SmartReversals
SmartReversals
I care about helping you navigate this market. Nowadays, it's all about permabears & permabulls, I use technical indicators with objectivity. God First.
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39 minutes ago

SPX - Bear Market Confirmed

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ - Bear Market Confirmed, something anticipated to subs on December 18th 2024 targeting $4,800 in the middle of the euphoria🎯. Today the Return to the Bollinger Range is in play. The spinning candle below the band and oversold RSI suggest a comeback to the $5200 zone. ➡️Is the bottom in? not very likely, so the levels were updated last Saturday (access in bio). $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ ImageExtreme Fear, and the Futures are PanickingDuring 2022, extreme pessimism brought bear market rallies. However, in 2025 the bounces vanished quickly and the selloff continu
SPX - Bear Market Confirmed
avatarSmartReversals
04-06 22:09

How long did SPX take for the all-time high and recovered?

1.How long did it take for the ATH of $2,940.9 for the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ in September 2018 to be recovered? ➡️7 months. By April 2019 new ATH were seen. To recover the 3,393.5 ATH from February 2020,➡️it took 6 months; new ATH by August 2020.How can we know if these two are the benchmarks today?2.How long did it take for the all-time high of $1,552.9 for the SPX in March 2000 to be recovered?It took 7 years and 4 months.By July 2007, the price had fully recovered, right before the GFC.Will you wait or will you trade?3.How long did it take for the all-time high of $1,576.1 for the SPX in October 2007 to be recovered?It took 5 years and 6 months.By April 2013, the price had fully recovered.Are you ready to wait?4.How long did it take for the all-t
How long did SPX take for the all-time high and recovered?
avatarSmartReversals
04-06 22:05

QQQ RSI below 30, extremely oversold

$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ : Island candle below the Bollinger band and RSI below 30; extremely oversold. Those three elements are the perfect formula for a sustained bounce. However, I don't like the shape of the bands, so a short lived bounce is more likely than a bottom.Perhaps a gap down is better than a weak bounce. In any case, when candles break above the Bollinger band with a gap, the odds for a gap fill are very likely within the next month, there is no reason to see something different on the bear side, even more after falling more than 20% in such a short period of time. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ ImageOpen a CBA today and enjoy access to
QQQ RSI below 30, extremely oversold
avatarSmartReversals
04-06 01:46

IWM & QQQ: High chances for a corrective bounce

1. $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ High chances for a corrective bounce:1) Doji island below the Bollinger band2) Volume validation3) RSI at 24‼️Why corrective? The Bollinger band is widening, previous events are highlighted.Image2. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ Long island candle completely below the Bollinger Band, and RSI is oversold. Those are meaningful oversold conditions. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ ImagePS: In challenging bear markets, every downturn carries the seed of recovery. Your resilience and patience can lead to new opportunities. Inv
IWM & QQQ: High chances for a corrective bounce
avatarSmartReversals
04-06 01:43

NVDA - A relief bounce is likely

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ : A relief bounce is likely, considering the lower Bollinger band breached, oversold RSI and the island candle validated by volume. However, see the difference with August 2024: A Bollinger acting as support back then (green arrow), and the current one is a slider (red).NVDA has erased 55% - 60% of its gains in previous bear markets, will this time be different?➡️Technicals say no. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ ImagePS: In challenging bear markets, every downturn carries the seed of recovery. Your resilience and patience can lead to new opportunities. Inv
NVDA - A relief bounce is likely
avatarSmartReversals
04-05 01:18

SPX Selloff: Faster, Deeper Than Anyone Expected

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ - Nobody, not even the most pessimistic anticipated the velocity of this selloff. Price is oversold at any technical you can name, but the candle shows substantial bearish conviction and continuation for Monday. Last similarity: The Covid crash. Most of the 2024 gains have been erased.Bear markets teach much more to investors than bull markets, get access to the bear market target published for SPX before the crash started $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2506(ESmain)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$
SPX Selloff: Faster, Deeper Than Anyone Expected
avatarSmartReversals
04-05 00:59

EWJ chart presents three essential indicators

The $iShares MSCI Japan ETF(EWJ)$ aims to mirror the MSCI Japan Index, and as you can see, the price is currently consolidating within a base, highlighted by the rectangle, much like it did during 2021.The chart also presents three essential indicators:Moving Averages: The short-term moving averages (5 and 10 months) are trending downwards, signaling a loss of bullish momentum; in fact, the 5-month average has already crossed below the 10-month. For educational content about moving averages, click here.Reversal Candlesticks: Bearish reversal candlesticks, indicated by the black arrows, have served as early warning signs in the past, such as at the start of 2021 and in the second half of 2024. However, they have also marked tops, as shown by the hig
EWJ chart presents three essential indicators
avatarSmartReversals
04-05 00:57

Bear markets bring opportunities

It's wild to see this decline unfold so quickly. Looking back, I shared warnings across several publications beforehand, backed by Elliot Wave, Fibonacci studies, long-term charts, moving averages, crossovers, and macro data – the pullback felt imminent from many angles since I like to provide objective data and analysis. What's surprising is just how fast it's happening.Today, I want to chat about the human side of investing. Our emotions can really cloud our judgment of those technical signals. For those newer to the market (maybe joining in '23 or '24), outside opinions can be really influential, making it tough to focus on the charts. For more seasoned folks, the hope around the new U.S. administration might have made this "self-inflicted" crash unexpected. And for everyone, the sheer
Bear markets bring opportunities

SPY Breached the lower Bollinger Band significantly.

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ : Breached the lower Bollinger Band significantly. Given the bearish candle and volume validation, a substantial bounce is unlikely. However, a return to the band's range is expected. This is a bear market, but same as bull markets price action experiences technical resets.One of the bear market rallies of 2025 will come in May, when the FED will cut rates. Something short lived as in 2022. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ ImageOpen a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with upcoming 0-commission, unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stoc
SPY Breached the lower Bollinger Band significantly.

SPX - Corrective bounce in play

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ - Corrective bounce in play: As anticipated over the weekend, the move is in effect. The $5,506 support zone held firm on Monday morning, leading to a bounce that reached 20-day moving average resistance today. While a retracement is possible, April is set to reach a higher level than today's close as the arrows highlight.Opted for the purple line from the pathways posted on March 12th.Did you hold off on selling your longs anticipating a buy-the-dip scenario? Or you entered longs, only to see the market keep plunging? $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ I
SPX - Corrective bounce in play

SPX: Bullish divergence suggests bullish continuation and a more solid bounce

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ : Stay open minded, this bullish divergence suggests bullish continuation and a more solid bounce.As a first milestone, the 20DMA (blue line) will set the first resistance.The bounce from the lower Bollinger band was the missing point for a reversal, and the Bollinger band supporting the bounceImageHere's my analysis from March 30:SPX is at Extreme Fear, but make no mistake, during 2022 this level may have preceded bear market rallies, but price continued setting lower lows printing a painful bullish divergence that ended in October 2022.Image Open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with upcoming 0-commission, unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs. Find out more here.Other
SPX: Bullish divergence suggests bullish continuation and a more solid bounce

AAPL & TSLA - Make or Break

$Apple(AAPL)$ is about to confirm a death cross (50DMA crossing below 200DMA) ➡️ A significant bearish event, no mention the rejection from the 200 DMA.Is this eyeing $205? or much lower?Image $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Make or Break: The 200 DMA rejected price (red arrow), but price is still above the 20 DMA (black arrow).The MACD cross (green), says a bullish reversal is still possible, be mindful of volatility with this beast. $249.3 can still be visited.That’s a strong bounce, if happens, hopefully it doesn’t leave a gap. But It is difficult to expect big ones with the current context.Image
AAPL & TSLA - Make or Break

SPX is at Extreme Fear, but make no mistake

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ is at Extreme Fear, but make no mistake, during 2022 this level may have preceded bear market rallies, but price continued setting lower lows printing a painful bullish divergence that ended in October 2022. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ Image $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ : The daily chart lacks immediate support, aside from the low-volume shelf where price briefly paused today. Despite this, the strong bearish candle suggests continuation; a likely test of the lower Bollinger Band, consistent with a [p
SPX is at Extreme Fear, but make no mistake

SPX Faces Bearish Perfect Storm

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ : Imminent Bearish MACD Crossover on the Monthly, and the RSI divergence adds warning signs to the picture. Two ingredients for the last three bear markets.Is there any reason to expect something different?➡️This chart has been carefully studied since January, follow along to navigate the turbulence. $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ Image $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ : The daily chart lacks immediate support, aside from the low-volume shelf where price briefly paused today. Despite this, the strong bearish candl
SPX Faces Bearish Perfect Storm

Tesla Risk Remains Below Key DMAs

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ : During one year, my publication has timed accurately the swings for Tesla, last Week I called a bullish setup considering price action and oversold levels. A bullish MACD crossover has emerged: Previous instances show significant rallies following such crossovers, with durations ranging from two weeks to two months. Notably, price action is below its 50 and 200 DMAs, requiring careful risk management. We are targeting a potential advance towards the $320 region.Will the orange man invalidates my bullish call when he speaks tonight at 8PM?I don’t refer to that person. And the orange man expression doesn’t imply un-approval.Would he speak otherwise?Honest question, perhaps he would do to punish the no agreement(?)Image
Tesla Risk Remains Below Key DMAs

SPX - Gap Filled and indecisive candle, is the pullback done?

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ - Gap Filled and indecisive candle, is the pullback done? The oscillator says no, bearish continuation is likely. Weak price action, just 38% of the selloff was recovered. A bounce is coming, but from lower levels. All eyes on the 50DMA nearing 200DMA $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ ImageDouble gap tomorrow with price opening at Friday's close? What is more important is the loss of the 200DMA which is very bearish, and the potential cross with the 50DMA is a major event.Image
SPX - Gap Filled and indecisive candle, is the pullback done?

SPX - $5754 as the 200DMA would be the dealbreaker for the rally

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ : Indecision candle around $5777 which is a key level to watch. Since price is not overbought (A) it's better to see directional action. ➡️The bullish one would be if the level mentioned is conquered, and needless to say, $5754 as the 200DMA would be the dealbreaker for the rally if it's breached.Bullish until proven wrong by that pink line (200DMA).(B) Highlights that not every reversal happens at overbought levels. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ Image
SPX - $5754 as the 200DMA would be the dealbreaker for the rally

AAPL - The bullish outlook remains valid until $215 is breached

$Apple(AAPL)$ : MACD crossovers have historically signaled bounce opportunities; a crossover appears imminent today. However, the indecisive candle at the $221 zone, a previously targeted area for subscribers, warrants caution. Simultaneously, a death cross looms, potentially limiting the bounce's duration. The bullish outlook remains valid until $215 is breached. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ $Microsoft(MSFT)$ Image
AAPL - The bullish outlook remains valid until $215 is breached

TSLA - A bullish MACD crossover has emerged

TSLA - A bullish MACD crossover has emerged: Previous instances show significant rallies following such crossovers, with durations ranging from two weeks to two months. Notably, price action is below its 50 and 200 DMAs, requiring careful risk management. We are targeting a potential advance towards the $320 region. Maybe we will see a small pullback before next run? Price action shows conviction, and volume validates it. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ $Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF(VTI)$ Image
TSLA - A bullish MACD crossover has emerged

SPX price action indicated a rally

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ : As expected, the oscillator sequence highlighted and price action indicated a rally, closely mirroring the movements observed in November. Despite of bearish sentiment, the 10 DMA maintained its support, resulting in a bullish candle and a positive MACD crossover.The 200DMA provided temporary resistance, but it was conquered by the end of the day. The gap will act as a magnet, but not tomorrow. Watch $5,812. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ $Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF(VTI)$ $Apple(AAPL)$
SPX price action indicated a rally

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