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avatarTigerong
08-02 10:46
Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 is the next Chinese name to make a splash in Western media. It ranks alongside the frontier models from Claude and ChatGPT, and that alone is a feat. The naysayers say it was achieved through distillation and the like. Maybe. But if it were that easy, every lab would be doing it and every model would be frontier class.Being frontier is one thing. Cost is another. Claude is known to be expensive. ChatGPT has managed to bring its costs down. Kimi K3 still comes in more than 50% cheaper than ChatGPT. As good as the West, at a fraction of the price. For cost conscious users, that is reason enough to switch.It also remains a few years behind its U.S. and Korean peers technologically. Strict export controls mean it cannot easily acquire extreme ultraviolet lithography equip
avatarTigerong
08-02 10:33
SpaceX is a lottery ticket kind of stock. It defies almost every principle of sound fundamental investing. First, the valuation is always a stretch. Same story with Tesla, priced wildly above its competitors. I accept that a market leader deserves a premium, but the gap suggests something more than that. There is an Elon Musk premium embedded in the share price, and it is substantial. Second, much of what you are buying sits in the future. Colonising Mars or the Moon, data centres in space, humanoid robots. None of it is commercialised. Yet it is priced today as though it already is. That is not valuation. That is buying into a vision. So if you want to invest in Musk’s companies, you cannot use the conventional lens. Which is exactly why these stocks are so divisive. On one side, the nays
avatarTigerong
08-02 10:26
SpaceX’s fall has dragged the rest of the space sector down with it. A handful of these names are down more than 20%. No surprise there.With both stocks sliding, Musk has lost his trillionaire status. Over $300 billion gone in about a month. That is more than the entire net worth of second placed Larry Page. It wasn’t just SpaceX. Tesla fell hard after earnings and is now down 29% year to date. The culprit was negative free cash flow of $1.09 billion in Q2 2026, as Tesla spends big on AI, on top of robotaxi and Optimus. Investors have turned sensitive towards heavy capex spenders, and Tesla has just joined that group. The selling is consistent with how the market is treating everyoneSpaceX closed at $201.80 on 16 June 2026. It has since tumbled 43% to $115.07, which also puts it 15% below
Today, Warren Buffett is one of the richest people in the world - a $149 billion net worth. He built that fortune by compounding Berkshire Hathaway at a 19.9% rate a year for the last 60 years. That’s nearly double the return of the S&P 500 Index.Warren Buffett was doing what most people aren’t doing today: Value investing. And Buffett's secret to achieving such enormous gains was to pick companies that could greatly grow their earnings without spending much additional capital. For most of his career, he had a mentor, a coach and a close friend, Charlie Munger whom he could bounce ideas off of (yes, having a mentor and partners are important). Together, they looked for wonderful stock ideas to accumulate. Think about the big entrepreneurs on Forbes who sold software, ran furniture comp
DeepSeek shook the semiconductor industry and the stock market with the release of its R1 reasoning model. R1 matched top-tier models like OpenAI’s o1, yet it was reportedly trained for a fraction of the cost, around $6 million.The good news is that AI stocks recovered, and then some. They surged to record highs as Western models kept improving and held their lead, quashing fears that cheaper Chinese models could catch up. For a while, that justified the massive capital expenditure the West had committed to. Most AI models are judged on how well they answer a question, write a Python script, or pass an exam. Chip design is a different beast. It is a gruelling, multi-step engineering process. By completing all of it autonomously over 48 hours with no human intervention, Impressive as it is,
For the past month, the market has been whispering that the AI trade is done. Memory stocks took the brunt of it, on the belief that chip prices had peaked. Their share prices fell hard. Alphabet’s guidance says otherwise. Higher capex and a shortage of AI cloud compute mean the spending cycle is still running. Alphabet has stopped its share buyback because it needs the cash for AI, while it continues to issue stock to raise funds and to reward employees with options. Share count is up 1.2% in six months. That is dilution, and it is new. Previously the buybacks more than offset the issuance. On top of that, Alphabet took on $19.1B of mandatory convertible preferred shares and $56.2B of debt. And the fundraising is not ending soon. Roughly $106B of securities are expected to be issued over
Oil prices rose and the energy sector did well as a result. For years the AI trade has lifted technology, and just this past month we saw financials and healthcare take their turn. So there is no single sector that wins forever. But there is always at least one sector that is working. That is the basis for a rotation strategy. You move capital into the sectors that are doing well, or that you expect to do well. The method varies. It can be driven by macro, by fundamentals, or by momentum. Sector rotation is the established idea. Factor rotation is the newer cousin, and many investors are not even familiar with factors to begin with.Factors are characteristics of stocks with evidence of outperformance. Value, quality, momentum, size and low volatility are the foremost ones. Factors rotate t
will AI AI stocks will crash. ?  It’s just a matter of time, though no one knows exactly when, or how much higher they’ll climb before gravity catches up. That makes them poor long-term holdings Let’s take a break from AI stocks, especially since we’re starting to see a sector rotation underway. We might be better off looking for investment ideas built for the long haul. The difference is that you buy AI stocks because they are moving fast. You buy long-term stocks because they last. Many investors conflate the two and get into trouble.example beats McDonald’s. It’s a place where parents bring their kids, and one day those kids bring their own. It’s intergenerational and never goes out of style. Compare that to a fashion label tagged to an older generation and shunned by the next. Thi
$FoundationHealth(FHH.SI)$  is going up can buy now 
Property developers and cyclical industries have continued to face significant headwinds despite favourable long-term themes. China’s property sector remains under pressure from weak housing demand, financing constraints, and skepticism over a sustained recovery, weighing on developers such as Longfor Group. Meanwhile, electric vehicle and renewable energy companies, including BYD, BYD Electronic, Li Auto, and Xinyi Solar, have corrected amid price wars, slowing growth, margin pressure, and industry overcapacity. Commodity producers such as Zijin Mining, CMOC, and Chalco have fared relatively better due to long-term demand for critical minerals, but their shares have also pulled back as investors took profits and reacted to concerns over global economic growth and commodity price volatilit
These AI stocks have rallied so hard that they are now hypersensitive to any whiff of weaker demand. The moment demand looks shaky, the selloff follows.Investors are trimming AI exposure, not abandoning the thesis. I don’t think this is 2000 all over again, yet. Once the deleveraging plays out, these stocks should stabilize. And frankly, after nine straight weeks of gains and multi bagger moves packed into a short stretch, a breather was overdue. It’s just that the breather can look like a sharp, ugly pullback, the kind most investors aren’t prepared for. The key reason I’m not sounding the alarm is that fundamentals still look solid and supply is still tight. But this is a spot worth watching. Hyperscalers have poured billions into building capacity. If we’re at the point where exces
After reporting earnings on Wednesday evening, Micron (MU) surged nearly 16% on Thursday. Not 16% from some beaten-down base. This was a stock that had already hit an all-time high of $1,134 just days earlier. And it still popped 16%.Micron posted fiscal Q3 2026 revenue of $41.46 billion. That’s not a typo. Just last year in the same quarter, they did $9.3 billion. In other words, revenue more than quadrupled year-over-year. Analysts expected Q4 revenue of around $43 billion. Micron guided to $50 billion.That’s nearly a $7 billion beat on guidance. Free cash flow in Q4 is expected to exceed $30 billion. HBM3E and HBM4 are fully booked through calendar 2027, with demand already extending into 2028. They also locked in $22 billion in strategic customer agreements, including $18 billion in up
The USD depreciated and gold prices rose. Combined with growing investor awareness of US indebtedness, people caught the fever and started buying gold, which in turn drove up demand. Higher prices begot more buying, and the cycle fed on itself With the pace of cuts decelerating for 2026, and because markets are forward-looking, the previously aggressive easing path was priced out and the USD strengthened. Gold, which had risen on the expectation of rate cuts and a weaker dollar, suddenly became vulnerable. Add in unwinding speculative demand, and gold struggled to defend its levels and began to fall. And that was all before the Iran war. The outbreak of conflict worsened the outlook for gold. Higher energy prices mean more dollars are needed to transact, boosting demand for the USD and lif
Few stocks have ever risen as violently. Since its Hong Kong IPO in June 2024 at HK$40.50, Laopu’s shares climbed almost without pause, peaking near HK1000 in July 2025, a gain of roughly 25x, or more than 2300,% in barely a year. At the height it ranked among the best-performing stocks in the world, and the market treated heritage gold as an unstoppable structural story capable of absorbing any amount of expansion. The idea that the shares could fall meaningfully felt almost unthinkable. Despite this explosive growth, the stock experienced a substantial correction. The reason was not deteriorating demand but concerns surrounding capital intensity and balance sheet risk. To support rapid expansion and meet strong consumer demand, inventories surged dramatically, forcing the company to tie
The road to the Iran peace deal was an edgy affair that dragged on for months. The ceasefire that began back in April was only a temporary truce to give negotiations room to breathe, not peace itself. And even during that truce, there were enough sparks to derail the talks. Israel struck Lebanon, the US kept its naval blockade on Iran’s ports, missiles were still flying, and Trump pressured about attacking Iran. Messy. I’ll be honest, the timing made me raise an eyebrow. That recovery came right before Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif, acting as lead mediator, announced that the US and Iran had agreed on the final text to end the war. Insider trading? I’m not saying that. But the sequence was convenient. Stocks pushed higher into 12 June, the day SpaceX made its blockbuster debut. P
On 2 March 2026, Nvidia announced a $4 billion combined investment in Coherent and Lumentum. The investment was split right down the middle, with $2 billion going to each. In early May 2026 (6 May), Nvidia made a $500 million strategic investment in Corning, structured as warrants. On top of that upfront $500 million, Nvidia also holds a warrant to buy up to 15 million shares at an exercise price of $180. If it eventually exercises everything, its total potential stake could reach around $3.2 billion. The partnership is a strategic supply-chain move. In exchange, Corning committed to expanding its U.S. optical fiber production capacity by more than 50% (and its broader optical-connectivity capacity tenfold), building three new U.S. plants to directly feed Nvidia’s AI ecosystem. Nvidia is b
Adidas came back swinging as a kit sponsor. It has the most teams in the tournament, dressing 14 countries. More countries means more jerseys to sell to supporters, and the more the merrier, especially for crowd favourites like reigning champion Argentina and World Cup hopeful Spain. The picture was completely different in World Cup 2022, when Nike sponsored the most teams and Adidas came in second. So Adidas has wrestled the throne away for 2026. And let’s not forget that Adidas has supplied the official match ball for every World Cup since 1970. So it’s likely Adidas’s revenue gets a bigger bump than the other two this year. Investors seem to have already taken note. Adidas stock has jumped about 19% over the past month. Nike and Puma haven’t come close, up about 4% over the same period.
Plenty of theories are floating around. Some point to the strong jobs report, since fewer rate cuts expected means less fuel for risk assets. Others say the mega IPOs of SpaceX, Anthropic, and OpenAI are pulling capital away from existing stocks into shiny new plays. Truth is, no one really knows. And frankly, it doesn’t matter why.What matters is answering two questions. Should you sell? Or is this a dip worth buying? There’s no one-size-fits-all answer here. But let me paint a few scenarios and you can see which one fits you closest. That was the day the market handed out the bill. Looking at the top losers among S&P 500 constituents, the pattern was unmistakable. Last month’s biggest winners became the day’s biggest losers. Thirteen constituents dropped more than 10% in a single ses
That said, don’t rely on technical analysis alone unless you have a clear entry and exit plan with proper risk management. Buying on Stage 2 without knowing when to sell is still risky as stocks in Stage 2 can roll over into Stage 4 when the rebound fizzles LVMH stands as the largest luxury conglomerate globally, renowned primarily for its iconic label, Louis Vuitton. However, its expansive portfolio extends across various domains, encompassing fashion, leather goods, watches, jewelry, wines, spirits, fragrances, and cosmetics. With an impressive collection of 75 distinct brands, many of which are likely to be instantly recognizable to you: However, following reports of a slowdown in China and lackluster sales in the United States, LVMH's stock price has declined by approximately 21% from
I hope you can see that technical analysis is helpful, especially for timing entries on stocks that are bottoming. Here’s the dilemma every value investor faces: a software stock might be undervalued at $100. Do you buy at $50? At $20? Both are undervalued. But if the stock continues falling to $10, even buying at $20 yields a 50% loss and feels expensive in hindsight. Stage Analysis helps you avoid this trap by waiting for price confirmation before committing. Some will argue that by the time Stage 2 begins, the price is already much higher. True. But the trade-off is that you’re buying with more certainty and not catching a falling knife without knowing where the bottom is. The cost of not waiting can be far greater losses. That said, don’t rely on technical analysis alone unless you hav

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