Fundamental Analysis

Here is the place for you to discuss & learn about fundamental analysis.

AAOI's Dilution Is Priced In—Here's the 2028 Bull Case

Here's how I model $Applied Optoelectronics(AAOI)$ post the $600M ATM offering AH on a Friday...: 1. Revenue: Still fair to assume $5.6B in FY28 revenue (probably slightly conservative excluding ELSFP contribution). I've been over these numbers a lot. 2. Margins: 22% non-GAAP net margins is a solid base case for 2028. At $5.6B revenue scale, we should see operating leverage expansion. We see $Lumentum(LITE)$ guiding towards 36%, Innolight ~31%, and Eoptolink ~37%. 22% is also currently in line with analyst estimates (who have so far been conservative on the $Applied Optoelectronics(AAOI)$ numbers but best to take a
AAOI's Dilution Is Priced In—Here's the 2028 Bull Case

MU, HIMS, TSLA, NVDA& META Enjoy Great Potential to Buy!

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you! 1 $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ teetering with a Stage 4 breakdown... 😬 2 Squeezing into multi-year support... this is about to get interesting 🌶️ $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ 3 Approaching the 50 👀 $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ 4 $Micron Technology(MU)$ hasn't recorded back to back red weeks since $450/share, ~60% below the current share price... Having already gained +250% YTD but sitting at a mere ~7x forward P/E, the question on every trader's mind... is it too late to get in, or is this party just getting st
MU, HIMS, TSLA, NVDA& META Enjoy Great Potential to Buy!

NVDA, TSM, ORCL, MSFT& AMZN Enjoy Great Potential to Buy!

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you! 1 $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ Q2 EARNINGS DOUBLE BEAT 🔥 EPS: $4.31 vs $3.77 est REV: $40.20B vs $39.76B est Gross Margin: 67.7% Operating Margin: 60.3% Net Profit Margin: 55.6% 2 Final boss: 3 decades of support $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ 3 Carving out a double bottom at its cheapest valuation in a decade... 🌶️ $Microsoft(MSFT)$ 4 Any takers? $Oracle(ORCL)$ 5 BREAKING: $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ has announced two new Blackwell-powered m
NVDA, TSM, ORCL, MSFT& AMZN Enjoy Great Potential to Buy!
avatar8899Nar
07-20

ISRG PRICE IS GETTING ATTRACTIVE 👀

$Intuitive Surgical(ISRG)$ PRICE IS GETTING ATTRACTIVE 👀 PRICE TARGET: $535 POTENTIAL UPSIDE: +49% ASSUMPTIONS: LTM Revenue: $11.034B 5Y Revenue CAGR: 14% 2031 Profit Margin: 33% 2031 PE Ratio: 38 Shares outstanding: 0.357B Shares reduction: 1%/year VALUATION: Q2 2031 $Intuitive Surgical(ISRG)$ Share Price =11.034 * (1.14)^5 * 0.33 * 38 /[0.357 * (0.99)^5] = 785$ You can now choose the discount rate that you prefer, for Intuitive Surgical I want to use 10%. ACTUAL PRICE: $360 FAIR VALUE: $487 1Y PRICE TARGET: $535 POTENTIAL UPSIDE: +49% EXPECTED RETURNS: 16.9%/year DIVIDEND YIELD: - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 𝘛𝘩𝘪𝘴 𝘱𝘰𝘴𝘵 𝘪𝘴 𝘧𝘰𝘳 𝘪𝘯𝘧𝘰𝘳𝘮𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯𝘢𝘭 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘦𝘥𝘶𝘤𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯𝘢𝘭 𝘱𝘶𝘳𝘱𝘰𝘴𝘦𝘴 𝘰𝘯𝘭𝘺.
ISRG PRICE IS GETTING ATTRACTIVE 👀

GOLD: Which Way to Go?

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis wtih you! 1. Upside Support (Geopolitical Safe-Haven Demand): As expected, renewed tensions in the Middle East (U.S. airstrikes against Iran triggering some retaliatory measures) continue to drive safe-haven buying in gold, firmly keeping the price above the $4,100/oz. psychological level. 2. Downward Pressure (Fed Rate Hike Repricing): However, the latest Fed meeting minutes reveal that policymakers are deeply concerned about high inflation. According to the CME Federal Funds Rate, the market’s probability of a rate hike in September has rebounded to around 63%. This has led to a short-term strengthening of the U.S. dollar, significantly capping gold’s upside potential; HSBC has also recently lowered its 2026 average gold price for
GOLD: Which Way to Go?
avatarJake_Wujastyk
2025-09-25

JD: Huge Potential Right Now!

1. $JD.com(JD)$ for sharing these updates from a Chat GPT search just now. These images show 4JD has had quite a list of new developments today (in China as of right now), including new AI news. This AI news is what I have been somewhat thinking moves the price but was more focused on the technicals and letting the market figure out what it wants to move on.Either way, some big updates today from the company over in China which is likely going to continue get more attention from investors/traders.Screenshots of a ChatGPT interface displaying text about JD.com. The text lists key developments, including JD.com\'s launch of a digital assistant "Joyin" and new AI product suite, alongside mentions of CEO Xu Lei and stock market updates. Watermarks from
JD: Huge Potential Right Now!

ORCL: The Strong Quarter Drives Price Higner!

$Oracle(ORCL)$ had a strong quarter, powered mainly by cloud. Revenue went up 12% to $14.9 billion, with cloud services jumping 28%. The company also signed several massive deals, which pushed its backlog to an unprecedented $455 billion. Profits were steady, though free cash flow turned negative because of heavy spending on new data centers.“We signed four multi-billion-dollar contracts… RPO contract backlog increasing 359% to $455 billion. It was an astonishing quarter and demand for Oracle Cloud Infrastructure continues to build.” Safra Catz, CEOOracle expects its cloud infrastructure revenue to rise sharply to $18 billion this year and much higher in the next few years. The company is betting big that AI and multicloud demand will keep driving
ORCL: The Strong Quarter Drives Price Higner!