It is hard to predict, just based on the history data. The environment and trend of the year 2018 is different from 2025. we never know how the market reacts to current circumstances.

It is hard to predict, just based on the history data. The environment and trend of the year 2018 is different from 2025. we never know how the market reacts to current circumstances.

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 21Apr25 Observations: The MACD indicator has completed the bottom cross-over that suggests an uptrend. Moving Averages (MA). The MA50 line has started a downtrend, while the MA200 line is on an uptrend. This implies a downtrend in the mid-term and a bullish trend in the long term. A death cross has surfaced when the MA50 line cuts the MA200 line from above. A death cross can be seen as a bearish indicator. Death Cross Definition: How and When It Happens Candle. The last candle is below the MA50 and MA200 lines, implying a bearish outlook for the medium and long term. The three Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines are showing a downtrend. Chaikin’s Monetary Flow (CMF) is in the “uptrend zone” (above the 0 line). This implies more buying than selling. L

Hi everyone! Disclaimer: The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publications are not intended

For the S&P 500, determining whether a double bottom is forming or if the market has already hit a genuine bottom requires analyzing recent price action, market context, and technical indicators. Below, I’ll assess the likelihood based on available data, sentiment, and technical analysis, while addressing whether now is a good time to enter the market. Double Bottom Likelihood: A double bottom may have started around 5,850 in March 2025, but it lacks confirmation (no second low or neckline breakout). The current price (5,396.63) suggests the market is still seeking a bottom, with risks of further declines if support fails. Genuine Bottom: Not yet confirmed. Macro risks and weak technical signals outweigh bullish indicators, though historical resilience suggests a bottom may be near. Ti

Hi everyone! Disclaimer: The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publications are not intended

Go to moon after goods Friday 

$S&P 500(.SPX) Market Analysis: S&P 500's Death Cross, Powell’s Stance, and the Path Ahead The S&P 500’s recent formation of a "death cross" (50-day moving average below 200-day) and subsequent volatility have intensified debates about whether the index will stabilize, form a double bottom, or plunge further. Here’s a synthesized outlook based on technicals, fundamentals, and geopolitical risks: 1. Death Cross Context: Not All Doom and Gloom - *Historical Precedent*: While the death cross is traditionally seen as a bearish signal, historical data shows mixed outcomes. In 54% of cases since 1971, the S&P 500 had already hit its lowest point before the death cross formed, suggesting potential for a rebound . - Example: The March 2020 death cross preceded a 50% rally with

If you can hard , sure  No cumming , first 

The world is in the big chaos. Maybe cut rate will help.. Trump has over do many things, some went from good to bad. He needs to sit down and think.

From the preliminary stand point, volatility is definitely here to say. Those that are "off the market", it would be a great time to get ready to "time the market", base on Trumps vocal signals. I don't think Powell's current objectives is to "cushion" the market but rather to ensure that inflationary measures are kept at bay... which from trade war stand point, ot would be a very challenging tasks given that US is not manufacturing all the necessary parts but import mostly from China. @koolgal  @MillionaireTiger  @Blinkfans  @BillionaireN  

📉 S&P 500 at a Crossroads: Powell’s Stance and Citi’s Downgrade Signal Trouble Ahead? 📊 Citi equity strategists just downgraded the U.S. stock market, dropping their rating from Overweight to Neutral—and the reasoning is hard to ignore. They’re pointing to global headwinds like DeepSeek’s rapid rise in China, Europe’s tightening fiscal policies, and escalating trade tensions as reasons to diversify away from U.S. markets. Add to that Fed Chair Powell’s clear message of “no market rescue,” and the S&P 500’s path looks shaky. 📍 Here’s my take: The “exceptionalism” narrative that’s fueled U.S. market gains—strong GDP and EPS growth—is under pressure. DeepSeek’s advancements signal China’s growing tech independence, which could hit U.S. tech giants reliant on global supply chains. Mean

Yet to see tariffs impact on inflation and growth, normal for Fed to stay in wait-and-see mode. Think possible for another bottom coming in uncertain times and can buy the dip again.

Fed reserve is a independent private organization. His  top priority is to maintain USD buying power stability. I also wonder what the Fed will do if the US government bonds default. US government and Fed have a totally different target. All Trump wanted is to refinance T-bill as low interest rate as possible, Tariff, recession,  all these are tools to press down T-bill yield. when the T-bill yield surge, Trump administration quickly flipped their policy to calm down T-bill market.

Whether the Fed cuts is not the issue, they are supporting the bonds market and we get the M2 money supply is crucial

how to become successful 

I m new here. need guidance