To The Moon

Late August is typically when the world’s central banks hold a major annual gathering. The Federal Reserve—the “central bank of the world,” as it is sometimes described—is the central figure at the event, and remarks from the Fed Chair are often viewed as a briefing to central banks around the world on the Fed’s policy path. At present, the financial market’s primary concern is whether the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates and, if so, when. That is why Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s hawkish remarks last week had a significant impact on market expectations. The most direct result was that, following Warsh’s speech in Jackson Hole on August 28, 2026, the interest-rate futures-implied probability of a September rate hike rose from approximately 35% the previous day to nearly 60%. A rate hike

Chang Pengyao (Oliver) @Oliver 的期权旅途 is a seasoned investor with years of hands-on options trading experience. Starting with a five-figure portfolio and gradually building it to an eight-figure level, he has gone through multiple market cycles, mistakes and drawdowns along the way. Over time, he developed a trading framework centred on probability, pricing, position sizing and risk management. “Victorious warriors win first and then go to war, while defeated warriors go to war first and then seek to win.” Oliver quoted this line from The Art of War as the central idea behind his sharing. He used the Chu–Han Contention as an example. Liu Bang lost repeatedly to Xiang Yu in direct battles, yet Xiang Yu was ultimately the

Broadcom reports fiscal Q3 earnings after the market closes on September 2.Wall Street expects about $29.4 billion in revenue and $3.23 in adjusted EPS. $Broadcom(AVGO)$ The bigger story is custom AI chips. OpenAI has been working with Broadcom on a custom inference chip called Jalapeño. Early tests reportedly showed better power efficiency and faster response times than Nvidia’s GB300. That does not mean Broadcom is about to replace Nvidia.It is still early. The chip is focused on inference, has not been tested against Rubin, and large-scale production is not expected until late next year. But the trend matters: More AI companies want chips built around their own models and costs — and Broadcom could be one of the biggest winners. What to expect？