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Regalion

    • RegalionRegalion
      ·08-12 13:26
      Stocks to watch today — Aug 12 📈 $SMCI — The cleanest AI momentum setup after earnings. Q2 beat expectations despite a revenue miss, while strong AI infrastructure demand is keeping the growth narrative intact. Watch whether the post-earnings gap holds; a failed breakout would suggest the move is becoming overextended. $CRWV — Another AI high-beta name reporting strong record revenue. The key question is whether earnings can translate into sustained multiple expansion, given the stock’s sensitivity to expectations around AI capex. $LITE — AI optical networking exposure is back in focus after a strong earnings reaction. Fundamentals are improving, but valuation and forward guidance will determine whether this is a sustainable rerating or another momentum spike. $CSCO — More defensive way to
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    • RegalionRegalion
      ·08-12 13:24
      The RKLB reaction is a good example of why headline growth alone isn't enough to justify a momentum valuation. Q2 revenue hit a record $234.1M (+62% YoY), backlog expanded to $2.36B, and gross margin came in at 41.5%. On the surface, that's a strong fundamental print. But the forward numbers tell a more nuanced story: Q3 revenue guidance of $250–265M implies continued ~7–13% QoQ growth, while gross-margin guidance of 29–31% is materially below both Q2's 41.5% and the ~37.6% consensus.  With RKLB having rallied ~27.5% in the week into earnings, the issue wasn't whether the quarter was good — it was whether the incremental fundamentals were sufficient to support the expectations embedded in the multiple.  That's the key distinction in high-beta thematic trades: growth drives the na
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    • RegalionRegalion
      ·2025-12-22
      $ProShares UltraShort Bitcoin ETF(SBIT)$  goin down to 82k by end of week 
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    • RegalionRegalion
      ·2023-08-22
      I didn't expect them to increase the way they did 

      What Lies Ahead for XPeng After Q2 Earnings Miss?

      @TigerOptions：
      $XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$, a prominent Chinese electric vehicle (EV) manufacturer, experienced a 6% decline in its stock value following disappointing second-quarter earnings. The financial results not only affected XPeng's market standing but also cast a shadow on other Chinese EV companies. The quarter's net loss of RMB2.80 billion (approximately $390 million) was wider than the previous year's loss, dampening investor sentiment. This article delves into the key aspects of XPeng's Q2 earnings report, explores the company's ongoing challenges and prospects, and examines the impact on the broader EV industry. XPeng Faces Stock Slide XPeng's Q2 earnings revealed a net loss of RMB2.80 billion, compared to RMB2.70 billion in the same period last year. Adjus
      What Lies Ahead for XPeng After Q2 Earnings Miss?
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    • RegalionRegalion
      ·2023-08-17
      $XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$ Definitely bearish on XPEV - It's a good company but way too much uncertainty right now - I would probably sell off and buy back later when it dips more - I predict that the earnings won't be great and the stock will dip to about 14.8. I am likely going to be selling some options and I think with 17/08 premarket increase, some investors are just trying to not let the price fall but it's extremely volatile now and it would not be a good time to buy in my opinion. This is not investment or financial advice. 
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    • RegalionRegalion
      ·2023-08-17
      Very nice! Good recap for the week!

      Trade Recap 11 August

      @TigerOptions：
      Another day of trading, I'm grateful to be able to earn small profits again [Miser] Today I traded $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ again. 2 trades $TSLA 20230818 240.0 PUT$ Bought in early when the price is flushing down in hopes for the price to break down 10mins opening range. Thanks to Lady Luck on my side, the price breakdown and I sold half my position. I was holding on for the second leg down, but it didn't happen. When it breakouts to theupside of the consolidation, I sold my other half to secure my small profits. $TSLA 20230818 242.5 CALL$ Bought
      Trade Recap 11 August
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    • RegalionRegalion
      ·2023-08-17
      Wow! A stock I haven't paid close attention to but might be able to make some trades on soon!

      How will AMC's stock conversion and reverse split affect stock price and investors?

      @Meme_Tiger：
      A Delaware court-approved settlement for converting $AMC Entertainment Preferred(APE)$ into common shares $AMC Entertainment(AMC)$ .The conversion process will result in the merging of outstanding APE shares with the existing common shares of AMC, thereby potentially diluting the total share count by approximately 90%.In a strategic move to mitigate the potential negative impact of dilution on share prices, AMC plans on implementing a reverse stock split to maintain its share price.What's next for AMC after court approval of revised stock-conversion plan? - MarketWatchHow did Stock Conversion and Reverse Split affect stock price of $AMC Entertainment(AMC)$ ?The jour
      How will AMC's stock conversion and reverse split affect stock price and investors?
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    • RegalionRegalion
      ·2023-08-17
      Completely agree - in fact, I sold 6 JD options @41 call and made a nice tidy profit of ~45USD!

      JD Q2 performance dismal as core business no improvement!

      @Value_investing：
      Just now, JD.com $JD.com(JD)$ $JD-SW(09618)$ announced the second quarter report, and the stock price fell more than 5% before the market:However, compared with analyst expectations, JD.com 's revenue and operating profit in the second quarter exceeded expectations. Since it is so "beautiful", why do investors flock out?The answer is its core business no improvement!First, let's take a look at the overall income. JD.com 's revenue in the second quarter was 287.9 billion yuan, an increase of 7.6% over the same period last year, exceeding analysts' expectations of 279.1 billion yuan:In terms of growth, although the 7.6% growth rate is much dimmer than the previous growth of more than 20%, it has at least ush
      JD Q2 performance dismal as core business no improvement!
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    • RegalionRegalion
      ·2023-08-17
      Amazing article! 

      Trade Recap 15 August

      @TigerOptions：
      Not a good start for the market today with the $Invesco QQQ Trust-ETF(QQQ)$ and $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ flushing down from the market open.[Duh] With both indexes weakening, I decided to trade $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ which recently has bearish news. Source: TradingView Trade 1 🟢 TSLA 237.5 PUT I bought in $TSLA 20230825 237.5 PUT$(1st green arrow) when I saw the price falling below the 1 min opening range. Sold half at around 10%+ profit and was waiting for a bigger move down. It did go lower but I only sol
      Trade Recap 15 August
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    • RegalionRegalion
      ·2023-08-17
      The trajectory of China stocks is a subject of conjecture, and offering a definitive affirmative or negative answer is challenging due to the multifaceted nature of market dynamics. As of recent times, China stocks have demonstrated resilience and growth, benefiting from robust economic expansion, technological advancements, and evolving global trade relations. Affirmatively, there are several reasons supporting the continuation of China stocks rallying. The country's commitment to innovation and technology-driven sectors has led to the emergence of industry leaders like Alibaba, Tencent, and Nio. These companies, along with others, have showcased consistent growth and are poised to capitalize on domestic and international market opportunities. Moreover, China's expanding middle class and
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