$Intel(INTC)$ An institution is manipulating the stockprice. At 00:00, one 15-minute candlestick rose by $1.5 from 19.5 to 20.99. Afterward, the next 15-minute candle did not follow through with a red doji candlestick at $20.64. No follow through. I further spot a 14.2k worth of position in the order book at the opening of 3rd candlestick at 00:30 being bought, when the price fell to $20.54. This position then quickly disappeared within seconds. This is clearly a fakeout. 99% confidence that this institution has insider news on INTC, as the earnings date draws near.
Growth/tech stocks facing a tripe blow in January. December Fed to reduce rate cuts over time Job growth, yields increase Biden stifling competition with tariffs Can CPI outlook reverse the trend? Can Trump reverse the trend?
$Tempus AI(TEM)$ US economy doing too well (job growth, yields raise) and too bad (CPI potentially worse?) at the same time, contributing to market downturn (reduced interest rates cuts). Growth stocks suffer most, while defensive sectors (healthcare, utilities, etc.) become safer alternatives. This places TEM in an awkard position. It is a growth stock in a defensive sector. The market downturn reduces present value of future earnings, leading to lower stock prices, while strong demand for healthcare provides buffer against cyclical risks. Will TEM go beyond $40 in the next few months? TEM has substantial cash buffer (roughly 500mil liquidity) as of Q3 2024 to ride through 12-18mths of market downturn, but it needs to reduce its cash b
$Tempus AI(TEM)$ TEM just broke $40 upon news catalyst of further regulatory approvals, which I expected to happen near-term. I anticipate it will retest 2-3 more times in 4HR chart in order to secure a solid foundation before heading to the previous higher lows: $42-45. In the unlikely event, it may retrace to $38-39 before testing $40-41 for a few days, giving more opportunity to enter. We are near the peak golden hours for buying TEM. Missing this timing and you may come back the next year. Any price below $40 is risk-free bargain.
$MARA Holdings(MARA)$ I see 2 alternatives. 1. Drop to $15.3 previous resistance. 2. Plummet to $10-12.5 in line with changes in BTC in a few days. 3. Bullish trend reversal only appears with good catalyst (i.e. Trump 20 Jan) This is a good time to buy puts, whether you currently hold a position or not. In case everything goes south. But don't buy too many and cause you to FOMO.
$Tempus AI(TEM)$ This is one of the top AI trades of 2025. 1. AI development is transitioning from hardware/software/model developers that harness Generative AI & LLM to data-centric AI (annotation, analytics), application providers & vertical solutions. In 2024, we saw the former nearing maturity (NVDA & semicon industry slowdown), and the latter taking off (TEM, INOD, PLTR, BBAI, etc.). The latter's experimental success is a sign of greater things to come; we're not in an AI bubble but an AI boom. 2. Increasing role of AI in an expanding global precision medicine market potentially exceeding $100 billion by 2030, growing at ~11% CAGR. TEM forming strategic partnerships with healthca
$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ There are days when you shouldn't look at your trading app and this is one of those days. Tax loss harvesting. Simple as that. As a contrarian, this is also a great day to double down.
It's obvious that since Xmas Rally fails to effect, tax loss harvesting will double down, hence all market indexes are currently in the red until New Year. This is a good time to add more and DCA.
$Tempus AI(TEM)$ Understanding what happened on 21 Dec by applying liquidity theory. Institutions steps in massively at ~32.5, possibly half of the green candlestick was institutional setup. This is confirmed by the RVOL (an indicator for unusual volume) and the lack of liquidity at the bottom of the body. Retail traders then steps in to push prices up, thinking we've hit the bottom as insider selling seemed to end (news catalyst), and by ~33 institutions further assisted a little to reassure and attract more retail traders, leading to the consolidation of 3 long green candles followed by price consolidation at 35-36 before market closed. This is an institutional setup for an inducement. The inducement hasn't ended.
$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ Brace for the storm/opportunity on December 23. Potential event: Nasdaq-100 rebalancing not fully priced in. Price dips into 20s and rebound in next few days. Short-term bearish on December 23, but reduced FUD post-rebalancing & long-term bullish fundamentals and corporate governance. See below my estimates. --Prediction-- 1. Moderate Selloff and Bounce (55%): $28.50–$30.00 Buyers step in around $28.86. Forced selling creates a dip, but support holds. Key Indicators: High volume near $28.86. Bullish reversal candlestick patterns. 2. Extended Selloff ( 30%): $25.00–$28.50 Selling overwhelms buyers. Price breaks key support levels. Key Indicators: Increas
$Tempus AI(TEM)$ Big buy. The current price fall is due to post-IPO volatility: executives selling shares to cover tax obligations. This is a pre-planned and routine transaction. It does not signal a lack of confidence in the company's future prospects. TEM continues to show strong growth prospects, driven by key initiatives like Medicare approval, acquisitions (e.g., Ambry Genetics), and a rapidly growing healthcare AI market. Accumulate and hold till at least Q1 FY25. Support lines: 31.06, 23.01
$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ We are in the Lowest Low, if not extremely close to it. The FUD is ending. SMCI is now medium-to-low cost, high reward. Expect huge rebound (SMCI serious about meeting Q1) and huge volatility (SMCI in Quiet Period until Q1). ---Huge rebound-- SMCI is on Quiet Period since 13 December until the release of Q1 FY25. They appeared serious about getting things done; the things they said they'd do and achieve during the 5 November update, they're already in the process. One of which is the Malaysia global supply chains expansion: SMCI just opened 530 jobs in LinkedIn, mostly in Malaysia, followed by a mix of San Jose, Taiwan & Netherlands. Coupled with their partnership
I wonder who will care about Powell's speech after Trump enters. Everyone, be it crypto or tech stocks, are pricing in the 'forward guidance' on rates from Powell's long-term forecast, but they're omitting the positive uncertainty of Trump's tenure. I see big changes coming in less than a month. If we don't have a Santa Rally, we're going to have a January Rally.
$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ SMCI seems to be hesitating from staying within the range of bearish trendline. There are hedgers expecting it to go to 20s and at least hitting the strong support liquidity at 28.96. But if SMCI fails to close this week, bearish sentiment will end, and expect huge accumulation and rebound.
$MARA Holdings(MARA)$ Impressive. It turns out the shooting star (green candle with long upperwick) was actually an inducement for a breakout setup. The shooting star initially signalled bearish weakness, attracting short positions and creating a false reversal expectation. Instead, price retraced slightly and used the liquidity (stop-losses and pending orders) to push higher, leading to bullish continuation. How to know: BTC still in uptrend (HH & HL), next candlestick after shooting star failed to close below the star's low, and low volume on sell side.
$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ Looks like a trendline liquidity with short-term bearish continuation. We can also see that yesterday's price fall signals a fail to close (red candlestick with lower wick touching the point of interest at 31.36), indicating further downward attraction. When the trendline intersects with the two points of interests (the orange lines), look for a liquidity sweep supported by high volume & change of character for a bullish reversal long position.
$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ The sad news is that AMD is really going to take off, but we just don't know when. Expect holding for a few months until the next catalyst, perhaps QE.