Capital_Insights

    • Capital_InsightsCapital_Insights
      ·01-21 19:22

      Trump’s 2025 tariff plans rewrite global trade: benefits and impacts

      Trump’s 2025 tariff plans could rewrite the rules of global trade And your wallet might feel it first. A 60% tariff on China, 25% on Mexico and Canada, and a 20% global import tax are all on the table. Here are the potential benefits and impacts:ImageTariffs are taxes on imported goods, making them more expensive. Trump’s proposed tariffs for 2025 could spark trade wars, disrupt supply chains, and impact consumer prices. These measures are intended to enhance U.S. manufacturing; however, they may involve significant trade-offs. Potential Wins for the U.S. Boosting Domestic Industry: Higher import costs could push consumers toward U.S.-made goods, benefiting local businesses and workers. Negotiating Leverage: Tariffs can pressure trade partners into better deals on currency policies, energy
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      Trump’s 2025 tariff plans rewrite global trade: benefits and impacts
    • Capital_InsightsCapital_Insights
      ·01-21 18:15
      1. How did the U.S. stock market perform during Trump's first term (2017-2021)?2. How does the stock market generally fluctuate on the first trading day after a Republican president's inauguration?3. How will the policy directions mentioned in the January 20th inauguration speech affect US stock market sectors and companies?4. How might Trump's presidency impact global asset classes? Read the article to get all the answer.

      💰Trump Takes Office: 100-Day Plan & 4 Key Concerns for US Stock Traders

      @MillionaireTiger
      I. Donald Trump was sworn in as the 45th President of the United States on Monday.At 12:00 noon Eastern Time on January 20, Trump's inauguration ceremony took place in the U.S. Capitol Rotunda. At 10:00 a.m. on January 21, Trump will also hold a national prayer service at the Washington National Cathedral.Over the previous weekend, Trump family meme stocks shook the market. TRUMP, MELANIA, and BARRON were all launched for trading on the Solana platform, with asset prices surging and the wealth myth unfolding in the blink of an eye.Trump was sworn in as president and returned to the White House. Image source: GETTY IMAGES.At the inauguration ceremony, the Republican addressed specific issues directly and detailed the policy commitments and actions he would take within his first 100 days in
      💰Trump Takes Office: 100-Day Plan & 4 Key Concerns for US Stock Traders
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    • Capital_InsightsCapital_Insights
      ·01-17

      California Wildfires: 😢Affected or Benefiting Industries & Stocks

      On January 7, 2025, a wildfire broke out in the Los Angeles area of California, US, and it is still ongoing. As of January 15, the fire has burned an area of over 164.3 square kilometers.More than 90,000 people in Los Angeles have been evacuated. Some institutions have raised their loss estimates for the Los Angeles fire to between $135 billion and $150 billion.Abiel Reinhart, an economist at JPMorgan Chase, believes that the economic losses from this wildfire are estimated to be around $250 billion, surpassing the losses caused by Hurricane Katrina in 2005.Tens of thousands of residents have been displaced and are in need of food, shelter, emergency medical supplies, mental health counseling, and even the purchase of new homes. Many businesses have also suffered severe damage to their ope
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      California Wildfires: 😢Affected or Benefiting Industries & Stocks
    • Capital_InsightsCapital_Insights
      ·01-15
      Bank of America (BofA) analysts last week  raised their price target on $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ to $490 from $400, Morgan Stanley Eyes Tesla $800 on Bull Case, Citing Autonomous Driving and Embodied AI, What’s your target price? Did you add $TESLA?

      Morgan Stanley Eyes Tesla $800 on Bull Case, Citing Autonomous Driving and Embodied AI

      @钛媒体APP
      TMTPOST -- Morgan Stanley became more bullish on Tesla Inc. despite a nearly 4% pullback of the U.S. electric vehicle (EV) behemoth last week, highlighting analysts’ bullish on autonomous driving business and advancement of embodied artificial intelligence (AI). Credit:Tesla Morgan Stanley analysts led by Adam Jonas reiterated Tesla as their top pick and hiked their price target by $30 to $430 per share, an increase of 7.5%. The upgraded price target suggested analysts expected Tesla shares will rise around 8.5% from their Tuesday close. They provided bear case valuation of $200 per share for Tesla and a bull case valuation of $800. Their most optimistic price forecast more than doubled from Tesla shares’ close on Tuesday. The analysts said their revision of price target wa
      Morgan Stanley Eyes Tesla $800 on Bull Case, Citing Autonomous Driving and Embodied AI
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    • Capital_InsightsCapital_Insights
      ·01-15
      Thank you for your contribution. And could you list more about ETFs that fit the industries you mentioned? Then the article can be seen under more stocks. Thank you very much!

      Why 5% Matters for the 10-Year Treasury! Which Industry Will Impact The Most!

      @Mickey082024
      $Schwab 5-10 Year Corporate Bond ETF(SCHI)$ $iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF(IEF)$ The 10-Year Treasury yield reaching 5% has wide-ranging implications for various industries due to its influence on borrowing costs, consumer behavior, and investment preferences. 1. Real Estate and REITs Impact: Negative Why: Higher Treasury yields increase borrowing costs for real estate companies and reduce the attractiveness of REIT dividends compared to risk-free bonds. Additionally, higher yields can pressure property valuations as cap rates rise. Most Affected: Highly leveraged REITs, residential and commercial property developers. 2. Banking and Financial Services Impact: Mixed Why: Rising Treasury yields can exp
      Why 5% Matters for the 10-Year Treasury! Which Industry Will Impact The Most!
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    • Capital_InsightsCapital_Insights
      ·01-15
      JPMorgan's CPI Analysis and PredictionsJPMorgan forecasts that the December core CPI will likely show a month-over-month increase of 0.17%-0.23%, which would support a 0.3%-1% rise in the $.SPX(.SPX)$ index. They note the following scenarios: Core CPI > 0.3% MoM: S&P 500 may drop up to 2% (5% likelihood). Core CPI < 0.1% MoM: S&P 500 could surge by 1.8%-2.5%.

      December CPI Comes: Options to Trade a Volatility Short Strategy?

      @OptionsAura
      The highly anticipated CPI data release is set for tonight, with an impact comparable to the first Federal Reserve decision of the year.Recent sharp swings in the U.S. stock market, driven by surging Treasury yields and unexpectedly strong employment data, have erased gains for the S&P 500 this year. Option traders are bracing for more volatility in the coming days.The focus is on the U.S. December CPI data, to be released at 9:30 PM Beijing Time, which investors hope will clarify the outlook for potential rate cuts later this year.Market Sentiment Ahead of CPI Data $.SPX(.SPX)$ Expected VolatilityAccording to Stuart Kaiser, Head of U.S. Equity Trading Strategy at Citigroup, the S&P 500 is expected to exhibit a 1% move following the CPI r
      December CPI Comes: Options to Trade a Volatility Short Strategy?
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    • Capital_InsightsCapital_Insights
      ·01-15

      Goldman Sachs' View on Microsoft:Target to $500 in 12-month

      $Microsoft(MSFT)$ is forming a new group focused on developing AI apps and providing tools for third-party customers The new group will be led by @jayparikh the former CEO of cybersecurity startup Lacework and former global head of engineering at $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ . The group will be called Core AI - Platform and Tools. Photo Credit: Gerard Julien/AFP via Getty Images.Read more analysis from @yourcelesttyy Is AI's Golden Era🌌 Fading? Microsoft Bets Big🎰 on ChatGPT Enterprise🌟 $Goldman Sachs(GS)$ pointed in a report:Entering 2025,
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      Goldman Sachs' View on Microsoft:Target to $500 in 12-month
    • Capital_InsightsCapital_Insights
      ·01-09

      US Stocks Overvalued? What Are the Two Trading Directions for This Year?

      Below is an analysis and perspective on U.S. equities from Tiger Brokers' analysts.For U.S. equities, with their high valuations, lofty expectations, and heightened uncertainties, what level of expected return could justify holding stocks?Historically, the S&P 500 has delivered an average annual return of about 7–8%, with a standard deviation of 15–20%. This implies a 41.6% probability of annual returns falling below 4.2% of $US12M(US12M.BOND)$. Given today’s high valuations and uncertainties, 2025 is unlikely to be an “average year.” Expected returns may fall short of 8%, accompanied by greater volatility.That said, this doesn’t mean there are no investment opportunities in U.S. equities this year. Here are two ideas:Buy on a Potential
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      US Stocks Overvalued? What Are the Two Trading Directions for This Year?
    • Capital_InsightsCapital_Insights
      ·01-09

      Go Long on Short-Term Treasuries, Consider Bottom-Fishing 10Y Treasuries Above 5%

      Below is an analysis and perspective on U.S. Treasury bonds from Tiger Brokers' analysts.Short- and long-term U.S. Treasuries should be analyzed separately. Currently, the 1-year Treasury yield stands at 4.2%, offering a risk-free return. $US12M(US12M.BOND)$ For the short end, as shown in the chart below, the current expectation in the interest rate futures market is that the Federal Reserve will cut rates only 1.5 times throughout the year. Tiger analysts believe this expectation is overly hawkish, making a case for going long on short-term Treasuries. The base case Tiger analyst assumes three rate cuts. Since the likelihood of further rate hikes is minimal, the worst-case scenario would be no rate cuts. However, if the economy and inflatio
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      Go Long on Short-Term Treasuries, Consider Bottom-Fishing 10Y Treasuries Above 5%
    • Capital_InsightsCapital_Insights
      ·01-07

      🥳Goldman Sachs Bullish on NVDA: Key Factors Reflected in CES 2025

      Goldman Sachs is bullish on $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ based on the following key factors:Innovation and Product Advantage: At CES 2025, $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ showcased its strong innovation capabilities, such as the introduction of the GeForce RTX 50 series GPUs, which significantly improved performance and outstanding cost-effectiveness. The RTX 5090 is twice as powerful as the RTX 4090, and the RTX 5070 offers a clear price advantage. Additionally, innovations like the Nvidia Llama Nemotron language model, Nvidia Cosmos platform, and Project DIGITS system cater to diverse market needs and expand application scenarios.Leading Technological Trends:Nvidia has clearly defined the key drivers of accelerated computing through
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      🥳Goldman Sachs Bullish on NVDA: Key Factors Reflected in CES 2025
     
     
     
     

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