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- 赞我的今年账户翻十倍赞我的今年账户翻十倍
  ·2022-10-18
  wow
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- 赞我的今年账户翻十倍赞我的今年账户翻十倍
  ·2022-09-24
  ho
  Fighting inflation, the Federal Reserve calculates "political accounts"
  美联储的挑战和其他央行一样，都是如何控制一个无法控制的东西——通胀。
  Fighting inflation, the Federal Reserve calculates "political accounts"
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- 赞我的今年账户翻十倍赞我的今年账户翻十倍
  ·2022-09-12
  Ok
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- 赞我的今年账户翻十倍赞我的今年账户翻十倍
  ·2022-09-10
  666
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- 赞我的今年账户翻十倍赞我的今年账户翻十倍
  ·2022-09-02
  hi
  Morgan Stanley raises price targets for equipment makers as climate bill incentivizes investment in energy-efficient products
  摩根士丹利表示，美国国会通过的税收和气候法案中的减税和退税将有助于推动销售，并于周四上调了供暖和制冷系统制造商的盈利预期和目标价。据了解，美国总统拜登上个月批准的《降低通货膨胀法案》激励了美国历史上对
  Morgan Stanley raises price targets for equipment makers as climate bill incentivizes investment in energy-efficient products
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- 赞我的今年账户翻十倍赞我的今年账户翻十倍
  ·2022-08-26
  $拼多多(PDD)$hi
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- 赞我的今年账户翻十倍赞我的今年账户翻十倍
  ·2022-08-17
  hi
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- 赞我的今年账户翻十倍赞我的今年账户翻十倍
  ·2022-08-13
  $拼多多(PDD)$wow
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- 赞我的今年账户翻十倍赞我的今年账户翻十倍
  ·2022-07-30
  $拼多多(PDD)$hi
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- 赞我的今年账户翻十倍赞我的今年账户翻十倍
  ·2022-07-24
  $拼多多(PDD)$hi
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10:19","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Fighting inflation, the Federal Reserve calculates \"political accounts\"","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1183099287","media":"雪涛宏观笔记","summary":"美联储的挑战和其他央行一样，都是如何控制一个无法控制的东西——通胀。","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>Author (s): Xiang Jingshu, Song Xuetao</p><p><b>The Fed's challenge, like other central banks, is how to control one thing that can't be controlled — inflation.</b>Most of today's U.S. inflation is caused by supply reasons, including but not limited to: energy and food supply shortages, supply disruptions caused by war and geopolitics, global supply chain restructuring caused by conflicting trade rules, and labor gaps caused by long-covid and aging. And these factors are not sensitive to interest rates.</p><p>In June, the San Francisco Fed's study \"How Much Do Supply and Demand Drive Inflation\" disassembled the contribution of Supply and Demand factors to U.S. Inflation.<b>Supply factors contributed more than half of the increase in PCE inflation in the United States after the pandemic (4.8pp)</b>； The contribution of demand factors to the rise of CPI inflation is about one-third. This is not surprising, especially given the sharp rise in energy and food prices around the world following the Russia-Ukraine war.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3b3ca0373bf69ba1523730097d504b2\" tg-width=\"877\" tg-height=\"477\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Figure 1: Supply factors contribute more than half to post-pandemic U.S. PCE inflation rise</span></p><p>All along, the Fed believes that the inflation indicator that can achieve the regulation target through rate hike to curb demand is core inflation. However, this report found that supply factors also contributed nearly half of the post-epidemic rise in core PCE inflation in the United States (3.3pp). In particular, service inflation, which accounts for 70% of core inflation, is faced with a structural and persistent shortage of labor supply, which is also a factor beyond the control of the Fed. Therefore, the rebound of US core CPI from 5.9% to 6.3% in August is a big deterrent to the market, because it shows that<b>The Fed's approach to controlling inflation through rate hike has been largely ineffective.</b></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36edcaf805cce59efbb322e1ff417905\" tg-width=\"878\" tg-height=\"548\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Figure 2: US core CPI rebounded in August</span></p><p>Although the Fed is helpless about energy and food prices, geopolitical factors, supply chain factors, labor factors, etc. in overall inflation,<b>Since June, the Fed has seen two striking and important shifts</b>。</p><p>The first shift is that the Fed sets the inflation target of monetary policy,<b>From the \"uncontrollable\" core PCE to the \"completely uncontrollable\" CPI</b>。 The normal monetary policy rule is to curb core demand such as real estate and consumer goods through rate hike to achieve the purpose of reducing inflation. The inflation rate adopted by the Bernanke and Yellen-era Taylor Rules (Bernanke Rule, Yellen Rule) is the core PCE, and Powell has not publicly revised the inflation rate measure of the Taylor Rule. However, at the press conference of the interest rate meeting in June this year, Powell said, \"The Fed is now very concerned about the overall inflation, not just core inflation, because the overall inflation is related to the inflation expectations of the masses\".</p><p>The second shift is that the Fed has removed its forward guidance on market expectations, leaving every interest rate decision to the data of the past period. This also makes the market puzzle. Why should the Fed lose the proud expected guidance and turn to meeting at a time, artificially creating market volatility?</p><p>The answer is<b>The Fed is not calculating the \"economic account\".</b></p><p><b>If the economic accounts are calculated, the Fed should stop rate hike immediately</b>。 Because in the SEP (Quarterly Economic Forecast) just released by the Fed, the Fed surprisingly slashed its economic forecast for this year and next,<b>' 22 U.S. GDP growth forecast cut to 0.2% from 1.7% in June</b>The 23-year growth forecast was lowered to 1.2% from 1.7% in June. However, while being so pessimistic about the economy, the Fed sharply raised its Federal Funds rate target at the end of this year, from 3.4% in June to 4.4%, which means that the Fed expects a rate hike of 125bp for the remaining two interest rate meetings this year.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dbe7d98c94af5a78ca5f52a6d12e1430\" tg-width=\"869\" tg-height=\"372\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Figure 3: September Fed FOMC economic and inflation forecasts</span></p><p><b>These contradictions, which cannot be explained from an economic perspective, are actually derived from political pressure.</b>Doesn't the Fed know the above truth? Of course not, but politics won't allow it.</p><p>According to a poll on realclearpolitcs, Biden's latest approval rating is only 43% and his disapproval rating is 53%,<b>Biden's approval rating for handling inflation is only 33%, disapproval rating is 65%</b>。 Inflation is the Achilles heel of the Democratic midterm elections. Suppressing inflation should have been Biden's \"political account\", but the failed trip to the Middle East only brought in 100,000 barrels of production increase, and these 100,000 barrels were reduced soon after. In order to reduce political responsibility, Biden threw the question to the Federal Reserve. Biden has spoken several times this year on the reasons for the inflation situation, and the president personally called for inflation to pressure the Federal Reserve, which was rare in the past.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b848b8f79304cbaf26042460003664cf\" tg-width=\"866\" tg-height=\"503\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Figure 4: Biden's approval rating is just 43%</span></p><p><b>Financial markets are not concerned with (economic) inflation, and whether the Fed can really control (economic) inflation, but how much rate hike the Fed wants (for politics) this time. Therefore, the core of predicting the Fed's rate hike behavior is not to predict inflation, but to understand the Fed's \"political account\".</b></p><p>Next, the key point in politics is the midterm congressional elections, which will take place on November 8, this time reelecting the entire House of Representatives and one-third of the Senate.<b>Before the mid-term elections, the Fed's interest rate meeting in November will be held (November 1st-2nd), so the Fed may still have political priority in November, but the last interest rate meeting on December 13th-14th will probably be the key point for the Fed's objective function to change.</b></p><p><b>Risk warning</b></p><p>U.S. inflation beats expectations, Fed tightens beats expectations, U.S. labor market weakens beats expectations</p><p></body></html></p>","source":"xthgbj","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fighting inflation, the Federal Reserve calculates \"political accounts\"</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFighting inflation, the Federal Reserve calculates \"political accounts\"\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">雪涛宏观笔记</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-09-24 10:19</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>Author (s): Xiang Jingshu, Song Xuetao</p><p><b>The Fed's challenge, like other central banks, is how to control one thing that can't be controlled — inflation.</b>Most of today's U.S. inflation is caused by supply reasons, including but not limited to: energy and food supply shortages, supply disruptions caused by war and geopolitics, global supply chain restructuring caused by conflicting trade rules, and labor gaps caused by long-covid and aging. And these factors are not sensitive to interest rates.</p><p>In June, the San Francisco Fed's study \"How Much Do Supply and Demand Drive Inflation\" disassembled the contribution of Supply and Demand factors to U.S. Inflation.<b>Supply factors contributed more than half of the increase in PCE inflation in the United States after the pandemic (4.8pp)</b>； The contribution of demand factors to the rise of CPI inflation is about one-third. This is not surprising, especially given the sharp rise in energy and food prices around the world following the Russia-Ukraine war.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3b3ca0373bf69ba1523730097d504b2\" tg-width=\"877\" tg-height=\"477\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Figure 1: Supply factors contribute more than half to post-pandemic U.S. PCE inflation rise</span></p><p>All along, the Fed believes that the inflation indicator that can achieve the regulation target through rate hike to curb demand is core inflation. However, this report found that supply factors also contributed nearly half of the post-epidemic rise in core PCE inflation in the United States (3.3pp). In particular, service inflation, which accounts for 70% of core inflation, is faced with a structural and persistent shortage of labor supply, which is also a factor beyond the control of the Fed. Therefore, the rebound of US core CPI from 5.9% to 6.3% in August is a big deterrent to the market, because it shows that<b>The Fed's approach to controlling inflation through rate hike has been largely ineffective.</b></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36edcaf805cce59efbb322e1ff417905\" tg-width=\"878\" tg-height=\"548\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Figure 2: US core CPI rebounded in August</span></p><p>Although the Fed is helpless about energy and food prices, geopolitical factors, supply chain factors, labor factors, etc. in overall inflation,<b>Since June, the Fed has seen two striking and important shifts</b>。</p><p>The first shift is that the Fed sets the inflation target of monetary policy,<b>From the \"uncontrollable\" core PCE to the \"completely uncontrollable\" CPI</b>。 The normal monetary policy rule is to curb core demand such as real estate and consumer goods through rate hike to achieve the purpose of reducing inflation. The inflation rate adopted by the Bernanke and Yellen-era Taylor Rules (Bernanke Rule, Yellen Rule) is the core PCE, and Powell has not publicly revised the inflation rate measure of the Taylor Rule. However, at the press conference of the interest rate meeting in June this year, Powell said, \"The Fed is now very concerned about the overall inflation, not just core inflation, because the overall inflation is related to the inflation expectations of the masses\".</p><p>The second shift is that the Fed has removed its forward guidance on market expectations, leaving every interest rate decision to the data of the past period. This also makes the market puzzle. Why should the Fed lose the proud expected guidance and turn to meeting at a time, artificially creating market volatility?</p><p>The answer is<b>The Fed is not calculating the \"economic account\".</b></p><p><b>If the economic accounts are calculated, the Fed should stop rate hike immediately</b>。 Because in the SEP (Quarterly Economic Forecast) just released by the Fed, the Fed surprisingly slashed its economic forecast for this year and next,<b>' 22 U.S. GDP growth forecast cut to 0.2% from 1.7% in June</b>The 23-year growth forecast was lowered to 1.2% from 1.7% in June. However, while being so pessimistic about the economy, the Fed sharply raised its Federal Funds rate target at the end of this year, from 3.4% in June to 4.4%, which means that the Fed expects a rate hike of 125bp for the remaining two interest rate meetings this year.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dbe7d98c94af5a78ca5f52a6d12e1430\" tg-width=\"869\" tg-height=\"372\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Figure 3: September Fed FOMC economic and inflation forecasts</span></p><p><b>These contradictions, which cannot be explained from an economic perspective, are actually derived from political pressure.</b>Doesn't the Fed know the above truth? Of course not, but politics won't allow it.</p><p>According to a poll on realclearpolitcs, Biden's latest approval rating is only 43% and his disapproval rating is 53%,<b>Biden's approval rating for handling inflation is only 33%, disapproval rating is 65%</b>。 Inflation is the Achilles heel of the Democratic midterm elections. Suppressing inflation should have been Biden's \"political account\", but the failed trip to the Middle East only brought in 100,000 barrels of production increase, and these 100,000 barrels were reduced soon after. In order to reduce political responsibility, Biden threw the question to the Federal Reserve. Biden has spoken several times this year on the reasons for the inflation situation, and the president personally called for inflation to pressure the Federal Reserve, which was rare in the past.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b848b8f79304cbaf26042460003664cf\" tg-width=\"866\" tg-height=\"503\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Figure 4: Biden's approval rating is just 43%</span></p><p><b>Financial markets are not concerned with (economic) inflation, and whether the Fed can really control (economic) inflation, but how much rate hike the Fed wants (for politics) this time. Therefore, the core of predicting the Fed's rate hike behavior is not to predict inflation, but to understand the Fed's \"political account\".</b></p><p>Next, the key point in politics is the midterm congressional elections, which will take place on November 8, this time reelecting the entire House of Representatives and one-third of the Senate.<b>Before the mid-term elections, the Fed's interest rate meeting in November will be held (November 1st-2nd), so the Fed may still have political priority in November, but the last interest rate meeting on December 13th-14th will probably be the key point for the Fed's objective function to change.</b></p><p><b>Risk warning</b></p><p>U.S. inflation beats expectations, Fed tightens beats expectations, U.S. labor market weakens beats expectations</p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzI0MzMzNzczNQ==&mid=2247502127&idx=1&sn=765a7266bd802c39b2139d29a5973dfd&chksm=e96c1647de1b9f519f1d593eee43ec301f4b2d58bc514f8fcc3b9bde3464e4fd177d081a6cff\">雪涛宏观笔记</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f09c44f289c2f0d40610768fe6661fab","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzI0MzMzNzczNQ==&mid=2247502127&idx=1&sn=765a7266bd802c39b2139d29a5973dfd&chksm=e96c1647de1b9f519f1d593eee43ec301f4b2d58bc514f8fcc3b9bde3464e4fd177d081a6cff","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1183099287","content_text":"作者：向静姝、宋雪涛美联储的挑战和其他央行一样，都是如何控制一个无法控制的东西——通胀。今天大多数的美国通胀都是由供给原因所产生的，这些原因包括但不限于：能源和食品供应短缺，战争和地缘政治导致的供应中断，贸易规则冲突导致的全球供应链重构，以及长新冠（long-covid）和老龄化导致的劳动力缺口等。而这些因素对于利率并不敏感。今年6月，旧金山联储的研究《How Much Do Supply and Demand Drive Inflation》拆解了美国通胀的供给因素和需求因素的贡献，结果显示供给因素对于疫情后美国PCE通胀上升（4.8pp）的贡献，超过了一半；而需求因素对于CPI通胀上升的贡献，大概是三分之一。这并不令人感到意外，特别是考虑到俄乌战争之后，全球的能源和食品价格出现了剧烈的上涨。图1：供给因素对疫后美国PCE通胀上升的贡献超过一半一直以来，联储认为能够通过加息抑制需求来实现调控目标的通胀指标是核心通胀。但是这篇报告发现，供给因素对疫后美国核心PCE通胀上升（3.3pp）的贡献率也接近一半。尤其是核心通胀中占比70%的服务通胀，所面对的问题是结构性和持续性的劳动力供给短缺，这也是联储无法控制的因素。所以8月美国核心CPI从5.9%反弹至6.3%对于市场是个不小的震慑，因为这说明了联储通过加息控制通胀的做法基本没有效果。图2：8月美国核心CPI出现反弹虽然联储对于总体通胀中的能源和食品价格、地缘因素、供应链因素、劳动力因素等等束手无策，但是6月以来，联储出现了两个惊人且重要的转变。第一个转变是联储把货币政策的通胀目标，从“无法完全控制”的核心PCE，转向了“完全无法控制”的CPI。正常的货币政策规则是通过加息抑制房地产和消费品等核心需求，以实现降低通胀的目的。伯南克和耶伦时期的泰勒规则（伯南克规则、耶伦规则）采用的通胀率都是核心PCE，鲍威尔也没有公开修改过泰勒规则的通胀率指标。但是在今年6月议息会议的新闻发布会上，鲍威尔表示，“联储现在非常关心总体通胀，而不单是核心通胀，因为总体通胀与群众的通胀预期有关”。第二个转变是联储取消了对市场预期的前瞻指引，把每一次利率决议都交给了过去一段时间的数据所决定。这也令市场费解，联储为什么要丢掉赖以为豪的预期指引，转为一会一议，人为地制造市场波动呢？答案是联储算的不是“经济账”。如果算经济账，联储应该立即停止加息。因为在联储刚刚公布的SEP（季度经济预测）中，联储令人意外地大幅下调了今明两年的经济预测，22年美国GDP增速预测从6月1.7%下调至0.2%，23年增速预测从6月1.7%下调至1.2%。但是在对经济如此悲观的同时，联储又大幅上调了今年底的联邦基金利率目标，从6月的3.4%上调至4.4%，这意味着今年剩下的两次议息会议，联储预计还有125bp的加息。图3：九月联储FOMC经济和通胀预测这些在经济视角里无法解释的自相矛盾，其实都源于政治压力。联储不知道以上道理吗？当然不是，但政治不允许。根据realclearpolitcs上的民调结果，拜登的最新支持率仅有43%，不支持率有53%，拜登处理通胀问题的支持率只有33%，不支持率有65%。通胀问题是民主党中期选举的致命弱点，压通胀本该是拜登的“政治账”，但是失败的中东旅行只换来了10万桶增产，而且不久之后这10万桶又被减回去了。为了减轻政治责任，拜登把问题抛给了美联储，拜登今年以来数次就通胀形势发表讲话的原因，总统亲自喊话通胀施压联储，这在过去是罕见的。图4：拜登支持率仅43%金融市场关心的并不是（经济上的）通胀，以及联储是否真的能控制（经济上的）通胀，而是联储（为了政治）这次又要加息多少。因此预测联储的加息行为，核心不是预测通胀，而是理解联储的“政治账”。接下来，政治的关键节点是国会中期选举，时间在11月8日，这次将改选国会众议院全部席位和参议院三分之一席位。在中期选举之前，联储11月议息会议就会举行（11月1日-2日），所以11月联储可能仍要政治优先，但是12月13-14日的最后一次议息会议，将可能是联储的目标函数发生转变的关键时点。风险提示美国通胀超预期，美联储紧缩超预期，美国劳动力市场走弱超预期","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4277,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9932497229,"gmtCreate":1662971532461,"gmtModify":1676537173795,"author":{"id":"3569581951650623","authorId":"3569581951650623","name":"赞我的今年账户翻十倍","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d1d63378f07d4231f465c7cd27356410","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569581951650623","idStr":"3569581951650623"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9932497229","repostId":"1161581783","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4089,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9936553613,"gmtCreate":1662786046132,"gmtModify":1676537141638,"author":{"id":"3569581951650623","authorId":"3569581951650623","name":"赞我的今年账户翻十倍","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d1d63378f07d4231f465c7cd27356410","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569581951650623","idStr":"3569581951650623"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"666","listText":"666","text":"666","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9936553613","repostId":"1144561403","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4830,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9939622995,"gmtCreate":1662100183817,"gmtModify":1676536997897,"author":{"id":"3569581951650623","authorId":"3569581951650623","name":"赞我的今年账户翻十倍","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d1d63378f07d4231f465c7cd27356410","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569581951650623","idStr":"3569581951650623"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9939622995","repostId":"2264313229","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2264313229","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1662094668,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2264313229?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-02 12:57","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Morgan Stanley raises price targets for equipment makers as climate bill incentivizes investment in energy-efficient products","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2264313229","media":"智通财经","summary":"摩根士丹利表示，美国国会通过的税收和气候法案中的减税和退税将有助于推动销售，并于周四上调了供暖和制冷系统制造商的盈利预期和目标价。据了解，美国总统拜登上个月批准的《降低通货膨胀法案》激励了美国历史上对","content":"<p><html><head></head><body><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a>said tax cuts and rebates in the tax and climate bills passed by the U.S. Congress will help boost sales, and on Thursday raised earnings estimates and price targets for heating and cooling system manufacturers. The largest investment in energy-efficient products in U.S. history is understood to have been incentivized by the Inflation Reduction Act, approved by U.S. President Joe Biden last month, which sets aside $21 billion for tax rebates and federal tax breaks to improve people's housing energy efficiency over the next 10 years.</p><p>Morgan Stanley analyst Joshua Pokrzywinski said in the report that the biggest revenue growth for equipment manufacturers will come from homes that have replaced air conditioners and furnaces with heat pumps. A heat pump is an all-in-one device that cools and heats a house more efficiently. Pokrzywinski said: \"Heat pump technology has been improving over the past decade and is likely to be adopted in more regions.\"</p><p>Shares of the heating and cooling system makers mentioned in Morgan Stanley's report were reported to have risen on Thursday,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LII\">Reynolds</a>(LII.US) led the gains with a 3.64% gain,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JCI\">Johnson Controls</a>(JCI.US) closed up 2.79%, Trane Technologies (TT.US) closed up 2.23%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CARR\">Carrier Global</a>(CARR.US) closed up 1.71% and Huasco (WSO.US) closed up 0.72%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/637c45d88567b526fca728f0aa98469c\" tg-width=\"614\" tg-height=\"173\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>As shown in the table above, Morgan Stanley raised its price targets on all of these stocks and gave Johnson Controls, Carrier Global and Trane Technologies \"overweight\" ratings.</p><p></body></html></p>","source":"stock_zhitongcaijing","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Morgan Stanley raises price targets for equipment makers as climate bill incentivizes investment in energy-efficient products</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMorgan Stanley raises price targets for equipment makers as climate bill incentivizes investment in energy-efficient products\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">智通财经</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-09-02 12:57</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a>said tax cuts and rebates in the tax and climate bills passed by the U.S. Congress will help boost sales, and on Thursday raised earnings estimates and price targets for heating and cooling system manufacturers. The largest investment in energy-efficient products in U.S. history is understood to have been incentivized by the Inflation Reduction Act, approved by U.S. President Joe Biden last month, which sets aside $21 billion for tax rebates and federal tax breaks to improve people's housing energy efficiency over the next 10 years.</p><p>Morgan Stanley analyst Joshua Pokrzywinski said in the report that the biggest revenue growth for equipment manufacturers will come from homes that have replaced air conditioners and furnaces with heat pumps. A heat pump is an all-in-one device that cools and heats a house more efficiently. Pokrzywinski said: \"Heat pump technology has been improving over the past decade and is likely to be adopted in more regions.\"</p><p>Shares of the heating and cooling system makers mentioned in Morgan Stanley's report were reported to have risen on Thursday,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LII\">Reynolds</a>(LII.US) led the gains with a 3.64% gain,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JCI\">Johnson Controls</a>(JCI.US) closed up 2.79%, Trane Technologies (TT.US) closed up 2.23%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CARR\">Carrier Global</a>(CARR.US) closed up 1.71% and Huasco (WSO.US) closed up 0.72%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/637c45d88567b526fca728f0aa98469c\" tg-width=\"614\" tg-height=\"173\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>As shown in the table above, Morgan Stanley raised its price targets on all of these stocks and gave Johnson Controls, Carrier Global and Trane Technologies \"overweight\" ratings.</p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/786626.html\">智通财经</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/24fa8350588843d92f819ac12ab5ce16","relate_stocks":{"MS":"摩根士丹利"},"source_url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/786626.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2264313229","content_text":"摩根士丹利表示，美国国会通过的税收和气候法案中的减税和退税将有助于推动销售，并于周四上调了供暖和制冷系统制造商的盈利预期和目标价。据了解，美国总统拜登上个月批准的《降低通货膨胀法案》激励了美国历史上对节能产品的最大投资，该法案拨出210亿美元用于退税和联邦税收减免，用于在未来10年内改善人们的住房节能。摩根士丹利分析师Joshua Pokrzywinski在报告中称，设备制造商最大的营收增长将来自用热泵取代空调和炉子的家庭。热泵是一种一体化的设备，可以更有效地冷却和加热房屋。Pokrzywinski称：“热泵技术在过去十年中不断改进，而且在更多地区也有可能采用。”据悉，摩根士丹利在报告中提到的供暖和制冷系统制造商的股价在周四都上涨，截至周四收盘，雷诺士(LII.US)以3.64%的涨幅领涨，江森自控(JCI.US)收涨2.79%，Trane技术(TT.US)收涨2.23%，开利全球(CARR.US)收涨1.71%，华斯科(WSO.US)收涨0.72%。如上表所示，摩根士丹利对这些股票都上调了目标价，并给予江森自控、开利全球及Trane技术“增持”评级。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4753,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9995525262,"gmtCreate":1661484507158,"gmtModify":1676536528738,"author":{"id":"3569581951650623","authorId":"3569581951650623","name":"赞我的今年账户翻十倍","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d1d63378f07d4231f465c7cd27356410","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569581951650623","idStr":"3569581951650623"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/PDD\">$拼多多(PDD)$</a>hi","listText":"<a 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