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08-28
As September 2026 arrives, the best approach is to transition from monitoring past shocks to tracking concrete data execution. Keep a close eye on the launch of the Treasury's expanded buybacks to see if the market absorbs the liquidity smoothly, and watch if the VIX stabilizes to signal a true return of investor confidence. $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ For REIT investors, the high-profile distress in Singapore highlights the absolute necessity of auditing portfolio leverage and management stability before allocating new capital. $EC World Reit(BWCU.SI)$ $Eagle HT
TOPSteveWatson: Leverage audit is non negotiable for these REITs, and management stability gets ignored way too often. Distress headlines are loud, but weak governance usually bites longer
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08-31 10:08
Cross-Market Weekly: US Stocks Edge Higher, VIX Hits YTD Low; PANW, DELL & AVGO Ahead
Last Week's Recap 1. Market Digest: Stocks Edge Up, Warsh's Hawkish Jackson Hole, Yields Spike, Inflation Sticky Baby steps — $S&P 500(.SPX)$, $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$, and $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ posted fractional weekly gains, regaining ground from the prior week's modest declines. Stocks traded in a narrow range for a third consecutive week. Hawkish Fed — Fed Chair Kevin Warsh emphasized inflation risks at Jackson Hole, stating the Fed "must be confident that underlying inflation is moving to our objective, clearly and at sufficient speed. Otherwise, we have work to do." Yield reaction — 2-year Treasury yield jumped to 4.3
TOPLast week's market looked calm, but beneath the surface, risks were rising. The S&P 500 edged higher, while Hong Kong stocks weakened as profit-taking hit technology names. In the US, Warsh's hawkish tone and sticky PCE inflation pushed Treasury yields sharply higher, keeping September rate-policy uncertainty alive. This week, the spotlight shifts to jobs. A weak payroll report could revive rate-cut expectations and support equities, while stronger employment may keep yields elevated and pressure high-valuation growth stocks. Earnings are equally important. Broadcom and Dell will test whether AI infrastructure spending remains strong, while Palo Alto Networks, MongoDB and Snowflake could show whether AI demand is spreading into software. My strategy: don't chase short-term momentum. Stay focused on companies with strong earnings growth, pricing power and genuine AI-driven cash-flow potential. Volatility may create better entry points. @TigerObserver [微笑]
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08-31 07:10
$WPM +50% and $NEM $90 → $130 🎯 Time to Take Profit?
Two Smart Money setups have now reached their planned targets. 🥇 $Wheaton Precious Metals(WPM)$ I posted the $WPM Smart Money setup for subscribers on July 30. Since then, the stock has gained more than 50% and has now reached our planned target at the equal high. Well done to everyone who took the trade. 👏🎯 If I were still in the position, I’d be reducing exposure and taking some profit here rather than chasing the move higher. 🚀 $Newmont Mining(NEM)$ I posted the $NEM Smart Money setup last month. The stock moved from around $90 to $130 in just one month and has now reached the equal highs. Under the Smart Money Zone framework, this is our take-profit area. Another trade that reached the planned target. 🎯
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08-31 07:01
The AI Bottleneck Trade Is Moving Beyond GPUs: $GEV $VRT $TT $ANET
One of the most interesting AI infrastructure themes right now has little to do with the GPUs themselves. Elon Musk recently argued that roughly 15 GW of AI compute capacity built in 2027 may not be able to turn on that same year. The reason is simple: having GPUs is not the same thing as having a functioning AI data center. You still need transformers, switchgear, wiring, cooling systems, chillers and high-speed networking. And those components are increasingly becoming the bottleneck. ⚡ 🔌 Power Infrastructure $GE Vernova Inc.(GEV)$ One of the broadest ways to play the electrification bottleneck, spanning turbines, grid equipment and switchgear. The company booked about $2.4B of data-center electrification orders in Q1 2026, according to the figur
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08-29 21:31
[PRO EXECUTION] How Pros Calculate Position Size Before Every Trade
Retail traders pick a position size based on how much money they want to make. Institutional and professional traders calculate position size based on how much money they are willing to lose. That single mindset shift is the boundary between amateur gambling and sustainable asset management. If your trade plan involves clicking a default "1 Lot" or "100 Shares" button on every execution regardless of market volatility, you are letting the market dictate your risk rather than controlling it yourself. Here is how professional execution desks calculate dynamic position sizing before entering any market. The Professional Sizing Order: Sizing Backward $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Amateurs trade forward (Capital -> Leverage -> Entry -> Hope it works).
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08-29 18:30
THE FED JUST CHANGED THE GAME. IS THE AI RALLY IN TROUBLE?
WARSH SENT A VERY CLEAR MESSAGE Kevin Warsh didn't come to Jackson Hole to reassure markets. He came to remind them that inflation is still the problem. His message was blunt: 65 months of elevated inflation. And despite two years of progress, the improvement has been… modest. Even worse for equity bulls, Warsh said the latest CPI and PCE numbers haven't convinced him that underlying inflation has meaningfully improved. That was enough. RATE-HIKE ODDS JUST EXPLODED Before Warsh's speech: September hike probability: 35% After the speech: 58% Rate That's a massive repricing in a single day. Treasury yields moved higher. Rate-sensitive technology stocks got hit. And $NVIDIA(NVDA)$, after exploding +8.7% following earnings, gave back much of the move,
TOPD for me. 52% earnings growth plus Nvidia pushing toward 80% gross margin is still doing the heavy lifting, rates just add chop
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08-30 00:46
[GUIDE] Small Risk Now, Big Freedom Later: The Asymmetric Risk Management Framework
The most dangerous illusion in trading is believing that massive profits require taking massive risks. Amateur traders routinely risk 10% to 20% of their account balance chasing a quick win. Professional traders, by contrast, risk 0.5% to 1.5% to capture 3% to 5% returns—or they don't touch the trigger at all. Protecting your downside isn't about trading scared; it's about staying in the game long enough for compound interest to grant you ultimate financial freedom. $ServiceNow(NOW)$ The Mathematical Trap: Why Drawdowns Kill Accounts The true enemy of financial longevity is asymmetric drawdown math. When you lose capital, the percentage gain required just to get back to even grows exponentially. If you lose half your account balance, you don't need
TOPFramework is solid, but the fundamental filter matters too. For NOW, 30%+ revenue growth makes a wider stop easier to justify than a weak chart-only setup
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08-30 01:30
Position Size vs. Account Size: What Beginners Get Wrong
The fastest way to blow up a $50,000 trading account is confusing notional position size with actual dollar risk. Beginners decide how much to buy based on how much money is sitting in their brokerage account. Professional traders decide how much to buy based strictly on the distance to their invalidation level. If you are buying a fixed dollar amount (or fixed number of shares) on every trade regardless of chart structure, you are trading random variance not a system. $Oracle(ORCL)$ The Paradox: Tight Stops Mean Larger Position Sizes Here is the counter-intuitive math that trips up almost every new trader. Assume a $20,000 account with a strict 1% risk cap ($200 max loss per trade): Scenario A: Tight Scalp Setup
TOPDaily stops and intraday stops are totally different math. On ADBE or ORCL, the timeframe sets the stop first, then the size follows.
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08-30 04:54
If Every Country Is in Debt, Who Does the World Owe the Money To?
Let me ask you a question. If every country in the world is in debt — the US, Japan, Europe, and even Singapore — who exactly is this money owed to?Have you ever thought that this question might actually have no clean answer?Because if every country is a debtor, logic says someone must be the creditor. But when you dig into the data, ask around, and flip through the reports, you discover something very strange: almost no country dares to openly admit that it is holding the world’s money. Every country is crying poor. Every country is borrowing. Yet the money that is being lent out still has to land somewhere on someone’s books.Last year the Institute of International Finance put out a figure: total global debt hit US$348 trillion. What does that number mean? If you take all 8.1 billion peo
TOPSo rather than buying US Treasuries, and those same JPN investors have begun aggressively selling off US debt to bring their cash home. This is the main reason why US had joined Japan government in JPY intervention to support JPY. The cheaper JPY vs USD, the less sense for Japanese to buy new US Treasury. It also makes a lot of sense to sell USD based Treasury as they will end up with a lot more JPY. So, US Treasury is scared! Dead scare... The house of cards might just come tumbling down... It is strange times... while long term Treasury is now considered risky, US equity is still attractive to a certain extent... until it doesn't... remember that the bond market is so much larger compared to equity market. If bond sneezed 🤧, equity crashes...
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08-29 22:44
(Part 5 of 5) - My Investing Muse (31Aug2026)
My Investing Muse (31Aug2026) Layoffs, closures and Delinquencies Technology job cuts in 2026 have already exceeded the full-year 2025 total, as companies shift budgets toward artificial intelligence and a narrower set of core products.Apple eliminated more than 200 positions: roughly 100 in Vision Pro, including a near shutdown of the gaming team and a smaller immersive-video unit, and about 100 in Siri and Intelligent Systems Experience as the assistant is rebuilt on a new AI architecture. LinkedIn is closing its Tel Aviv R&D center and cutting nearly all of its approximately 50 staff, a move disclosed earlier in August. TikTok cut 75 Bellevue roles, mainly engineers, data scientists, and TikTok Shop staff, after an earlier reduction of 250 jobs in Nashville. Oracle has instructed ma
TOPVIX term structure inversion around event clusters usually means short term stress, not automatic crash mode. The budget tightening angle matters more here
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08-29 22:40
(Part 3 of 5) - Market Outlook of S&P500 (31Aug2026)
Market Outlook of S&P500 (31Aug2026) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator for the S&P 500 is on a downtrend. Moving Averages Examining the moving averages, the most recent price action shows the last candlestick above the 50-day (MA50) and 200-day (MA200) moving average lines. This pattern indicates a bullish shift in the short and long term. Notably, both the MA50 and MA200 lines have continued to trend upward, indicating a bullish outlook in both the short and long term. Exponential Moving Averages This shows a bullish trend with a potential for reversal. Chaikin Money Flow CMF index shows a score of -0.10. This implies more selling momentum than buying momentum. Other Technical Analysis Based on the daily
TOPMA50 and MA200 still sloping up, that support matters more than a weak CMF read for me
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08-29 22:39
(Part 2 of 5) - Earnings Calendar (31Aug2026) - Broadcom to buy?
Earnings Calendar (31Aug2026) There are a few interesting earnings releases in the coming week that include Dell, NIO, Palo Alto, Asana and Broadcom. Let us look at Broadcom. Broadcom: Market View and Valuation Technical analysis currently indicates a “strong sell”, while analyst sentiment points to a “strong buy”. The price target of $555.97 implies a potential upside of 42.6%, and the stock has risen 24.01% over the past year. However, valuation appears stretched. With a P/E ratio of 61.2 and EPS of $6.19, the stock looks expensive on an earnings basis. Financial Performance: 2021–2025 Broadcom’s financial performance strengthened significantly between 2021 and 2025, with revenue, operating income, and net income all showing strong growth. Total revenue rose from $27.4 billion
TOPBroadcom, but only if AI revenue can clear $29.25B and the multiple stops punishing merely in-line guidance. That split is usually timeframe more than contradiction — charts read near-term positioning, analysts underwrite AI revenue durability.
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08-30 14:40
The Secret Behind Long-Term Trading Consistency
Most retail traders fail not because their entries are flawed, but because they treat trading as an exercise in market forecasting rather than variance management. Long-term consistency is not an indicator, a candle pattern, or a 90% win rate it is the direct mathematical result of positive expectancy paired with asymmetric risk control. Mathematical breakdown demonstrating how lower win rates consistently outperform high win rates when paired with strong Risk-to-Reward (RR) ratios.. 1. The Expectancy Trap: Win Rate vs. R-Multiple Amateur traders optimize for Win Rate. Professional systematic traders optimize for Expectancy per Trade (E). Expectancy (E) = (Win Rate * Average R-Win) - (Loss Rate * 1R) The Retail Trap: 80% Win Rate with 0.2R average wins and 1.5R average losses yielding ne
TOPMath is clean, execution usually isn't. Most retail traders rewrite the system after two red trades, and that kills expectancy way faster than bad entries.
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08-30 17:44
Never Lose Big Again: Master Position Sizing
A single catastrophic trade can erase six months of systematic progress—not because your analysis was wrong, but because your position size was uncontrolled. If you execute trades using arbitrary lot sizes (e.g., always buying "1.0 Lot" or "$5,000 worth") without factoring in market structure and volatility, you are letting price action decide how much money you lose. Professional risk management turns position sizing into a mechanical buffer that renders account blowouts mathematically impossible. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $Micron Technology(MU)$ $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ The Fundamental Sizing Fallacy Amateur traders calculate size forward: they pick a dollar amount to deplo
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08-30 19:17
Tech Earnings Resilience Meets August Rebalancing: Decoding the Signals from the Week of August 24–28, 2026
The U.S. stock market closed the week of August 24–28, 2026, on a resilient note, with major indexes posting solid weekly gains despite a late-day modest retreat on Friday. Driving the market's upward momentum was a powerful wave of corporate earnings, led primarily by mega-cap technology and hardware infrastructure firms reporting robust artificial intelligence monetization and strong enterprise spending. Throughout the week, the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ S&P 500 and $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ Nasdaq Composite consistently pushed toward near-record levels before encountering mild end-of-month rebalancing and profit-taking ahead of the weekend. In this article, we would like to share what we think investors should lo
TOPEarnings are the anchor for now, but September vol plus month-end rebalancing can crack that resilience fast. AI monetization feels priced way too clean already
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08-31 08:44
SGX Market Weekly Preview: STI Edges Up 0.19%; Dividend Windfall & August PMI in Focus
Week of September 1 – 4, 2026 1. Market Recap: STI Gains 0.19% For the week ended August 28, the $Straits Times Index(STI.SI)$ gained 0.19% to close at 5,699.93, as strength in banks, telecom, and the bourse operator offset sharp declines in Greater China tech SDRs. Defensive yield positioning and SGX Group's record FY2026 results helped the index hold its ground. Top-performing sectors included Interactive Home Entertainment (+7.50%), Specialized Finance (+6.37%), Advertising (+5.37%), Renewable Electricity (+4.61%), and Specialty Stores (+3.97%). Key stock movers: $SGX(S68.SI)$ +2.49% — The bourse operator advanced on rising regional trading volumes and derivatives activity, alongside its record FY2
TOPAs we enter September, I’m watching the $Straits Times Index(STI.SI)$ closely after it gained 0.19% last week to 5,699.93. SGX, banks and telecoms supported the index, while Greater China tech remained weak. $SGX(S68.SI)$ record FY2026 results and strong dividend also stood out. This week, my focus shifts to Singapore’s August PMI, July trade data and foreign reserves, which should provide clues on manufacturing, exports and SGD stability. I’m also watching Friday’s dividend and REIT distributions, particularly APAC Realty, $Keppel DC Reit(AJBU.SI)$ , $AIMS APAC Reit(O5RU.SI)$ and $Suntec Reit(T82U.SI)$ . Overall, I expect the Singapore market to remain selective, with dividends, defensive positioning and macro data likely to drive sentiment. With earnings season largely over, I’ll stay focused on fundamentals while keeping an eye on regulatory developments and market volatility. @Tiger_comments @TigerStars @TigerClub @SGX_Stars
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08-31 07:07
Crypto Stocks Could Be the Hot Trade In September: $HOOD $CRCL $COIN $SOFI $PURR
My top focus for the first two weeks of September is crypto stocks. The big catalyst everyone is waiting for is the CLARITY Act Senate procedural vote on September 15, which gives us roughly two weeks of potential run-up. We’re already seeing some crypto names showing strength, which makes me wonder if bigger money is positioning ahead of the catalyst. 👀 I like the idea of following the relative strength and riding the hot hand while the setup is there. My basket: 💰 $Robinhood(HOOD)$ 💵 $Circle Internet Corp.(CRCL)$ 🪙 $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ 🏦 $SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ 🐱
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08-31 07:04
How SReits Let You Own Singapore's Skyline Without the Million Dollar Heartache
🌟🌟🌟Physical property ownership can be an exhausting, emotionally draining full time job, dealing with tenants, hoping they pay on time and don't trash your place. Instead of draining your life savings to buy a single SGD 1.5 million small suburban condo, why not invest in Singapore Real Estate Investment Trusts or SReits? SReits grant you fractional ownership of Singapore's iconic skyline, humming industrial hubs and essential retail centres. All with a fraction of the cost, zero tenant horror stories and cash distributions straight into your bank account. The Newbie Verdict: Are SReits Good for Beginners? If you are a new investor dipping your toes into the market, the short answer is Yes. SReits are arguably one of the best starter assets available. Here is why they are
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08-30 22:43
Why Meta’s $18 Billion Settlement Protects Earnings but Changes the Product Rules
$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ agreed on August 26 to pay as much as $18 billion over a decade and impose significant restrictions on teenage use of Facebook and Instagram. The market treated the outcome as manageable because the payment is spread over time and the settlement avoids a trial seeking vastly larger damages. The product obligations, however, may matter more than the headline fine. The agreement resolves claims from nearly all US states that Meta designed its platforms to addict children. It introduces youth time limits, stronger parental controls, restrictions on notifications and sensitive content, and other design changes. Only part of the $18 billion is guaranteed; some payments depend on whether YouTube and TikTok adopt comparable t
TOPThe youth limits probably hit recommendation feedback more than the fine does. I stay neutral until we see whether teen engagement loss spills into ad targeting efficiency.
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08-30 22:42
Why PayPal’s Collapsed Buyout Forces Investors Back to the Checkout Turnaround
$PayPal(PYPL)$ lost its takeover premium on August 28 after reports that Advent International and Stripe had abandoned a proposed acquisition. The 12.7% decline removes the easiest bullish catalyst and returns the investment case to a harder question: can PayPal improve branded checkout and Venmo economics without a strategic buyer? The consortium had reportedly proposed $60.50 per share in July, valuing PayPal above $53 billion. PayPal’s board considered the price insufficient, while financing and regulatory complexity also impeded negotiations. Reuters’ August 28 report distinguishes the reported proposal from a signed agreement and explains the withdrawal. The bullish case is that a rejected $60.50 approach provides some external evidence of st
TOPIt is not necessarily bearish. A $60.50 bid already puts a floor under the strategic value, and checkout execution matters more than the headline now