633
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2025-08-21
SPY can crash 5%-10% in August 2025 because of Jerome Powell
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ can crash 5%-10% in August 2025 because of Jerome Powell.This will be the most important date of JPOW's 30 year career on Friday at 10am in Jackson Hole.JPOW will speak on tariffs, interest rates and inflation, but don’t expect clarity expect fear. Markets want Sept rate cuts, yet Powell is unlikely to deliver the lifeline investors want. Instead, he’s expected to leave options open, stressing uncertainty and reminding everyone that the Fed is not locked into easing.The rug could be pulled at any moment.Bulls betting on a guaranteed rescue should think again if JPOW pushes back, SPY bull market could shatter, triggering a selloff that sends stocks into freefall.No matter what happens "BUY THE DIP" for SPY target fo
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2025-08-21
CapitaLand Ascendas REIT's 1H FY25 Result Review
$CapLand Ascendas REIT(A17U.SI)$ Basic Profile & Key Statistics Key Indicators Performance Highlight Gross revenue and NPI declined slightly YoY, mainly due to the decommissioning of Welwyn Garden City in June 2024 and the divestment of several properties across Singapore, Australia, and the US. This was partially offset by the acquisition of DHL Indianapolis Logistics Center in January 2025. Despite the revenue dip, NPI remained relatively stable due to lower property expenses. Distributable income remained flat YoY, while DPU dipped marginally due to an enlarged unit base following the recent private placement. Rental Reversion CLAR achieved strong portfolio rental reversions, averaging +9.5% for 1H FY25—driven by +8% in 2Q and +11% in 1Q
TOPfluffzo: It's interesting that the net property income stayed stable despite revenue declines.
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2025-08-21
IONQ - Patience and disciplined risk management remain critical
$IONQ Inc.(IONQ)$ 🔹 Today's Market FlowIONQ closed nearly flat at $36.8 (-0.03%), showing indecision among investors after recent declines. The stock remains in a Bearish trend zone, where selling pressure dominates and rebounds have been weak and short-lived. Despite intraday fluctuations, the broader momentum still leans downward, reflecting a cautious market sentiment.*Key Factors Driving IONQ and the U.S. Stock Market TodayIONQ Stock DeclineEarnings and Profitability Concerns: IONQ’s recent earnings revealed a larger-than-expected Q2 loss of $0.70 per share, despite revenue growth from acquisitions. This raised doubts about the company's path to profitability and contributed to investor anxiety and selling pressure.Market Sentiment and An
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2025-08-21
SPX - Pullbacks rarely move in a straight line
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ : It's important to note that buyers stepped in today to defend $6,382, the initial weekly bearish target mentioned last Saturday.The resulting "hammer" candle suggests the potential for a bounce tomorrow, but this would need to be validated by a close above today's high. Keep in mind that pullbacks rarely move in a straight line, and the underlying technical indicators are still far from being fully reset for a healthy bullish continuation.ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here：Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-
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2025-08-21
TGT - New blood would have been a better move
$Target(TGT)$ The CEO leaving is good. He was not only not good at the job, he was checked out, living in Florida when HQ is in Minneapolis. But moving the COO who was in charge of the declining operations to the CEO role is a terrible move. This was the time to make a change.My prediction would be an activist stepping in 18-24 months from now if current operating trends continue. The problem is, the turnaround isn’t about cutting cost, it’s about improving culture and stores. That’s why new blood would have been a better move.For whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here：Trade o
798
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2025-08-21
Tech stocks are now the most expensive in history
“[MIT] researchers said 95% of organizations are getting zero returns from their investments in generative AI.”🤔ImageAlso consider the above alongside the market cycle (valuations are currently extreme expensive = risky phase) --as outlined here: ImageAND the bubble cycle -- where things start with good reason and end when things become unreasonable... often with as Soros terms "a moment of truth" Imageand the cycle of investor emotions (and p.s. I think this one got a big reset back in April, so the clock got wound back and we're still in the excitement/greed phase)ImageAnd for fun here's some actual data where you can basically see the market cycle in action.(rolling 10-year total return spread of stocks vs bonds)[on this lens we look well-progressed in the cycle as we're well beyond the
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2025-08-21
Bitcoin's New Season
Every four years, Bitcoin has delivered the same lesson with ruthless precision: those who understand its cycles prosper, while those who ignore them watch their portfolios swing wildly between euphoria and despair. Despite Bitcoin's explosive returns following each halving event, most investors still approach it like a lottery ticket rather than recognizing the predictable patterns that have governed its price action for over a decade. The difference between random speculation and strategic positioning lies in understanding these market cycles—and the window for the next major move may be closing faster than most realize.This publication has anticipated bullish and bearish reversals for Bitcoin in the middle of panic and euphorias respectively; this is an asset that respects technical ana
TOPHi. Thanks for this. Where can we access the publication?
949
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2025-08-21
The top 10 holdings of some of quality focused funds to follow
Looking for some investment ideas? Here are the top 10 holdings of some of my favourite quality focused funds to follow. What funds would you add?1. Morgan Stanley Global Brands FundImage2. Blackrock Global UnconstrainedImage3. MSCI World Quality (an index, not a fund)Image4. Findlay Park American FundImage5. Fundsmith Equity (large cap) and Smithson (their small and mid cap fund)Image6. Akre Focus FundImage 7. Valley Forge CapitalImage8. Claremont GlobalImage9. Rosevine CapitalImage10. Triple Frond PartnersImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here：Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commis
1.95K
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2025-08-21
My Portfolio Update - This market tough
My Portfolio Update – If you’re finding this market tough, know that I’m facing the same challenges tooNo changes to my portfolio after $BitMine Immersion Technologies Inc.(BMNR)$ execution, but all my positions closed below the 10-MA. If none of them can hold their post–30 minute low of the day later, I’ll liquidate everything and move fully into cash according to my sell rule. What is not reflected is also I have hit with 4 consecutive stops after BMNR in the last 2 weeks. 12/8/2025 - $Global X U.S. Infrastructure Development ETF(PAVE)$ execution (T+3)12/8/2025 - $DIREXION DAILY MSFT BULL 2X SHARES(MSFU)$ execution (T+1)15/8/2025 -
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2025-08-21
SPX produced a corrective ABC down structure to the Daily FVG support
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ produced a corrective ABC down structure to the Daily FVG support. The structure remains bullish setting up for a new high above 6482 with upside to extend 38.2-50-61.8% of the August rally. However, the loss of today’s low is a warning that we will close below the FVG support, which would send a sell signal targeting 6270-6175 that can potentially be a sharp, C-Wave of a flat correction before resuming higher. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2509(ESmain)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$
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2025-08-21
$113K Bitcoin Drop Triggers Panic Selling - Trump Family Calls to Buy In
Market Recap: Why Is BTC Falling? Bitcoin has slipped to approximately $115,000, down about 7% from its record high (~$124,000), amid profit-taking, forced deleveraging, and uncertainty surrounding Federal Reserve policy. Investors are watching closely whether $112,000–$113,000 will hold as a crucial support zone, with technical indicators pointing to a possible further dip toward $108,000. Market sentiment remains cautious: analysts highlight macroeconomic jitters, Fed watch, and looming geopolitical risks as key headwinds to a rebound. Still, the broader narrative retains a long‑term bullish tilt holding below its all-time high, Bitcoin continues its uptrend with institutional interest and adoption as tailwinds. The Trump Family’s “Buy the Dip” Messaging: What It Means On August 2, 2025,
TOPBTC is still a high-yield asset, and we need to bear the high volatility.
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2025-08-21
$GraniteShares 2x Short TSLA Daily ETF(TSDD)$ 📌TSDD –Trading the downside today 💼 Not financial advice. Sharing my personal trade journey. Performed this trade using Cash Boost Account @Tiger_CashBoostAccount TSLA broke below a key support level at $322, thus foreseeing more downside short term. As such, I entered 2770 position of TSDD at avg price of $20.78 (when TSLA around $320-321), riding the downside of TSLA. As the next level of support seems to be around $311, I exited my positions when TSLA is around $315, just to secure the profits. 📊 Support Zones: $322 ➝ $311 ➝ $295 📈 Resistance Levels: $322 ➝ $328 (short term) ➝ $329–$330 Outlook: If TSLA pulls back to $311
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2025-08-21
Intel Hits the Headlines: SoftBank + U.S. Government Moves
$Intel(INTC)$ & $Softbank Corp.(SOBKY)$ https://www.reuters.com/commentary/breakingviews/softbank-throws-intel-its-next-best-lifeline-2025-08-19 1. SoftBank’s $2 B Investment What happened: On August 18–19, 2025, SoftBank signed a definitive agreement to invest $2 billion in common stock of Intel at $23 per share, acquiring roughly a 2% stake and becoming one of Intel’s top-six shareholders. Strategic rationale: This deal is part of SoftBank’s broader vision to bolster U.S. semiconductor production, deepen ties to AI and infrastructure projects like Project Stargate, and reinforce its role in the AI hardware ecosystem. Market reaction: Intel stock jumped about 7% following the announcement. 2. U.S. G
TOPExciting developments for Intel
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2025-08-20
Palantir’s Slide Deepens—Valuation Panic or Profit-Taking?
What’s happening? Heavy recent drop: Palantir plunged ~9–9.4% on Tuesday (August 19), marking its worst daily drop in the S&P 500 and extending to a five-day losing streak, amounting to a 12–15% pullback from its August 12 all-time high of $190. Why the slide? Valuation concerns: Palantir's valuation sits at ~214 times forward earnings—well above the S&P 500 average (~22×) raising alarm among analysts. Profit-taking after a strong run-up: The stock has soared ~118% YTD (and ~409% over the past year), prompting investors to lock in gains Barron's. Short-seller pressure: Andrew Left of Citron Research called Palantir “detached from fundamentals,” suggesting a valuation closer to $40—a sharp contrast to current levels. Broader tech sell-off and AI fatigue: The decline is also tied to
TOPPalantir has risen too much before, so it’s reasonable to slide these days.
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2025-08-20
Can Intuit (INTU) Do It Again For The Strong Track Record Of Beating Expectations
$Intuit(INTU)$ is scheduled to report its Q4 and full-year fiscal 2025 earnings on August 21, 2025. The company has a strong track record of beating analyst expectations, having done so for five consecutive quarters. By looking at how INTU have performed over the five consecutive quarters, this stock looks strong but it is a good time to enter before its earnings which is happening on the 21 August 2025 after the market close. I think we need to take a look at how the segment INTU is in doing, furthermore, we are seeing rotation, which could mean there might be some volatilty hitting INTU from complementing stocks. So in this article, while I examine how Intuit fiscal Q4 2025 earnings would be like, I would share my thoughts on some short-term tra
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2025-08-20
Nvidia Slumps as AI Yields “Zero” — First Crack in the Boom? 🤖📉 Nvidia ($NVIDIA(NVDA)$
TOPWill AI’s "zero ROI" reports really dent Nvidia’s GPU demand?
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2025-08-20
Nvidia Slides as AI ROI Reality Sets In—An In-Depth Breakdown
Nvidia’s stock plunged 3.5% on Tuesday, August 19, 2025, dragging broader tech indices lower as investor confidence faltered. A striking MIT report revealed that 95% of organizations investing in generative AI are seeing zero financial return, significantly denting AI momentum. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman amplified caution by likening today’s AI fervor to the dot-com bubble, prompting a sharp rotation out of high-flying tech stocks. Expanded Insights 1. Tech Pullback & Market Rotation The Nasdaq tumbled 1.4%, its worst day since early August, while the S&P 500 slipped 0.7%. Mega AI-linked names took hits—Palantir dropped ~9.4%, Arm fell ~5%. At the same time, investors sought safety in defensive sectors, such as utilities and consumer staples. Crypto also weakened, with Bitcoin falling ~
TOPSell on this dip if worried; long - term, watch trends.
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2025-08-20
How Low Can the Market Go?
Neck pain kept me out Tuesday—turns out the market got a stiff neck too.Tuesday’s tech dump didn’t have a specific trigger—just a failed handoff of bullish catalysts, so the long-anticipated pullback began.Tickers covered: SPY, NVDA, TSLA, PLTR, AMD, AAPL, GOOGL, CRWV $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ On Tuesday, tech stocks fell harder than the index, but that doesn’t mean the overall market drop is done—expect more downside.Big open interest in puts, with the next two weeks targeting 630.As mentioned in Monday’s note, someone opened a SPY 620–640 put spread.If the market isn’t done dropping, expect more tech weakness.Notable: Large call buys in VIX and VXX—$VXX 20251219 40.0 CALL$ </
TOPnvda hanging onto 170, might fall further.
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2025-08-20
PLTR Stock Is Finished
$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ has been one of 2025’s hottest stocks, up triple digits YTD. As of late we finally see a small cooling down of the stock moving from 190 back to 160 (~15% Pullback). The big question many are asking is this stock finally done?In the near term, a pullback in $PLTR feels both necessary and healthy. But longer term, we see Palantir as one of the strongest AI plays and the wave of short reports could end up acting as fuel for the next leg higher, potentially setting up a move toward $250+ by 2026. Recent EventsStock pulled back ~7% off highs after a massive rally (+113% YTD)Q4 earnings: EPS +75% YoY ($0.14), revenue +36% ($828M)Locked in $10B U.S. Army deal + $795M DoD contractPartnership with Fujitsu to distribute P
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2025-08-20
Visa (V) Surges +96% from 2022 Blue Box – Another Elliott Wave Success
Visa (V) trades near its 52-week high of $375.51. Its market cap stands at $663.8 billion, reflecting strong investor confidence. With a P/E ratio of 33.63 and a modest 0.69% dividend yield, Visa remains a premium growth stock. The company’s global dominance and tech-driven strategy continue to attract long-term investors. In Q3 2025, Visa posted $10.2 billion in revenue, up 14% year-over-year. EPS beat estimates at $2.98, marking four straight quarters of surprises. Analysts rate it a strong buy, with targets as high as $430. Visa’s investments in AI, cybersecurity, and blockchain reinforce its leadership. Despite regulatory risks, its forward P/E of 27.79 suggests room for upside. Elliott Wave Outlook: VISA (V) Daily Chart December 2022 Back in October 2022, Visa (V) hit the blue box at