Macro Trend

Monetary policy, various types of price indices... Here is everything about the macro economy!

avatarXAUUSD Gold Traders
09:19

Gold at the Crossroads: 2026 Midterms, Fiscal Fears, and the AI Boom

Voting in the 2026 U.S. midterm elections officially begins on November 3. Prediction markets and polls generally suggest that the Democrats will win control of the House of Representatives, but the outcome of the Senate race remains highly uncertain.$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ This political realignment exerts dual forces on the gold market: on the one hand, a potential “political stalemate” following the election is expected to reignite market concerns over the U.S.’s massive fiscal deficit, thereby boosting gold’s safe-haven appeal; on the other hand, the robust economic performance driven by the current artificial intelligence (AI) investment boom, coupled with expectations of high Federal Reserve interest rates, is exertin
RepostReply
Gold at the Crossroads: 2026 Midterms, Fiscal Fears, and the AI Boom
avatarMasterWU
11-02 09:47

VIX Gap-Fill Prediction Plays Out on October’s Last Trading Day; AAPL 334 Level Eyed Before Earnings

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! 1 $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ high today = 23.93--closed partially the gap I mentioned in the following tweet--I wrote that gap would likely be closed "by the end of October"--how sweet and accurate a prediction, the last trading day of October. 2 $Apple(AAPL)$ at 334 last Friday? Just notice that on the daily chart, $Apple(AAPL)$ marked the low of Friday as 334 and closed at 344; whereas on the smaller time frame, there was no trading at that price--the low of day was 342. It will report earnings AH on Mon--pay attention to $334 level! Follow me to
33Reply
VIX Gap-Fill Prediction Plays Out on October’s Last Trading Day; AAPL 334 Level Eyed Before Earnings
avatarMasterWU
10-23

VIX: The Black Trendline Over the Last 18-month has been Effectively Broken

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! 1 Let me be as simple and clear as possible: IF by today's close, $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ is higher than 18.50, then bears will have a wild run for a few days. 2 $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$=18.75 > 18.50. The black trendline over the last 18-month has been effectively broken. The next two targets are (1) 21-25 gap--which I strongly believe market would get there by the end of October. (2) 34-36 gap--that would take some extra efforts from geo-political front
24Reply
VIX: The Black Trendline Over the Last 18-month has been Effectively Broken
avatarXAUUSD Gold Traders
10-23

GOLD: Key Support Levels Have Been Breached

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! 1 Gold is currently in a strong short-term downtrend, exhibiting classic breakout-driven decline characteristics! Key support levels have been breached: The price has successfully broken below the anticipated $4,050 level, strongly breaking through the lower Bollinger Band and the previous consolidation range, hitting a low of 4,044.7. This type of “breakout with a large bearish candle” typically carries momentum, suggesting there is still room for further declines. The price will next test the $4,000 level! $Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$
RepostReply
GOLD: Key Support Levels Have Been Breached
avatarBrian_Feroldi
10-22

Trading Ideas: Investing Wisdom

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! 1 Ray Dalio Investing Rules $S&P 500(.SPX)$ 2 Warren Buffett’s Income Statement Rules of Thumb: $Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.A)$ 3 The $e.l.f. Beauty Inc.(ELF)$ cheat sheet Phase 3 of 5 · Business 3/5 · Valuation 2/5 4 8 Types of Investors 5 Is $Spotify Technology S.A.(SPOT)$ a buy at $526? Average business, good valuation. Phase 3 of 5 · Business 3.3/5 · Valuation 4/5 6 To build wealth quickly, concentrate your portfolio and add leverage. To destroy wealth quickly, concentrate your portfolio
RepostReply
Trading Ideas: Investing Wisdom
avatarXAUUSD Gold Traders
10-22

Gold is Currently in a Phase of Fluctuating Downward Movement

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! 1 Due to the intraday oversold conditions, gold is likely to attempt an upward correction during the early U.S. trading session, with targets in the 4140–4145 range. It has currently reached a high of around 4141.8. $Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ However, since the overall bearish trend has not yet reversed and the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) remains at its intraday high of 101.73, gold is likely to fail to sustain its rebound at this resistance zone. It will then test the lows again and is likely to break below 4,106, moving directly toward the 4,100 psychological level or even t
1Reply
Gold is Currently in a Phase of Fluctuating Downward Movement
avatarXAUUSD Gold Traders
10-21

GOLD: The Gold Market Saw a Slight Pullback

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! 1 On Tuesday (October 20), the gold market saw a slight pullback, with the price of gold closing down 0.37% at $4,125.08 per ounce, having dipped as low as $4,111.58 during the session, while December gold futures closed down 0.4% at $4,142.60. $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$$Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$ Although a weaker U.S. Dollar Index briefly pushed gold prices up to around $4,155, all gains were erased by the end of the session, indicating that investor caution ahead of the Federal Reserve’s policy meeting next week is dominating the market. Current gold prices have retreated approximately 26% from t
RepostReply
GOLD: The Gold Market Saw a Slight Pullback
avatarMasterWU
10-21

.SPX: 7750 Rebound Target REACHED

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! $S&P 500(.SPX)$ 7750 rebound target REACHED, NOW BE READY. Take a look at MPW Scroll #246, which was posted to subs on 10/17--the Red Path is my primary count, which calls for a zigzag rebound from 7631 to 7750 by Wednesday. Now, SPX reached 7750 almost perfectly. If Red, then be ready.
1Reply
.SPX: 7750 Rebound Target REACHED
avatarMMMTWealth
10-19

Just Ran an Screen of High Growth (forecasted +30% growth in FY27) Stocks

Just ran an screen of high growth (forecasted +30% growth in FY27) stocks that have held up nicely over the last month. Hopefully this puts into perspective the "blood bath" we are in: Results over 1 month: 1. Everpure | $Everpure(P)$: +27% 2. Securitize | $Securitize(SECZ)$: +27% 3. Bending Spoons | $Bending Spoons S.p.A.(BSP)$: +20% 4. AGI | $AGI(AGBK)$: +19% 5. Penguin Solutions | $Penguin Solutions, Inc.(PENG)$: +18% 6. Generac Holdings | $Genera
RepostReply
Just Ran an Screen of High Growth (forecasted +30% growth in FY27) Stocks
avatarMMMTWealth
10-19

Why am I Bullish on EWZ?

Having some exposure to Brazil $iShares MSCI Brazil ETF(EWZ)$ makes complete sense. As both a growth position and a slight hedge against the US. Ultimately it comes down to figuring out what the world can't function without? Answer: -> Critical Minerals: Brazil controls 90% of world niobium and has huge copper reserves. It's really the only credible critical minerals alternative to China. -> Food: World's largest net food exporter with more unused arable land than any country on earth. -> Water: 12% of the world's renewable freshwater. And at the same time you've got an extremely digitalizing demographic. It's why I hold a big position in $Nu Holdings Ltd.(NU)$ and
RepostReply
Why am I Bullish on EWZ?
avatarXAUUSD Gold Traders
10-19

Data Outlook: Schedule of Major Economic Indicators (Eastern Time)

$Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ With no major data releases such as the nonfarm payrolls or CPI next week, market attention will focus on the strength of the U.S. manufacturing recovery and inflation expectations surveys. October 19 (Monday) 10:00 AM: U.S. October NAHB Housing Market Index (Previous: 32, Forecast: 31) . The key focus will be on whether confidence among real estate developers has deteriorated further amid high interest rates. October 20 (Tuesday) 8:30 AM: U.S. September Total Annualized Housing Starts. 10:00 AM: U.S. September Total Building Permits and Pending Home Sales. October 22 (Thursday) 8:30 AM: U.S. Initial Jobless Clai
RepostReply
Data Outlook: Schedule of Major Economic Indicators (Eastern Time)
avatarXAUUSD Gold Traders
10-16

The U.S. PPI Exceeds Market Expectations

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! 1 The U.S. PPI for September came in at 6.3% year-over-year, the highest level since May 2026 and higher than the market forecast of 5.3%. The U.S. PPI for September rose 1.3% month-over-month, significantly higher than the market’s forecast of 0.5%. U.S. retail sales for September rose 0.8% month-over-month, exceeding market expectations. Following the release of the data, gold fell sharply, hitting a low near 4,130.7, and the sell order successfully reached the predetermined take-profit (TP) level! $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$$Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$ Follow me to learn more about analysis!!
14Reply
The U.S. PPI Exceeds Market Expectations
avatarXAUUSD Gold Traders
10-15

Gold has Now Broken Through Key Resistance

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! 1 $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$$Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$Asian Session: “Technical buying to cover short positions” following the exhaustion of bearish news. After touching the 10-day moving average (MA10) at 4,100.44 and today’s low of 4,099.95, gold formed a strong V-shaped bottom and rebounded. Bullish Counterattack: After several trading days of sharp declines triggered by a reassessment of hawkish rate hikes following higher-than-expected U.S. CPI inflation, bearish momentum has temporarily run out. Short-Covering: Following the opening of the Asian session, some short positions chose to take pro
3Reply
Gold has Now Broken Through Key Resistance
avatarMasterWU
10-15

VIX: Wait for the Rebound Time

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! 1 The implication for this $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ breakout is dare [for bulls, of course]--the most severe since March 2026. The black trendline--will be broken, sooner or later, but the fallout will have more meaning for the larger picture. 2 Man, the pond is getting noisy now--Hooke Protocol just launches its first permissionless stock pool, with $10Mil total pool liquidity [$hXMAX/$USDG]. This amount makes it the TOP DOG in the stock tokenization world, even larger than the tokens for $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ & $SpaceX(SPCX)$.
RepostReply
VIX: Wait for the Rebound Time
avatarMMMTWealth
10-14

Sit Back and Give the Markets Time: The Pain Trade Remains Higher

By far the best thing you can do now as an investor is sit back and give the markets time. So far $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ and $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ has seen no structural break so there's no reason to shift more defensive yet. You just need patience. You've got optics plays at inflection point. As a reminder: -> $Lumentum(LITE)$ sold out to 2029. -> $Applied Optoelectronics(AAOI)$set to ~12x revenue in 2 years. -> $Marvell Technology(MRVL)$ is set to 10x revenue by 2031. You've also got
2Reply
Sit Back and Give the Markets Time: The Pain Trade Remains Higher
avatarXAUUSD Gold Traders
10-14

GOLD: Maintain a Strategy of Entering Buy Positions After Pullbacks

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! 1 (October 13) Gold: Given the structural support from geopolitical risks and continued ETF inflows, pullbacks in gold present buying opportunities. $Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Keep a close eye on the 4,200 psychological level: As the price approaches this round number, some long positions may choose to take profits, leading to increased market volatility; be sure to manage your positions carefully. First resistance level: The 4,200 psychological round number! First support level: 4,191–4,192. Maintain a strategy of entering buy positions after pullbacks! Strategy: Buy: 4,1
6Reply
GOLD: Maintain a Strategy of Entering Buy Positions After Pullbacks
avatarXAUUSD Gold Traders
10-13

GOLD: It is Unlikely that Gold Prices will Experience Another Sharp

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! It is unlikely that gold prices will experience another sharp, consecutive decline before the close, nor is a sharp V-shaped rebound likely. The most probable scenario is a weak bottoming process and sideways consolidation within the $4,155–$4,175 range. $Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Before the market closes, without significant bearish news to trigger a move, it is unlikely that the price will break through the 4,150 psychological barrier in one go. Short-term trading strategy: Buy: 4,160 TP: 4,185–4,190 SL: 4,144 Follow me to learn more about analysis!!
11Reply
GOLD: It is Unlikely that Gold Prices will Experience Another Sharp
avatarMMMTWealth
10-09

EWZ is Far More Than An "Anti-AI Market" like JP Morgan are Calling it

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! 1 Brazil $iShares MSCI Brazil ETF(EWZ)$ is far more than an "anti-AI market" like JP Morgan are calling it. It wins in an AI bull market and as a hedge against an AI bull market. People are massively underestimating how physical the AI buildout is. And people are also massively underestimating how much renewable energy, graphite, and rare earths Brazil has for this AI buildout. Bullish AI -> Bullish Brazil. Renewables: $EBR Rare Earths: $USA Rare Earth Inc.(USAR)$ Broader: $Vale SA(VALE)$ / $Pet
6Reply
EWZ is Far More Than An "Anti-AI Market" like JP Morgan are Calling it
avatarXAUUSD Gold Traders
10-09

Spot Gold Rebounds From Two-Month Low, Tops $4,150 as Fed, Debt and Geopolitical Risks

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! On Thursday (October 8), the global gold market finally saw a glimmer of recovery after hitting a two-month low in the previous trading session. Spot gold rose 0.58% to close at $4,133.65 per ounce; U.S. gold futures for December delivery closed up 0.4% at $4,157 per ounce. $Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ On the surface, this appears to be only a modest rise, but behind it lies a complex interplay of multiple factors: high uncertainty surrounding the Federal Reserve’s policy path, escalating concerns over U.S. debt, the tug-of-war between the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields, th
RepostReply
Spot Gold Rebounds From Two-Month Low, Tops $4,150 as Fed, Debt and Geopolitical Risks
avatarXAUUSD Gold Traders
10-08

XAUUSD H1 Technical Analysis: Gold Consolidates with a Bearish Bias

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! 1 Technical Analysis: (XAUUSD) H1 Chart—The market has recently been consolidating at high levels, with the center of gravity shifting slightly downward! $Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$ After falling to around 4100, the price halted its continuous downward trend and shifted to a sideways consolidation at lower levels to form a bottom. The current price, near 4150, is right around the midline of this bottoming consolidation range that has lasted for several weeks. In the short term, it is highly likely that the price will retest the bottom support near 4113–4120. First Resistance Level: 4,152–4,155 (bull-bear dividing line, short-term weak resistance) Second Resistan
4Reply
XAUUSD H1 Technical Analysis: Gold Consolidates with a Bearish Bias