bluekiwiseed personal page

01-17

$Intel(INTC)$ An institution is manipulating the stockprice. At 00:00, one 15-minute candlestick rose by $1.5 from 19.5 to 20.99. Afterward, the next 15-minute candle did not follow through with a red doji candlestick at $20.64. No follow through. I further spot a 14.2k worth of position in the order book at the opening of 3rd candlestick at 00:30 being bought, when the price fell to $20.54. This position then quickly disappeared within seconds. This is clearly a fakeout. 99% confidence that this institution has insider news on INTC, as the earnings date draws near.

bluekiwiseed

2024-11-19

$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ CEO selling shares right after news reported board member revealed market manupilation? What a spicy stock! I'm quite sure that Palantir will still keep rising in the next months with its strong fundamentals and high growth potential, but even the best AI stock of the year doesn't evade the greed of itd shareholders.

bluekiwiseed

2024-09-30

$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ the split will encourage short term bull, but will not resolve overall Doj problem. Buy after split, hold for 2 weeks for price to surge, then sell and never look back. Don't hold till Doj probe result release.

bluekiwiseed

2024-12-17

$MARA Holdings(MARA)$ Impressive. It turns out the shooting star (green candle with long upperwick) was actually an inducement for a breakout setup. The shooting star initially signalled bearish weakness, attracting short positions and creating a false reversal expectation. Instead, price retraced slightly and used the liquidity (stop-losses and pending orders) to push higher, leading to bullish continuation. How to know: BTC still in uptrend (HH & HL), next candlestick after shooting star failed to close below the star's low, and low volume on sell side.

bluekiwiseed

2024-12-18

$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ SMCI seems to be hesitating from staying within the range of bearish trendline. There are hedgers expecting it to go to 20s and at least hitting the strong support liquidity at 28.96. But if SMCI fails to close this week, bearish sentiment will end, and expect huge accumulation and rebound.

bluekiwiseed

2024-12-20

$Tempus AI(TEM)$ Big buy. The current price fall is due to post-IPO volatility: executives selling shares to cover tax obligations. This is a pre-planned and routine transaction. It does not signal a lack of confidence in the company's future prospects. TEM continues to show strong growth prospects, driven by key initiatives like Medicare approval, acquisitions (e.g., Ambry Genetics), and a rapidly growing healthcare AI market. Accumulate and hold till at least Q1 FY25. Support lines: 31.06, 23.01

bluekiwiseed

2024-12-17

$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ Looks like a trendline liquidity with short-term bearish continuation. We can also see that yesterday's price fall signals a fail to close (red candlestick with lower wick touching the point of interest at 31.36), indicating further downward attraction. When the trendline intersects with the two points of interests (the orange lines), look for a liquidity sweep supported by high volume & change of character for a bullish reversal long position.

bluekiwiseed

01-03

$MARA Holdings(MARA)$ I see 2 alternatives. 1. Drop to $15.3 previous resistance. 2. Plummet to $10-12.5 in line with changes in BTC in a few days. 3. Bullish trend reversal only appears with good catalyst (i.e. Trump 20 Jan) This is a good time to buy puts, whether you currently hold a position or not. In case everything goes south. But don't buy too many and cause you to FOMO.

bluekiwiseed

2024-12-10

$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ AMD potentially experiencing tax loss harvesting EOTY following the bearish news this week. To anyone currently holding this stock, make sure to hold it through to January. The 'January Effect' will happen and cause a sharp rebound.

bluekiwiseed

2024-12-10

$Microsoft(MSFT)$ Msft, you have two choices and two futures. 1. You vote for bitcoin. This causes bitcoin to seriously breakout above 100k, expanding the FOMO season. In the process, you trigger MSFT stock price to skyrocket. 2. You vote against bitcoin. This undermines bitcoin rally preventing it from breaking out above 100k. One month later, bitcoin still breakout and sustains above 100k anyways. You, however, will have undermined investors and shareholders' confidence, leading to a decline in your stock price. This move certainly won't lead to a massive decline, but it won't make your time during Trump Presidency any better. This is a deal you cannot refuse.

bluekiwiseed

01-02

$Tempus AI(TEM)$ This is one of the top AI trades of 2025. 1. AI development is transitioning from hardware/software/model developers that harness Generative AI & LLM to data-centric AI (annotation, analytics), application providers & vertical solutions. In 2024, we saw the former nearing maturity (NVDA & semicon industry slowdown), and the latter taking off (TEM, INOD, PLTR, BBAI, etc.). The latter's experimental success is a sign of greater things to come; we're not in an AI bubble but an AI boom. 2. Increasing role of AI in an expanding global precision medicine market potentially exceeding $100 billion by 2030, growing at ~11% CAGR. TEM forming strategic partnerships with healthca

bluekiwiseed

2024-12-04

$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ **SMCI Under Market Manipulation** While looking at the order book, I saw a strange and awkward puzzle of some mega offloader selling 59.33k shares at $40.24. Plausible explanations: ----- ### 1. Profit-Taking at a Target Price ### 2. Artificially Creating Resistance to Accumulate Shares at Lower Levels ### 3. Institutional or Algorithmic Selling ### 4. Provide Liquidity ### 5. Psychologically Encourage Hesitation ----- This is what I think: The 59.3k sell order at $40.24 likely serves as a manipulative strategy rather than a genuine intent to sell. Alternative explanations like profit-taking (Point 1), gradual selling to av

bluekiwiseed

2024-12-11

$MARA Holdings(MARA)$ MSFT shareholders just voted against bitcoin. This caused bitcoib to slip overnight and affected MARA and other mining companies, due to the failure to meet FOMO expectations. But the FOMO season is still ongoing. With growing institutional investors' confidence in this crypto market, bitcoin is set to seriously break 100k in January when Trump steps in. In 1-3 months, when Trump team announces bitcoin policy, MSFT and other conservative groups will start revising their bets. This broader market sentiment means that MARA's slip below 23 present a great opportunity to accumulate shares.

bluekiwiseed

01-13

$Tempus AI(TEM)$ US economy doing too well (job growth, yields raise) and too bad (CPI potentially worse?) at the same time, contributing to market downturn (reduced interest rates cuts). Growth stocks suffer most, while defensive sectors (healthcare, utilities, etc.) become safer alternatives. This places TEM in an awkard position. It is a growth stock in a defensive sector. The market downturn reduces present value of future earnings, leading to lower stock prices, while strong demand for healthcare provides buffer against cyclical risks. Will TEM go beyond $40 in the next few months? TEM has substantial cash buffer (roughly 500mil liquidity) as of Q3 2024 to ride through 12-18mths of market downturn, but it needs to reduce its cash b

bluekiwiseed

2024-12-02

No point writing so much. Here's my proposal. Invest 50k into smci NOW (sell $60-90 by 6 months); 50k into mara/ibit NOW (sell by 2025-2026); 30k into altcoins NOW (sell by 2025-2028; 30k into intc at $23-24 (sell $30 by 2025); 50k into AMD (sell $170-190 within months); 1 x bitcoin at $92-94k (hold until you feel like taking out). Alternatively, lend me 1/3 of it as startup and I ROR 70-120% within 1 year[Miser] You play with the rest.

'Is the stock market reliable?' I'm 65, retired and I own my own house. I have $300,000 to invest. What should I do with it?

bluekiwiseed

2024-12-06

$Okta Inc.(OKTA)$ Warren Buffet once said that sometimes market doesn't correct properly. OKTA is one of the rare cases. Strong fundamentals, beat forecasts, rising rating from wall street. But the surge didn't last more than 1 day. After rising to the expected range of $92-99, it fell to $86, before trying for a second round yesterday and failing to go past $90 and dropping to $83. OKTA doesn't deserve the price it currently sits. Better to stick with the strategy than to let market sentiment run over you. OKTA cannot but rise!

bluekiwiseed

2024-12-23

$Tempus AI(TEM)$ Understanding what happened on 21 Dec by applying liquidity theory. Institutions steps in massively at ~32.5, possibly half of the green candlestick was institutional setup. This is confirmed by the RVOL (an indicator for unusual volume) and the lack of liquidity at the bottom of the body. Retail traders then steps in to push prices up, thinking we've hit the bottom as insider selling seemed to end (news catalyst), and by ~33 institutions further assisted a little to reassure and attract more retail traders, leading to the consolidation of 3 long green candles followed by price consolidation at 35-36 before market closed. This is an institutional setup for an inducement. The inducement hasn't ended.

bluekiwiseed

2024-12-12

$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ TWO FUTURES Tonight's a turning point. Yesterday, SMCI retraced to just above RSI Swing Indicator with 200 EMA, setting up a potential support line at $36-38 that targets a breakout to $60. But this possibility hangs on the thread of NASDAQ100 annual reconstitution today, with the potential for delisting. Been seeing various interesting comments. Here's my take. SMCI has two possibilities: 1. NASDAQ100 not delisted. SMCI takes off to $60, beforw retracing to $46 to form a new support line for another rebound. Action: no delisting => sell at $55-60 and accumulate when it retraces to mid-$40s. 2. NASDAQ100 delisted. Sends shockwave down to $20s. Expect short-term drama, insignificant compare

bluekiwiseed

2024-12-16

$MARA Holdings(MARA)$ Can't predict whether MARA will rise or fall, as it hasn't been following BTC's movement. Nonetheless, this is my latest take on BTC's trajectory using a 4-hour chart. UPDATE: Potential shooting star emerging and supporting a stophunt. Bearish reversal if close below the shooting star's low ($104704.2). Less likely: price consolidates above this price point and breaks through $106624.62 with strong volume, signalling bullish continuation. It's still within the 7-day liquidity trendline (since 10 Dec) but may require news catalyst for continuation.

bluekiwiseed

2024-12-04

Another of those news seeking to encourage people to short sell SMCI because you missed the swing highs. I have already discussed this in my other post, but I cannot mention further that perceptions, not reality, shape the downfall of SMCI. You're basing your argument on the reputation and accusation of some companies, without actually knowing the inner workings of SMCI. SMCI's downfall represents the classic case of overperforming and provoking certain big shots. But the narrative created by these big shots are losing ground; even JP Morgan has a cautious but rather optimistic outlook on SMCI now. Whether BDO is part of the Big Four or not has no meaning. As JP Morgan states, only two things matter now: whether BDO will recognise the special committee's report (no account

Super Micro Computer: You're Gambling If You Buy This, Not Investing

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