News and my thoughts from the past week (29Jun2026) On June 25 data: BlackRock IBIT ~$266M outflow, but Fidelity FBTC had even larger ~$275M outflow same day. Total US BTC ETF net outflow exceeded $690M. GBTC flat. Broader June has seen heavy redemptions overall. Institutions appear cautious, but BTC has shown resilience so far. Context: macro factors + typical summer dynamics at play. - Grok CNBC just admitted AI demand is falling and that's why SpaceX, Anthropic and OpenAI are rushing to go public. - X user Financelot @TigerStars $Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$ $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 29Jun2026) China and Global Manufacturing Signals China’s manufacturing PMI for June is expected at 50.2, indicating a modest expansion. Beyond China’s domestic manufacturing outlook, this release will also be watched as a signal for broader global demand and market sentiment. US Manufacturing and Inflation Indicators · Chicago PMI for June is forecast at 60.0, pointing to strong expansion. · S&P Global Manufacturing PMI for June is expected at 55.7, also suggesting continued growth. · ISM Manufacturing PMI for June is forecast at 53.7, reinforcing the growth outlook for the sector. · ISM Manufacturing Prices for June are expected at 79.0, highlighting persistent inflationary pressure that could be passed on to consumers through product pric

Stretching out the chart for $S&P 500(.SPX)$  $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$  $Direxion Daily Semiconductors Bull 3x Shares(SOXL)$ , the current dip is a minor pull-back and shaking out those who are panicking after the 3 months of all time highs. The sell-in-may event this year got postponed till mid June because of the Iran war and the world cup. Big boys traders are taking a delayed summer break now thus the money flow is mainly algorithmic by the market makers.  I expect to see more catalysts coming in late July onwards and hopefully we will re

weee rollercoaster go down! 🐯⭐

I'm waiting for a daily KDJ hook and MACD divergence before stepping in. Until then, I'm staying defensive and rolling my bull put spreads further out.

I would avoid reacting to a single brutal session. A 23% drop in a leveraged ETF like SOXL amplifies volatility and is not necessarily a signal to abandon the AI theme. If the selloff is driven mainly by higher rate expectations and position unwinding rather than a collapse in earnings, I'd gradually add to high quality names instead of selling indiscriminately. I'd keep some cash in reserve because markets can overshoot on both the downside and upside. For diversification, selective exposure to hard assets such as gold or infrastructure can help if inflation and geopolitical risks remain elevated, but I would not rotate entirely out of equities. The key question is whether earnings expectations weaken. If they hold up, sharp corrections often create better long term entry points than reas

That's the downside of leveraged ETFs like SOXL—they amplify both gains and losses. A 3% drop in the Nasdaq turning into a 23% hit is brutal, but it's also why position sizing and risk management matter. Volatility cuts both ways. $Direxion Daily Semiconductors Bull 3x Shares(SOXL)$  

At first glance, today's session looked uneventful. $美光科技(MU)$ $苹果(AAPL)$ $纳指100ETF(QQQ)$ $标普500ETF(SPY)$ $闪迪(SNDK)$ The S&P 500 finished nearly flat, suggesting the market was simply consolidating after recent volatility. But beneath the surface, something much more important happened. The market wasn't selling technology. It was repricing different types of technology. During the trading session, Apple became one of the biggest drags on the major indices. Concerns over higher product pricing and its potential impact on consumer demand pressured the stock. Given Apple's enormou

I would avoid making broad, emotion-driven cuts. A sharp sell-off often mixes justified repricing with indiscriminate selling. If the investment thesis remains intact, I would reassess positions based on valuation, earnings outlook, and balance sheet quality rather than price action alone. For new capital, I'd favour staggered buying over trying to catch the exact bottom. Companies with durable cash flows and pricing power usually recover better than speculative names. If rates stay higher for longer, maintaining some cash for flexibility also makes sense. The key question is whether this is a temporary positioning unwind or a genuine deterioration in AI and corporate earnings. If fundamentals hold, volatility may create opportunities rather than signal an exit.

Our two prior key calls now appear to have largely played out: First, the pullback in U.S. equities from elevated levels would likely remain within an 8% range; second, crude oil had most likely topped, with WTI futures expected to retest the $65 level in the near term. Review：Oil Plunges, Undercurrents Thrive? June 19 Deal Could Flip — Option Strategy to Capture Time Value Red Alert! The Dollar Just Broke Out—How to Bulletproof Your Stock Portfolio Now！ Many market participants have attributed last night’s strong rebound in U.S. equities to Micron’s better-than-expected earnings. However, it is important to recognize that Micron’s results merely act

Everyone thinks the market is pulling back because fundamentals are weakening. They’re wrong. 📉🛑 Let’s cut through the noise. Yes, we’ve seen a pullback. Yes, I took a small hit myself this week—but I’m not losing a second of sleep over it. Here is the objective reality: The market just surged a massive 6,000 points from its early June lows. What we are experiencing right now isn't a crash; it hasn’t even broken the major moving averages. It is simply a market taking a well-deserved breath after sprinting to all-time highs. A lot of you are paralyzed, wondering if this is a "fake breakout." Market Insight: A true fake breakout is a sudden, violent trap after a long consolidation. What we have today is a structurally healthy rest. Don't let normal volatility shake you out of a generational

$Roundhill T-REX 2X Long DRAM Daily Target ETF(RAM)$   25% gain in afterhours ! I have been waiting for a 2X DRAM LETF, it was finally available today. Timing of availability could not be more perfect, coinciding with MU's earnings call. Post-market, RAM received a big boost due to explosive earnings beat by MU. 41 BILLION, almost 6 BILLION BEAT vs estimates. Take a moment to let that sink in.

The recent market is very interesting

Yesterday I talked about a few names I was looking to accumulate on weakness. Today, the catalysts are already starting to emerge. This is exactly why investing isn't about chasing headlines. It's about identifying where capital is going before the market fully prices it in. Most investors wait for the good news and then buy. The problem is that by the time the story becomes obvious, a large part of the upside is usually gone. The biggest returns often come from owning the right assets before the narrative becomes consensus. My core thesis remains unchanged: AI infrastructure spending is still expanding. Data center investment is still accelerating. And the companies building the backbone of the AI economy are still being underestimated. 🔹 $NOK $诺基亚(NO

Ini bagus$SpaceX(SPCX)$  confirm go down

Tech Bloodbath: Fed Repricing and Memory Meltdown Crater SOXL 23% — Is the AI Dream Resetting? The market just delivered a brutal reality check to tech bulls. The Nasdaq plunged 3.29%, but the real devastation hit the semiconductor space, where SOXL cratered an eye-watering 23%. Tech is caught in a vicious double blow from Fed rate repricing and a sudden memory sector meltdown. With yesterday's hawkish FOMC shockwaves continuing to linger, the era of easy liquidity for momentum trades is facing a severe stress test. This isn't just a routine red day; it is a structural repricing of risk assets. 1️⃣ The Vicious "Software-to-Hardware" Unwind We are currently witnessing a violent rebalancing in the "software-to-hardware, growth-to-value" rotation that has been aggressively underway since last

🤑🤑🤑🤑🤑🤑🤑🤑

The ground has completely shifted under the market’s feet, and the short answer is: forget about an imminent pivot. The June 2026 FOMC meeting completely shattered the expectation of rate cuts. With newly appointed Fed Chair Kevin Warsh heavily prioritizing stubbornly sticky inflation over labor market performance, the Fed has officially flipped the script. The current macro landscape directly addresses your questions: Are We Going to See More Hikes, or an Imminent Pivot? Expect hikes, not a pivot. The Fed held rates steady at 3.50%–3.75% in June, but their "dot plot" revealed a stark hawkish shift: 9 out of 18 officials now anticipate at least one rate hike by the end of 2026. Major institutions are rapidly adjusting to this reality: The Fed's Outlook: Core PCE inflation forecasts for 202