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Honeybadger7800

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- Honeybadger7800Honeybadger7800
  ·2022-02-18
  long run gains! 👍🏻
  Sorry, this post has been deleted
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- Honeybadger7800Honeybadger7800
  ·2022-02-17
  Time to DCA more 👍🏻
  Palantir: The Moment Of Truth
  SummaryPalantir is scheduled to report its Q4 results before markets open on Thursday.Its total reve
  Palantir: The Moment Of Truth
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- Honeybadger7800Honeybadger7800
  ·2022-02-14
  Truly hope this never happens. Really a sad way of profiting at the cause of other's struggles. 🙏🏼
  What a Russian Invasion of Ukraine Would Mean for Markets as Biden Warns Putin of 'Severe Costs'
  Investors on Friday got a taste of the sort of market shock that could come if Russia invades Ukraine.The spark came as Jake Sullivan, the White House national security adviser, warned Friday afternoo
  What a Russian Invasion of Ukraine Would Mean for Markets as Biden Warns Putin of 'Severe Costs'
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👍🏻","listText":"long run gains! 👍🏻","text":"long run gains! 👍🏻","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9094552729","repostId":"1194989459","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":347,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9094184376,"gmtCreate":1645083119834,"gmtModify":1676533995498,"author":{"id":"3572424679849682","authorId":"3572424679849682","name":"Honeybadger7800","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/4329336f2c561a59c3d8df4d43225730","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3572424679849682","authorIdStr":"3572424679849682"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Time to DCA more 👍🏻","listText":"Time to DCA more 👍🏻","text":"Time to DCA more 👍🏻","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9094184376","repostId":"1196763919","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1196763919","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1645065569,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1196763919?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-02-17 10:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir: The Moment Of Truth","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1196763919","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryPalantir is scheduled to report its Q4 results before markets open on Thursday.Its total reve","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Summary</p><ul><li>Palantir is scheduled to report its Q4 results before markets open on Thursday.</li><li>Its total revenue is likely to come in at $419 million for the period.</li><li>Palantir&#39;s government revenue could remain muted.</li><li>Other than revenue, investors may want to keep a close eye on the company&#39;s customer count, remaining deal value and its management&#39;s outlook for FY22.</li></ul><p>All eyes will be on Palantir (PLTR) when it reports its Q4 results tomorrow before markets open. Investors would be curious to see if the company can post a significant enough revenue beat to stabilize its tanking share price and possibly also trigger a rally. But in addition to just tracking its headline revenue figure, investors may also want to monitor its customer count, deal value, segment financials and its management’s outlook for FY22. These items will better highlight Palantir’s state of operations and are likely to influence where its shares head next in coming weeks. Let’s take a closer look at it all.</p><p><b>Operating Metrics</b></p><p>Bears routinely argue that Palantir is a consulting business instead of a technology business. Its sales personnel have to pitch their platform to enterprises and government agencies in order to win contracts. Then, its team of engineers has to sometimes, if not always, intervene in order to set up dashboards for their new customers. So, it’s understandable why many investors are skeptical about Palantir’s ability to scale. Fortunately, for Palantir&#39;s shareholders at least, the company discloses two operating metrics that reveal if it&#39;s scalability is at risk or if things are going smoothly.</p><p>First method involves tracking Palantir’s total number of customers in its Q4 earnings report. If its customer onboarding process is starting to get bottlenecked due to human intervention, or if its target market is saturating, then Palantir’s customer count figure might as well plateau going forward. Any slowdown in growth here would point to operational difficulties in onboarding new customers and possibly also a subsequent financial slowdown. Conversely, a rapid increase in Palantir’s customer count would indicate that the company is still growing its business footprint with relative ease and it would also quash scalability-related concerns along the way.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b8bf667cc8d52a57100d5a577a3773c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"513\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Secondly, investors may also want to monitor Palantir’s remaining deal value figure. It highlights the residual value of all the contracts booked with Palantir, that are yet to be delivered, from which revenue is yet to be recognized. It’s similar to the order backlog metric that engineering firms report but it’s prone to customer cancellations due to far lower contract termination fees. Generally speaking, a growing remaining deal value figure indicates a growing project pipeline that can potentially drive Palantir’s revenue in the years to come.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97f0a6cf7e7d598536bcd580220bea43\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"518\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Very few investors might know this but Palantir has significantly expanded its sales team over the last four quarters. With this heightened focus on direct sales now, the company is likely to have bagged new customers and contracts during the quarter. This means its customer count figure as well as its remaining deal value of contracts, are well poised to further increase sequentially in the company’s upcoming Q4 earnings report.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c72a2922e7f293e89fdcfa96680d5ab1\" tg-width=\"536\" tg-height=\"109\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><b>Bifurcated Financials</b></p><p>Moving on, Palantir classifies its revenue under two reporting segments namely, government and commercial segments. Its commercial revenue stream has grown at a rapid rate over the past few quarters and it accounted for about 45% of the company’s total revenue last quarter. Now that most of the major markets across the world have eased their travel restrictions, Palantir’s expanded sales team would have been able to travel more freely during the quarter and bag new orders. So, I’m expecting its commercial segment to post a low-double-digit (~12%) revenue growth on a sequential basis, with the actual figure coming in around $195 million for Q4.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/29c6dcf4a5c1ce28f4f355f50f958783\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"550\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>On the other hand, I expect Palantir’s government segment to post lackluster results in Q4. The company won very few contracts from the US government during quarter which is bound to put a pressure on this revenue stream. Palantir would have had to strike more deals with international governments agencies in order to offset and mitigate the recent decline of new orders from the US government, but that’s easier said than done. So, I’m expecting its government revenue to, at best, grow at low-single digits (~3%) in Q4, with the figure amounting to around $224 million.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b14bd1751a6ff3bf9fdd1c3cfe9f1ee7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"452\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Overall, I’m estimating Palantir’s revenue to amount to $419 million during Q4 FY21. This would mark a growth of approximately 30% on a year over year basis, and 7% sequentially. Coincidentally, my revenue estimate happens to be in the vicinity of the Street’s revenue estimates for Palantir’s Q4, which are averaging around$417 million<b>.</b></p><p>Having said that, investors should also pay close attention to Palantir management’s revenue outlook for FY22. They had issued a rather conservative revenue growth outlook for FY21 in last year’s Q4, which eventually caused a selloff in its share for the majority of the past year. But now that Palantir’s number of customers has increased 46% since Q4 FY20, its management should be in a better position to issue a higher revenue growth forecast for FY22.</p><p>Also, there has been a marked deceleration in new order wins from US government during Q4, as evident in the chart above. So, investors should listen in on Palantir management&#39;s comments on how they plan on navigating through this situation. Specifically, do they think that this is a one-time drop, that&#39;s mired by delays in awarding the contracts, or if this the new normal? If it’s the latter, then what is Palantir management’s strategy to offset the potentially declining government business?</p><p><b>Investors Takeaway</b></p><p>Palantir’s shares have corrected by more than 40% over the last 6 months alone and they’re attractively valued at current levels. In contrast, other rapidly growing companies operating in the software infrastructure space are trading at significantly higher price-to-sales multiples. So, investors with a long-term time horizon may want to consider adding Palantir’s shares while they’re still discounted.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0a3a468cef71239587678d0c0375a279\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"297\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>As far as its Q4 earnings report is concerned, investors should closely monitor Palantir&#39;s customer count, its remaining deal value, segment financials and its management’s outlook for FY22. These items stand to better highlight Palantir’s state of operations and the longevity of its growth momentum. I remain bullish on the stock due to its attractive valuations and a host of growth-related initiatives (as outlined here,here and here). Good Luck!</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir: The Moment Of Truth</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir: The Moment Of Truth\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-02-17 10:39 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4487371-palantir-q4-earnings-preview-moment-of-truth><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryPalantir is scheduled to report its Q4 results before markets open on Thursday.Its total revenue is likely to come in at $419 million for the period.Palantir's government revenue could remain ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4487371-palantir-q4-earnings-preview-moment-of-truth\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4487371-palantir-q4-earnings-preview-moment-of-truth","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1196763919","content_text":"SummaryPalantir is scheduled to report its Q4 results before markets open on Thursday.Its total revenue is likely to come in at $419 million for the period.Palantir's government revenue could remain muted.Other than revenue, investors may want to keep a close eye on the company's customer count, remaining deal value and its management's outlook for FY22.All eyes will be on Palantir (PLTR) when it reports its Q4 results tomorrow before markets open. Investors would be curious to see if the company can post a significant enough revenue beat to stabilize its tanking share price and possibly also trigger a rally. But in addition to just tracking its headline revenue figure, investors may also want to monitor its customer count, deal value, segment financials and its management’s outlook for FY22. These items will better highlight Palantir’s state of operations and are likely to influence where its shares head next in coming weeks. Let’s take a closer look at it all.Operating MetricsBears routinely argue that Palantir is a consulting business instead of a technology business. Its sales personnel have to pitch their platform to enterprises and government agencies in order to win contracts. Then, its team of engineers has to sometimes, if not always, intervene in order to set up dashboards for their new customers. So, it’s understandable why many investors are skeptical about Palantir’s ability to scale. Fortunately, for Palantir's shareholders at least, the company discloses two operating metrics that reveal if it's scalability is at risk or if things are going smoothly.First method involves tracking Palantir’s total number of customers in its Q4 earnings report. If its customer onboarding process is starting to get bottlenecked due to human intervention, or if its target market is saturating, then Palantir’s customer count figure might as well plateau going forward. Any slowdown in growth here would point to operational difficulties in onboarding new customers and possibly also a subsequent financial slowdown. Conversely, a rapid increase in Palantir’s customer count would indicate that the company is still growing its business footprint with relative ease and it would also quash scalability-related concerns along the way.Secondly, investors may also want to monitor Palantir’s remaining deal value figure. It highlights the residual value of all the contracts booked with Palantir, that are yet to be delivered, from which revenue is yet to be recognized. It’s similar to the order backlog metric that engineering firms report but it’s prone to customer cancellations due to far lower contract termination fees. Generally speaking, a growing remaining deal value figure indicates a growing project pipeline that can potentially drive Palantir’s revenue in the years to come.Very few investors might know this but Palantir has significantly expanded its sales team over the last four quarters. With this heightened focus on direct sales now, the company is likely to have bagged new customers and contracts during the quarter. This means its customer count figure as well as its remaining deal value of contracts, are well poised to further increase sequentially in the company’s upcoming Q4 earnings report.Bifurcated FinancialsMoving on, Palantir classifies its revenue under two reporting segments namely, government and commercial segments. Its commercial revenue stream has grown at a rapid rate over the past few quarters and it accounted for about 45% of the company’s total revenue last quarter. Now that most of the major markets across the world have eased their travel restrictions, Palantir’s expanded sales team would have been able to travel more freely during the quarter and bag new orders. So, I’m expecting its commercial segment to post a low-double-digit (~12%) revenue growth on a sequential basis, with the actual figure coming in around $195 million for Q4.On the other hand, I expect Palantir’s government segment to post lackluster results in Q4. The company won very few contracts from the US government during quarter which is bound to put a pressure on this revenue stream. Palantir would have had to strike more deals with international governments agencies in order to offset and mitigate the recent decline of new orders from the US government, but that’s easier said than done. So, I’m expecting its government revenue to, at best, grow at low-single digits (~3%) in Q4, with the figure amounting to around $224 million.Overall, I’m estimating Palantir’s revenue to amount to $419 million during Q4 FY21. This would mark a growth of approximately 30% on a year over year basis, and 7% sequentially. Coincidentally, my revenue estimate happens to be in the vicinity of the Street’s revenue estimates for Palantir’s Q4, which are averaging around$417 million.Having said that, investors should also pay close attention to Palantir management’s revenue outlook for FY22. They had issued a rather conservative revenue growth outlook for FY21 in last year’s Q4, which eventually caused a selloff in its share for the majority of the past year. But now that Palantir’s number of customers has increased 46% since Q4 FY20, its management should be in a better position to issue a higher revenue growth forecast for FY22.Also, there has been a marked deceleration in new order wins from US government during Q4, as evident in the chart above. So, investors should listen in on Palantir management's comments on how they plan on navigating through this situation. Specifically, do they think that this is a one-time drop, that's mired by delays in awarding the contracts, or if this the new normal? If it’s the latter, then what is Palantir management’s strategy to offset the potentially declining government business?Investors TakeawayPalantir’s shares have corrected by more than 40% over the last 6 months alone and they’re attractively valued at current levels. In contrast, other rapidly growing companies operating in the software infrastructure space are trading at significantly higher price-to-sales multiples. So, investors with a long-term time horizon may want to consider adding Palantir’s shares while they’re still discounted.As far as its Q4 earnings report is concerned, investors should closely monitor Palantir's customer count, its remaining deal value, segment financials and its management’s outlook for FY22. These items stand to better highlight Palantir’s state of operations and the longevity of its growth momentum. I remain bullish on the stock due to its attractive valuations and a host of growth-related initiatives (as outlined here,here and here). Good Luck!","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":431,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9095087697,"gmtCreate":1644783809952,"gmtModify":1676533960335,"author":{"id":"3572424679849682","authorId":"3572424679849682","name":"Honeybadger7800","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/4329336f2c561a59c3d8df4d43225730","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3572424679849682","authorIdStr":"3572424679849682"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Truly hope this never happens. Really a sad way of profiting at the cause of other's struggles. 🙏🏼","listText":"Truly hope this never happens. Really a sad way of profiting at the cause of other's struggles. 🙏🏼","text":"Truly hope this never happens. Really a sad way of profiting at the cause of other's struggles. 🙏🏼","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9095087697","repostId":"2211524630","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2211524630","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1644700320,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2211524630?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-02-13 05:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What a Russian Invasion of Ukraine Would Mean for Markets as Biden Warns Putin of 'Severe Costs'","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2211524630","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Investors on Friday got a taste of the sort of market shock that could come if Russia invades Ukraine.The spark came as Jake Sullivan, the White House national security adviser, warned Friday afternoo","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Investors on Friday got a taste of the sort of market shock that could come if Russia invades Ukraine.</p><p>The spark came as Jake Sullivan, the White House national security adviser, warned Friday afternoon that Russia could attack Ukraine &#34;any day now,&#34; with Russia&#39;s military prepared to begin an invasion if ordered by Russian President Vladimir Putin.</p><p>U.S. stocks extended a selloff to end sharply lower, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average  dropping more than 500 points and the S&amp;P 500  sinking 1.9%; oil futures surged to a seven-year high that has crude within hailing distance of $100 a barrel; and a round of buying interest in traditional safe-haven assets pulled down Treasury yields while lifting gold, the U.S. dollar  and the Japanese yen .</p><p>Putin and U.S. President Joe Biden spoke by telephone Saturday in a bid to de-escalate the crisis. The White House said Biden &#34;was clear that, if Russia undertakes a further invasion of Ukraine, the United States together with our allies and partners will respond decisively and impose swift and severe costs on Russia.&#34;</p><p>Analysts and investors have debated the lasting effects of an invasion on financial markets. Here&#39;s what investors need to know:</p><p><b>Energy prices set to surge</b></p><p>Energy prices are expected to soar in the event of an invasion, likely sending the price of crude above the $100-a-barrel threshold for the first time since 2014.</p><p>&#34;I think if a war breaks out between Russia and Ukraine, $100 a barrel will be almost assured,&#34; Phil Flynn, market analyst at Price Futures Group, told MarketWatch. U.S. benchmark oil futures  ended at a seven-year high of $93.10 on Friday, while Brent crude ,&#34; the global benchmark closed at $94.44 a barrel.</p><p>&#34;More than likely we will spike hard and then drop. The $100-a-barrel area is more likely because inventories are tightest they have been in years,&#34; Flynn said, explaining that a monthly report Friday from the International Energy Agency warning that the crude market was set to tighten further makes any potential supply disruption &#34;all that more ominous.&#34;</p><p>Beyond crude, Russia&#39;s role as a key supplier of natural gas to Western Europe could send prices in the region soaring. Overall, spiking energy prices in Europe and around the world would be the most likely way a Russian invasion would stoke volatility across financial markets, analysts said.</p><p><b>Fed vs. flight to quality</b></p><p>Treasurys are among the most popular havens for investors during bouts of geopolitical uncertainty, so it was no surprise to see yields slide across the curve Friday afternoon. Treasury yields, which move the opposite direction of prices, were vulnerable to a pullback after surging Thursday in the wake of a hotter-than-expected January inflation report that saw traders price in aggressive rate increases by the Federal Reserve beginning with a potential half-point hike in March.</p><p>Analysts and investors debated how fighting in Ukraine could affect the Federal Reserve&#39;s plans for tightening monetary policy.</p><p>If Ukraine is attacked &#34;it adds more credence to our view that the Fed will be more dovish than the market currently believes as the war would make the outlook even more uncertain,&#34; said Jay Hatfield, chief investment officer at Infrastructure Capital Management, in emailed comments.</p><p>Others argued that a jump in energy prices would be likely to underline the Fed&#39;s worries over inflation.</p><p><b>Stocks and geopolitics</b></p><p>Uncertainty and the resulting volatility could make for more rough sledding for stocks in the near term, but analysts noted that U.S. equities have tended to get over geopolitical shocks relatively quickly.</p><p>&#34;You can&#39;t minimize what today&#39;s news could mean on that part of the world and the people impacted, but from an investment point of view we need to remember that major geopolitical events historically haven&#39;t moved stocks much,&#34; said Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist at LPL Financial, in a note, pointing to the chart below:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5061dae5cb70d1704dc703f73fd77f6\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"321\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>LPL Financial</span></p><p>Indeed, the takeaway from past geopolitical crises may be that it&#39;s best not to sell into a panic, wrote MarketWatch columnist Mark Hulbert in September.</p><p>He noted data compiled by Ned Davis Research examining the 28 worst political or economic crises over the six decades before the 9/11 attacks in 2001. In 19 cases, the Dow was higher six months after the crisis began. The average six-month gain following all 28 crises was 2.3%. In the aftermath of 9/11, which left markets closed for several days, the Dow fell 17.5% at its low but recovered to trade above its Sept. 10 level by Oct. 26, six weeks later.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What a Russian Invasion of Ukraine Would Mean for Markets as Biden Warns Putin of 'Severe Costs'</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat a Russian Invasion of Ukraine Would Mean for Markets as Biden Warns Putin of 'Severe Costs'\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-02-13 05:12</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Investors on Friday got a taste of the sort of market shock that could come if Russia invades Ukraine.</p><p>The spark came as Jake Sullivan, the White House national security adviser, warned Friday afternoon that Russia could attack Ukraine &#34;any day now,&#34; with Russia&#39;s military prepared to begin an invasion if ordered by Russian President Vladimir Putin.</p><p>U.S. stocks extended a selloff to end sharply lower, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average  dropping more than 500 points and the S&amp;P 500  sinking 1.9%; oil futures surged to a seven-year high that has crude within hailing distance of $100 a barrel; and a round of buying interest in traditional safe-haven assets pulled down Treasury yields while lifting gold, the U.S. dollar  and the Japanese yen .</p><p>Putin and U.S. President Joe Biden spoke by telephone Saturday in a bid to de-escalate the crisis. The White House said Biden &#34;was clear that, if Russia undertakes a further invasion of Ukraine, the United States together with our allies and partners will respond decisively and impose swift and severe costs on Russia.&#34;</p><p>Analysts and investors have debated the lasting effects of an invasion on financial markets. Here&#39;s what investors need to know:</p><p><b>Energy prices set to surge</b></p><p>Energy prices are expected to soar in the event of an invasion, likely sending the price of crude above the $100-a-barrel threshold for the first time since 2014.</p><p>&#34;I think if a war breaks out between Russia and Ukraine, $100 a barrel will be almost assured,&#34; Phil Flynn, market analyst at Price Futures Group, told MarketWatch. U.S. benchmark oil futures  ended at a seven-year high of $93.10 on Friday, while Brent crude ,&#34; the global benchmark closed at $94.44 a barrel.</p><p>&#34;More than likely we will spike hard and then drop. The $100-a-barrel area is more likely because inventories are tightest they have been in years,&#34; Flynn said, explaining that a monthly report Friday from the International Energy Agency warning that the crude market was set to tighten further makes any potential supply disruption &#34;all that more ominous.&#34;</p><p>Beyond crude, Russia&#39;s role as a key supplier of natural gas to Western Europe could send prices in the region soaring. Overall, spiking energy prices in Europe and around the world would be the most likely way a Russian invasion would stoke volatility across financial markets, analysts said.</p><p><b>Fed vs. flight to quality</b></p><p>Treasurys are among the most popular havens for investors during bouts of geopolitical uncertainty, so it was no surprise to see yields slide across the curve Friday afternoon. Treasury yields, which move the opposite direction of prices, were vulnerable to a pullback after surging Thursday in the wake of a hotter-than-expected January inflation report that saw traders price in aggressive rate increases by the Federal Reserve beginning with a potential half-point hike in March.</p><p>Analysts and investors debated how fighting in Ukraine could affect the Federal Reserve&#39;s plans for tightening monetary policy.</p><p>If Ukraine is attacked &#34;it adds more credence to our view that the Fed will be more dovish than the market currently believes as the war would make the outlook even more uncertain,&#34; said Jay Hatfield, chief investment officer at Infrastructure Capital Management, in emailed comments.</p><p>Others argued that a jump in energy prices would be likely to underline the Fed&#39;s worries over inflation.</p><p><b>Stocks and geopolitics</b></p><p>Uncertainty and the resulting volatility could make for more rough sledding for stocks in the near term, but analysts noted that U.S. equities have tended to get over geopolitical shocks relatively quickly.</p><p>&#34;You can&#39;t minimize what today&#39;s news could mean on that part of the world and the people impacted, but from an investment point of view we need to remember that major geopolitical events historically haven&#39;t moved stocks much,&#34; said Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist at LPL Financial, in a note, pointing to the chart below:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5061dae5cb70d1704dc703f73fd77f6\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"321\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>LPL Financial</span></p><p>Indeed, the takeaway from past geopolitical crises may be that it&#39;s best not to sell into a panic, wrote MarketWatch columnist Mark Hulbert in September.</p><p>He noted data compiled by Ned Davis Research examining the 28 worst political or economic crises over the six decades before the 9/11 attacks in 2001. In 19 cases, the Dow was higher six months after the crisis began. The average six-month gain following all 28 crises was 2.3%. In the aftermath of 9/11, which left markets closed for several days, the Dow fell 17.5% at its low but recovered to trade above its Sept. 10 level by Oct. 26, six weeks later.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2211524630","content_text":"Investors on Friday got a taste of the sort of market shock that could come if Russia invades Ukraine.The spark came as Jake Sullivan, the White House national security adviser, warned Friday afternoon that Russia could attack Ukraine \"any day now,\" with Russia's military prepared to begin an invasion if ordered by Russian President Vladimir Putin.U.S. stocks extended a selloff to end sharply lower, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average  dropping more than 500 points and the S&P 500  sinking 1.9%; oil futures surged to a seven-year high that has crude within hailing distance of $100 a barrel; and a round of buying interest in traditional safe-haven assets pulled down Treasury yields while lifting gold, the U.S. dollar  and the Japanese yen .Putin and U.S. President Joe Biden spoke by telephone Saturday in a bid to de-escalate the crisis. The White House said Biden \"was clear that, if Russia undertakes a further invasion of Ukraine, the United States together with our allies and partners will respond decisively and impose swift and severe costs on Russia.\"Analysts and investors have debated the lasting effects of an invasion on financial markets. Here's what investors need to know:Energy prices set to surgeEnergy prices are expected to soar in the event of an invasion, likely sending the price of crude above the $100-a-barrel threshold for the first time since 2014.\"I think if a war breaks out between Russia and Ukraine, $100 a barrel will be almost assured,\" Phil Flynn, market analyst at Price Futures Group, told MarketWatch. U.S. benchmark oil futures  ended at a seven-year high of $93.10 on Friday, while Brent crude ,\" the global benchmark closed at $94.44 a barrel.\"More than likely we will spike hard and then drop. The $100-a-barrel area is more likely because inventories are tightest they have been in years,\" Flynn said, explaining that a monthly report Friday from the International Energy Agency warning that the crude market was set to tighten further makes any potential supply disruption \"all that more ominous.\"Beyond crude, Russia's role as a key supplier of natural gas to Western Europe could send prices in the region soaring. Overall, spiking energy prices in Europe and around the world would be the most likely way a Russian invasion would stoke volatility across financial markets, analysts said.Fed vs. flight to qualityTreasurys are among the most popular havens for investors during bouts of geopolitical uncertainty, so it was no surprise to see yields slide across the curve Friday afternoon. Treasury yields, which move the opposite direction of prices, were vulnerable to a pullback after surging Thursday in the wake of a hotter-than-expected January inflation report that saw traders price in aggressive rate increases by the Federal Reserve beginning with a potential half-point hike in March.Analysts and investors debated how fighting in Ukraine could affect the Federal Reserve's plans for tightening monetary policy.If Ukraine is attacked \"it adds more credence to our view that the Fed will be more dovish than the market currently believes as the war would make the outlook even more uncertain,\" said Jay Hatfield, chief investment officer at Infrastructure Capital Management, in emailed comments.Others argued that a jump in energy prices would be likely to underline the Fed's worries over inflation.Stocks and geopoliticsUncertainty and the resulting volatility could make for more rough sledding for stocks in the near term, but analysts noted that U.S. equities have tended to get over geopolitical shocks relatively quickly.\"You can't minimize what today's news could mean on that part of the world and the people impacted, but from an investment point of view we need to remember that major geopolitical events historically haven't moved stocks much,\" said Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist at LPL Financial, in a note, pointing to the chart below:LPL FinancialIndeed, the takeaway from past geopolitical crises may be that it's best not to sell into a panic, wrote MarketWatch columnist Mark Hulbert in September.He noted data compiled by Ned Davis Research examining the 28 worst political or economic crises over the six decades before the 9/11 attacks in 2001. In 19 cases, the Dow was higher six months after the crisis began. The average six-month gain following all 28 crises was 2.3%. In the aftermath of 9/11, which left markets closed for several days, the Dow fell 17.5% at its low but recovered to trade above its Sept. 10 level by Oct. 26, six weeks later.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":422,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"followers","isTTM":true}