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08-20
Uber, Zeta, Hims & Nebius: 4 Stocks With Something to Prove
4 Stocks Where Fundamentals Are Telling a Different Story 📊 1. $Uber(UBER)$ — Bookings Still Matter Most For Uber, gross bookings remain one of the most important metrics to watch. So far, there's little evidence that Waymo is disrupting Uber's core business. The key question isn't whether autonomous driving will change mobility — it will. The question is whether Uber's marketplace can continue growing before that disruption becomes meaningful. For now, the bookings data is still telling a relatively strong story. 🚗 2. $Zeta Global Holdings Corp.(ZETA)$ — Growth Isn't the Question Zeta is clearly out-growing many of its competitors. That's not really the debate anymore. The bigger question is: How much
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08-20
Treasury Liquidity Injections, Yield Curve Dynamics, and Digital Asset Legislation: Strategic Implications for Markets and Stocks
In this article, we would like to share an in-depth analysis of recent macroeconomic and regulatory developments impacting global fixed income, corporate debt markets, and the digital asset ecosystem. Following a sharp spike in long-end sovereign yields driven by war risks and national debt approaching $40 trillion, the U.S. Treasury announced a doubling of its liquidity-support buybacks for 10-to-30-year Treasuries to at least $4 billion per operation through November 4, 2026. $US Treasury 10 Year Note ETF(UTEN)$ This intervention successfully suppressed 30-year yields to ~5.19% and injected vital liquidity into the long end. Simultaneously, digital asset markets have surged as institutional investors migrate toward hard assets and regulatory mom
TOPOutsiderLEO: The buyback angle helps liquidity, but credit spreads can still widen and eat the financing benefit. For MSTR especially, lower Treasury yields do not automatically mean meaningfully cheaper capital.
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08-20
4 SPY Stocks Down 40%-60%, But EPS Keeps Rising
These 4 stocks are down 40%-60% from its highs. But, EPS keeps going up every quarter for each of them too. Here's the 4 most undervalued stocks in $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ : 1st stock is: $Fair Isaac(FICO)$ its down almost 40% right now. It has never printed a loss quarter and eps keeps accelerating. Honestly, it shouldn't even be down this year. It actually makes no sense to me. $FICO -Fiscal Q3 revenue $674M, up 26%. -GAAP EPS $10.45, up 41%. Non GAAP $12.18, up 42%. -$370M of free cash flow in a single quarter. -Platform ARR up 62% to $413M, now bigger than legacy for the first time. -Repurchased $1.96B of stock in the quarter. Yes, its very expensive this stock. So here's 3 more that are chea
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08-20
Cancer Vaccine Phase 3: 5 Biotechs On the Brink
$Moderna, Inc.(MRNA)$ just showed how explosive a successful cancer-vaccine catalyst can be. A $1,000 overnight options bet reportedly turned into more than $7.3M after Moderna announced a major Phase 3 win for its personalized cancer vaccine program. But here's the catch: This is an extremely high-risk game. Two cancer-vaccine Phase 3 programs have already failed in 2026, including $IOBT, which filed for Chapter 7 after missing its primary endpoint, and $IMMP, which discontinued its Phase 3 program for futility. So the next wave of catalysts could create massive winners — or wipe out years of work. Here are 5 biotech names with major clinical readouts ahead: 1. $CG Oncology Inc.(CGON)$ Oncolytic virus de
TOPThanks for such interesting write up (and literally your handwritten notes!). Your reminder of such stocks' risk will be useful for inexperience investors out there. Then again, very rarely, if successful, one could real in handsome profits. Caveat emptor!
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08-20
Only 12 of 34 Leaders Still Hold All Major MAs
Only 12 of the 34 strongest movers with a market cap above $10B are still trading above all their major moving averages. That tells us something important: Headline strength is still concentrated. A handful of stocks continue to show strong relative strength since August 6, but the broader setup remains selective rather than broadly bullish. 🔥 The strongest RS names include: $SpaceX(SPCX)$ — Aerospace & Defense One of the strongest relative-strength names since Aug. 6. $TPG, Inc.(TPG)$ — Asset Management $Dell Technologies Inc.(DELL)$ — Computer Hardware $SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ — Computer Hardware
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08-20
24 Companies Built for FCF Compounding
Revenue growth is only the first step. The real compounding happens when a company can turn higher revenue into even faster FCF growth, and then turn that FCF growth into even faster FCF per share growth. 📈 That is where three powerful forces come together: Margin expansion + Buybacks + Multiple contraction A company doesn't necessarily need explosive revenue growth to generate strong long-term shareholder returns. If margins keep expanding, cash flow can grow faster than revenue. If management keeps buying back shares, FCF per share can grow even faster. And if the valuation multiple doesn't expand — or even contracts — the underlying business can still deliver strong returns. 🔥 The companies that stand out The following 24 companies show the characteristics of this kind of compounding mo
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08-20
Alibaba Earnings Strategy: Delivery Losses Narrowing
I. Cloud Business Beats Expectations Alibaba is expected to report Q1 FY2027 revenue with customer management revenue down 8% YoY, while cloud revenue is expected to grow 45% YoY (accelerating). Losses from delivery and flash purchase investments are narrowing rapidly, leading to upward revisions in FY2027 EPS forecasts. Cloud revenue continues to accelerate with improving profit margins quarter-over-quarter, which could serve as a catalyst for the stock in the coming quarters. Core catalysts (AI + Cloud): Qwen 4.0 foundational model upgrade in Q3 2026; September 22 Alibaba Cloud Apsara Conference: capital guidance updates, cloud business outlook, and new product launches; Potential T-Head semiconductor spin-off in Q2 2027. II. Volatility Estimates and Key Levels **U.S.-listed BABA (curren
TOPCloud at 45% with margin improvement is the real inflection, delivery losses matter way less here. Apsara guidance is probably the bigger stock driver
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08-20
You Know What I'm Going to Say
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ There's really not much point in looking at SPY's options activity anymore — it's really hard to make it drop. If it does drop, just sell puts. The Trump Account is basically a cheat code for the S&P 500. It indirectly turns every oversold trillion-dollar stock into a market-lifting reserve. So don't be fooled by AVGO getting hammered — it's a bear trap, storing up fuel for the broader market rally. A block trade opened 10,000 contracts of the 355 Sell Put $AVGO 20260831 355.0 PUT$ — the trader is definitely betting on this dynamic. The only thing is, Trump isn't entirely satisfied with the current account registration numbers yet, so he's stepp
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08-19
8/19 Pre-Market Thoughts: AI Giants (OpenAI, Anthropic) Drag on Sentiment
One-sentence theme: Bulls and bears collide — Hynix's massive buyback supports storage/semiconductors (bullish), but OpenAI and Anthropic both show slowing growth (bearish). Block trades are uniformly selling Puts at lower levels to "set a floor." I. Sentiment Focus: One Bullish, One Bearish 🟢 Bullish: Hynix's $28.4 Billion Buyback Halts Semiconductor Decline Hynix announced a 40 trillion won (~$28.4 billion) treasury stock buyback and cancellation, enhancing shareholder returns — starting August 20, lasting three months. Immediate effect: the news halted the semiconductor downtrend, with Hynix itself stabilizing and rebounding. Signal significance: buyback + cancellation = management using real money to signal that "the stock is undervalued and will rise further," stabilizing market confi
TOPValuation-wise the Hynix buyback helps, but OpenAI and Anthropic slowing can still cap the sector rerating. I care more about whether memory demand stays firm next quarter
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08-19
$MA Bullish Setup Reloaded: $574 Holds, $601 Awaits
$MasterCard(MA)$ $Mastercard (MA) +2.14%: Payment Giant Reclaims $574 as Momentum Builds, $601 High in Sight 📈 Latest Close Data MA closed at $574.31 (+2.14%) on 2026-08-19, adding $12.05. Volume surged to 3.91M shares (Volume Ratio 1.50), signaling strong accumulation. Price now sits just 4.8% below the 52-week high of $601.77 and well above the 52-week low of $464.52. Core Market Drivers Mastercard's breakout reflects renewed institutional demand amid stabilizing consumer spending data and easing rate-cut expectations. BlackRock holds 7.58% (66.4M shares) despite trimming recently, while Vanguard maintains 6.51% — signaling long-term confidence. Capital flow data shows 5-day net inflows turning sharply positive (+$56.1M on 08-17). Technical Analys
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08-19
$INTC 20260821 95.0 PUT$ Definitely an overeation to bonds news, let's wait to acquire to catch the rotation or take profit => 80%
TOPCould be the market front-running next week's earnings instead. Ngl the IV on that put still looks too cheap for an 80% take profit call
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08-19
$SOXS 20260821 45.0 CALL$ Sell call to recover some cost. But today soxs shot up a lot. Will see how it end
SOXS CALL
08-18 02:10
US20260821 45.0
| Side | Price | Filled | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Sell Open | 0.36 1Lot(s) | -- Closed |
TOPThat pop is scary lol, but with only a few days left theta still does most of the work unless SOXS clears 45 cleanly
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08-19
$SS SPDR STI ETF(ES3.SI)$ You can't go wrong with investing in Singapore's top 30 blue chip companies. Best of all. It pays dividends [Grin] [Cool]
TOP5.765 is a pretty clean entry, but the dividend reinvestment compounding is the part that really does the work
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08-19
$ARM Holdings(ARM)$ I'm continuing to DCA into $Arm Holdings (ARM)$ because I believe the long-term story remains intact despite the stock's strong rally and expensive valuation. ARM is no longer just a smartphone story — its architecture is becoming increasingly important across cloud computing, AI infrastructure, automotive and edge devices. The biggest reason I remain bullish is AI. As AI workloads expand, data centers need more efficient CPUs alongside GPUs, and ARM's performance-per-watt advantage makes it increasingly attractive. ARM is also moving further up the value chain with its own CPU products, giving it the potential to capture more revenue from the growing AI ecosystem. Of course, valuation and volatility are risks, especially a
TOPAI can be the reason, but ARM's data center CPU share still looks too small for this valuation. DCA helps entry timing, not multiple risk lol
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08-19
$AAPL VERTICAL 260918 PUT 285.0/PUT 290.0$ Decided to close and book 65% profit even there is 1 month before expiration. AAPL is doing good last night and can potentially go up more in coming days but market is pulling back. Secure profit first and I can always go back to open positions with AAPL.
AAPL Vertical
08-19 00:00
US285.0/290.0
| Side | Price | Filled | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Debit Close | 0.70 3 | -- Closed |
TOPClosed early makes sense. I’d worry more about tech earnings vol than the pullback, and AAPL options are liquid enough to re-enter clean.
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08-19
$SLV CALENDAR 261016/260918 PUT 54.0/PUT 54.0$ Decided to roll and extend the trade for 1 month. I booked the 55% profit in the table and was able the collect rich premium.
SLV Calendar
08-18 23:19
US54.0/54.0
| Side | Price | Filled | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Credit Close | -0.86 2 | -- Closed |
TOP55% booked is clean. I usually look at recycling part of that into OTM SLV premium and letting time do the work
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08-19
$AI $9.60 Is the Line — $10.40 Is the Prize
$C3.ai, Inc.(AI)$ $C3.ai, Inc.(AI) Edged +1.75% to $9.87: AI Software Play Holds $8.96 Support, $10.40 Breakout Still in Play Latest Close Data AI closed at $9.87 on Aug 19, 2026, up +1.75% from $9.70. Price sits 51.2% below its 52-week high of $20.22 and 28.7% above its 52-week low of $7.67. Pre-market hinted strength at $9.60, after-hours firmed to $9.80–$9.85. Core Market Drivers 📰 AI software sentiment firmed despite macro caution around Middle East risk and rising Treasury yields pressuring high-growth valuations. BlackRock lifted its stake to 9.17% (+2.05M shares), signaling institutional accumulation. No company-specific catalyst hit the tape today. Technical Analysis 📊 Volume of 4.21M shares (Volume Ratio 0.93) shows participation slightly b
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08-19
$KO Climbs Toward $91, Is Another Leg Higher Coming?
$Coca-Cola(KO)$ $Coca-Cola (KO) +2.12% Momentum Builds: Defensive Giant Eyes $89 Breakout, $90.92 High in Sight 🥤📈 Latest Close Data: KO closed at $88.82 (+2.12%) on Aug 19, 2026, just 2.3% below its 52-week high of $90.92. Volume reached 12.52M shares with a 1.04 volume ratio. Core Market Drivers: Coca-Cola's defensive appeal remains strong amid macro uncertainty. The stock hit an all-time high of $90.33 in late July following strong Q2 earnings, with ~$12B expected free cash flow and a 2.34% dividend yield attracting long-term capital. Continued rotation into quality staples supports momentum. Technical Analysis: RSI(6) jumped to 71.9—entering overbought territory but confirming bullish momentum. RSI(12) at 65.3 and RSI(24) at 61.3 show broad-base
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08-19
$BBY Next Battle Is $91.27
$Best Buy(BBY)$ $Best Buy Co., Inc.(BBY) +2.14% to $87.27: Retail Turnaround Gains Steam, $95 Target Within Reach 📈 Latest Close Data: BBY closed at $87.27 on Aug 19, 2026, up +2.14% (+$1.83). The stock sits just 4.4% below its 52-week high of $91.27, with intraday range $85.99–$88.02 and volume ratio of 1.64 signaling elevated participation. Core Market Drivers: Truist Securities upgraded BBY to Buy with a $95 target (Aug 11), citing AI-enabled consumer electronics refresh cycles and operational improvements. Conversely, BofA resumed coverage with Underperform and $80 target (Aug 3), creating a sharp bull-bear divergence. Dividend yield stands at an attractive 4.37%. Technical Analysis: 📊 RSI(6) at 65.15 and RSI(12) at 59.37 show momentum building
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08-19
$XOM $166 Clears, 52-Week High Next
$Exxon Mobil(XOM)$ $Exxon Mobil(XOM) +2.54% Breakout: Energy Giant Clears $165 Resistance, RSI Hits 81 as Bullish Momentum Peaks Latest Close: $165.56 (+2.54%), just 6.2% below 52-week high of $176.41. Volume surged to 18.95M shares (1.56x average ratio). Core Drivers: Crude strength and refinery margins fuel the breakout. White House extending Jones Act waivers to lower gasoline prices supports demand outlook. BlackRock boosted stake by 12M shares to 8.14%. Technical Analysis: MACD bullish crossover accelerating (DIF 3.84 vs DEA 3.31, histogram +1.06). RSI(6) at 81.23 = overbought, RSI(12) at 73.06 confirms trend. KDJ J-value at 104.95 signals extreme short-term extension. Volume ratio 1.56 confirms institutional participation. Key Levels: Primary