$S&P 500(.SPX)$ - Nobody, not even the most pessimistic anticipated the velocity of this selloff. Price is oversold at any technical you can name, but the candle shows substantial bearish conviction and continuation for Monday. Last similarity: The Covid crash. Most of the 2024 gains have been erased.Bear markets teach much more to investors than bull markets, get access to the bear market target published for SPX before the crash started $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2506(ESmain)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$

The $iShares MSCI Japan ETF(EWJ)$ aims to mirror the MSCI Japan Index, and as you can see, the price is currently consolidating within a base, highlighted by the rectangle, much like it did during 2021.The chart also presents three essential indicators:Moving Averages: The short-term moving averages (5 and 10 months) are trending downwards, signaling a loss of bullish momentum; in fact, the 5-month average has already crossed below the 10-month. For educational content about moving averages, click here.Reversal Candlesticks: Bearish reversal candlesticks, indicated by the black arrows, have served as early warning signs in the past, such as at the start of 2021 and in the second half of 2024. However, they have also marked tops, as shown by the hig

It's wild to see this decline unfold so quickly. Looking back, I shared warnings across several publications beforehand, backed by Elliot Wave, Fibonacci studies, long-term charts, moving averages, crossovers, and macro data – the pullback felt imminent from many angles since I like to provide objective data and analysis. What's surprising is just how fast it's happening.Today, I want to chat about the human side of investing. Our emotions can really cloud our judgment of those technical signals. For those newer to the market (maybe joining in '23 or '24), outside opinions can be really influential, making it tough to focus on the charts. For more seasoned folks, the hope around the new U.S. administration might have made this "self-inflicted" crash unexpected. And for everyone, the sheer

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ : Breached the lower Bollinger Band significantly. Given the bearish candle and volume validation, a substantial bounce is unlikely. However, a return to the band's range is expected. This is a bear market, but same as bull markets price action experiences technical resets.One of the bear market rallies of 2025 will come in May, when the FED will cut rates. Something short lived as in 2022. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ ImageOpen a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with upcoming 0-commission, unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stoc

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ - Corrective bounce in play: As anticipated over the weekend, the move is in effect. The $5,506 support zone held firm on Monday morning, leading to a bounce that reached 20-day moving average resistance today. While a retracement is possible, April is set to reach a higher level than today's close as the arrows highlight.Opted for the purple line from the pathways posted on March 12th.Did you hold off on selling your longs anticipating a buy-the-dip scenario? Or you entered longs, only to see the market keep plunging? $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ I

$Apple(AAPL)$ is about to confirm a death cross (50DMA crossing below 200DMA) ➡️ A significant bearish event, no mention the rejection from the 200 DMA.Is this eyeing $205? or much lower?Image $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Make or Break: The 200 DMA rejected price (red arrow), but price is still above the 20 DMA (black arrow).The MACD cross (green), says a bullish reversal is still possible, be mindful of volatility with this beast. $249.3 can still be visited.That’s a strong bounce, if happens, hopefully it doesn’t leave a gap. But It is difficult to expect big ones with the current context.Image

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ is at Extreme Fear, but make no mistake, during 2022 this level may have preceded bear market rallies, but price continued setting lower lows printing a painful bullish divergence that ended in October 2022. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ Image $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ : The daily chart lacks immediate support, aside from the low-volume shelf where price briefly paused today. Despite this, the strong bearish candle suggests continuation; a likely test of the lower Bollinger Band, consistent with a [p

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ : Imminent Bearish MACD Crossover on the Monthly, and the RSI divergence adds warning signs to the picture. Two ingredients for the last three bear markets.Is there any reason to expect something different?➡️This chart has been carefully studied since January, follow along to navigate the turbulence. $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ Image $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ : The daily chart lacks immediate support, aside from the low-volume shelf where price briefly paused today. Despite this, the strong bearish candl

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ : During one year, my publication has timed accurately the swings for Tesla, last Week I called a bullish setup considering price action and oversold levels. A bullish MACD crossover has emerged: Previous instances show significant rallies following such crossovers, with durations ranging from two weeks to two months. Notably, price action is below its 50 and 200 DMAs, requiring careful risk management. We are targeting a potential advance towards the $320 region.Will the orange man invalidates my bullish call when he speaks tonight at 8PM?I don’t refer to that person. And the orange man expression doesn’t imply un-approval.Would he speak otherwise?Honest question, perhaps he would do to punish the no agreement(?)Image

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ - Gap Filled and indecisive candle, is the pullback done? The oscillator says no, bearish continuation is likely. Weak price action, just 38% of the selloff was recovered. A bounce is coming, but from lower levels. All eyes on the 50DMA nearing 200DMA $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ ImageDouble gap tomorrow with price opening at Friday's close? What is more important is the loss of the 200DMA which is very bearish, and the potential cross with the 50DMA is a major event.Image

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ : Indecision candle around $5777 which is a key level to watch. Since price is not overbought (A) it's better to see directional action. ➡️The bullish one would be if the level mentioned is conquered, and needless to say, $5754 as the 200DMA would be the dealbreaker for the rally if it's breached.Bullish until proven wrong by that pink line (200DMA).(B) Highlights that not every reversal happens at overbought levels. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ Image

$Apple(AAPL)$ : MACD crossovers have historically signaled bounce opportunities; a crossover appears imminent today. However, the indecisive candle at the $221 zone, a previously targeted area for subscribers, warrants caution. Simultaneously, a death cross looms, potentially limiting the bounce's duration. The bullish outlook remains valid until $215 is breached. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ $Microsoft(MSFT)$ Image

TSLA - A bullish MACD crossover has emerged: Previous instances show significant rallies following such crossovers, with durations ranging from two weeks to two months. Notably, price action is below its 50 and 200 DMAs, requiring careful risk management. We are targeting a potential advance towards the $320 region. Maybe we will see a small pullback before next run? Price action shows conviction, and volume validates it. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ $Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF(VTI)$ Image

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ : As expected, the oscillator sequence highlighted and price action indicated a rally, closely mirroring the movements observed in November. Despite of bearish sentiment, the 10 DMA maintained its support, resulting in a bullish candle and a positive MACD crossover.The 200DMA provided temporary resistance, but it was conquered by the end of the day. The gap will act as a magnet, but not tomorrow. Watch $5,812. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ $Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF(VTI)$ $Apple(AAPL)$

$VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ resembles the previously posted $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ chart, showing rejections at the 20DMA. However, Friday's price action suggests a potential recovery and breach of this DMA. A move above 225.7 could trigger a decent rise to 230.1. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ Image $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ It's been a month below the 20DMA, and once again price was rejected when that moving average was reached. Will next week be different?Image

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ - Death Cross: It happens when the 50-day MA falls below the 200-day MA as highlighted in the chart.In addition, the 20-day MA has rejected any bounce attempt during the last two weeks. Only a break above 20DMA and $118.4 would give some hope for a bounce to $127.Just a year ago NVDA was going to the moon! Indeed, and it soared to $150, but gravity exists for consolidations.ImageThis is my analysis the other day：NVDA shows a promising bounce, but next week will reveal if it can overcome the typical volatility at the 50 DMA, especially given its convergence with the 200 DMA. We'll see if it leads to a rejection, potentially filling the two highlighted gaps.➡️ Is this a lower high or a solid bounce?Image

1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Despite of bearish sentiment, the 10 DMA maintained its support, resulting in a bullish candle and a positive MACD crossover. This sequence, a Stochastic crossover followed by a MACD crossover, is reminiscent of November's setup, which foreshadowed a short-term rally.Image2. $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ NDX Two indicators:➡️ VOLUME Giant bar validating a bullish candle➡️ MACD crossover confirmedTo the moon? Maybe not, for now let's see the 200DMA, or even better, S/R Levels, which work with more precision than moving averages.Image

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ : Another failed bounce, and the current candle is bearish. The Stochastic is turning downward, and rejection occurred again at the confluence of $5727 and the 200 DMA. Key moving averages to watch are the 200 DMA (bullish above) and the 10 DMA (bearish below). Which will prevail? $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ ImageAnd this is my last pridiction：The 4H chart yesterday anticipated well the bounce. However, the rally faded after price neared $5,727, casting doubt on its sustainability. The boun

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ : The 4H chart yesterday anticipated well the bounce. However, the rally faded after price neared $5,727, casting doubt on its sustainability. The bounce thesis is invalidated if $5,633 is breached. Stochastic is curling down too early. Will price action make it to the 20DMA?ImageHere's my trend forecast yesterday： The 4-hour chart accurately reflected anticipated the red day following the shooting star highlighted yesterday. The key level is $5,616, which served as support today, coinciding with the 5DMA. Tomorrow will be crucial: Break or a bounce?Image