$IBM(IBM)$ rose 9% after Wednesday's after-hours announcement of its 24Q4 earnings, bringing the stock to a new all-time high and another company that benefited from the AI surge this quarter.In terms of market feedback, the sentiment given by the market is quite positive due to the Q4 earnings beat and upbeat guidance for FY25.Since the company's valuation level (around 22x forward P/E) is not too high in the AI sector, the market is still willing to pay for it regardless of its revenue growth rate.Investment highlightsRedhat acquisition may be the best decision in history.Double-digit software revenue growth in Q4 (+10% YoY to $7.92bn), driven by further acceleration in Redhat, and AI business orders have exceeded $5bn to date, up nearly $2bn YoY

At a time of mixed long and short signals, why does the market place more on $Microsoft(MSFT)$ "short signals" after earnings?The following this reason can not be ignoredCloud revenues falling short of expectations is the original sin; previously expectations were given too high and actually not met, a failure of expectation management;Microsoft's Capex investments rely heavily on cloud revenues to be realized, and once revenues fall short of expectations, it may make investors doubt the efficiency of its Capex investmentsEarnings and Market FeedbackMSFT fell within minutes of releasing its 25Q2 earnings report, then the decline narrowed generally to just 1% at most, but then fell over 6% on the call.This kind of volatility is not common for Micro

$Twilio(TWLO)$ shares rose in response to the release of Q4 2024 results after the 23rd after-hours and a positive outlook on Thursday.Shares of the provider, which specializes in customer engagement and cloud communications, rose sharply, up 10%, in early after-hours trading.The company announcedQ4 revenues up 11% year-over-yearGAAP operating profit was positive and well above the upper end of the range of its initial guidance provided in Q3;FY2024 free cash flow within the range initially provided.Looking forward to 2025, Twilio expects year-over-year revenue growth of 7% - 8%, with free cash flow expected to be in the range of $825 million to $850 million, and adjusted operating income to remain at similar levels.Previously, the company planned

Big-Tech’s PerformanceTrump's inauguration this week captured the world's attention and entered the 2.0 era, with a considerable number of policy announcements made as soon as he took office, but so far there has been no major surprises in relation to his previous announcements, and the market has come to expect them.In addition to the obvious changes to sectors such as immigration, energy, and digital currencies, there was also a call for the Federal Reserve to "lower interest rates" (although this is unlikely to be successful, as the Fed is an independent private institution).But the point is, through the president's influence shouting, will be a certain degree of distortion of the market on the current expectations of rate cuts, and even some members of the Federal Reserve will also hav

SummaryTwo important "beat" factors behind $Netflix(NFLX)$ earnings beatBigger-than-expected subscriber numbers.Nifty, which last announced this figure, fully surprised investors by exceeding expectations by 107%, which is equivalent to a doubling of the market consensus underestimation, with the greatest degree of underestimation in North America and Latin America.There may also be Q3 results after the announcement to be in North America and Latin America to increase the factor.In addition, the market underestimated the global popularity of The Squid Game 2, a commercialized series that "makes money" and is not necessarily an award-winning show, despite the fact that the show is not yet finished and has been conservatively criticized and not high

U.S. bonds rallied at the limit last week, but are still at relatively high levels in anticipation of Trump's inauguration. $US10Y(US10Y.BOND)$ yield fell back after hitting 4.8%.The current position may be a better opportunity for right side investors to enter the market.Term premium is the main force behind the current round of U.S. bond upward movementBefore the September rate cut, the 10-year Treasury rate was at its lowest at 3.62%.Since then, the 10-year bond rate has risen all the way to a high of 4.8% on January 14th.That's a total increase of 118 basis points (bps).During this period, the 3-month Treasury rate fell about 55 basis points because the Fed cut rates.During the same time period, the term premium between the 10-year and t

As we've said before in our December CPI outlook:Stocks could move sideways or slightly higher if CPI shows good or neutral conditions.Core CPI growth between 0.17% and 0.23% YoY could push the $.SPX(.SPX)$ index up 0.3% to 1%; if the YoY increase is less than 0.1%, $.SPX(.SPX)$ could jump 1.8% to 2.5%.Let's analyze in detailFrom the CPI composition and weights: the U.S. CPI is a basket of goods and services price level, based on the cost of living of urban consumers to determine the weight.Commodities are weighted at 35.17% and services at 64.83%.In terms of breakdown, food accounted for 13.48%, energy accounted for 6.44%, excluding energy and food is the core CPI, housing has the highest weight of 36.71

Big-Tech’s PerformanceU.S. stocks were closed this Thursday, and it was an unplanned one at that, so the trading day was a little shorter, and even somewhat impacted the pricing of important options.The most important macro data is the December nonfarm payrolls released on Friday, which may have more impact than the FOMC meeting that follows as the Fed is much more concerned about the job market than inflation.However, the current market consensus is that the probability of a rate cut this month is essentially zero.As a result the dollar is very strong and the US bond curve continues to STEEPEN.Valuations of US stocks are also currently at historically high levels, and increased market uncertainty in 2025 is bound to bring greater volatility. trump's policies could be a significant source

U.S. President Joe Biden is also like before leaving office to make some things, his administration plans to leave office a few days before $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ $Broadcom(AVGO)$ $Intel(INTC)$ and other companies of AI chip exportsImplement a new round of restrictions, including China, Russia and other targets.The U.S. wants to curb the sale of artificial intelligence chips for data centers at the national and corporate levels, people familiar with the matter said, with the aim of focusing AI development in so-called "friendly countries" and aligning global companies with U.S. standards.The rules, w

The $1.89% drop in the $.IXIC(.IXIC)$ on January 7, 2025, is not dramatic in terms of decline alone, but it was the largest "volume selloff" in history and did not have earnings events such as $Apple(AAPL)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ More than the "Silicon Valley Bank" crisis .More than the Covid-19 outbreakMore than the 2016 index meltdown periodMore than anyday of 2008 financial crisis ......After all, quantitatively led market, turnover has long been than in previous years to enhance a number of classes, at the same time the index in the history of new highs, leading the market capitalization to reach new highs, the market trading is already active.But the question is, w

Curbside News, $Alphabet(GOOG)$ CEO Sundar Pichai is facing investor pressure to possibly resign again and again! $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ INVESTOR PRESSURE: According to rumors circulating online, large investment institutions (such as State Street, Vanguard, or TRP) are dissatisfied with Pichai's performance and want to pressure Google's board of directors to force Splinter's resignation in 2025 due to a series of failed projects and a lack of vision, and the last three earnings meetings have gone against him.REASONGoogle's poor performance in the AI competitionInitial loss: Google, as a strong player in the AI field, performed poorly in the face of OpenAI's attack, its AI was questioned as a pie in the sky,