679
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09-02
Dell up 8% overnight, profit triples, pivot?
Dell surged more than 8% in after‑hours trading this morning, with its market capitalization approaching $300 billion and the stock briefly touching $460. On the news front, the company just reported its fiscal 2027 second‑quarter results. Quarterly revenue reached $46.97 billion, up 58% year‑over‑year and setting a new all‑time high, beating market expectations of $44.78 billion. Adjusted earnings per share came in at $7.04, a staggering 203% increase from a year ago and far exceeding the consensus estimate of $4.897. Most notably, Dell significantly raised its full‑year fiscal 2027 revenue guidance to $192 billion – a $25 billion increase from its previous outlook of approximately $167 billion – representing a 69% year‑over‑year growth rate, well ahead of analysts' average forecast of $1
TOPDreamBig572: That $95B backlog and $130B AI order figure are the real fuel. Market still looks late to the Rubin ASP step-up in 2H
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09-02
Seems like a Big Battle now Between Macro and the AI Narrative
Seems like a big battle now between macro (10Y, Oil, PCE etc) and the AI narrative which is only trending in one direction: 1. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$: Forecasted 2028 revenue growth at +70% vs Street estimates of 44%. 2. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ forecasts $1.3T in hyperscaler CapEx spend for 2027. 3. $SHKY CEO: "We expect the shortage (on storage) to persist until the end of 2030." 4. $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$: "We see structurally massive demand for NAND until 2030." 5. $Marvell Technology(MRVL)$ giving $Alphabet(GOOGL)$
424
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09-02
AMZN is One of the Safer 2x Opportunities in the Market
Tell me how these $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ forecasts don't work out: 1. $530B in AWS revenue in 2030 in line with MS forecasts. -> At 30% NI margins and a 20x earnings multiple we have a $3.18T business. -> At 25% NI margins and a 20x earnings multiple we have a $2.65T business. 2. E-Commerce ARR is ~$550B today. -> At 10% CAGR growth we have a $833B revenue business in 2030. -> At a conservative 1x sales that's $833B in value. 3. Digital Ads ha revenue heading towards $80B with 50% operating margins. -> 20x EBIT values the business today in the $800B range. This should be a $1T business by 2030. That's a $4.5T business EXCLUDING: -> Amazon Leo -> Zoox -> One Medical -> Prime Video -> Equity stakes (If An
299
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09-02
TDG& NVDA: PE Leaves the Rooms for Booming
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! 1 $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ on its +70% revenue growth guidance: “Our demand is much greater than 70%. Our supply allows us to confidently deliver 70%.” 2 Transdigm group trading close to its lowest fwd. PE in years $TransDigm(TDG)$ Follow me to learn more about analysis !!
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09-02
QQQ, USO& SPY Enjoy Great Rebound Now
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you! 1 $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ Inverse head and shoulders still set up here, for now. 2 $United States Oil Fund LP(USO)$ Well, they went with the "massive breakout" option for #Oil. 3 $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ vs. $TNX since 2023. With rates back above 4.75%. Which number (1-3) will we look most like? Note: Initially, the market moved higher for at least 6 weeks after this 4.75% threshold was hit. Follow me to learn more about analysis !!
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09-02
.SPX: 3 Distinctive Market Conditions
The last two times the Fed hiked in a midterm September: one crash, one bottom. Round three is in two weeks, here’s how to trade into the event 👇 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ closed at 7,631, its lowest level since August 4, after losing the 7,650-7,700 zone it defended for two weeks. Oil is surging on the Strait of Hormuz escalation, the 10-year is pressing 4.8%, and rate markets flipped to pricing a September hike. Jobs Friday, then FOMC mid-month. Three paths from here. Scenario #1: The September Flush Oil and yields don’t let up and the breakdown follows through. $SPX loses 7,600, bounces get sold, and the flush runs to 7,500 (roughly 4% off the highs) where the market finally bottoms out. If the midterm playbook holds, that’s the low o
326
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09-02
TRADE PLAN for Wednesday
Sharp sell off today in $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ after the gap down. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ 7620 is a key support level.. if this level fails we can see a sell off to 7580,7550 next. Puts can work under 7620 tomorrow. I'd wait for 7700 for calls. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ if 702 breaks we can see a flush to 693. Puts can work under 702. There's been more escalation in the Iran war and the Treasury yields + Oil are also rising. Lots of headwinds over the next 2 weeks. Risk off for now as long as $SPX stays under 7700 and
530
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09-02
.SPX: The Next Gap Will be Bridged
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading strategies with you! 1 The opening low is 7627, lower than the previous lows near 7640. The second part of my prediction is right [break the previous lows within two trading days]. Now, the next step is to fill the GAP at 7600. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ 2 THE DAM WILL BE BROKEN--SOON.
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09-02
XLE, RSG, KR, SPCX& MRNA Welcome the Booming Time?
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you! 1 $Moderna, Inc.(MRNA)$ bulls still wants more 😋 2 Eight straight green days and $SpaceX(SPCX)$ is suddenly closing in on the IPO aVWAP again 👀 3 $Kroger(KR)$ sitting on the 200-week SMA for just the second time since Covid 👀 4 🚨 Bill Gates is loading up on garbage... and I mean actual garbage. Cascade Investment, Gates' personal investment firm, bought roughly $688.7M of Republic Services $Republic(RSG)$ in August. Republic hauls trash, runs landfills, and recycles waste. One man's trash..
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09-02
NIO Q2: Gross Margin Surprise, Delivery Concerns – Can It Bounce Back in H2?
NIO released its 2026 Q2 results. The company posted quarterly revenue of RMB 32.2 billion, up 69% year‑on‑year but below Bloomberg consensus of RMB 33.36 billion. Q2 vehicle deliveries came in at approximately 107,600 units, a 49% YoY increase, missing the Bloomberg estimate of 111,500 units. Gross margin for Q2 2026 was 18.4%, compared with 10.0% in Q2 2025. Auto business gross margin reached 18.5% in the quarter, up approximately 85% year‑on‑year and above the Bloomberg consensus of 17.64%. NIO’s premium strategy delivered solid results: the NIO brand ranked first in the RMB 350,000+ price segment in China; the ES8 surpassed 140,000 cumulative deliveries in 335 days since launch, and remained a leader in the RMB 400,000+ segment and the large SUV category; the ES9, positioned as a tech‑
TOPGross margin beat is nice, but repeated delivery misses are still the whole story. At 0.6x sales the bad news feels priced in, now it needs an actual delivery inflection.
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09-02
Hynix Stabilizes
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ The stock price is currently moving toward the 200–210 center of gravity. You can continue to consider the Sell Call $NVDA 20260911 230.0 CALL$ and Sell Put $NVDA 20260911 200.0 PUT$ strategies. $SK hynix(SKHY)$ Yesterday, EWY had a 20,000-contract Sell Put block trade on the 155 Put $EWY 20261120 155.0 PUT$, which translates to roughly 140 for Hynix $SKHY 20260911 140.0 PUT$. Based on the opening activity, the stock should clo
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09-01
9/1 Pre-Market Thoughts: The Worst Month Is Here
I. Key Events Rates and Dollar Both Rise, Risk Assets Broadly Decline: U.S. 30-year Treasury yields rebounded again, the dollar index strengthened, and U.S. equities pulled back, with Bitcoin, gold, and Hong Kong stocks all under pressure simultaneously. Geopolitical Disruption Lifts Oil Prices: Two very large crude carriers were attacked in the Strait of Hormuz, sending oil prices higher again. However, options flow shows large sell call openings on energy names expiring toward year-end, suggesting producers remain cautious on the upside for oil prices. DELL Earnings (Tuesday After Close): Expected to raise full-year guidance. II. Notable Block Trades (Directional Signals) VIX$VIX 20270317 47.5 CALL$ Buy Call, strike 47.5,
TOPTitle feels a bit early. That VIX 47.5 call block reads more like fear getting priced before October, so September might dump first then snap back.
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09-01
Why Sell Puts Still Make Sense Now — And the Big Opportunity Brewing in Equities
The impasse of range-bound trading at elevated levels in the U.S. equity market remains unresolved. On the one hand, September seasonality, defensive positioning by institutional investors, and the potential seasonal tendency for the VIX to rise all suggest that a strong short-term rally is unlikely. On the other hand, robust corporate earnings and the fact that equity-index P/E multiples have not expanded materially are limiting the downside for U.S. equities. My conclusion for the U.S. market over the coming week is therefore as follows: taking all factors into account, U.S. equities are more likely to remain range-bound at elevated levels than to enter a one-way decline. At the same time, we should pay attention to a new opportunity at relatively depressed levels: commodity indices are
TOPVIX under 15 is a pretty tight line tbh. Time decay hits these two-week straddles faster than most people expect
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09-01
He Says He Is Not Afraid of Custom Chips. Why Pay US$3.5 Billion?
Jensen Huang said on Monday that he is not afraid of custom chips. The same day, Nvidia put US$3.5 billion into MediaTek convertible bonds and brought MediaTek onto its own NVLink. He is not trying to keep custom chips outside the door; he wants them running across Nvidia's network. Reports say the tie-up is meant to get custom data-centre chips deployed faster. Nvidia closed 1.48 per cent higher at US$220.78. On the custom-silicon side, the tape read the opposite way. $Marvell Technology(MRVL)$ fell another 2.29 per cent to US$211.66, and its gain for the year slipped from 154.91 per cent on Friday to 149.07 per cent. The wound is the same one as last week. Revenue from the US$120 billion arrangement with
TOPI think the answer is clear: what really keeps you "making money" is not just designing the chips, but controlling how the chips are connected, scheduled, and run. Therefore, the most noteworthy aspect of Nvidia's $3.5 billion investment this time is not simply betting on MediaTek, but rather shifting the focus of competition from "who can make a better ASIC" to NVLink, networking, software stacks, and system-level ecosystems. Others can design their own chips, but as long as these chips are ultimately connected to Nvidia's connectivity system, Nvidia will still control the most crucial "toll road" in the AI cluster. This also explains why MRVL's stock price can still fall despite large orders. The market is now not just asking "whether there are orders," but "when will orders become revenue, what is the profit margin, and who in the ecosystem will take the greatest value." Design capabilities alone are no longer enough; what is truly scarce is the platform capabilities that can integrate computing, networking, memory, and software. Therefore, I am more optimistic about system-level platform companies like Nvidia and Broadcom, rather than just looking at a particular custom chip itself. In short: the most valuable aspect of AI in the next stage may not be "who makes the chips," but "who controls the data flow and ecosystem rules between chips." Chips are cars, while networks and platforms are toll roads.
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09-01
$TXN Gains 0.88% as Chip Demand Holds the Line at $260
$Texas Instruments(TXN)$ $Texas Instruments(TXN) +0.88% Defends $260 Pivot, MACD Bottoming Signals Mean Reversion Toward $290 Latest Close Data 📊 TXN closed at $260.91 (+0.88%) on Sep 1, 2026, still -21.9% below 52-week high of $334.03. Intraday range: $259.96–$262.38. Volume: 5.76M (Volume Ratio 1.10). Core Market Drivers 📰 Semiconductor complex remains under pressure, but TXN showed relative strength. Q2 revenue of $5.46B grew 23% YoY; automotive and AI data-center analog demand continues to support fundamentals. Macro semiconductor sentiment stabilized after broad sell-off. Technical Analysis 📈 Volume Ratio 1.10 signals mild accumulation. MACD: DIF -6.84, DEA -5.62, Histogram -2.44 — still bearish but narrowing for four sessions, indicating down
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09-01
$TM Finds Its Footing as Toyota Bets on Autonomous Cars by 2028
$Toyota(TM)$ $Toyota Motor(TM) +1.06%: Auto Giant Rebounds Off Support, $202 After-Hours Print Signals Momentum Build Latest Close Data TM settled at $196.54 (+1.06%) on Sep 1, 2026, holding above yesterday's $194.48 close. Price sits about 21% below its 52-week high of $248.90 and well above the $166.10 low. After-hours tape pushed to $202.41, hinting at continuation demand. Core Market Drivers Nikkei reported Toyota will launch autonomous vehicles by 2028, reinforcing its electrification/software roadmap. Meanwhile, broader risk sentiment wobbled as markets digested mixed macro signals and profit-taking in tech—yet TM's defensive dividend profile (3.02% yield) drew rotation flows. Technical Analysis Volume came in at 0.4463M with a 1.38 Volume Rat
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09-01
$IBKR Pushes Toward $98.75 on Strong Client Growth
$Interactive Brokers(IBKR)$ $Interactive Brokers (IBKR) Rally +1.51% to $97.29, Momentum Building Under 52-Week High $98.75 Latest Close Data: $97.29 (+1.51%), just 1.5% below 52-week high of $98.75. Volume 3.56M shares, turnover rate 0.21%. Core Market Drivers: Q2 earnings beat with customer equity up 40% YoY. Piper Sandler raised target to $105 while CICC lifted to $110. Broker sector sentiment improving as rates stabilize. Technical Analysis: MACD shows strong bullish momentum with DIF 1.59 vs DEA 0.93, MACD bar +1.33. RSI(6) elevated at 65.98, leaving room before overbought. KDJ J-value 84.11 confirms uptrend, though short-term pullback risk exists. Volume ratio 0.89 suggests orderly accumulation. Key Price Levels: Primary Support: $94.43 (tod
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09-01
$SWKS Buying Surges as Qorvo Deal Boosts Sentiment
$Skyworks Solutions(SWKS)$ $Skyworks Solutions, Inc.(SWKS) Closes +1.85% at $67.01: Consolidation Tightens Between $62.63 Support and $69.87 Resistance, Breakout Watch Active 📡 Latest Close Data: SWKS ended Tuesday, Sep 1 at $67.01, up +1.85% (+$1.22) on heavy volume. Intraday range held $64.86–$67.70, with amplitude of 4.32%. Price sits -26.3% below the 52-week high of $90.90 and roughly +29.0% above the 52-week low of $51.93. Core Market Drivers: The Qorvo acquisition momentum continues to anchor sentiment after HSR antitrust clearance. Meanwhile, Apple supply-chain chatter and semiconductor-sector rotation are keeping intraday swings elevated. Today’s buying pushed SWKS to challenge the upper consolidation band, though it remains just shy of th
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08-31
🌟🌟🌟 $Marvell Technology(MRVL)$ entered this latest earnings results up nearly 160% year todate. It is priced to perfection. Short sellers are treating this like a cyclical software fad. However AI capital expenditure from hyperscalers have not slowed down. Alphabet, Amazon & Microsoft are keen to escape Nvidia's premium GPU prices. They need custom ASICs to optimise their data centers at a lower cost. Marvell is the undisputed king of this custom silicon transition. Marvell's management also said that their custom chip business is expected to double next year. You do not double your core growth engine in a cooling market. So a great strategy is to dollar cost average $Marve
TOPDoubling is the bull case, not the base case. CFO already tied the back half to customer capex pacing, and that kind of wording is never clean