue of $1.5 billion, missing the $1.59 billion consensus estimate and marking a 26% quarter-over-quarter (QoQ) decline from $2.03 billion in Q1. While GAAP EPS of $5.14 was bolstered by $1.5 billion in unrealized gains from Circle, adjusted EPS of $1.96 surpassed the $1.26 forecast. Trading volumes plummeted 40% to $237 billion, reflecting a cooling crypto market, but stablecoin revenue grew 12% to $332 million, offering a glimmer of stability. With the stock now down from its pre-earnings level of $157, investors are a
TOPbtc is trying to go higher after testing 112.5 tp 113k support region
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2025-08-03
Debt Crisis Looms: Will Dalio and Rogers’ Warnings Crash U.S. Stocks?
The U.S. stock market is riding high, with the S&P 500 at 6,297.36 and Nasdaq at 20,884.27, but ominous warnings from investing legends Ray Dalio and Jim Rogers cast a shadow. Dalio, founder of Bridgewater Associates, predicts a potential “economic heart attack” within three years due to the U.S.’s ballooning $36.2 trillion national debt, urging investors to allocate 10-15% of portfolios to gold and crypto as a hedge. Rogers, a veteran investor, goes further, warning that the debt could trigger the worst crisis in his lifetime, prompting his complete exit from U.S. equities. With tariffs, geopolitical tensions, and rising interest costs adding fuel to the fire, is a stock market fall inevitable? Will the “East rising, West declining” thesis reshape global markets? This deep dive explor
TOPHold quality U.S. tech, add VWO and GLD. Prepare for volatility without fleeing.
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2025-08-04
$Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ $Eos Energy Enterprises Inc.(EOSE)$ 💡📊🔥 How I Enter “Too Strong” Stocks: Pattern Memory, Gamma Triggers, and Space Force Tailwinds in $RKLB and $EOSE 🔥📊💡 I’m extremely confident this isn’t just a high-conviction chart setup. It’s a convergence of historical breakout geometry, institutional options flow, earnings volatility, and national defense tailwinds. I’m not guessing; I’m executing a thesis with multi-layered probability and real-world catalysts. 📊 $RKLB: From chart symmetry to Pentagon strategy Rocket Lab ($RKLB) reports Q2 earnings on 08Aug25 after market close. Forecasts show: • EPS: –$0.11 vs –$0.08 YoY • Revenue: $135.4M • EBIT: –$51.25M • Gross margin trend: 25.56%
TOP🛰️What really stands out is how you integrated pattern memory into real-world defense alignment. $EOSE’s structure is quiet but precise. People forget these setups don’t shout, they whisper just before they roar. You’re mapping it out with surgical clarity.m 🚀💜
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2025-08-04
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ 📉📊🧨 Wyckoff strikes back: is SPY setting up for a Phase E markdown? 🧨📊📉 I’m extremely confident this week’s SPY setup is one of the clearest macro-to-micro inflection points we’ve seen all quarter. Price has broken down from a textbook Wyckoff Distribution schematic, completing Phase D with a potential markdown underway. At $621.11, SPY is teetering right above its 50-day SMA support zone ($611), where gamma positioning, realized vol, and institutional behavior are all colliding in a high-stakes tug-of-war. The dual Wyckoff overlays speak volumes. The pre-Fed chart shows Phase A to UTAD accumulation with smart money driving rallies into resistance. Post
TOPYou nailed the transition into Phase D and that 621–611 zone lines up with my SPY mean reversion model. Watching AMD too. If that cracks post-earnings, semis like AVGO and NVDA probably unwind with it.
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2025-08-04
$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ 🚨 Palantir earnings Monday: Will AI’s unicorn deliver perfection or face reality? 🧠📊🚀 I’m fully convinced we’re staring down one of the most consequential earnings events of the season. $PLTR isn’t just reporting; it’s testing whether euphoric AI valuations can survive gravity. After a jaw-dropping 110% rally YTD and a parabolic climb to $160.39 on 25Jul25, expectations are maxed out. Wall Street consensus is torn. I’m here to unpack every catalyst, every risk, and why I believe Palantir is in the crosshairs of a market desperate for AI leadership. 📆 Event: Monday 04Aug25, ~4:05PM ET 📍Stock: $155.15 post-market (+0.88%) 📈 YTD performance: +109% 🎯 All-time high: $160.39 (25Jul25) 📉 Volatility: IV at 112.47%, imply
TOPPalantir’s valuation still freaks me out but your breakdown on the $165 options stack made me pause. That $15M in premium says a lot more than analyst coverage. Reminds me of the same setup I saw in $SMCI pre-blowoff. Watching this closely into IV crush.
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2025-08-04
Marathon Petroleum (MPC) Capital Allocation and Positive EPS Key To Earnings Surprise
$Marathon Petroleum(MPC)$ is scheduled to report its Q2 2025 financial results on Tuesday, 05 August 2025, before the market opens. This report will be a key event for investors and traders, as it will provide insight into the company's performance amid evolving market conditions. Consensus EPS: The consensus EPS forecast from analysts is around $3.22 to $3.38 per share, which would represent a significant decline from the $4.12 per share reported in the same quarter last year. Consensus Revenue: The consensus revenue estimate is approximately $30.91 billion to $31.71 billion, also a decrease from the year-ago quarter. Summary of Marathon Petroleum (MPC) Fiscal Q1 2025 Earnings Marathon Petroleum (MPC) reported a net loss of $(0.24) per diluted sha
TOPNot fun watching the share prices of refiners go down but at least the company is getting a better buy and can buy back more shares and my dividend which usually gets reinvested does the same.
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2025-08-04
Titans and Tectonics : Riding the Risk with Jim Rogers and Ray Dalio
🌟🌟🌟There is a storm brewing in the vaults of global finance. Ray Dalio, founder of Bridgewater Associates, urges us to stake 15% in Gold and Crypto to shield against America's debt deluge. Meanwhile, Jim Rogers, legendary Quantum Fund Co Founder, has exited US equities entirely, warning that the next crisis will be the worst of his lifetime. When titans like these 2 men sound the alarm, you listen, not with panic but with a shrewd plan. Jim Rogers : Contrarian Maverick in a Changing World Jim Rogers doesn't just invest, he time travels with economic cycles. After conquering markets with George Soros in the 1970s, he turned his gaze to commodities and long term global trends. Global Macro Focus : From agriculture to gold, Jim Rogers bets big when the masses loo
TOPNice Sharing 😁 @JC888 @Barcode @Shernice軒嬣 2000 @Shyon
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2025-08-04
🌟🌟🌟AI has become the ultimate performance filter. Companies that are demonstrating tangible topline AI contributions are reaping outsized rewards, while those in limbo are taking a relative beating. Nvidia $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ is the un contested leader in the AI race. With its dominance in data center GPUs projecting a USD 45 billion in Q2 25 revenue, investors are expecting more than just a simple beat. Guidance in long term demand tied to AI workloads will be the key focus in Nvidia's forthcoming earnings report on August 27. In contrast Apple $Apple(AAPL)$ Q2 25 profit and revenue growth of just 2.4% and 4.1% trail its peers who are delivering double digit gains. Delays in rolling
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2025-08-04
I have faced this exact dilemma many times. A strong stock keeps climbing, backed by great fundamentals and solid earnings, yet every time I look at it, it feels like it is already too expensive to enter. It becomes even more frustrating when I sit on the sidelines watching it go higher without me. But I have learned that discipline is key when it comes to choosing the right entry point. To avoid emotional trading, I always make sure I have a clear technical setup before entering a trade. I do not chase green candles just because everyone else seems to be piling in. If the chart does not align with my entry strategy, I will stay patient, even if it means missing the trade. This is hard to do sometimes, but in the long run, it protects me from buying at unsustainable levels. I rely heavily
TOPYour disciplined approach is inspiring
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2025-08-04
July has been a strong month for the markets, with Nasdaq $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$
TOPInteresting journey
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2025-08-04
The warnings from Ray Dalio and Jim Rogers about the U.S. debt situation have caught my attention. Ray Dalio's advice to allocate 15% of my portfolio to gold and crypto due to the skyrocketing U.S. government debt makes me think about diversifying my investments. I see the logic in protecting my assets against potential economic instability. Jim Rogers' statement on August 1st about the next U.S. crisis being the worst in his lifetime resonates with me. His deep concerns about the U.S. debt, and the idea that most people are ignoring this problem, leave me feeling uneasy. I wonder if the severe consequences he predicts are closer than I realize. Regarding Jim Rogers' decision to exit U.S. equities entirely, I find it a bold move that prompts me to reflect on my own strategy. I respect his
TOPthanks for sharing
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2025-08-04
August’s Market Test: Top Stocks to Watch and Trade Starting August 4
The Nasdaq and S&P 500 capped July 2025 with a four-month winning streak, posting gains of 3.73% and 2.55% respectively, pushing indices to record highs of 20,884.27 and 6,297.36. This rally, fueled by AI-driven tech earnings and economic optimism, faces a critical test in August, a month known for volatility. Last August saw an 8.5% mid-month drop but closed up 2%, hinting at resilience but also risk. With new tariffs (30% on EU/Mexico, 35% on Canada) effective August 1, geopolitical tensions, and key earnings and economic data looming, the week of August 4 could spark a pullback or extend the rally. This report dives into the market catalysts, top stocks to watch, and strategic trading approaches to navigate the volatility and seize opportunities starting August 4, 2025. Market Catal
TOPPLTR all the way! AI won’t disappoint 🚀📈
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2025-08-04
The Debt Time Bomb: Ray Dalio’s Case for a Coming Stock Market Reckoning
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT)$ A Warning That Can’t Be Ignored Ray Dalio, the billionaire founder of Bridgewater Associates and one of the most respected macro investors of our time, has once again raised the alarm about the United States' mounting debt burden. His warning echoes a growing chorus of concern from economists, central bank officials, and institutional investors alike: the trajectory of U.S. fiscal policy is unsustainable. But Dalio goes a step further—suggesting that the rising debt, coupled with long-term structural imbalances, could trigger not just bond market turmoil, but a broad decline in U.S. eq
TOPDalio’s right—debt’s a ticking time bomb. Time to trim equities, load up on defensives.
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2025-08-04
🚀 5 Must-Watch Stocks Heating Up the Market on August 4, 2025!
Are you ready to dive into the action? August 4, 2025, is shaping up to be a thrilling day for the stock market, with key economic updates, earnings surprises, and global events stirring the pot. Whether you’re a seasoned trader or just dipping your toes in, here’s your go-to guide for the stocks to watch today, the news driving them, and the trading opportunities you won’t want to miss. Let’s break it down! What’s Moving the Market Today? The market is buzzing with activity, and a few major catalysts are worth noting: Economic Data Drop: The latest U.S. jobs report is expected to hit this morning, with analysts predicting a slight uptick in employment numbers. A stronger-than-expected report could boost investor confidence, especially in cyclical stocks. Tech Earnings Surge: Several tech
TOPNVDA and PLTR look hot—earnings and contracts could spark big moves! Let’s pounce.
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2025-08-04
Catching the Rocket: How to Safely Enter Soaring Stocks
The U.S. stock market is on fire, with the S&P 500 at 6,297.36 and Nasdaq at 20,884.27, driven by tech giants and AI optimism. But for investors eyeing stocks with stellar fundamentals and earnings beats, finding a safe entry point can feel like chasing a rocket. You hesitate to buy at all-time highs, fearing a pullback, yet when the stock dips, the risk of catching a falling knife looms. How do you time your entry to ride the uptrend without getting burned? This comprehensive guide explores proven strategies to identify safe entry points in strong stocks, blending technical analysis, fundamental checks, and risk management to help you invest with confidence. Understanding the Uptrend Challenge An uptrend, defined by higher highs and higher lows, signals a stock’s strength but often le
TOPImpressive insights and a great analysis!
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2025-08-04
This week, my main focus is Palantir’s $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ upcoming earnings release. The stock has been consolidating, and this report could act as a catalyst for a strong move. As a key player in data analytics and AI, Palantir's results may also reflect broader tech trends. I’ll be watching closely for updates on their AI platform adoption and U.S. commercial growth. Beyond just revenue and profit, I want to hear solid guidance and how management views future demand. Depending on the results and market reaction, I may adjust my position. A strong report could warrant adding on a breakout, while weak growth or poor sentiment might signal caution. @Daily_Discussion
TOPi think it's at a good rate and has value more than Trump coins but who knows to accumulate high profits..
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2025-08-04
PayPal’s Pain Continues: What’s Behind the Latest Drop?
$PayPal(PYPL)$ Shares of PayPal Holdings (NASDAQ: PYPL) have once again disappointed investors, falling sharply after the company’s second-quarter 2025 earnings release. Despite a seemingly strong financial report featuring top- and bottom-line beats, the market reacted with notable pessimism, wiping out billions in market capitalization in a matter of days. For a company once regarded as a digital payments titan, this latest drop underscores growing concerns over growth fatigue, platform engagement, and heightened competitive threats. As PayPal attempts to pivot toward efficiency, expand its digital wallet ecosystem, and rejuvenate its brand in the face of fintech disruption, investors are left wondering: Is this simply a temporary stumble, or is
TOPThe stock is trading at the same valuation it had in 2017.... EPS is 4x what it was back then