To The Moon

Marvell Earnings Preview: Can XPU and Interconnect Break Through the Vacuum? Global AI interconnect chip giant $Marvell Technology(MRVL)$   is set to report its FY2026 Q4 earnings after the market close this Thursday. Last quarter, the company guided that its XPU business would ramp meaningfully in FY28, and the market largely accepted that timeline. However, the period between now and FY28 remains an earnings vacuum, making it critical to watch whether management upgrades its guidance this time around. Q4 Core Financial Indicators – Revenue consensus stands at $2.26 billion, up 21% year over year and 6% quarter over quarter. The company's prior guidance was $2.2 billion. – GAAP gross margin consensus is 51

Oil Price to $100? Polymarket Ceasefire Bets Crash to 35% and USO Options Pop Polymarket prediction markets show only a 35% chance of a Iran-US ceasefire by March 31, though odds improve to 69% by June 30. This uncertainty has sent shockwaves through oil price, with $WTI Crude Oil - main 2604(CLmain)$   surging over 12% in this week as the conflict intensifies. Energy majors have posted impressive year-to-date gains, including $Occidental(OXY)$   up 30%, $Chevron(CVX)$   up 23%, $Petroleo Brasileir

Hedging the Oil Shock: What Smart Money Is Signaling in Tech, Gold and China Escalating tensions in Iran have pushed crude oil prices sharply higher, prompting markets to reprice imported inflation risk. As oil surged, U.S. equity indices pulled back, technology and Chinese ADR stocks came under pressure, and gold and silver sold off sharply. Recent options activity suggests institutional investors have begun proactively reducing risk exposure and managing volatility. Three options trades in $Alphabet(GOOGL)$  , $Newmont Mining(NEM)$  , and $JD.com(JD)$  

🌟🌟🌟In the Fire Horse market of 2026, the real winners are not just building the biggest AI brain but the most efficient worker.  The word Minimax is the ultimate financial pun:  Mini in resource consumption but Maximum in intelligence and revenue velocity.  While the Tech Giants are burning billions on expensive GPUs, $MINIMAX-WP(00100)$ has officially broken the "all hype, no profits" curse. MiniMax's Earnings Report: 158.9% Revenue Surge  The 2025 Earnings Report was a masterclass in commercial speed. The Revenue Leap:  Total revenue hit USD 79.04 million - a 158.9% YoY jump, shattering all analyst expectations. The M2 Miracle: Average daily token consumption for the M2 series in February 2026 surged 600% compared

The observation is consistent with what typically happens after geopolitical spikes. When conflict risk stabilises, the “war premium” in gold often fades first, while silver may continue rising if industrial demand remains strong. --- 1. Is this the time to take profit on gold? Not necessarily full profit taking, but partial trimming can be reasonable. Gold’s recent surge was driven by three forces: 1. Geopolitical hedge (Middle East tensions) 2. Central bank buying 3. Rate-cut expectations If the US–Iran situation de-escalates, the first driver could unwind quickly. A 3–5% retracement mentioned by JPMorgan is historically typical after war-risk spikes. Near-term levels: Short-term support: ~$5,200–5,300 Deeper consolidation: ~$5,000 Upside extension: ~$5,800–6,000 (if geopolitical risk pe

A sharp rise in the CBOE Volatility Index typically signals stress rather than an immediate bottom. Whether it becomes a “buy-the-dip” opportunity or the start of a deeper correction depends on what is driving the volatility. --- 1. Interpreting the VIX spike The VIX measures expected volatility for the S&P 500 over the next 30 days through options pricing. Historically: VIX Level Market Interpretation 15–20 Normal market conditions 20–30 Rising uncertainty 30–40 Panic / sharp correction >40 Capitulation territory A surge often occurs during the middle of sell-offs, not always at the final bottom. True bottoms usually form when volatility spikes and then quickly reverses lower. --- 2. Why the market is nervous now The sell-off appears to be driven by a combination of macro and valua

Short-term Elliott Wave analysis indicates that the rally to 7002.28 on January 28, 2026 marked the completion of wave 1. Following this advance, the market entered a corrective phase. The wave 2 pullback recently concluded at 6712, as illustrated in the one-hour chart. This decline corrected the cycle that began from the November 21, 2025 low, and its internal subdivisions unfolded in a double three structure, a common corrective pattern within Elliott Wave theory. From the peak of wave 1, the first leg lower, wave ((w)), ended at 6780.13. A subsequent rally formed wave ((x)), which terminated at 6993.48. The final leg, wave ((y)), pushed lower and ended at 6712.08. This level aligns with the 100%–161.8% Fibonacci extension of wave ((w)), measured at 6629–6768, reinforcing its significanc

$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ Wall Street's fear gauge just exploded to 23.31, marking its biggest jump in months amid escalating geopolitical chaos from U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran. Oil prices rocketed higher, bonds got hammered, and equities took a brutal hit – S&P 500 down sharply, Dow shedding over 1,000 points in a single session, Nasdaq leading the plunge as tech giants crumbled. 😱 But is this just a much-needed reset after the AI-fueled rally, or the opening act of a brutal downturn that could slash valuations across the board? Let's break it down step by step. First, the trigger: Weekend airstrikes lit a fire under global markets, sending crude oil up nearly 10% and flipping the switch to full risk-off mode. Gold smashed through $5,400

Oil Breaks Out: JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs Reveal What Comes Next Oil has been one of the standout performers of 2026, quietly — and then suddenly, not so quietly — becoming the trade everyone wished they had on. Year-to-date, energy-related assets have surged: the $Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLE)$   is up over 20%, with crude oil tracker $United States Oil Fund LP(USO)$   and majors $Exxon Mobil(XOM)$   and $Chevron(CVX)$   posting similarly impressive gains.

$UOB(U11.SI)$ $OCBC Bank(O39.SI)$ $DBS(D05.SI)$ Singapore's market is shaking things up big time! The STI just tanked another 2%, dragging the big banks down with it. DBS, OCBC, and UOB all took hits, but DBS is stealing the spotlight—dropping to around $55 SGD and whispering rumors of a slide to $50. Is this the perfect storm to buy the dip, or should you hold your horses for even lower prices? Let's dive deep into the chaos and uncover if now's your golden ticket to riches. 💰🚀 First off, what's fueling this freefall? Global jitters from interest rate tweaks and economic slowdown fears are hammering banks worldwide. For DBS, net interest margins are squeez

$Target(TGT)$ $Costco(COST)$  $Wal-Mart(WMT)$  🎯📉 Target Cuts Bonuses for a Second Year as Margins Take Priority 📈🧠 $TGT is reducing salaried employee bonuses to 75% of target for the second consecutive year while battling weaker sales and ongoing profit pressure. The market reaction speaks volumes. 📈 Stock up +1.3%. I view this not as a compensation footnote but as a capital discipline statement. Management is signalling that earnings durability outweighs top-line ambition in the current consumer regime. In this cycle, cost containment is being rewarded more than growth acceleration. 📊 Earnings Context: Soft Demand, Stronger Execution The lates

$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$   As Iran turmoil makes Gold and Oil soar amid geopolitical smoke, commodities solidify as the ultimate safe haven; consequently, investors fear a March crash repeat as Brent Crude incorporates a significant risk premium from supply threats。。。 The Black Swan military strikes rewarded investors using Gold or Oil as a "parachute" in the face of the Iran crisis; a diversified portfolio with energy and precious metals proved key to hedging against equity declines The "drop on good news" of NVIDIA (NVDA) highlighted the dangers of expectation gaps in a market frenzy, showing how overextended bulls fall victim to price swings; this warns to stay vigilant when technical resistance and overbought levels signal a potential bul

$HOOD 20260313 91.0 CALL$ Bearish crypto bias. Sell naked call during price relief first, wait for price to continue descent before selling put at lower strike to establish a strangle.

$SPY 20260313 495.0 PUT$ 市況不穩，減少抽ipo的注碼，有多餘按金做SP，今晚IV大升做近期超遠價也有不錯的期權金[美金]  

$BIREN TECH(06082)$ 有無搞錯呀。愈跌愈有。有無咁廢呀。目標增持至4000股？蝕到百街。翻到身就不會再買[喷血]  [喷血]  

$MINTH GROUP(00425)$ 基于行业回暖预期，看好敏华集团（0425.HK）作为功能沙发龙头企业的复苏弹性与长期价值。核心逻辑如下：1）地产政策支持与消费复苏有望带动家居需求改善，公司将凭借“芝华仕”的强势品牌与渠道优势率先受益；2）主业护城河深厚，并持续拓展床具等新品类，打造增长第二曲线；3）当前财务健康、股息具吸引力，估值处于历史低位，已较充分反映悲观预期，具备较高的安全边际与修复空间。

$SE 20260327 75.0 PUT$ Sell Put to collect premium and a chance to own it at 75 per share.