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自由的杜康

炒股就像谈恋爱

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- 自由的杜康自由的杜康
  ·2021-01-26
  Mark
  Kuaishou Technology begins its IPO today, with an entry fee of approximately HK$11,615.89.
  1月26日，快手-W发布公告，公司拟全球发售约3.65亿股股份，其中香港发售股份913.05万股，国际发售股份约3.56亿股，另有15%超额配股权，预期定价日为2021年1月29日；发售价每股105港
  Kuaishou Technology begins its IPO today, with an entry fee of approximately HK$11,615.89.
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- 自由的杜康自由的杜康
  ·2021-01-14
  Mark
  Female stock market guru Cathie Wood: Is Bitcoin's doubling in value overvalued?
  2021年1月9日，当前最火的女股神 ARK 基金的负责人 Cathie Wood 在其官方平台做了一期视频，讲解了她对于目前市场的看法。以下为原视频的内容摘要：我首先来复盘下去年底的观点，我当时
  Female stock market guru Cathie Wood: Is Bitcoin's doubling in value overvalued?
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06:51","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"Kuaishou Technology begins its IPO today, with an entry fee of approximately HK$11,615.89.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1189754831","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"1月26日，快手-W发布公告，公司拟全球发售约3.65亿股股份，其中香港发售股份913.05万股，国际发售股份约3.56亿股，另有15%超额配股权，预期定价日为2021年1月29日；发售价每股105港","content":"<p>On January 26,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01024\">Kuaishou-W</a>The company announced that it plans to offer approximately 365 million shares globally, including 9.1305 million shares offered in Hong Kong, approximately 356 million shares offered internationally, and a 15% over-allotment option. The expected pricing date is January 29, 2021. The offer price is HK$105-HK$115 per share, with 100 shares per lot, and the entry fee is approximately HK$11,615.89; Morgan Stanley, BofA SECURITIES and China Renaissance Capital are the Joint Sponsors and are expected to be listed on the Main Board of the Stock Exchange on 5 February 2021.</p><p><b>Tiger Brokers' IPO subscription channel is expected to open at 11:30 AM.</b><a href=\"https://www.itiger.com/mi/ipo/listing/hk\" target=\"_blank\"><b>IPO subscription portal</b></a><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee3b92b97469a764c48643b20ffe7336\" tg-width=\"905\" tg-height=\"524\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Subscription ladder:</b></p><p>Each lot contains 100 shares, with an entry fee of approximately HK$11,615.89.</p><p>The threshold for Group B is 50,000 shares, and the funds required for subscription are approximately HK$5,807,942.75.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/105456a586e929f22e3c77c3e1362be6\" tg-width=\"923\" tg-height=\"559\">The company is committed to becoming the world's most passionate company about creating value for its customers. The company's mission is to help people discover what they need, leverage their strengths, and continuously enhance everyone's unique sense of happiness. The company is committed to providing services to its customers and creating value for them through continuous innovation and optimization of its products and services. The company is committed to creating a platform that truly reflects the diverse and vibrant world of corporate life, enriching people's lives with interesting, useful, relevant, and meaningful content. The company believes that everyone is unique and wants to empower them to express themselves, be appreciated, and find joy.</p><p>The company is a leading content community and social platform. The company believes that everyone is a unique individual, and everyone has their own strengths and needs. The company believes that communication and interaction can create value. The company continues to improve its content production tools and services to make it easier for people to record and share their lives, present and leverage their strengths; The company also provides a more effective content discovery mechanism, making it easier for people to discover other creators and high-quality content. The company hopes to work with all value creators to provide users with more products and services and enrich the public's choices. According to iResearch Consulting, for the nine months ended September 30, 2020, the company was the largest live streaming platform globally in terms of virtual gift tipping revenue and average monthly paying users. The second largest short video platform in terms of average daily active users; And the second largest live-streaming e-commerce platform in terms of total merchandise transaction volume.</p><p>The company is a pioneer in the global short video industry. Since its inception, the company has been committed to helping users record and share their lives through video. The company's original mobile application, GIF Kuaishou, was originally launched in 2011. It is a tool software for users to create and share GIFs. GIFs are essentially the prototype of short videos; In 2012, according to iResearch Consulting, the company became a pioneer in China's short video industry by applying a series of technologies, enabling users to create, upload and watch short videos on their mobile phones. In 2013, the company launched a short video social platform; In 2016, as a natural extension of the platform's functions, the company launched a live streaming feature to facilitate real-time interaction and participation among users. According to iResearch, the Company was the first in China's short video industry to use a video recommendation algorithm based on deep reinforcement learning on a large scale in 2018. In 2018, as user engagement continued to increase, the company launched an e-commerce solution to facilitate users' transactions within its ecosystem.</p><p>According to iResearch, Kuaishou is now a household name in China and one of the most widely used social media platforms in the country. For the nine months ended September 30, 2020, the company's average daily active users and average monthly active users for its Chinese applications and mini-programs were 305 million and 769 million, respectively. During the same period, the company's daily active users spent an average of more than 86 minutes on the Kuaishou app per day and visited the Kuaishou app more than 10 times per day. The company is a content creation and sharing platform trusted by users. According to iResearch, the Company ranked first among the leading video-based social platforms in China in terms of content community activity, with content creators accounting for approximately 26% of the average monthly active users on the Kuaishou application for the nine months ended September 30, 2020. For the nine months ended September 30, 2020, the average number of short video uploads on the Kuaishou app per month was approximately 1.1 billion. The company's revenue grew rapidly during the track record period, from RMB8.3 billion in 2017 to RMB20.3 billion in 2018, and further to RMB39.1 billion in 2019, and from RMB27.3 billion in the nine months ended September 30, 2019 to RMB40.7 billion in the nine months ended September 30, 2020.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8a99afdbc1d9abcd0b09ad13d033ba2c\" tg-width=\"814\" tg-height=\"446\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Cornerstone investors</b></p><p>The company has entered into a cornerstone investment agreement with a cornerstone investor, who has agreed to subscribe or procure its designated entities to subscribe at the offer price for a total amount of approximately US$2.45 billion (or approximately HK$18.996 billion). Cornerstone investors include The Capital Group Funds, Aranda Investments Pte. Ltd., GIC Private Limited, Invesco Ltd., Fidelity International, BlackRock, Inc., CPP Investments, Sunny Festive, MSAL and MSIM Inc., and Abu Dhabi Investment Authority.</p><p>Assuming an Offer Price of HK$110.00 (i.e., the mid-point of the guiding Offer Price range stated in this prospectus), the total number of Offer Shares to be subscribed by the Cornerstone Investors would be approximately 172.7 million Class B Shares, representing approximately (i) 47.28% of the Offer Shares (assuming the Over-allotment Option is not exercised), (ii) 4.20% of the total issued share capital of the Company upon completion of the Global Offering (assuming the Over-allotment Option is not exercised), and (iii) 4.15% of the total issued share capital of the Company upon completion of the Global Offering (assuming the Over-allotment Option is fully exercised).<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7f67374c198ea300a5f4853da00e7c6b\" tg-width=\"913\" tg-height=\"666\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>Use of Proceeds</b></p><p>Assuming the offer price is HK$110.00 per offer share (i.e., the mid-point price of the stated offer price range), the company expects to receive net proceeds of approximately HK$39.4774 billion from the global offering. Approximately 35% of the net proceeds from the global offering will be used to enhance the ecosystem; Approximately 30% will be used to strengthen research and development and technological Approximately 25% will be used to selectively acquire or invest in products, services and businesses that complement the company's business and align with the company's philosophy and growth strategy, especially in content, mass entertainment and software, in order to improve the company's technological level, enrich the ecosystem, attract new users to the company's platform, and expand the scope of the company's products and services. and approximately 10% will be used for working capital and general corporate purposes.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Kuaishou Technology begins its IPO today, with an entry fee of approximately HK$11,615.89.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nKuaishou Technology begins its IPO today, with an entry fee of approximately HK$11,615.89.\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-01-26 06:51</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>On January 26,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01024\">Kuaishou-W</a>The company announced that it plans to offer approximately 365 million shares globally, including 9.1305 million shares offered in Hong Kong, approximately 356 million shares offered internationally, and a 15% over-allotment option. The expected pricing date is January 29, 2021. The offer price is HK$105-HK$115 per share, with 100 shares per lot, and the entry fee is approximately HK$11,615.89; Morgan Stanley, BofA SECURITIES and China Renaissance Capital are the Joint Sponsors and are expected to be listed on the Main Board of the Stock Exchange on 5 February 2021.</p><p><b>Tiger Brokers' IPO subscription channel is expected to open at 11:30 AM.</b><a href=\"https://www.itiger.com/mi/ipo/listing/hk\" target=\"_blank\"><b>IPO subscription portal</b></a><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee3b92b97469a764c48643b20ffe7336\" tg-width=\"905\" tg-height=\"524\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Subscription ladder:</b></p><p>Each lot contains 100 shares, with an entry fee of approximately HK$11,615.89.</p><p>The threshold for Group B is 50,000 shares, and the funds required for subscription are approximately HK$5,807,942.75.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/105456a586e929f22e3c77c3e1362be6\" tg-width=\"923\" tg-height=\"559\">The company is committed to becoming the world's most passionate company about creating value for its customers. The company's mission is to help people discover what they need, leverage their strengths, and continuously enhance everyone's unique sense of happiness. The company is committed to providing services to its customers and creating value for them through continuous innovation and optimization of its products and services. The company is committed to creating a platform that truly reflects the diverse and vibrant world of corporate life, enriching people's lives with interesting, useful, relevant, and meaningful content. The company believes that everyone is unique and wants to empower them to express themselves, be appreciated, and find joy.</p><p>The company is a leading content community and social platform. The company believes that everyone is a unique individual, and everyone has their own strengths and needs. The company believes that communication and interaction can create value. The company continues to improve its content production tools and services to make it easier for people to record and share their lives, present and leverage their strengths; The company also provides a more effective content discovery mechanism, making it easier for people to discover other creators and high-quality content. The company hopes to work with all value creators to provide users with more products and services and enrich the public's choices. According to iResearch Consulting, for the nine months ended September 30, 2020, the company was the largest live streaming platform globally in terms of virtual gift tipping revenue and average monthly paying users. The second largest short video platform in terms of average daily active users; And the second largest live-streaming e-commerce platform in terms of total merchandise transaction volume.</p><p>The company is a pioneer in the global short video industry. Since its inception, the company has been committed to helping users record and share their lives through video. The company's original mobile application, GIF Kuaishou, was originally launched in 2011. It is a tool software for users to create and share GIFs. GIFs are essentially the prototype of short videos; In 2012, according to iResearch Consulting, the company became a pioneer in China's short video industry by applying a series of technologies, enabling users to create, upload and watch short videos on their mobile phones. In 2013, the company launched a short video social platform; In 2016, as a natural extension of the platform's functions, the company launched a live streaming feature to facilitate real-time interaction and participation among users. According to iResearch, the Company was the first in China's short video industry to use a video recommendation algorithm based on deep reinforcement learning on a large scale in 2018. In 2018, as user engagement continued to increase, the company launched an e-commerce solution to facilitate users' transactions within its ecosystem.</p><p>According to iResearch, Kuaishou is now a household name in China and one of the most widely used social media platforms in the country. For the nine months ended September 30, 2020, the company's average daily active users and average monthly active users for its Chinese applications and mini-programs were 305 million and 769 million, respectively. During the same period, the company's daily active users spent an average of more than 86 minutes on the Kuaishou app per day and visited the Kuaishou app more than 10 times per day. The company is a content creation and sharing platform trusted by users. According to iResearch, the Company ranked first among the leading video-based social platforms in China in terms of content community activity, with content creators accounting for approximately 26% of the average monthly active users on the Kuaishou application for the nine months ended September 30, 2020. For the nine months ended September 30, 2020, the average number of short video uploads on the Kuaishou app per month was approximately 1.1 billion. The company's revenue grew rapidly during the track record period, from RMB8.3 billion in 2017 to RMB20.3 billion in 2018, and further to RMB39.1 billion in 2019, and from RMB27.3 billion in the nine months ended September 30, 2019 to RMB40.7 billion in the nine months ended September 30, 2020.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8a99afdbc1d9abcd0b09ad13d033ba2c\" tg-width=\"814\" tg-height=\"446\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Cornerstone investors</b></p><p>The company has entered into a cornerstone investment agreement with a cornerstone investor, who has agreed to subscribe or procure its designated entities to subscribe at the offer price for a total amount of approximately US$2.45 billion (or approximately HK$18.996 billion). Cornerstone investors include The Capital Group Funds, Aranda Investments Pte. Ltd., GIC Private Limited, Invesco Ltd., Fidelity International, BlackRock, Inc., CPP Investments, Sunny Festive, MSAL and MSIM Inc., and Abu Dhabi Investment Authority.</p><p>Assuming an Offer Price of HK$110.00 (i.e., the mid-point of the guiding Offer Price range stated in this prospectus), the total number of Offer Shares to be subscribed by the Cornerstone Investors would be approximately 172.7 million Class B Shares, representing approximately (i) 47.28% of the Offer Shares (assuming the Over-allotment Option is not exercised), (ii) 4.20% of the total issued share capital of the Company upon completion of the Global Offering (assuming the Over-allotment Option is not exercised), and (iii) 4.15% of the total issued share capital of the Company upon completion of the Global Offering (assuming the Over-allotment Option is fully exercised).<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7f67374c198ea300a5f4853da00e7c6b\" tg-width=\"913\" tg-height=\"666\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>Use of Proceeds</b></p><p>Assuming the offer price is HK$110.00 per offer share (i.e., the mid-point price of the stated offer price range), the company expects to receive net proceeds of approximately HK$39.4774 billion from the global offering. Approximately 35% of the net proceeds from the global offering will be used to enhance the ecosystem; Approximately 30% will be used to strengthen research and development and technological Approximately 25% will be used to selectively acquire or invest in products, services and businesses that complement the company's business and align with the company's philosophy and growth strategy, especially in content, mass entertainment and software, in order to improve the company's technological level, enrich the ecosystem, attract new users to the company's platform, and expand the scope of the company's products and services. and approximately 10% will be used for working capital and general corporate purposes.</p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8a05003ea47bd73f11bd992a9431f6d4","relate_stocks":{"01024":"快手-W"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1189754831","content_text":"1月26日，快手-W发布公告，公司拟全球发售约3.65亿股股份，其中香港发售股份913.05万股，国际发售股份约3.56亿股，另有15%超额配股权，预期定价日为2021年1月29日；发售价每股105港元-115港元，每手100股，入场费约11615.89港元；摩根士丹利、BofA SECURITIES及华兴资本为联席保荐人，预期于2021年2月5日于联交所主板挂牌上市。老虎证券打新通道预计中午11:30开放：打新入口申购阶梯：每手100股，入场费约11615.89港元。乙组门槛为5万股，申购所需资金约5807942.75港元。公司致力于成为全球最痴迷于为客户创造价值的公司。公司的使命是帮助人们发现所需、发挥所长，持续提升每个人独特的幸福感。公司坚持不懈专注为客户提供服务，并通过持续创新和优化公司的产品与服务为客户创造价值。公司致力于创建一个平台，真实地反映公司生活的多元化及充满活力的世界，以有趣、有用、有关和有意义的内容丰富人们的生活。公司相信每个人都是独一无二的，并希望赋予他们表达自己、被欣赏及发掘快乐的力量。公司是领先的内容社区和社交平台。公司相信每个人都是独特的个体，每个人都各有所长，各有所需。公司相信交流和互动可以创造价值。公司持续改进内容生产工具和服务，让人们更便捷地记录和分享生活、呈现和发挥所长；公司也提供更有效的内容发现机制，让人们更容易发现其他创作者及优质内容。公司希望和所有价值创造者一起努力，为用户提供更多产品和服务，丰富大众的选择。根据艾瑞咨询，截至2020年9月30日止九个月，全球范围内，公司是以虚拟礼物打赏流水及直播平均月付费用户计最大的直播平台；以平均日活跃用户数计第二大的短视频平台；以及以商品交易总额计第二大的直播电商平台。公司是全球短视频行业的开创者。自成立以来，公司一直致力于帮助用户通过视频记录和分享生活。公司的原创移动应用程序GIF快手最初于2011年推出，是一个供用户制作并分享GIF动图的工具软件。GIF动图本质上是短视频的雏形；2012年，根据艾瑞咨询，公司通过应用一系列技术，成为中国短视频行业的先驱，使用户可以在手机上创作、上传及观看短视频。2013年，公司推出了短视频社交平台；2016年，作为平台功能的自然延伸，公司推出了直播功能，方便用户实时互动和参与。根据艾瑞谘询，公司于2018年在中国短视频行业首先大规模使用基于深度强化学习的视频推荐算法。2018年，随着用户参与度继续提升，为方便用户在公司的生态系统中进行交易，公司推出了电商解决方案。根据艾瑞咨询，快手如今是中国家喻户晓的品牌，是中国最广泛使用的社交平台之一。截至2020年9月30日止九个月，公司的中国应用程序及小程序的平均日活跃用户及平均月活跃用户分别为3.05亿及7.69亿。在同一期间内，公司的日活跃用户在快手应用的日均使用时长超过86分钟、日均访问快手应用超过10次。公司是备受用户信赖的内容创作及分享平台。根据艾瑞谘询，公司的内容社区活跃度在中国头部的基于视频的社交平台中排名第一，截至2020年9月30日止九个月的内容创作者占平均月活跃用户在快手应用上的比例约26%。截至2020年9月30日止九个月，快手应用上每月平均短视频上传量约11亿条。公司的收入在营业纪录期间高速增长，从2017年的人民币83亿元增至2018年的人民币203亿元，再进一步增至2019年的人民币391亿元，从截至2019年9月30日止九个月期间的人民币273亿元增至截至2020年9月30日止九个月期间的人民币407亿元。基石投资者公司已与基石投资者订立基石投资协议，基石投资者已同意按发售价认购或促使其指定实体认购以总额约24.50亿美元(或约189.96亿港元)。基石投资者包括The Capital Group Funds、Aranda Investments Pte. Ltd.、GIC Private Limited、Invesco Ltd.、富达国际、BlackRock, Inc.、CPP Investments、Sunny Festive、MSAL及MSIM Inc.、以及Abu Dhabi Investment Authority。假设发售价为110.00港元(即本招股章程所述指导发售价范围的中间价)，则基石投资者将认购的发售股份总数为约1.727亿股B类股份，约占(i)发售股份的47.28%(假设未行使超额配股权)、(ii)全球发售完成后公司已发行股本总额的4.20%(假设未行使超额配股权)，及(iii)全球发售完成后公司已发行股本总额的4.15%(假设已悉数行使超额配股权)。所得款项用途假设发售价为每股发售股份110.00港元(即所述发售价范围的中间价)，公司预计自全球发售收取所得款项净额约394.774亿港元。其中，全球发售所得款项净额约35%将用于增强生态系统；约30%将用于加强研发及技术能力；约25%将用于选择性收购或投资与公司业务互补及符合公司理念和增长策略的产品、服务及业务，尤其是内容、大众娱乐和软件方面，以提高公司的技术水平，丰富生态系统，吸引新用户进入公司的平台，并扩大公司的产品及服务范围等方面；及约10%将用作营运资金及一般企业用途。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"01024":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1816,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":335610134,"gmtCreate":1610584611728,"gmtModify":1704984710735,"author":{"id":"3525945429233990","authorId":"3525945429233990","name":"自由的杜康","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ece392899bb9132c7aaaf2b90d3a5e82","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3525945429233990","authorIdStr":"3525945429233990"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Mark","listText":"Mark","text":"Mark","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/335610134","repostId":"1102650771","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1102650771","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1610513403,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1102650771?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-01-13 12:50","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Female stock market guru Cathie Wood: Is Bitcoin's doubling in value overvalued?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1102650771","media":" 发蓝壳  ","summary":"2021年1月9日，当前最火的女股神 ARK 基金的负责人 Cathie Wood 在其官方平台做了一期视频，讲解了她对于目前市场的看法。\n以下为原视频的内容摘要：\n我首先来复盘下去年底的观点，我当时","content":"<p>On January 9, 2021, Cathie Wood, the head of ARK Fund, the hottest female stock market guru, made a video on her official platform explaining her views on the current market.</p><p>The following is a summary of the original video:</p><p>First, I came to review to look at his views from the end of last year. At the time, I thought the Democrats would sweep both the Senate and the House of Representatives, and that prediction was correct.</p><p>Because I focus on longer-term tax rates, especially capital gains tax rates and corporate tax rates, I think this will be detrimental to the market. But the stock market doesn't seem to think that's a very bad thing. Because the market is focusing more on stimulus packages, including the possibility of another $1 trillion stimulus package. Therefore, the bull market continues, regardless of whether it is cyclical stocks or growth stocks. So I misjudged the short-term impact before.</p><p>I need to explain where I said it wrong, and this is very important.</p><p>Last year, we were correct in our judgment that the economy was experiencing a V-shaped reversal and that it would continue into this year. There may be some fluctuations in the infection and mortality rates of the novel coronavirus during this process. People have experienced chaotic lives and fears, so I think economic stimulus is necessary.</p><p>I believe the company's profits will explode this year, which will be the biggest unexpected profit growth I have ever experienced in my career.</p><p>If the S&P 500's average earnings were $100 last year and $140 the year before, then we expect it to reach $200 in 2021.</p><p>Last week, the 10-year Treasury Bond yield broke through 1%, breaking a long-term trend that people thought would be difficult to break.</p><p>The bull market is expanding towards cyclical stocks, and we are pleased to see this phenomenon; it is a virtuous cycle.</p><p>Next Tuesday we will update more views on innovation, and our analysts will also participate then.</p><p>M2 grew by 26% compared to the previous year, a figure we have never encountered before, which brings many new problems.</p><p>If people are worried about rising commodity prices and a falling dollar, we believe the Federal Reserve will have to reassess its current policy. We do not believe that the Federal Reserve will continue to maintain a neutral and loose monetary policy.</p><p>Copper prices are already 75% higher than their March lows and are still rising. This is a harbinger of inflation.</p><p>If the Federal Reserve reassesses interest rates, we think it would be good news. Many people are worried because no one likes change. However, as we argued when the Federal Reserve raised interest rates in 2017, this suggests that the Fed feels comfortable enough to let the market operate on its own.</p><p>In terms of fiscal policy, we do hope to add another $1 trillion, but once we weather the economic damage caused by the coronavirus, I don't think we need more economic stimulus. This will only lead to higher taxes and waste.</p><p>The Democratic Party is currently a bit too strong in both the House and Senate (PS: wood looked a little helpless at this moment, clearly worried), but we have to face this fact, and we must remain vigilant.</p><p>I believe that after Biden takes office... At least initially, they will take a softer approach to uniting all parties in working together. Infrastructure construction will be one aspect of this.</p><p>We are very focused on a large number of innovations in healthcare. Healthcare was a high priority when Trump was in office, and it will continue to be so after Biden takes office. The Biden administration wants lower healthcare prices while accelerating the approval of breakthrough therapies.</p><p>Even Republicans now know that the cost of clean energy and electric vehicles has dropped to new levels and is no longer what it needed to be subsidized in years past.</p><p>The most damaging part is the increase in tax rates. If capital gains taxes and corporate taxes are raised, coupled with some regulation, we may see creative people or companies move to other cities or countries. We are a fund that invests globally, so we invest in these excellent companies and talents.</p><p>Not long ago, during an interview with Bloomberg, the host asked me, \"Why do you talk about economics and politics?\" What I want to say is that my background is in economics and finance, and I need to have a broad perspective on the economy to guide my investments. As I said before, the COVID-19 virus is a shock to the economy rather than a full-blown economic recession.</p><p>Today's employment situation remains weak, with 500,000 jobs lost within a month. However, if you look closely at the report, you will find that employment hours in the manufacturing sector are stronger than expected, and overtime hours in the manufacturing sector have also increased, indicating that the manufacturing sector is catching up with the demand of the housing and auto markets.</p><p>Another interesting figure in the employment report is that hourly wages rose by 0.8%. I can't recall seeing a higher figure than that, except in the early 1980s when inflation reached double digits, when hourly wages rose by 5.1%.</p><p>We experienced a massive stimulus in the first quarter, and I can't predict how much GDP will grow right now, but we are definitely in the early stages of a rebound (original teens).</p><p>I have always kept an eye on inflation. Many people now believe that inflation is dead. I want to say that early in my career, in the late 1970s, I talked to investment managers, and they would say that economists in the 1960s declared inflation dead, but by 1973, inflation had occurred, OPEC cut production, and oil prices had quadrupled.</p><p>What we are seeing now is that inflation has not risen, and funds are flowing into the stock market and real estate. However, there may be a psychological expectation that people will spend money in advance in order to escape inflation. If funds continue to flow into the capital markets, the velocity of money turnover will continue to decline, and the risk of 26% M2 growth will be shared.</p><p>In the past 40 years of bond bull markets, buying bonds on dips was always correct.</p><p>We have long been bearish on crude oil prices, with the peak occurring in 2008. We will see significant fluctuations in oil prices during the V-shaped economic rebound.</p><p>Another thing we are very careful about is the US dollar. Last year, the US dollar depreciated by about 7%, which means we lost 7% of our purchasing power. At the same time, we also lost some purchasing power due to our inflation, although inflation is still very low and may even be exaggerated because the statistics do not include consumption in the digital economy.</p><p>If the dollar collapses at this level, it would be a very significant collapse, and in the long term, it would force the Federal Reserve to reassess its policy.</p><p>To address the loss of purchasing power, I will focus on Bitcoin. Bitcoin has doubled in the past month. I was chatting with Jeff a few days ago. He looked at a lot of charts. Compared to Bitcoin's peak in 2017, it usually takes 10 to 20 years to return to its peak, but Bitcoin only took three years, which is a very rare phenomenon.</p><p>This has prompted people to think: Have we made a mistake in monetary policy? How will we pay for this mistake in the future? One widely accepted form is inflation, and our preferred solution to this problem is to expand our investment in innovation.</p><p>Everyone is looking for ways to hedge against inflation, and I don't think there's anything better than Bitcoin. Gold is also rising, but it lags far behind Bitcoin. We'll see what happens to both of them in the future.</p><p>I've received a lot of calls recently from companies inquiring about whether to put Bitcoin on their balance sheets, and companies like Square and micro strategy are already doing so.</p><p>I think Bitcoin needs to introduce more regulation to validate its value. Brian Brooks, head of the U.S. Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC), recently said that public blockchains can be used for transactions, and banks can participate as nodes. It was like a bolt of lightning in the dark, something I had never expected before.</p><p>Cryptocurrencies still have a long way to go; it's just the beginning. I estimate that Bitcoin' market capitalization is currently around $700 billion. Although many people have doubled their earnings from $20,000 to $40,000, $700 billion is still not much. You can refer to Tesla's market capitalization of $800 billion.</p><p>Finally, Wood envisioned a bright future.</p>","source":"lsy1610513281462","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Female stock market guru Cathie Wood: Is Bitcoin's doubling in value overvalued?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFemale stock market guru Cathie Wood: Is Bitcoin's doubling in value overvalued?\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\"> 发蓝壳  </strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-01-13 12:50</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>On January 9, 2021, Cathie Wood, the head of ARK Fund, the hottest female stock market guru, made a video on her official platform explaining her views on the current market.</p><p>The following is a summary of the original video:</p><p>First, I came to review to look at his views from the end of last year. At the time, I thought the Democrats would sweep both the Senate and the House of Representatives, and that prediction was correct.</p><p>Because I focus on longer-term tax rates, especially capital gains tax rates and corporate tax rates, I think this will be detrimental to the market. But the stock market doesn't seem to think that's a very bad thing. Because the market is focusing more on stimulus packages, including the possibility of another $1 trillion stimulus package. Therefore, the bull market continues, regardless of whether it is cyclical stocks or growth stocks. So I misjudged the short-term impact before.</p><p>I need to explain where I said it wrong, and this is very important.</p><p>Last year, we were correct in our judgment that the economy was experiencing a V-shaped reversal and that it would continue into this year. There may be some fluctuations in the infection and mortality rates of the novel coronavirus during this process. People have experienced chaotic lives and fears, so I think economic stimulus is necessary.</p><p>I believe the company's profits will explode this year, which will be the biggest unexpected profit growth I have ever experienced in my career.</p><p>If the S&P 500's average earnings were $100 last year and $140 the year before, then we expect it to reach $200 in 2021.</p><p>Last week, the 10-year Treasury Bond yield broke through 1%, breaking a long-term trend that people thought would be difficult to break.</p><p>The bull market is expanding towards cyclical stocks, and we are pleased to see this phenomenon; it is a virtuous cycle.</p><p>Next Tuesday we will update more views on innovation, and our analysts will also participate then.</p><p>M2 grew by 26% compared to the previous year, a figure we have never encountered before, which brings many new problems.</p><p>If people are worried about rising commodity prices and a falling dollar, we believe the Federal Reserve will have to reassess its current policy. We do not believe that the Federal Reserve will continue to maintain a neutral and loose monetary policy.</p><p>Copper prices are already 75% higher than their March lows and are still rising. This is a harbinger of inflation.</p><p>If the Federal Reserve reassesses interest rates, we think it would be good news. Many people are worried because no one likes change. However, as we argued when the Federal Reserve raised interest rates in 2017, this suggests that the Fed feels comfortable enough to let the market operate on its own.</p><p>In terms of fiscal policy, we do hope to add another $1 trillion, but once we weather the economic damage caused by the coronavirus, I don't think we need more economic stimulus. This will only lead to higher taxes and waste.</p><p>The Democratic Party is currently a bit too strong in both the House and Senate (PS: wood looked a little helpless at this moment, clearly worried), but we have to face this fact, and we must remain vigilant.</p><p>I believe that after Biden takes office... At least initially, they will take a softer approach to uniting all parties in working together. Infrastructure construction will be one aspect of this.</p><p>We are very focused on a large number of innovations in healthcare. Healthcare was a high priority when Trump was in office, and it will continue to be so after Biden takes office. The Biden administration wants lower healthcare prices while accelerating the approval of breakthrough therapies.</p><p>Even Republicans now know that the cost of clean energy and electric vehicles has dropped to new levels and is no longer what it needed to be subsidized in years past.</p><p>The most damaging part is the increase in tax rates. If capital gains taxes and corporate taxes are raised, coupled with some regulation, we may see creative people or companies move to other cities or countries. We are a fund that invests globally, so we invest in these excellent companies and talents.</p><p>Not long ago, during an interview with Bloomberg, the host asked me, \"Why do you talk about economics and politics?\" What I want to say is that my background is in economics and finance, and I need to have a broad perspective on the economy to guide my investments. As I said before, the COVID-19 virus is a shock to the economy rather than a full-blown economic recession.</p><p>Today's employment situation remains weak, with 500,000 jobs lost within a month. However, if you look closely at the report, you will find that employment hours in the manufacturing sector are stronger than expected, and overtime hours in the manufacturing sector have also increased, indicating that the manufacturing sector is catching up with the demand of the housing and auto markets.</p><p>Another interesting figure in the employment report is that hourly wages rose by 0.8%. I can't recall seeing a higher figure than that, except in the early 1980s when inflation reached double digits, when hourly wages rose by 5.1%.</p><p>We experienced a massive stimulus in the first quarter, and I can't predict how much GDP will grow right now, but we are definitely in the early stages of a rebound (original teens).</p><p>I have always kept an eye on inflation. Many people now believe that inflation is dead. I want to say that early in my career, in the late 1970s, I talked to investment managers, and they would say that economists in the 1960s declared inflation dead, but by 1973, inflation had occurred, OPEC cut production, and oil prices had quadrupled.</p><p>What we are seeing now is that inflation has not risen, and funds are flowing into the stock market and real estate. However, there may be a psychological expectation that people will spend money in advance in order to escape inflation. If funds continue to flow into the capital markets, the velocity of money turnover will continue to decline, and the risk of 26% M2 growth will be shared.</p><p>In the past 40 years of bond bull markets, buying bonds on dips was always correct.</p><p>We have long been bearish on crude oil prices, with the peak occurring in 2008. We will see significant fluctuations in oil prices during the V-shaped economic rebound.</p><p>Another thing we are very careful about is the US dollar. Last year, the US dollar depreciated by about 7%, which means we lost 7% of our purchasing power. At the same time, we also lost some purchasing power due to our inflation, although inflation is still very low and may even be exaggerated because the statistics do not include consumption in the digital economy.</p><p>If the dollar collapses at this level, it would be a very significant collapse, and in the long term, it would force the Federal Reserve to reassess its policy.</p><p>To address the loss of purchasing power, I will focus on Bitcoin. Bitcoin has doubled in the past month. I was chatting with Jeff a few days ago. He looked at a lot of charts. Compared to Bitcoin's peak in 2017, it usually takes 10 to 20 years to return to its peak, but Bitcoin only took three years, which is a very rare phenomenon.</p><p>This has prompted people to think: Have we made a mistake in monetary policy? How will we pay for this mistake in the future? One widely accepted form is inflation, and our preferred solution to this problem is to expand our investment in innovation.</p><p>Everyone is looking for ways to hedge against inflation, and I don't think there's anything better than Bitcoin. Gold is also rising, but it lags far behind Bitcoin. We'll see what happens to both of them in the future.</p><p>I've received a lot of calls recently from companies inquiring about whether to put Bitcoin on their balance sheets, and companies like Square and micro strategy are already doing so.</p><p>I think Bitcoin needs to introduce more regulation to validate its value. Brian Brooks, head of the U.S. Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC), recently said that public blockchains can be used for transactions, and banks can participate as nodes. It was like a bolt of lightning in the dark, something I had never expected before.</p><p>Cryptocurrencies still have a long way to go; it's just the beginning. I estimate that Bitcoin' market capitalization is currently around $700 billion. Although many people have doubled their earnings from $20,000 to $40,000, $700 billion is still not much. You can refer to Tesla's market capitalization of $800 billion.</p><p>Finally, Wood envisioned a bright future.</p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/eRMF2oDihayj4TByQaD0SA\"> 发蓝壳  </a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7dd2152581565896b6d0d7c18db607b0","relate_stocks":{"GBTC":"比特币ETF-Grayscale"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/eRMF2oDihayj4TByQaD0SA","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1102650771","content_text":"2021年1月9日，当前最火的女股神 ARK 基金的负责人 Cathie Wood 在其官方平台做了一期视频，讲解了她对于目前市场的看法。\n以下为原视频的内容摘要：\n我首先来复盘下去年底的观点，我当时认为民主党将横扫参众两院，这个预测没有错。\n因为我专注于更长远的税率，尤其是资本利得税利率和公司税率，我认为这会对市场不利。但是股票市场似乎并没有认为那是一个非常糟糕的事情。因为市场把精力更多的放在刺激计划上，包括另外1万亿美元刺激计划的可能。所以牛市在继续，不管是周期股还是成长股。所以我之前对于短期的影响判断错了。\n我需要解释哪里我说错了，这个很重要。\n去年我们的判断里正确的，是经济 V 形反转并且会持续到今年。可能在这个过程中会因为新冠病毒的感染率和死亡率产生一些波动。人们经历了混乱的生活和恐惧，所以我觉得经济刺激是有必要的。\n我认为今年企业的盈利会有爆炸式的增长，这会是我职业生涯中遇到的最大的超预期的盈利增长。\n如果去年标普500的收益（earnings）平均是100美金，前一年是140美金，那么我们预计2021年会达到200美金。\n上一周10年期国债收益率突破了1%，这打破了人们认为不容易突破的长期的趋势。\n牛市正在向周期股扩大，我们很高兴看到这一现象，这是良性循环。\n下周二我们将更新更多的关于创新的观点，到时我们的分析师也会一起参与。\nM2 比上一年增长了26%，我们从前从来没有遇见过这样的数字，这带来了很多新的问题。\n如果人们担心大宗商品的价格上涨和美元的下跌，我们相信美联储将不得不重新评估现在的政策。我们不认为美联储将继续保持中立和宽松的货币政策。\n铜的价格已经比三月的低点高出了75%， 并且还在上涨。这是通货膨胀的前兆。\n如果美联储重新评估利率，我们觉得是个好消息。很多人很担心，因为没有人喜欢改变。但是就像我们在2017年美联储推高利率时的观点一样，这表明美联储感觉到足够放心让市场自己运作。\n财政政策方面我们确实希望再增加1万亿美元，但是一旦我们撑过了因为新冠病毒而遭受的经济破坏之后，我不认为还需要更多的经济刺激，这只会导致更高的税收和浪费。\n在参众两院民主党现在有点太强大了（PS：wood 此时表情有点无奈，显然她有点担心）但是我们不得不面对这个事实，我们必须保持警惕。\n我相信拜登在上台之后。至少最开始会以更柔和的姿态来联合各方一起做事。基础设施建设会是其中的一方面。\n我们非常专注于健康医疗方面的大量创新。川普任上的时候健康医疗就是高优先级的，拜登上台后还会继续保持。拜登政府想要更低的医疗价格，同时加速批准突破性疗法。\n现在即使共和党人也知道清洁能源和电动汽车的成本已经降低到了新的水平，已经不再是过去多年需要补贴的那样了。\n最具伤害的部分是增加税率。如果提高资本利得税和公司税，再加上一些监管，我们可能会看到富有创造力的人或者公司迁移到其他城市或国家。我们是全球范围投资的基金所以我们会跟着这些优秀的公司和人才投资。\n前不久我在接受彭博社采访的时候主持人问我，你为什么要谈论经济和政治？我想说的是我的背景是经济学和金融学，我需要有对于经济的大局观来指导我投资，就像之前我所说的，新冠病毒对经济是一次冲击而不是全面的经济衰退。\n今天的就业形式依然很疲软，一个月内失去了50万个工作岗位。但是如果你仔细看报告的话，你会发现制造业的就业时间是强于预期的，制造业的加班时间也增加了，可见制造业正在追赶住房和汽车市场的需求。\n就业报告中另一个有趣的数字是时薪新增长了0.8%，我印象中没有见过比这更高的数字，除了80年代初当时的通货膨胀达到两位数，每小时的时薪增长了5.1%。\n一季度我们经历了大规模刺激，我现在无法预测GDP能增长多少，但是现在肯定是处在一个反弹的早期（原话是 teens）。\n我对通胀始终保持关注。现在有很多人认为通货膨胀已经死了，我想说的是在我职业生涯的早期，那是70年代后期，我和投资经理谈话，他们会说60年代的经济学家宣布通货膨胀死了，但是到73年的时候通货膨胀发生了，欧佩克减产，石油价格翻了两番。\n现在我们看到的是通胀没有起来，资金流向股市和房地产，但是有可能会有这样一种心理预期，即为了摆脱通胀，人们提前把钱花掉。如果资金继续进入资本市场，那么货币的周转速度将会继续下降，并且将分担掉 M2 26%的增长的风险。\n过去我们经历了40年的债券牛市每次债券的逢低买入都是正确的。\n长期我们看空原油价格，高峰是2008年，经济 V 型反弹中会看到油价较大的波动。\n另一个我们非常小心看待的是美元，去年美元贬值了大约7%，也就意味着我们失去了7%的购买力，同时又因为我们的通货膨胀而损失了一点购买力，虽然通货膨胀还是很低甚至可能被夸大了，因为统计的时候不会包括数字经济的消费。\n如果美元在这个位置崩溃了那将是一个非常重大的崩溃，从长期的图表看它将会迫使美联储重新评估政策。\n应对购买力损失，我会把重点放在比特币上。过去一个月比特币翻了一番。前几天我和 Jeff 聊天，他看过很多的图表，相比特币在2017年的高点，通常需要10到20年的时间才能重新回到高点，但是比特币只花了三年的时间，这是一个很罕见的现象。\n这引发了人们的思考：是不是我们在货币政策方面犯了错误？将来我们会怎样为这个错误买单？被普遍认为的一个形式是通货膨胀，而我们解决此问题的首选方法是扩大我们在创新领域的投资。\n大家都在寻找对冲通货膨胀的方法，而我认为没有比比特币更好的了。黄金也在上涨但是它大大落后于比特币，未来两者会怎样，我们到时可以看下。\n我最近接到了不少电话，是公司咨询是否要把比特币放入到资产负债表中的，像 Square 和 micro strategy 已经在这么做了。\n我认为比特币还需要引入更多的监管来验证其价值。美国货币监理署(OCC)负责人Brian Brooks 最近说，公共区块链可以用于交易，而银行可以作为节点参与。这对我来说就好像是黑暗中的一道闪电，我之前从来没有预期过。\n加密货币还有更长的路要走，现在还只是刚开始， 我估计现在比特币的市值大约在7000亿美金，虽然很多人从2万到4万已经赚了一倍，但是7000亿依然不大，可以参考特斯拉都8000亿市值。\n最后 Wood 憧憬了美好的未来。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GBTC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2502,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":true}