$Alphabet(GOOG)$ NOV20 325C, still actionable. Zone: $315.06 to $319.50 Invalidation: close under $310 Objectives: $336, then $355 Up 5.9% to the first objective and 11.9% to the second, against 2.3% risk on the invalidation. That works out to better than 5 to 1 to the second target. Alphabet sold off for a week and then quietly stopped falling on Friday. It slipped from $336.40 on Tuesday to $317.28 on Friday, but Friday held above its low at $316.99 and closed with real volume behind it. That pause is the heart of this swing. A walk back toward $336 comes first, then $355 if buyers keep showing up. A close under $310 would say the pause was only a pause. P.S. Alphabet reports after the close on October 28, so that date is worth watching for
$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ Wall Street is manufacturing a crisis here. They're seeing problems where there are none, just to manipulate stocks. That kind of manipulation can work in your favor if you wanted the dip, and you got it. This is a $1000 stock.
Sentiment check heading into the next round of earnings. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ and $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ , the two big megacaps everyone is watching, have both seen sentiment climb sharply. The standout for me is $Lam Research(LRCX)$ , the semi fab equipment maker, which shifted from Extremely Bearish to Extremely Bullish over the past five days. $Las Vegas Sands(LVS)$ is the only one still sitting in the Extremely Bearish zone. Pipeline name $Kinder Morgan(KMI)$ spent several days as Extremely Bullish and now sits high in the Bullish zone at 73.
$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ Reports earnings after the market close tomorrow, and the weekly option bets are pointing to a 650 to 738 range after the report.
$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ I'm hoping Muse brings an early Christmas to Meta. I was a power user of Muse and liked it at first, but lately it has felt pretty unpredictable and nonsensical. I'll be watching DAU and MAU numbers. With election season, ad revenue could come in strong. Overall, I'm expecting a pop to $750 on Meta earnings.
$Alphabet(GOOG)$ I know where this is going. That's why I've been saying long-term holds. Waymo is just one part of the business. There are plenty of others turning in 2027. Let them play while I keep accumulating. Same approach as Berkshire. Google ages like fine wine.
$Alphabet(GOOG)$ 2027 to 2028 looks like the turning point. With the fleet scaling up fivefold to 20,000 vehicles, revenue is projected to surge past $10 billion. The cheaper 6th-gen Zeekr platform is expected to get Waymo to positive unit economics, meaning gross profitability per ride in its top mature markets like San Francisco and Phoenix. Then 2029 to 2030 is where hyper-growth and actual net profit come in. Analysts forecast Waymo's revenue could scale to $25 billion to $40 billion by 2030. At that stage, high-margin software licensing and international expansions are expected to drive true corporate net profitability.
$Alphabet(GOOG)$ Google Cloud is in a strong position right now. Wall Street analysts have updated their forecasts, with some major institutions projecting over 100% year-over-year revenue growth for Google Cloud in Alphabet's upcoming Q3 2026 earnings report. There are also major partnerships already sealed. And on the chip side, it's worth asking who's actually making these cloud chips, especially with TPUs gaining ground.