Macro Trend

Monetary policy, various types of price indices... Here is everything about the macro economy!

avatarMasterWU
04-30 11:26

Option Strategies: XWIN& .SPX

1 Another Breakout with volume. $XMAX Inc.(XWIN)$ starts to launch to another higher plaform. 2 No change to wave-count, still w-4 to kill time. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Given the structure, a lower low is expected after FOMC to 7000 zone. But, that would serve as a launch pad to next target. Waiting, with patience. It needs extreme on one direction to usher in the extreme to the opposite side. 3 MPW Mid-Week Update Posted: (1) not much has changed, and the market is still digesting the gains and looking upward. (2) price-wise, we are close to the target; but, time-wise, it still needs a couple of weeks. 😍 Been eyeing Tiger merch but short on Tiger Coins? Now's your chance. 🎁 We
Option Strategies: XWIN& .SPX

GOLD: What's the Next Stage During the Storm?

$Gold - main 2606(GCmain)$prices continued their recent downward trend on Wednesday (April 29), falling as much as 1.17% to close at $4,543 per ounce. During the session, it even touched a low of $4,510.21, the lowest point in a month since late March. Meanwhile, US gold futures also suffered, settling down 1% at $4,561.50. This marks the second consecutive trading day of decline for gold, with market sentiment shifting abruptly from relative optimism a few weeks ago to caution and even pessimism. The Federal Reserve's hawkish interest rate decision, ongoing conflicts in the Middle East, a sharp rise in oil prices, and renewed inflation concerns have largely eliminated market expectations for a Fed rate cut this year, while exp
GOLD: What's the Next Stage During the Storm?

.SPX: Ongoing W-4-- Norminal Target is at 7K

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! 1 Ongoing W-4: norminal target is at 7K. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ It is also preferable for the Monthly Candle of April to have a long wick. Still aim for a major turning mid-May, coinciding with two major shifts: 1, Xi-Trump meeting, which will set up tone for next phase of Iran War. 2, New Fed Chair. 😍 Been eyeing Tiger merch but short on Tiger Coins? Now's your chance. 🎁 We’ve selected 4 high-demand items across practial, lifestyle, and learning, now with a lower redemption threshold! Hot Merch Returns · Up to 43% Off
.SPX: Ongoing W-4-- Norminal Target is at 7K

TRADE PLAN for FOMC Wednesday 📈

TRADE PLAN for FOMC Wednesday 📈 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ tried to break lower today but held above 7100. All eyes on FOMC and $Microsoft(MSFT)$ $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$$Alphabet(GOOGL)$$Amazon.com(AMZN)$ earnings. If there's a positive reaction, 7200 comes. $Micron Technology(MU)$ up 13 after hours. MU will see 600 at some point in May if Tech can really again. MU May 1 550C is best above 530
TRADE PLAN for FOMC Wednesday 📈

GOLD: A Decline in Willingness to Chase Prices at Higher Levels

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! 1 Technical Analysis: $Gold - main 2606(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ On the daily chart, gold continues to consolidate at elevated levels with an upward bias. Prices are trading above the major moving average system, indicating that the overall trend remains bullish. The $4,550 level serves as a key support zone, while $4,650 acts as a significant short-term resistance zone. A decisive break above this level could open up further upside potential. Looking at momentum indicators, while bullish momentum remains dominant, there are signs of a marginal slowdown, suggesting a decline in willingness
GOLD: A Decline in Willingness to Chase Prices at Higher Levels

GOLD are Extending the Downtrend

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! $Gold - main 2606(GCmain)$Gold fell 0.50% on Monday, closing at $4682.76. The pullback in gold prices mainly reflected a market reassessment of geopolitical risks and inflationary pressures. With no substantial progress in the US-Iran conflict, tight energy supplies pushed up oil prices, keeping inflation expectations high and further limiting the Federal Reserve's room for short-term interest rate cuts, putting pressure on non-yielding assets. In this environment, market uncertainty about the economic outlook has increased, supporting gold's medium-term safe-haven value, but in the short term, it will continue to be influenced by interest rate expectations and
GOLD are Extending the Downtrend

.SPX: Mid-May Top Expected

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! 1 The Path forward: $S&P 500(.SPX)$ (1) I was doing some retrospective analysis over the weekend and realign my daily roadmap. (2) here is one from Scroll #209, posted on Jan. 31, 2026 to Subs when SPX made new ATH at 7000. (3) Expected a slump to 6464--actual 6316, then to 7150 early May. 2 W-4 continuing: (1) given the vertical nature of the melt-up W-3, the consolidation phase of W-4 would take much longer time, and most likely, with more complicated format. (2) the current retrace is TOO shallow for a W-4, preferrably at 7000. Mid-May top expected. No Position. 😍 Been eyeing Tiger merch but short on Tiger Coins? Now's your chance. 🎁 We’ve selected 4 high-dem
.SPX: Mid-May Top Expected

GOLD: This Week will Also See the Release of Key US Data

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! Spot gold weakened slightly in early trading on Monday (April 27), falling as much as 0.65% to $4,672.20, as the US-Iran peace talks stalled, oil prices jumped more than 2% on Monday, inflation concerns resurfaced, expectations for a Fed rate hike this year rose slightly, and the US dollar index rose slightly, all putting pressure on gold prices. While the market continues to focus on further developments in the Middle East, its attention is shifting more towards this week's Fed rate decision. Prior to this, this week will also see rate decisions from the European Central Bank, the Bank of England, and the Bank of Japan. In addition, this week will also see the release of key US data, including first-quarter GDP and March
GOLD: This Week will Also See the Release of Key US Data

Technical Analysis for Monday: Trading within a Downward Channel, Rebound Weak

First of all, wishing everyone a happy weekend!Currently, gold prices are in a stalemate between bulls and bears, at a crucial juncture. The weekly chart maintains a range-bound structure; the MACD bullish momentum is weakening but has not yet formed a death cross, requiring a breakout at key levels to clarify the trend. The daily chart trend has shifted from strong to weak, with prices breaking below short-term moving averages, and the MACD showing signs of a death cross, indicating that bearish momentum is being released. On the 4-hour chart, gold prices are within a short-term downward channel, with rebounds repeatedly capped by the Bollinger Middle Band, exhibiting a "lower highs, more stable lows" range-bound structure with a slight downward bias. The MACD shows no significant volume
Technical Analysis for Monday: Trading within a Downward Channel, Rebound Weak

NVDA& AMZN: Flag-carrier Near the TOP

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! 1 Finally!!!$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ In one-week's time, bullish sentiment caught up more than 15%, a rare reversal in short time span. Roughly 10% bears capitulated or are gone forever, which set up the pre-condition for next MAJOR phase. Given the historical average, I expect it would sink below 30% $S&P 500(.SPX)$ 2 Flag-carrier near the TOP: SPX is basically held up by TWO names, $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ & $Amazon.com(AMZN)$. $NVIDIA
NVDA& AMZN: Flag-carrier Near the TOP

GOLD: Gold Continued its Consolidation in Asian

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! 1 $Gold - main 2606(GCmain)$The fluctuating expectations of a Fed rate cut and slight volatility in the dollar and US Treasury yields have put temporary downward pressure on gold prices, leading to a continuation of the correction. However, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East remain high: US Vice President Vance made an emergency flight to Islamabad, Pakistan, with a clear objective—to restart negotiations and stabilize the situation before the temporary ceasefire between the US and Iran expires. This short-term correction is merely a consolidation phase within an upward trend! Gold continued its consolidation in Asian trading on Tuesday, touching the resi
GOLD: Gold Continued its Consolidation in Asian

.SPX: The Line Decides the Near Future?

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! 1 Support Line & Gap below:$S&P 500(.SPX)$ (1) the Blue Trendline serves as a support--also the lower edge of the last gap up zone. (2) 7147 touched a few important FIB ratios and is likely the local top for w-3. (3) 6950 zone will be a target for a sideway complex w-4, before w-5 to XI/TRUMP. 2 Wall of Shame: (1) My trading style and my bearish-leaning positions have drawn a larger share of "Low IQ" bull-tards; (2) as most followers know, I entered "Radio Silent" mode once my model flashed Red Alert/I loaded up my positions. (3) my average entry is 6810--YUGE profits. 😍 Been eyeing Tiger merch but short on Tiger Coins? Now's your chance. 🎁 We’ve selected 4
.SPX: The Line Decides the Near Future?

GOLD: Currently in a Pullback Phase

$Gold - main 2606(GCmain)$International gold prices opened sharply lower on Monday (April 20th), falling by more than $60 at one point by 7:30 AM, a drop of 1.5%, reaching a low of around $4760. This sharp correction completely reversed Friday's strong performance, mainly due to the sudden deterioration of the situation in the Middle East over the weekend: the Strait of Hormuz was closed again, the US military fired on and seized Iranian merchant ships in the Gulf of Oman, and Iran explicitly refused to participate in the second round of US-Iran negotiations, vowing to respond and retaliate. This series of events not only increased global energy risks but also exacerbated market concerns about inflation, significantly dampening
GOLD: Currently in a Pullback Phase

Gold: Weekly Market Review& Key News

I. Weekly Market Review: $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $Gold - main 2606(GCmain)$ As of Friday (April 17th) in Asian trading, international gold has recorded its fourth consecutive week of gains, accumulating a rise of approximately 18% since the rebound began at the 50-week moving average. The overall trend this week was one of initial rise followed by a pullback: Early Week High:Gold prices rebounded from a low of $4644.35, reaching a high of around $4890. Mid-Week Pullback: After rising above $4870 in Asian trading on Wednesday, prices faced resistance and retreated, giving back some of the gains. Gold prices were capped by the $4800 psychological level. High-Level Consolidati
Gold: Weekly Market Review& Key News

GOLD: Prices were Initially Pressured by Inflation Concerns and Tightening Liquidity

$Gold - main 2606(GCmain)$On Thursday (April 16), spot gold prices held steady around $4,790 per ounce, nearly unchanged, after hitting a one-month high in the previous session. While US gold futures fell slightly by 0.3% to $4,808.30, the overall market sentiment has gradually recovered from the slump in March. This change is not an isolated event, but is closely linked to the dramatic turn of events in the Middle East—after the outbreak of the war between the US and Israel against Iran, gold prices were initially pressured by inflation concerns and tightening liquidity. However, President Trump's ceasefire declaration and positive signals from US-Iran peace negotiations are injecting strong momentum into the gold market. Inve
GOLD: Prices were Initially Pressured by Inflation Concerns and Tightening Liquidity

GOLD: Rising Stock Markets Weakened Safe-haven Demand

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! 1 Gold prices plunged on Wednesday (April 15), partly due to profit-taking by investors. Additionally, rising stock markets weakened safe-haven demand, and rising US Treasury yields contributed to the decline. Investors continued to assess the latest developments in the US and Iran, and their implications for the interest rate outlook. In early Asian trading on April 16, gold prices fluctuated upwards, reaching a high of around $4837.5, and are currently trading around $4820. $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ 2 On Thursday (April 16) in Asian trading, despite ongoing tensions around the Strait of Hormuz, gold prices rose significantly as renewed efforts to resolve th
GOLD: Rising Stock Markets Weakened Safe-haven Demand

GOLD: Gold's Upward Trend Accelerated

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! Gold's upward trend accelerated, breaking through the $4,800 mark and subsequently surpassing the strong resistance at $4,857. The next resistance level is the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) at $4,896. $Gold - main 2606(GCmain)$ Price action indicates that gold is currently trading near a four-day high, suggesting strengthening buying momentum; this is further supported by the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which turned bullish two days ago.
GOLD: Gold's Upward Trend Accelerated

GOLD: Gold Prices Experienced a Dramatic Rollercoaster Ride

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! On Monday (April 13), gold prices experienced a dramatic rollercoaster ride. Shocked by the complete breakdown of weekend peace talks between the US and Iran, gold prices initially plummeted by over 2%, hitting a low of $4639.65, the lowest since April 7. They then rebounded, ultimately closing down slightly by 0.2% at $4740.15. US gold futures also fell 0.4%, closing at $4767.40. $Gold - main 2606(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ However, in early Asian trading on Tuesday (April 14), gold prices continued their overnight rebound, rising as much as 0.5% to $4765.55, demonstrating strong resilienc
GOLD: Gold Prices Experienced a Dramatic Rollercoaster Ride

GOLD: Gold Prices have Entered a Consolidation Phase

$Gold - main 2606(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$Technical Analysis: The daily chart shows that gold prices have entered a consolidation phase after reaching previous highs, currently exhibiting a weak, high-level consolidation pattern. Key resistance levels are located at $4750 and $4800, while support levels are concentrated around $4600 and $4550. In terms of momentum indicators, the MACD shows signs of a bearish crossover at high levels, and the RSI has fallen from overbought territory, indicating weakening bullish momentum. On the H4 chart, gold's short-term trend shows a downward consolidation structure. The gap formed and failed to be quickly filled, indi
GOLD: Gold Prices have Entered a Consolidation Phase

GOLD: Key Technical Levels for Next Week

Current Market Position: Gold prices are stuck in a "can't fall, can't rise" pattern within the $4700-$4800 range. On the daily chart, the MACD histogram continues to expand, indicating strong bullish momentum. However, the KDJ indicator's J value has entered a strong zone and is approaching overbought territory, suggesting a short-term need for consolidation. The 4-hour chart shows short-term moving averages turning downwards, with the price trading below the MA5/MA10. The MACD has turned from red to green, and the green histogram is gradually increasing in volume, indicating emerging bearish momentum. Key Price Levels for Bulls and Bears$Gold - main 2606(GCmain)$ Level | Direction | Price (USD/oz) | Explanation: Premium Resis
GOLD: Key Technical Levels for Next Week