To The Moon

What we just witnessed was not a breakdown of the gold and silver bull, but a classic volatility purge after a parabolic run. The speed of the move...

01-31

What we just witnessed was not a breakdown of the gold and silver bull, but a classic volatility purge after a parabolic run. The speed of the move points to forced positioning unwinds rather than a shift in fundamentals. Thin liquidity, leveraged longs being flushed, and investors monetising metal gains to cover losses elsewhere can easily produce air pockets of this size. A firmer dollar accelerated the move, but it does not explain it on its own. Can upside momentum rebuild quickly? Yes, provided price stabilises above key technical zones. For gold, holding the low $5,000s matters. For silver, defending the prior breakout region is critical. If forced selling is largely done, even modest buying can drive sharp rebounds in this liquidity environment. Would I sell or add? I would not chas

# Gold Rebounds! Is the Sharp Decline Finally Over?

TOPnicin: classic? when such a classic happened before?

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The results strongly suggest the storage supercycle is not finished, but the easy phase is likely behind us. Do the beats signal early innings? The...

01-31

The results strongly suggest the storage supercycle is not finished, but the easy phase is likely behind us. Do the beats signal early innings? They confirm that demand is still accelerating, particularly from AI training, inference, and data-centre refresh cycles. What matters more than the headline beat is the forward guide. SanDisk’s Q3 outlook implies demand visibility well beyond a one-quarter burst, while Western Digital’s margin expansion shows pricing power is still improving. This looks less like a peak and more like the mid-cycle acceleration phase, though volatility will rise as expectations reset higher. SanDisk vs Western Digital SanDisk remains the higher-beta, higher-upside play. Its pure exposure to NAND and AI-driven storage demand means earnings revisions can still chase

# Citi Lifts SanDisk to $750: Is the AI Trade Crowded?

TOPPhoebeReade: Sandisk for upside, WDC safer Staged entry beats chasing.[看涨]

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A potential Warsh-style appointment would likely increase volatility before it calms markets, not reduce it. Fed independence risk Kevin Warsh is w...

01-31

A potential Warsh-style appointment would likely increase volatility before it calms markets, not reduce it. Fed independence risk Kevin Warsh is widely viewed as more hawkish and more openly critical of unconventional monetary policy. Markets would initially interpret his appointment as signalling tighter financial conditions and a lower tolerance for inflation risk. More importantly, the optics matter. Given Donald Trump’s past public pressure on the Federal Reserve, any nominee perceived as politically aligned raises concerns about institutional independence. That perception alone can unsettle both bonds and equities, even before any policy change occurs. Market reaction: calm or chaos? Short term, this would likely heighten uncertainty. Bond yields could rise on fears of tighter policy

# Jan Review: Is February for Buying or Bailing?

TOPSteveWatson: Hedging's the way to go, mate. Volatility's a beast, stay sharp.[看跌]

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$Amazon.com(AMZN)$ This is ultimately a capital allocation and timing question, not a demand question. Can AWS absorb a hypothetical US$50B OpenAI-...

01-31

$Amazon.com(AMZN)$ This is ultimately a capital allocation and timing question, not a demand question. Can AWS absorb a hypothetical US$50B OpenAI-style bet? From an operating standpoint, yes. Amazon generates enough operating cash flow for AWS to sustain heavy investment without existential strain. The issue is free cash flow optics, not balance-sheet survival. A deal of this size would front-load cash outflows while monetisation lags, temporarily compressing FCF and keeping investors focused on capex discipline rather than growth acceleration. However, if structured partly through equity, long-dated commitments, or capacity-sharing agreements, the near-term FCF hit could be softened. AWS’s scale gives it flexibility smaller hyperscalers do

# AWS Holds Up: Can OpenAI’s $50B Rumor Re-Rate AMZN?

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$Microsoft(MSFT)$ Yes, this looks closer to an overreaction than a thesis break, but the entry decision depends on time horizon. What actually disa...

01-31

$Microsoft(MSFT)$ Yes, this looks closer to an overreaction than a thesis break, but the entry decision depends on time horizon. What actually disappointed the market The fundamentals were solid. Growth did not slow. The sell-off was driven by expectations, not results. Buy-side positioning had priced in near-flawless AI execution. When management flagged ongoing supply-chain and capacity constraints, the market recalibrated near-term AI monetisation, even though demand remains clearly intact. That distinction matters. Is the AI story impaired? No. Microsoft is demand-constrained, not demand-challenged. Azure’s 38% growth confirms AI workloads are scaling rapidly. The issue is delivery timing. Revenue is being deferred, not lost. That is a v

# Microsoft -10%! Overreaction? A Buy at $400?

TOPGloria112: Spot on! MSFT's dip is a chance to buy.[看涨]

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Here is a concise, direct view within the limit. 1. Microsoft at $400? Yes, as a dip-buy. Microsoft sold off on timing concerns, not demand weaknes...

01-31

Here is a concise, direct view within the limit. 1. Microsoft at $400? Yes, as a dip-buy. Microsoft sold off on timing concerns, not demand weakness. Azure growth confirms AI traction. $400 is a reasonable accumulation level for long-term investors, though not a short-term bottom call. 2. Can Meta be chased after +10%? No. Meta Platforms is executing well, but post-rally risk-reward is less attractive. Better to wait for consolidation than chase momentum. 3. Apple says memory costs are fine. Why no stock move? Because the market wants growth catalysts, not cost reassurance. Apple is stable, but AI monetisation and services acceleration remain incremental, not transformative yet. 4. Will Tesla deliver in 2026? Unclear, execution-heavy. Tesla still has a compelling narrative, but repeated t

# Microsoft -10%! Overreaction? A Buy at $400?

TOPcatandbull: Microsoft dip-buy makes sense, Azure's AI traction is solid.[看涨]

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Emotional Investor

01-31

So I've spent a good six months now learning as much as I can about the mining and oil and gas sectors. These are clearly counter cyclical stocks. Brought into $Santana Minerals Ltd(SMI.AU)$ about a year ago, and watched it go nuts. About 6 months ago I also brought into $SILVER MINES LTD(SVL.AU)$ and it's done nicely too, even after the crashes the last few days. I am a bull on mining and oil and gas going forward. So much so that I have divested most of my dividend stocks to go counter cyclical. Was I crazy buying into $BHP GROUP LTD(BHP.AU)$ and $Pan American Silver(PAAS)$

So I've spent a good six months now learning as much as I can about the mining and oil and gas sectors. These are clearly counter cyclical stocks. ...

# Gold Rebounds! Is the Sharp Decline Finally Over?

TOPSumiit Tiger: I've been of comms for a while @emotional. I've liked your previous articles/posts as well, as your way of thinking and anlysing appeals to me. Thanks for sharing this.

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Humbly

01-31

There appears to be a pivot away from stocks in the SAAS sector which used to trade at very high multiples due to expectations of strong growth to more moderate growth, and MSFT appears to be a casualty of that. AI is here to stay but whether users will pay enough to cover the investment costs are a key unknown, especially when depreciation or AI hardware depreciates more rapidly than expected.

There appears to be a pivot away from stocks in the SAAS sector which used to trade at very high multiples due to expectations of strong growth to ...

# Microsoft -10%! Overreaction? A Buy at $400?

TOPkookiz: SAAS shift is brutal, mate. MSFT's dip a wake-up call on AI costs.[惊讶]

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koolgal

01-31

Fed Drama Is Temporary. My ETFs Are Forever

🌟🌟🌟With President Trump officially nominating Kevin Warsh as the next Federal Reserve Chair to replace Jerome Powell in May, markets are entering a new phase of policy reassessment. Warsh has long been viewed as a hawk - attentive to inflation risks and cautious about excess liquidity. However his record shows a more situational and pragmatic approach. During the 2008 financial crisis, he was one of the earliest voices inside the Fed calling for swift meaningful rate cuts to stabilise the system. That flexibility is why his nomination is generating mixed reactions. Warsh's experience and credibility may help steady markets. His historical hawkishness raises questions about the future rate path. However Warsh was nominated by President Trump who prefers l

Fed Drama Is Temporary. My ETFs Are Forever

# Jan Review: Is February for Buying or Bailing?

TOPAdelaideFox: Spot on! Long-term ETFs always win over Fed drama.[强]

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daz999999999

02-02 00:57

Daily Scoop🍨: Strategy (MSTR) Favorable : Buy At $130 Circa, Sell At $260 Circa

$Strategy(MSTR)$ Market Forecast For Strategy (MSTR) For the current quarter, Strategy’s revenue is forecast at USD 118.48 million, with year-over-year change of -3.87%, estimated EBIT at USD 6.75 billion with estimated YoY growth of 467.83% and EPS at USD 24.81 with estimated YoY growth of 331.73%;

Daily Scoop🍨: Strategy (MSTR) Favorable : Buy At $130 Circa, Sell At $260 Circa

TOPJONESTea: Spot on! Grabbing MSTR at 150 is a gem.[开心]

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TBI

01-31

[9] IBM, HIMS, PANW

The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publications are not intended to be and do not constit

[9] IBM, HIMS, PANW

# Q4 Earnings Season: Valuations Stretch, What to Focus?

TOPsnappix: Solid analysis on PANW, that 174 level is crucial for a bounce.[强]

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TBI

01-31

[10] GS, VZ, CL1!

# Q4 Earnings Season: Valuations Stretch, What to Focus?

TOPfeelond: [666] CL holding above 65.65 could really push to 70 resistance, mate.

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BTS

02-01

The nomination of Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair has sent shockwaves through the precious metals market, triggering a historic sell-off that forced gold to surrender the $5,000 level The market is split into two camps following the breach of this psychological floor; bulls argue for a rapid reclaim toward $6,200, while bears insist the Warsh Effect marks the definitive end of the gold rally UBS maintains that this plunge below $5,000 is a temporary liquidation event before an eventual climb to $6,200; the bank cite long-term global instability as a reason for prices to recover Cathie Wood and other skeptics view the move as proof that a hawkish Fed will crush the gold bubble; they argue that a stronger dollar and high real rates make previous gains in gold unsustainable Whether gold can fight ba

Warsh Takes Over the Fed! Can Gold Safeguard $5000?

@Tiger_comments：

The precious metals market has been wilder than crypto these past two days. $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ saw a nearly $500 intraday swing on Thursday, crashing from a record high of $5,596 to $5,105, then somehow bouncing back $300. At one point, minute-by-minute moves exceeded $100.$XAG/USD(XAGUSD.FOREX)$ joined the chaos too, with an intraday drop of over $10 at its worst.Today, gold is down another 6%, breaking key support levels and plunging back toward $5,000 in a flash.CME has already raised margin requirements, and the warning light is flashing: liquidity is drying up.Kevin Warsh is Coming! Stronger USD = Weaker GoldTrump announces his pick for the next Fed Chair - Kevin Warsh.So why is

Warsh Takes Over the Fed! Can Gold Safeguard $5000?

The nomination of Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair has sent shockwaves through the precious metals market, triggering a historic sell-off that forced gold ...

TOPDrewStrong: Bullish on UBS'take, gold will bound back strong![看涨]

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BTS

02-01

$Microsoft(MSFT)$ $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ $Apple(AAPL)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ The recent Mag 7 earnings have turned the tech sector into a battleground, with high expectations clashing against capital expenditure realities, raising concerns about the AI tax on balance sheets。。。 Microsoft (MSFT) plunged -12%, sparking debates on whether the crash is an overreaction and $400 is a good "dip-buy" level for long-term entry, with some fearing deeper, unresolved issues Meta Platforms (META) surged +10%, leading the market to assess if it is still worth chasing; Apple (AAPL) remai

Mag 7 Earnings Scoreboard: Was Microsoft Crash Overreaction?

@Tiger_comments：

Four of the Mag 7 have reported earnings this week, and the divergence is getting very real. Meta surged +10% against the tape. Microsoft wiped out $357B in market cap, the 2nd-largest single-session value drop in stock market history. Tesla and Apple were underwhelming. Little price reaction. Let’s break down the scoreboard for these four mega-cap tech giants. 🏆 The Winners $Apple(AAPL)$: “Ecosystem Dominance at Scale” Revenue $143.8B, EPS $2.84 — a clean beat across the board. Why it’s on the winners list: Ultra-high user loyalty powered iPhone revenue +23%. Even more impressive, Greater China revenue flipped sharply higher to +38% YoY, crushing market concerns. A record 48.2% gross margin proves Apple’s unmatched ability to leverage its supply

Mag 7 Earnings Scoreboard: Was Microsoft Crash Overreaction?

$Microsoft(MSFT)$ $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ $Apple(AAPL)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ The recent Mag 7 earnings have turned the tech sector into a batt...

TOPGloria112: Tech's wild ride! MSFT dip at $400 could be a steal for long-term, but brace for more volatility.[看涨]

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$CME Bitcoin - main 2602(BTCmain)$ $Bitwise XRP ETF(XRP)$ $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ 📉🔥 Metals Flushed Yesterday. Crypto Liquidated Today. Globa...

02-01

$CME Bitcoin - main 2602(BTCmain)$ $Bitwise XRP ETF(XRP)$ $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ 📉🔥 Metals Flushed Yesterday. Crypto Liquidated Today. Global Risk Reset in Motion. 🔥📉 I’m watching a full cross-asset deleveraging wave hit markets in real time. Metals liquidated first, now crypto follows with aggressive forced unwinds as leverage gets purged and liquidity pockets get raided across majors. Crypto never trades in isolation. This is macro repositioning, volatility expansion, liquidity drain and risk regime repricing colliding simultaneously. 🚨 Crypto Damage Snapshot 🟥 $BTC −7.9% 🟥 $ETH −11.5% 🟥 $SOL −13% 🟥 $DOGE −12%+ 🟥 $XRP −9%+ This

TOPCool Cat Winston: I’m avoiding $CME Bitcoin - main 2602(BTCmain)$ $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ right now unless we see a recovery Monday. Looks like 68K to 66K minimum down is in play.

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$SLV 20260618 69.0 CALL$ $Silver - main 2603(SImain)$ $SPDR Gold ETF(GLD)$ 💥 SOLD INTO THE PANIC AS THE METALS COMPLEX IMPLODED 💥🤑💸💰 I closed my $S...

01-31

$SLV 20260618 69.0 CALL$ $Silver - main 2603(SImain)$ $SPDR Gold ETF(GLD)$ 💥 SOLD INTO THE PANIC AS THE METALS COMPLEX IMPLODED 💥🤑💸💰 I closed my $SLV call as the tape cracked wide open! 🔥 +397.34% realised 💰 +$15,614.95 locked 🪙 Tiger coins secured What followed was not a dip. It was forced liquidation across the entire metals complex. 🟡 Gold −9.2% worst day ever ⚪ Silver −27% worst day ever since 2011 🟠 Copper −4.4% 🔵 Platinum −18% I don’t fight the tape. I extract liquidity, step aside, and let volatility do the damage. This is precision execution when panic floods the order book, not prediction. Survival first. Prof

TOPKiwi Tigress: yeah BC this was kinda insane tbh, $iShares Silver Trust(SLV)$ $Silver - main 2603(SImain)$ just fell through the floor, volatility flipped in seconds, ngl most people were still staring at candles while you’d already locked it 😮🙌🙌🙌💰

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$Apple(AAPL)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ 📱🇨🇳 Apple’s China Revival, $AAPL Signals A Structural Demand Inflection 🇨🇳📱 I’m framing thi...

01-31

$Apple(AAPL)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ 📱🇨🇳 Apple’s China Revival, $AAPL Signals A Structural Demand Inflection 🇨🇳📱 I’m framing this as a structural China re-acceleration, not a short-term earnings sugar hit. Apple $AAPL is reasserting relevance in Greater China 🇨🇳, and the data confirms a regime shift in demand and sentiment. 💰 Greater China revenue surged +38% YoY to $25.5B 🏆 First $25B+ China quarter in four years 🥈 Second best China quarter in Apple’s history 📈 A clean breakout in Apple’s China revenue trajectory 📱 iPhone 17 drove record upgrades and switchers 📊 22% shipment share, Apple now #1 in the market 💎 Premium m

TOPCool Cat Winston: I like how your post frames $Apple(AAPL)$’s China 🇨🇳 rebound as a regime shift, not a one off. The momentum in revenue and share signals improving structure, tighter positioning, and better macro alignment. Volatility risk remains, but the liquidity pocket looks healthier than last year.

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$Unity Software Inc.(U)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ $Take-Two(TTWO)$ 🚨🎮🌐 Unity CRUSHED by Google AI, Is the Game Engine Moat Breaking? 🌐🎮🚨 $U is getting CRU...

01-31

$Unity Software Inc.(U)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ $Take-Two(TTWO)$ 🚨🎮🌐 Unity CRUSHED by Google AI, Is the Game Engine Moat Breaking? 🌐🎮🚨 $U is getting CRUSHED today after Google unveiled its Genie / Project Genie AI world-builder 🌐📉 Stock is down roughly -21% to ~$30, marking $U’s worst day since 2022, tracking for its lowest close since early July, down about -33% this week, and now colliding with heavy resistance at the 20DMA as competitive pressure from $GOOGL intensifies. $U and $TTWO are sliding as Genie demos ignite a new worry, if AI world-models can generate interactive worlds end-to-end, traditional game engines could matter less over time.

TOPHen Solo: Sharp read on $Take-Two(TTWO)$ Your post highlights liquidity, structure, and regime risk well, especially with AI-driven earnings uncertainty. I’m focused on support integrity, resistance overhead, and how flow and Vanna recalibrate sentiment.

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Shernice軒嬣 2000

01-30

From Powell to Warsh: The High-Conviction Buys Smart Money Is Watching

On Friday, President Donald Trump tapped Kevin Warsh to replace Jerome Powell as Federal Reserve Chair, ending a prolonged saga that plunged the central bank into rare and unprecedented turmoil. Let me break down the U.S. stocks associated with him. Warsh has been a partner and advisor at Duquesne Family Office since 2011. This family office is well known—its founder, Stanley Druckenmiller, is famous for his aggressive, high-conviction, all-in style of investing. The most recent holdings we can find are from their 2025 Q3 disclosure: Top 10 Core Holdings $Natera(NTRA)$ – ~US$517 million (12.74%) Increased by 129,300 shares in Q3. A core healthcare holding, betting on greater penetration of genetic testing.

From Powell to Warsh: The High-Conviction Buys Smart Money Is Watching