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08-26 01:18
Nothing Matters More Than Triple Witching
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ NVIDIA's post-earnings data on Wednesday was good, but it had little impact on the stock price. The real driver is the September 18 Triple Witching open interest settlement: the top Calls and top Puts will be max-pained, pinning the stock in the $200–210 range. So it's hard to see a directional trend before Triple Witching. Take Pelosi buying the dip on INTC — before Triple Witching, INTC will struggle to break above 110, and it's also hard to break above 100. If you hold the underlying stock, consider selling the 100 call $INTC 20260918 100.0 CALL$ to just ride it out through early September. It's worth noting that large block trades can have reverse effects. Earli
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08-25 23:04
NVIDIA F2Q27 Earnings Strategy: Beat, But Upside Is Limited
I. Fundamentals Earnings expectations: Revenue and profit expected to double-beat, with strong guidance. Revenue is expected at $94–95 billion (guidance at $91 billion, beating by $3–4 billion), up 16% YoY. Next-quarter guidance is expected to be raised to $107–108 billion. Drivers: GB300 rack shipments ramping (total rack units up 15% QoQ to 17,000–18,000), initial Vera Rubin shipments + Vera CPU volume ramp, and solid cloud capex. Several key points to watch: China H200 is an upside lever: Approved but shipments are slow — every 100,000 units shipped generates approximately $3 billion in incremental revenue, making it an important variable for October guidance. Addressing competition: In response to the ASIC/AMD share-erosion narrative, management will emphasize platform flexibility + Ve
TOPBelindaHaywood: That 90% token cost claim matters more than the rack math. If management can't quantify the Vera Rubin mix on the call, the ASIC share-loss debate probably stays alive
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08-25 20:29
Semiconductor ETFs Tumble — Are They Still Worth Buying?
Semiconductor ETFs suffered a sharp sell-off overnight. The Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF fell 7.83%, the Roundhill Memory ETF dropped 5.89%, and the Direxion Daily MSCI South Korea Bull 3X ETF declined 7.86%.$三倍做多半导体ETF-Direxion Daily(SOXL)$$Roundhill Memory ETF(DRAM)$$3倍做多韩国ETF-Direxion(KORU)$ So, what caused this sharp decline? I believe there were several contributing factors. Cooling enthusiasm for the AI trade Investor enthusiasm for the AI trade has started to cool. Combined with tighter regulatory measures aimed at curbing demand, this has resulted in nearly $1 billion of outflows this month from
TOPA selloff does not make semis unbuyable. SMH still has a 34% ten year annualized return, and chip cycles always look ugliest near the turn lol
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08-25 21:43
8/25 Pre-Market Thoughts: Big Money Loading Up
One-sentence theme: Smart money is buying — Pelosi is betting on AI power (BE/INTC), while Jack Ma and Joe Tsai are adding to Alibaba. At the same time, crude oil plunged 3% (Middle East easing). I. Sentiment Focus: Big Players Buying in Sync Pelosi family bets on "AI Power" On 7/24, purchased 10,000 shares of INTC + 15,000 shares of BE, along with long-term call options expiring in June 2027$BE 20270617 100.0 CALL$ $INTC 20270617 50.0 CALL$. BE (Bloom Energy) = solid oxide fuel cells, capable of providing on-site power directly to data centers and large commercial clients → a "power supply concept stock" tied to AI data center expansion. Jack Ma and Joe T
TOPI’m with the gold angle here: pullbacks make more sense for GLD sell puts than chasing this rip. The 420 put looks closer to the sweet spot if vol stays bid into September.
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08-25 21:15
🟡 Bitcoin ETFs Rise Together: Is Institutional Demand Returning to Crypto?
Bitcoin ETFs moved broadly higher, with major funds posting gains of around 2% as investor attention returned to the crypto market. The latest market data shows a strong sector-wide move: $Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund(FBTC)$ , $CoinShares Bitcoin ETF(BRRR)$ , $ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF(ARKB)$ , $Grayscale Bitcoin Trust(GBTC)$ , $Franklin Bitcoin ETF(EZBC)$ , $Bitwise Bitcoin ETF(BITB)$ , $iShares Bitcoin Trust(IBIT)$ , $Invesco Galaxy Bitcoin ETF(BTCO)
TOPBitcoin's Next Move Is About Liquidity Bitcoin's latest rebound matters because major spot ETFs are rising together, pointing to broad market demand rather than one fund outperforming. The bigger driver is macro. Bitcoin increasingly trades like a liquidity-sensitive risk asset, reacting to Fed policy, Treasury yields, the US dollar and global liquidity. If rate-cut expectations strengthen and yields decline, risk appetite could improve and support crypto. Spot ETFs have also opened Bitcoin to institutional capital. Funds such as IBIT, FBTC and ARKB make exposure easier through traditional brokerage accounts. The key signal now is ETF flows. Rising prices are encouraging, but sustained inflows would provide stronger confirmation. My view: Bitcoin can extend its rally if liquidity improves and institutional demand remains strong. But rising yields, a stronger dollar or weakening ETF flows could quickly turn this rebound into a short-term rally. @WallStreet_Tiger [财迷]
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08-25 21:07
Lotus Tech Completed Acquisition of 100% Equity Interest of Lotus Advance Technologies, Integrating All Businesses and Operations Under One Lotus
Aug 25, 2026 Lotus Tech completed the acquisition of 100% equity interest in Lotus UK following the exercises of put options by Geely and Etika. Lotus becomes one integrated global business under One Lotus with legendary British heritage and next-generation electrified mobility technologies. The integration is expected to unify the brand globally, accelerate collaboration, streamline governance and support long-term growth. NEW YORK, Aug. 25, 2026 -Lotus Technology Inc. (Nasdaq: LOT) (“Lotus Tech” or the “Company”), a leading global intelligent and luxury mobility provider, today announced that it completed the acquisition of 100% of the equity interests in Lotus Advance Technologies Sdn Bhd (“Lotus UK”) on August 21, 2026. Based
TOPThe August 27 earnings release could provide more clarity on how this integration supports future growth and profitability
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08-25 21:00
EPS up 682%, 242%, 156% — This Earnings Season Is Printing Real Money
While Wall Street continues to debate whether an “AI bubble” exists, the real winners have already crushed short‑sellers with their earnings reports. The July‑August 2026 earnings season is no ordinary set of “better‑than‑expected” results — it is a dominant capital bonanza. A cohort of large‑cap US stocks delivered staggering non‑GAAP earnings‑per‑share (EPS) performances: 50%, 100%, even 600%‑plus year‑over‑year growth. The market responded in the most direct fashion: surging share prices, short‑squeeze events, and analysts lifting price targets overnight. This is not modest growth. This is the sound of money‑printing machines running at full throttle. I. Semiconductors: “Lucrative Windfalls” for AI Infrastructure $Micron Technology(MU)$ : EPS up
TOPThe Real AI Divide: Profits The biggest takeaway from this earnings season is not whether an "AI bubble" exists, but that AI is increasingly turning into real profits. Micron's EPS surged 682%, Broadcom's AI semiconductor revenue jumped 143%, while Palantir's U.S. commercial revenue soared 149%. Meanwhile, Chevron, Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley also delivered powerful earnings growth. The AI trade is entering a new phase: from storytelling to profit delivery. Valuations remain a risk, but sustained earnings growth can justify premium multiples. The key question is no longer "Is AI a bubble?" but which companies can convert AI demand into durable revenue, margins and free cash flow? The next winners may not be the best AI storytellers — they will be the companies that actually make the most money. @AI_FocusedTrader [贱笑]
509
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08-25 20:32
$W Rallies After Q2 Beat as Bernstein Raises Target to $125
$Wayfair(W)$ $Wayfair (W) +1.64% to $103.19: Recovery Momentum Builds, Bulls Eye $107.72 Breakout Zone 📈 Latest Close Data: W closed at $103.19 (+1.64%) on Aug 25, 2026, with intraday range $100.52–$103.91. Price sits ~14% below 52-week high of $119.98 and ~86% above 52-week low of $55.60. Core Market Drivers: Bernstein upgraded W to Outperform with target raised from $100 to $125, citing home goods recovery and market share gains. Q2 earnings (reported Aug 4) beat on both EPS ($0.95 vs $0.90 est.) and revenue ($35.19B vs $34.65B est.), reinforcing the turnaround narrative. Technical Analysis: Volume at 1.661M shares with Volume Ratio 0.68 — below-average participation. RSI(6) at 52.47, RSI(12) at 55.12, RSI(24) at 56.25 — all neutral-to-bullish, no
511
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08-25 19:33
$CHWY Holds $24.50 as Bulls Target $27 and Beyond
$Chewy, Inc.(CHWY)$ $Chewy, Inc.(CHWY) +2.00%: Pet E-Commerce Giant Reclaims $24.50, Bulls Eye $27 Resistance as Momentum Builds 🐾 Latest Close Data: CHWY closed at $24.50 on 2026-08-25, up +2.00% (+$0.48). The stock traded in a range of $23.72–$24.78, finishing just -43.7% below its 52-week high of $43.50 and +40.8% above its 52-week low of $17.40. Pre-market showed $23.66, while after-hours firmed to $24.70. Core Market Drivers: Chewy continues to ride the resilient pet-spend narrative, with institutional flows staying net positive over 5 days. Float remains tight at just 54.38M shares (~13.3% of total), amplifying moves. No major company-specific news today, but sector sympathy from specialty retail strength supported the bid. T
507
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08-25 19:43
$TRIP Holds the Line at $10 as Bulls Eye a Move Toward $12
$TripAdvisor(TRIP)$ $TripAdvisor(TRIP) +1.90%: Oversold Rebound Gains Traction, $10 Pivot Holds as Bulls Eye $12.22 Breakout Latest Close Data: TRIP closed at $10.19 on Aug 25, up +1.90% (+$0.19), off the session low of $10.02 and near the day's high of $10.34. Still trading 49.5% below the 52-week high of $20.16, but 13.1% above the 52-week low of $9.01. Core Market Drivers: TripAdvisor continues to recover from the Aug 6 post-earnings crash (-20.12%) triggered by weaker Q2 revenue ($441.9M vs. $506.3M expected) and declining non-GAAP EPS. BTIG downgraded the stock from Buy to Neutral on Jul 21, adding pressure. Institutional holders (BlackRock 14.88%, Columbia 9.00%) have maintained positions, suggesting long-term conviction remains intact. Tech
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08-25 16:43
Why I Think Going Long U.S. Stocks and Gold Ahead of Jackson Hole Isn't a Good Idea
I believe most market participants currently recognize that U.S. equities are at an extremely delicate point of equilibrium. Technically, the S&P 500 has already fallen below its 20-day moving average, and bearish sentiment has intensified sharply. At the fundamental level, however, the fragile balance among U.S. Treasuries, U.S. equities, confidence in the U.S. dollar, and inflation expectations remains unchanged. The Treasury’s expansion of its long-term Treasury buyback program may appear to stabilize the market, but in the face of rapidly rising debt and elevated interest costs, the measure looks more like an attempt to buy time than to solve the underlying problem. $标普500(.SPX)$
TOPLong on stock != long on gold != long on miners TGA funds doesn't means fund sitting in any account. Its fund generated by ... drum rolls... selling of bonds ... Why would someone sell a bond and buy a different one ... well, only if the terms are better .. treasury buy back per month - $4 billion Treasury bond sales per month - $800 billion Treasury outstanding (debts) - $40 trillion Treasury interest per year - more than gdp of USA and more than a trillion Fed can at most raise 25 points before they cause problem for treasury Walsh will do what he has been doing, stay deliberately vague, market will continue what is has been doing.. play the news whichever way the big whales 🐋 wants ..
209
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08-25 19:29
$MTCH Eyes $44 After Hinge Growth Reignites the Bull Case
$Match(MTCH)$ $Match Group, Inc.(MTCH) +2.10% Breakout: Dating Giant Tags 52-Week High, $51 Target in Sight 🚀 Latest Close: $41.73 (+2.10%), just $0.05 from 52-week high of $41.78. Volume 3.22M shares, 1.09x average turnover ratio — accumulation confirmed. Core Drivers: Tinder DAU declines narrowed to 4% while Hinge MAU grew 13%, signaling turnaround traction. Morgan Stanley raised PT to $40, citing improving H2 pipeline. Post-earnings panic from Aug 5 (-10.6%) fully reversed. Technical Analysis: MACD histogram +0.766, DIF (0.575) far above DEA (0.192) — strong bullish momentum. RSI(6)=80.01 entering overbought but not extreme; RSI(24)=61.03 confirms healthy trend. KDJ J-value at 120 signals short-term overheating risk. Price above all key moving
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08-25 19:07
$DIS Surges on Heavy Volume as Bulls Close In on $111
$Walt Disney(DIS)$ $Walt Disney Co. (DIS) +2.63% at $110.61: Bullish Momentum Builds, $111.42 Breakout in Sight 🎯 Latest Close: Closed at $110.61 (+2.63%) on Aug 25, 2026. Now just 0.73% below its near-term resistance of $111.42, and 7.7% below its 52-week high of $119.78. Core Market Drivers: New CEO outlined a $60B investment strategy focused on streaming and “core fans,” alongside an employee stock purchase plan signaling insider confidence. Strong Q3 earnings (revenue $25.2B, +7% YoY, streaming profit doubled) continue to support valuation recovery. Multiple banks raised targets to $115–$137. Technical Analysis: Volume surged to 12.66M shares (VR 1.73) , confirming conviction. MACD remains bullish with DIF 2.60 above DEA 1.91 (histogram +1.38).
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08-25 19:02
$WMT Stabilizes After the Selloff With Buyers Targeting $110
$Wal-Mart(WMT)$ $Walmart (WMT) Rallies +2.69% to $106.49: Defensive Giant Reclaims Momentum, $119 Resistance Eyed Latest Close Data: WMT closed at $106.49 (+2.69%) on Aug 25, 2026, up $2.79 from prior close of $103.70. Still 21.2% below 52-week high of $135.16, but 11.6% above 52-week low of $95.42. Core Market Drivers: Walmart's defensive appeal strengthened as broader markets wobbled—Dow fell 703 points on Aug 21 with WMT among drags, but dip-buyers stepped in on valuation support. Insider Walton Enterprises holds 37.73% stake, signaling long-term confidence. No company-specific news today; move appears technical and sentiment-driven. Technical Analysis: Volume reached 35.62M shares (volume ratio 0.89), slightly below average but sufficient to co
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08-25 18:57
🚀 Wells Fargo Bumps Marvell to $310 Ahead of Earnings: Inside Rakers' Boldest AI Chip Call Yet
1.Executive Summary Ahead of $Marvell Technology(MRVL)$'s Q2 FY27 earnings on August 27, Wells Fargo analyst Aaron Rakers made one of the boldest calls of the season: he raised his price target to $310 from $240 — nearly $50 above the Street's ~$264 consensus — while reiterating a Buy rating. Rakers points to last week's expanded custom AI chip agreement with $Alphabet(GOOGL)$'s Google, which grants Google a warrant to buy up to $12.2 billion of Marvell stock, as the trigger. He's not alone in leaning bullish: of the 44 analysts covering Marvell, 38 currently rate it Buy. 📌 Key Insight: A $70 target hike in a single note, landing well above where the Street already sits, i
TOPMarvell's upcoming earnings are not simply a beat-or-miss event. The bigger question is whether its AI custom-silicon opportunity is genuinely expanding. The Google agreement is a major positive, but the warrant is tied to future qualifying revenue, so investors shouldn't treat the headline $120 billion figure as guaranteed sales. I'm watching three signals: forward guidance, Google revenue momentum, and Amazon Trainium deployments. If management can show stronger visibility across custom accelerators, networking, optics and memory connectivity, the $310 target becomes more credible. However, after such a powerful rally, expectations are already high. A routine earnings beat may not be enough. For me, MRVL's next upside leg requires evidence that AI infrastructure demand is becoming a durable, multi-year growth engine — not simply another hype cycle. @Capital_Insights [暗中观察]
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08-25 19:01
$STI Turns to Earnings as $FEH, $OUH and $NTP Lead the Profit Recovery
Singapore equities entered the second half from a position of strength. The $Straits Times Index(STI.SI)$ 's discount to Bloomberg consensus target price has narrowed materially from the double-digit levels that prevailed through much of the past few years, shifting the focus from valuation expansion to earnings delivery. With indicative STI EPS growth around 12% based on current LSEG Workspace consensus forecasts, investors are likely to place greater emphasis on profits, cash flow, dividends and capital discipline. That makes the post-1H26 earnings season an important test of earnings breadth. Consensus forecasts continue to point to following-FY earnings growth across all sectors, although REITs, Consumer Cyclicals and Utilities are presently
TOP12% STI EPS growth feels a bit rich to me. REITs and consumer cyclicals are still dragging, so earnings breadth matters more than the headline number
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08-25 17:39
Alibaba brass, Jack Ma up stakes for firm?
According to sources close to the matter, as Alibaba launched a placement financing round, founder Jack Ma has been increasing his holdings in Alibaba's Hong Kong-listed shares for several consecutive days, with the total amount exceeding HK$600 million, signaling his strong confidence in Alibaba's AI prospects. In addition, after Joseph Tsai purchased approximately HK$80 million worth of Alibaba shares yesterday, on August 25, according to information from the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, Alibaba Group Chairman Joseph Tsai again increased his stake by about HK$82 million. Following the placement news, Tsai has bought Alibaba shares for two consecutive days, and his current holdings amount to approximately HK$160 million. Are Jack Ma and Joseph Tsai's successive share purchases a genuine vote
TOPTwo straight days matters more than the headline size, that kind of continuity usually signals real alignment not just optics
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08-25 18:41
$YUM Rallies as FDA Update Clears a Key Overhang
$Yum(YUM)$ $Yum Brands (YUM) +2.85% Momentum Building: Quick-Service Giant Reclaims $157, Eyes $158.45 Breakout 🍗📈 Latest Close Data: YUM closed at $157.35 (+2.85%) on Aug 25, 2026, just 7.5% below its 52-week high of $170.14 and only $1.10 from the near-term resistance at $158.45. Volume came in at 2.28M shares with a volume ratio of 0.74, suggesting measured accumulation rather than euphoric breakout volume. Core Market Drivers: The stock continues to recover from the cyclospora-linked lettuce scare that previously hit Taco Bell traffic by over 30%. CEO Chris Turner's reassurance that the issue was industry-wide—not brand-specific—plus FDA's false-positive confirmation have eased food-safety fears. Q2 earnings beat expectations, providing fundame
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08-25 18:35
$V Rises 3% on Strong Flows as Bulls Eye $400
$Visa(V)$ $Visa (V) +3.06%: Payment Titan Hits 52-Week High, $413 Target in Sight 🚀 Latest Close Data: V closed at $382.41 (+3.06%) on Aug 25, marking a fresh 52-week high of $383.43. After-hours action pushed to $383.60, confirming breakout momentum. Core Market Drivers: Broad risk-on sentiment lifted mega-cap financials. Strong capital inflows ($7.82B total) with large-order buying ($135M) signaled institutional accumulation. No company-specific news; the move reflects macro rotation into payment infrastructure. Technical Analysis: Volume surged to 8.48M shares (volume ratio 1.03). RSI(6) spiked to 81.46 — overbought but momentum-driven. MACD turned positive (+1.07) as DIF crossed above DEA, confirming bullish crossover. KDJ J-value at 108 signals
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08-25 18:26
$Z Mounts a Rebound With $44 Now the Key Test
$Zillow(Z)$ $Zillow(Z) +3.26%: Real Estate Platform Rebounds Off Support, MACD Momentum Building, $44 Resistance in Focus 🏠📈 Latest Close Data: Zillow closed at $37.05 (+3.26%) on Aug 25, 2026, extending its recovery from the early-August post-earnings selloff. Price sits ~21% above the 52-week low of $29.23, but remains ~60% below the 52-week high of $93.88. Core Market Drivers: Zillow continues to reprice after Q2 results showed adjusted EPS of $0.52 beating estimates (+30% YoY), though revenue missed expectations and the company announced 500+ layoffs. Recent strength reflects bargain-hunting and stabilization following the strategic restructuring narrative. Technical Analysis: Volume came in at 3.17M shares (volume ratio 0.99), showing average pa