Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 31Aug2026) Global Manufacturing Signals China’s August Manufacturing PMI is forecast at 49.7, indicating a contraction in manufacturing activity. This release is especially important because China accounts for nearly one-third of global manufacturing output, so a weaker reading could point to softer global demand. Chicago PMI for August is forecast at 57.8, suggesting continued expansion in production and a potentially bullish signal for markets. S&P Global Manufacturing PMI for August is forecast at 53.2, also pointing to expansion. ISM Manufacturing PMI for August is forecast at 55.3, indicating further growth in manufacturing activity. ISM Manufacturing Prices for August will be an important gauge of producer cost pressures, which may eve
(Part 4 of 5) - News and my thoughts from the past week (31Aug2026)
News and my thoughts from the past week (31Aug2026) JPMorgan has said that there may be a large-scale food supply crisis in the next year. - Unusual Whale Bill Gates accuses the tech industry of knowingly downplaying AI's risks because too much money is at stake. Executives are worried in private but won't say so publicly, he told the NYT. Their reasoning, in his words: "It's bad for us — the next trillion dollars we're trying to raise." Gates says the industry blew past milestones it once said would warrant caution: models escaping their creators' control, AI producing bioweapon recipes. - X user International Cyber Digest AI agents are now using 5x more tokens than humans - X user Kalshi David Sacks: “I got bad news for you, Chamath, an open source ban is coming. They're not going to cal
Mastering SGX's Newest High Leverage Gold & Silver DLCs 🌟🌟🌟Welcome to the ultimate precision toolset for macro scalpers. The launch of Societe Generale's first ever Gold and Silver Daily Leverage Certificates or DLCs on the SGX represents a massive structural upgrade for directional traders across Asia. By tracking the world's most liquid precious metals ETFs $SPDR Gold ETF(GLD)$ and $iShares Silver Trust(SLV)$ with a near perfect 0.98 correlation to spot prices, you no longer have to navigate chunky futures contracts, overnight currency friction or complex margin calls. Trading with fixed leverage factors of 3x for Si
🌟🌟🌟It is the Tug of War of the AI era: Do you stay strapped to the $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ rocket ship or do you take profits and run before gravity remembers it still exists? If you choose to diamond hand your Nvidia's shares, you are backing the King of modern computing infrastructure. Every Tech Titan from Microsoft & Google to hyper scaled AI startups is practically begging for NVIDIA hardware. They are not just buying chips. They are buying the software ecosystem - CUDA that anchors the entire AI world. NVIDIA does not just sit still. Just when the market thinks Blackwell architecture is priced in, Vera Rubin is their next generation silicon road map. Moreover there is no financial pain quite like selling a stock at a 100% gain
🌟🌟🌟I believe that the $Marvell Technology(MRVL)$ thesis rests on rock solid fundamentals. The custom chip story isn't cooling down. Hyperscalers like Alphabet, Amazon & Microsoft need custom ASICs to optimise specific workloads at a lower cost. Marvell's management also stated that their custom chip business is expected to double next year. You do not double your core growth engine in a cooling market. Don't forget that NVIDIA itself validated Marvell's tech stack with a massive USD 2 billion strategic investment earlier this year to integrate them into the NVLink Fusion ecosystem. So when the market throws a high quality stock out with post earnings bathwater, history favours those who step in to buy the fear.
🌟🌟🌟Buying $Strategy(MSTR)$ isn't just buying Bitcoin. It is buying Bitcoin on financial steroids. If you believe the bottom is in, Michael Saylor's model is an absolute master piece of corporate engineering. MSTR doesn't just buy Bitcoin with spare cash. They issue low interest convertible debt to buy more Bitcoin. When Bitcoin goes up, MSTR's stock price reacts with a massive spike that leaves spot Bitcoin ETFs like $iShares Bitcoin Trust(IBIT)$ in the dust. By trading at a massive premium to its actual Net Asset Value or NAV, MSTR can issue new shares, buy more Bitcoin & instantly make the company more valuable on paper. It is a financial perpetual motion machine. In
🌟🌟🌟 $SK hynix(SKHY)$ ground breaking ceremony in Indiana USA proves that the memory market has fundamentally evolved from a commoditised cyclical trade into a high barrier, institutional grade structural growth story. While the risk of aggressive pricing may trigger a capital expenditure pullback from Big Tech, the sheer physics of AI scaling means the world simply cannot function without advanced HBM memory. Hynix is building the physical backbone of the next decade's computing infrastructure. Until the Big Tech Giants stop fighting over server rack space, the memory supercycle remains firmly intact. That is why I believe that SK Hynix will continue to be the dominant leader of the memory stocks as it has exponential growth ahead.
Wall Street has stopped playing nicely Roblox has become a fascinating stock because Wall Street cannot seem to agree on what it is worth — and, more importantly, what kind of company it will become. The disagreement has intensified in recent months. Bank of America slashed its price target from $165 to $48 and moved to Neutral. JPMorgan cut its target from $75 to $50. Morgan Stanley subsequently reduced its target to $55 on 31 July while retaining an Overweight rating. That distinction matters. Morgan Stanley is effectively saying Roblox's long-term opportunity remains attractive while acknowledging that the near-term economics have deteriorated substantially. Wall Street isn't simply divided. The consensus itself has been moving rapidly lower. At $38.53 on 28 August,
$ETHU Update: The Bullish Pennant May Still Be Intact
A quick update on $Volatility Shares 2x Ether ETF(ETHU)$ / $ETHUSD. One technical detail worth watching is that a short-term breakdown from a bullish flag or pennant does not automatically invalidate the broader setup — especially when the move is driven by a single sharp red day. What matters more is what happens after the breakdown. If the rate of decline begins to slow and price starts forming a sequence of higher lows, that can signal that buyers are gradually stepping back in and attempting to regain control. That’s exactly what I’m watching here. 👀 For now, I’m still treating the broader $ETHUSD bullish pennant structure as intact. The key is whether ETH can continue building higher lows and reclaim the levels lost during the initial breakd
$NQ Divergence Is Back, Is Another Correction Setting Up?
The multi-month divergence has returned, and it’s becoming one of the key setups I’m watching right now. While $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2609(ESmain)$ and $E-mini Dow Jones - main 2609(YMmain)$ pushed well above their June highs, $NQ Minerals PLC(NQMIY)$ remains significantly below its June peak. That disconnect matters. Now all three major futures indices are pulling back, bringing back a setup that previously preceded the correction earlier this year. ⚠️ 📊 The Divergence $ES and $YM managed to make fresh highs while $NQ failed to confirm. When one major index repeatedly lags while the others continue higher, it can signal that market breadth and lead
The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ is heading into a turbulent seasonal month. Over the last 40 years, the SPX has seen a positive close in September just 48% of the time. This is well below the 72% historical positive average that I mention as the benchmark based on the last 70 years; anything notably above or below that reference gains relevance. Worth noting as well, the average move for September over the past 40 years has been -0.84%. A 48% win rate is a significant deviation to consider, and its relevance increases when you see that August is closing in the green this year. When I analyzed the years individually, many of the green Septembers were preceded by a red August, and vice versa, meaning that the window for a healthy pullback is narrowing. This
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ With this earnings report, NVIDIA has cemented its status as the Federal Reserve of the AI world. Going forward, its earnings releases will be roughly equivalent to macroeconomic data releases. I haven't figured out the full implications yet, but one thing is clear: the nature of the company has changed. Wednesday's largest block trade combo was Sell Put 200 + Buy Call 220 + Sell Call 230. As today's opening showed — opening at 222, hitting 225 intraday — it was remarkably precise. Next week, there's no need to look at open interest data or GEX analysis. Just reference today's intraday block trade: the September 4-expiry 235 Put $NVDA 20260904 235.0 PUT$ — volume 9,1
[HARD TRUTH] Why Most Beginners Blow Up Their Accounts (It’s NOT Their Strategy)
You can give a beginner a trading strategy with a proven 70% win rate and a 1:2 risk-to-reward ratio, and they will still manage to blow up their account within 90 days. Then, they’ll jump onto Reddit or YouTube, flame the strategy as a "scam," and search for a new indicator or secret setup. Here is the cold, hard truth of institutional risk management: Accounts do not blow up because of bad trading strategies. They blow up because of poor capital allocation, asymmetric math, and emotional execution. 1. The Asymmetry of Loss (The Math That Destroys Accounts) $Micron Technology(MU)$ When you lose capital, the recovery work increases exponentially. Most new traders do not realize that drawdown math is not linear—it is severely stacked against you. If
$英伟达(NVDA)$ VERA RUBIN SUPPLY CHAIN Rubin is becoming a system-level buildout with rising content across memory, packaging, networking, power and cooling pushing the opportunity well beyond the GPU: • Memory sits with$美光科技(MU)$ ,$SK海力士(SKHY)$ & Samsung supplying the DRAM & HBM feeding Rubin accelerators while $闪迪(SNDK)$ adds exposure to storage layer around AI systems • Advanced packaging runs through$台积电(TSM)$ ,$艾马克技术公司(AMKR)$ &$
[RISK MANAGEMENT] The 1% Rule That Keeps You In The Game
Ask any funded prop trader or institutional desk manager what keeps them employed, and they won't point to a secret indicator or a 90% win-rate algorithm. They will point to a single survival constraint: The 1% Rule. Most retail traders trade based on conviction. When they "feel" a setup is guaranteed, they increase their risk to 5%, 10%, or even 20% of their account. A single unexpected news spike or liquidity sweep destroys weeks of progress. Trading isn't about being right on every trade it's about staying solvent long enough for your statistical edge to play out over hundreds of trades. The Power of Fixed-Percentage Sizing The core concept behind the 1% Rule is that your position size dynamically scales with your equity. As your account grows, your dollar risk increases. As your accoun
Stop Gambling In The Market: Use This Position Sizing Formula
Most traders don't blow up their accounts because of bad entry setups. They blow up because they trade arbitrary position sizes. If your strategy is to buy "100 shares" or "1 full lot" on every single trade regardless of where your stop-loss sits, you aren't trading—you are running a high-variance casino strategy. The Retail Trap: Fixed Sizing vs. Fixed Risk Here is how 90% of retail traders position size: Pick an entry price. Pick an arbitrary number of shares or contracts (e.g., "$5,000 worth"). Set a stop-loss wherever the chart "looks good." Why this leads to account blowups: If Trade A has a 2% stop-loss distance and Trade B has a 10% stop-loss distance, taking $5,000 position sizes on both means you are risking 5x more dollar value on Trade B. One bad volatile trade erases five good
[TECHNICAL] The Golden Rule of Survival: Master How to Calculate Your Position Size and Risk
Welcome to another essential technical breakdown. We keep getting great questions about "textbook plays" and the influence of sophisticated algorithms (algos) in modern trading. While algorithms are certainly smarter today, they still operate based on mathematical rules of risk, probability, and market structure. The absolute foundational rule that lets you survive long enough to even compete against those algos is known as The Golden Rule of Survival: Master Your Position Size. If you cannot calculate exactly what you stand to lose before you execute a trade, you are not trading; you are gambling. Here is the technical breakdown of how to size your positions correctly, step-by-step, complete with a clean visual example. The Difference Between Risk and Position Value The biggest technical
$Microsoft(MSFT)$ After breaking out from its last earnings, MSFT have been consolidating for 2 over weeks, which during these 2 weeks seem to be forming a CUP and handle chart. However there isn't a handle being form yet, or perhaps there won't be a handle and this action is going straight up with its current bullish momentum. Either way, technical is looking good. 👍